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Winter Weather 2015/16 : See Mod Note Post #1

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,596 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Grange so far for January is not too bad!

    Mean temperature: 5.7c (+1.7c above the monthly LTA)
    Rainfall: 14.4mm (24% of the monthly LTA)
    Sunshine: 10 hours (22% of the monthly LTA)

    Slightly wetter, sunnier and warmer than normal.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,596 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Another similarity this Winter with Winter 1997 / 98 is a record breaking warm month.

    Winter 1997 / 98: February 1998 - the warmest on record
    Winter 2015 / 16: December 2015 - the warmest on record


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,171 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Another similarity this Winter with Winter 1997 / 98 is a record breaking warm month.

    Winter 1997 / 98: February 1998 - the warmest on record
    Winter 2015 / 16: December 2015 - the warmest on record

    Ah but the month is different, relatively meaningless IMO.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,649 ✭✭✭✭joujoujou
    Unregistered Users


    :D Meanwhile in Poland:

    373653.jpg

    Sorry, couldn't resist. :o


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,685 ✭✭✭flutered


    Graces7 wrote: »
    New tourist attraction; the Venice of Ireland..


    wrong i think, was not the t-shoch opening a little china there a few years ago, mighty publicity, chinese digniterys, now he has it ready for the paddy fields, the can be self sustainable


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,685 ✭✭✭flutered


    i had to take a patient to their gp this morning, i spent an hour waiting, so i was amusing my self by watching a crow trying to put twigs theough a gaurd on a chimeny pipe without sucess


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,753 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    if, of course the big if, the current charts verify, i might have to come back for a snow holiday in 11 days time. There is no way i can stay away, if i'm reading reports from mt cranium about an imminent greenland express set to descend on Ireland ala 2010:D


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,960 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Reports of roads locally getting very cut up during the prolonged wet spell. One submerged pothole near Camp village on the Dingle road being responsible for numerous burst tyres ( two on some ). A person I know came across a row of aabout 10 cars pulled in after the pothole with their hazzards on, all it seems changing their tyres :o


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,049 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rest of January looks not as severe rainwise.

    Still above normal rain in parts but the relentless storms and rain will go back to normal for a while.

    Colder showery regime for next 7 to 10 days with temperatures in the range 5 to 9c. Dont think rain volumes are likely to be as high with colder temperatures.

    At last some flood relief MAY happen


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,171 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    flutered wrote: »
    wrong i think, was not the t-shoch opening a little china there a few years ago, mighty publicity, chinese digniterys, now he has it ready for the paddy fields, the can be self sustainable

    Spent quite a while figuring out what this was :) found it quite amusing when I did!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,185 ✭✭✭pad199207


    In the centre of the low pressure here with dense and low temps!


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,171 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Some heavy rain just off or brushing off of the East Coast atm.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 6,995 ✭✭✭Schadenfreudia


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    So heavy rain just off or brushing off of the East Coast atm.

    Bah!

    It was looking good for the first dry day since the 27th....lovely sunny day with little breeze; high 7.1C, currently partly cloudy and 4.5C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    From 2:40 onward will be of interest to some people I think.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/35228964


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    It would appear there is significant guidance to suggest we will enter the first 'cold spell' of the winter next week. Even the remainder of this week looks rather chilly inland at night, with some frost likely where skies clear.

    With a southerly tracking jet-stream , it looks like some ridge will occur in the mid-Atlantic next weekend with some decent height rises over the Pole too.

    What seems more than likely is we will have a cool/cold shot from the north/north-west next week/from Monday on-wards for 3-5 days. Perhaps bringing the first snowfall to many places, although current forecasts would suggest lying snow is more favoured on hills and in the north/west. Although this is not precluding a widespread snowfall, just isn't in the models at the moment, but details can be looked at later.

    Beyond this period is interesting, analogues and pattern indicators would suggest a return to more seasonal conditions after this cold spell, but there are continuing signs of a Arctic High developing from day 10.

    ECH1-240.GIF?04-0

    If we begin to see some height rises over Greenland around this stage, there is potential we could enter a significant cold phase, and that is before we begin to look at the potential for a Stratospheric Vortex split later this winter.

    Interesting times ahead, lets hope the jet-stream doesn't ruin it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 603 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    It would appear there is significant guidance to suggest we will enter the first 'cold spell' of the winter next week. Even the remainder of this week looks rather chilly inland at night, with some frost likely where skies clear.

    With a southerly tracking jet-stream , it looks like some ridge will occur in the mid-Atlantic next weekend with some decent height rises over the Pole too.

