AUTUMN WEATHER 2015 - GENERAL CHAT THREAD

Reckless Abandonment

Looking cold this day week

ninebeanrows

maquiladora wrote: »

Southerly tracking low, Tuesday on the 12Z ECM.

That's a naughty low indeed!

maquiladora

12Z ECM looks cold next weekend though probably mostly dry.

corsav6

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Newport way out in front in terms of rainfall totals on the 1500 reports, 11.0 mm's, knock airport and belmullet following

Its been non stop rain here in Newport, and now the wind has stepped up a notch.
The Castlebar to Newport road is completely flooded in one section about 6 miles from Castlebar, water level is above the bottom of the car.

ninebeanrows

maquiladora wrote: »

12Z ECM looks cold next weekend though probably mostly dry.

East coast thunderstorms comes to mind on the 168 and 192hr charts. Thunder, hail, sleet, even some snow.. especially on higher ground.

Interesting time ahead... finally some active weather!

NMB

ohhhh thundersnow oh please let it be Thundersnow !

sryanbruen

Here's my report on the week coming and the cold spell:

Firstly, exceptionally heavy rainfall up to Wednesday with brief drier moments Monday morning and early afternoon as well as Tuesday night / Wednesday morning. Thursday has some rain to the south but otherwise mainly dry and sunny and average temperatures. On Friday, a low will sink southwards but it will grind to a halt in the east of the UK along with the direction of the wind coming from the ARCTIC. Yes I said it, the ARCTIC!!!!! This cold spell does look like lasting some time into the end of November and might be even here at the start of December! That is 20% chance certain though at this stage - so very uncertain. We are 100% in for a cold spell, however and snowfall has a 60% chance to hit at least some parts of Ireland during this said cold spell! Enjoy the last of the mild weather for a while during the rain on Sunday . My expected temperatures:

Sunday 15th - 15c
Monday 16th - 9c
Tuesday 17th - 11c
Wednesday 18th - 11c
Thursday 19th - 9c
Friday 20th - 8c
Saturday 21st - 6c!

Padster90s

Surprised there isn't a wind warning, it's fairly windy and my phone (accuweather) is saying very windy tonight. It didn't say anything like that Thursday for Abigail.

JCX BXC

Padster90s wrote: »

Surprised there isn't a wind warning, it's fairly windy and my phone (accuweather) is saying very windy tonight. It didn't say anything like that Thursday for Abigail.

Shannon recorded winds with mean speeds of 33kts (61km/h) just short of an orange warning. I'm extremely surprised.

sryanbruen

When do you think the next named storm will be?

Padster90s

Carnacalla wrote: »

Shannon recorded winds with mean speeds of 33kts (61km/h) just short of an orange warning. I'm extremely surprised.

There are 4 rainfall warnings out on the website. Maybe a 5th for wind is to much! The ground is waterlogged and nearly half the trees around me are still in some form of leaf. It wouldn't take much wind to bring them down.
Just a wild guess but next named storm I'd say say the week between Christmas and new year's.

JCX BXC

Padster90s wrote: »

There are 4 rainfall warnings out on the website. Maybe a 5th for wind is to much! The ground is waterlogged and nearly half the trees around me are still in some form of leaf. It wouldn't take much wind to bring them down.
Just a wild guess but next named storm I'd say say the week between Christmas and new year's.

You can't exactly say, oh there's enough warnings out already we don't need another for a different weather element! Also only 3 of those warnings seem to be valid, the other one just copies another one with the exception of having no location and the lack of 1 word which in turn makes it grammatically incorrect.

Padster90s

Carnacalla wrote: »

You can't exactly say, oh there's enough warnings out already we don't need another for a different weather element! Also only 3 of those warnings seem to be valid, the other one just copies another one with the exception of having no location and the lack of 1 word which in turn makes it grammatically incorrect.

I agree, one of them looks like they forgot to remove it, just says Rainfall warning. Theres only two warnings really. The orange one and the yellow. The two yellow rainfall warnings could be made into one. I didn't mean there's too many and shouldn't be a fifth. I just don't know why they haven't a wind warning! The sustained wind and the gusts out this evening seem worse or more prolonged than Thursday and they had a warning. Maybe one will appear for the nine news.

squarecircles

Wind gusts wednesday

JCX BXC

squarecircles wrote: »

Wind gusts wednesday

84mph in mayo!!!? 135km/h! Thats red level warning material!

JCX BXC

Looking at this the temps dont look that low Saturday 21st.

Rock Lesnar

Water from the field has come in around the house, 1st time ever, drainage pipes around the place cant take the volume of water coming in, unbelievable

Oscar Bravo

A stormy wet night in Castlebar, the heavy persistent rain continues....

JCX BXC

Wind in west Clare is stronger than (or rivaling) the recent storm Abigail

Oscar Bravo

agree with you there, likewise up along the coast in Mayo! worst night in a while

Storm 10

Terrible night in Galway serious flooding on some roads non stop rain since around 6 am this morning, gone very windy I did not expect the wind to be so strong it's a strong as Abigil

ronnie3585

Unbelievable day of wind and rain in Galway city today. Been up since 4am and it hasn't let up for one minute.

maquiladora

Carnacalla wrote: »

Looking at this the temps dont look that low Saturday 21st.

GFS is showing temperatures of around 0 - 4 there.

Padster90s

Met.ie have cleaned up the warnings but still nothing for wind. It seems to have stepped up a notch too in the past hour

JCX BXC

Misread it so.

Look at this chart:

Iancar29

Padster90s wrote: »

Met.ie have cleaned up the warnings but still nothing for wind. It seems to have stepped up a notch too in the past hour

Here it is.

STATUS YELLOW

Gale Warning
Southwest winds will continue to reach gale force overnight on Irish coastal waters from Howth Head to Roches Point to Malin Head and on the north Irish Sea.

Issued:Saturday 14 November 2015 17:00

JCX BXC

Iancar29 wrote: »

Here it is.

Thats a coastal wind warning for ships etc. Not a land warning.

maquiladora

A windy, maybe stormy, week ahead from possibly two lows.

Rikand

Lights flickering regularly in athlone. Tis wild out there

JCX BXC

Thought the wind was finally about to die down, but no! Just got a gust that lasted 10 seconds here and I sware I thought the roof was about to come away from the house!