    What seems more than likely is we will have a cool/cold short from the north/north-west next from Monday onwards for 3-5 days. Perhaps bringing the first snowfall to many places, although current forecasts would suggest lying snow is more favoured on hills and in the north/west. Although this is not precluding a widespread snowfall, just isn't in the models at the moment, but details can be looked at later.

    Beyond this period is interesting, analogues and pattern indicators would suggest a return to more seasonal conditions after this cold spell, but there is contiuing signs of a Arctic High developing from day 10.

    ECH1-240.GIF?04-0

    If we begin to see some height rises over Greenland around this stage, there is potential we could enter a significant cold phase, and that is before we begin to look at the potential for a Stratospheric Vortex split later this winter.

    Interesting times ahead, lets hope the jet-stream doesn't ruin it.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/35228964


    John Hammond hinting at whats happening. Winters on the way...........


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    @Captain Snow

    I am a Meteorologist myself, so I didn't just copy it, I swear :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain




  • Registered Users Posts: 11,880 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Lashing rain in the north east at the minute, just cant get a break from it for longer then 24hrs


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,596 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/35228964


    John Hammond hinting at whats happening. Winters on the way...........

    Well I am speechless.... :):):):):):):):D:D:D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,191 ✭✭✭Eugene Norman


    Great graphics on the BBC there. And nice to see them explain their reasoning.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,185 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Torrential Rain in Naas now


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Reports of roads locally getting very cut up during the prolonged wet spell. One submerged pothole near Camp village on the Dingle road being responsible for numerous burst tyres ( two on some ). A person I know came across a row of aabout 10 cars pulled in after the pothole with their hazzards on, all it seems changing their tyres :o

    Interesting.. I had a dramatic front tyre blowout yesterday....Apparently the cut by a stone on the wall kept pressure until I stopped ( to recycle tins and bottles) then just blew.. Must have been been between Killarney and Kilcummin and the roads there are in a terrible state.. Bread and water for me this week as the tyre is a write off :mad:.....thankfully I got help as although I know how to change a wheel I cannot any longer do the job.. then the jack seized and the spare was soft...Happy New Year!


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Chancy glancy weather.. yesterday grateful for respites between deluges.... dark clouds then with golden edges. Hours free of rain when the tyre blew....then again when I stopped in a favourite lay by between Killarney and Moll's Gap. The lake a calm shimmering and the dark mountains etched with that sharp clarity that presages heavy rain, and sure enough by Ladies View, the overflowing lakes of Killarney were veiled again. Time at the beach to gather sand and again flat calm beauty.


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    It would appear there is significant guidance to suggest we will enter the first 'cold spell' of the winter next week. Even the remainder of this week looks rather chilly inland at night, with some frost likely where skies clear.

    With a southerly tracking jet-stream , it looks like some ridge will occur in the mid-Atlantic next weekend with some decent height rises over the Pole too.

    What seems more than likely is we will have a cool/cold shot from the north/north-west next week/from Monday on-wards for 3-5 days. Perhaps bringing the first snowfall to many places, although current forecasts would suggest lying snow is more favoured on hills and in the north/west. Although this is not precluding a widespread snowfall, just isn't in the models at the moment, but details can be looked at later.

    Beyond this period is interesting, analogues and pattern indicators would suggest a return to more seasonal conditions after this cold spell, but there are continuing signs of a Arctic High developing from day 10.

    ECH1-240.GIF?04-0

    If we begin to see some height rises over Greenland around this stage, there is potential we could enter a significant cold phase, and that is before we begin to look at the potential for a Stratospheric Vortex split later this winter.

    Interesting times ahead, lets hope the jet-stream doesn't ruin it.

    I know this is totally unscientific but I am sure there is snow ahead soon. Just " feels" that way....


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    @Graces7, you should write a blog, your posts are wonderfully descriptive!


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    @Graces7, you should write a blog, your posts are wonderfully descriptive!

    Ah tis the subject matter that inspires.. I have 4 books in print and hoping to work on 2 more imminently..Kerry is pure poetry....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 833 ✭✭✭Riverireland


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Ah tis the subject matter that inspires.. I have 4 books in print and hoping to work on 2 more imminently..Kerry is pure poetry....

    Have to agree with weathercheck, what are the names of the books graces7?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,120 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    ...... the morning after and the expected kick in the teeth!!

    ECM1-216.GIF?05-12


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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,357 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Come on Azores High! :D


This discussion has been closed.
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