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FI Charts (+T120 onwards) Autumn/Winter 2015 - see Mod Note post #1

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    #302
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,905 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    cherryghost wrote: »
    It's a sad day when its just a rain belt for the rest of the month and we're looking beyond 2 weeks for signs of cold :(

    it's even sadder when the signs of cold will continue to remain 2 weeks ahead untill they are pushed all the way out to May then a run of north-easterlys through June and July!


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    #303
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    The ECM ensemble mean says more of the same for at least 15 days...

    ec-ens_millikort_mslpmean_t850mean_t850std_2015121700_360.png


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    #304
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,930 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Any update on storms over the holiday period or have they gone off the charts.


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    #305
    Darwin
    Registered Users Posts: 2,671 ✭✭✭Darwin


    From what I can see nothing out of the ordinary yet on either the ECM 0z or GFS 6z, although the GFS does show a deep low close to northwest on Christmas eve. With that said, there is a powerful Jetstream over Ireland and the UK for most of next week so the potential is there for something to emerge (hopefully not of course!)


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    #306
    Nabber
    Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    Early morning of the 24th

    ukgust.png


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    #307
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Nabber wrote: »
    Early morning of the 24th

    ukgust.png

    Just what we want, a bit of disruption for the airports on Xmas eve :(

    Fortunately (for me) I think this is being brought forward, but a long way to go and looking a bit turbulent for air travel next week.


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    #308
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    gens-8-1-174_fpn4.png
    Deflated-Santa.jpg


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    #309
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    :eek:

    gfs-0-264.png?6


    P0iAh9e.png


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    #310
    shmaupel
    Registered Users Posts: 186 ✭✭shmaupel


    maquiladora wrote: »
    :eek:

    gfs-0-264.png?6


    P0iAh9e.png

    Jeebus!


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    #311
    leahyl
    Registered Users Posts: 14,287 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    That better not happen!!! I have a wedding that day!!!!


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    #312
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    tumblr_lv7z79ihXs1qiwdov.gif~c200


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    #313
    Chris_5339762
    Registered Users Posts: 5,902 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Well at least the flood waters would be blown away.


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    #314
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    Snow on higher ground xmas eve is a possibility in the latest runs


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    #315
    B17G
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭B17G


    ECM going for ice cream weather on the 29th.

    ECM1-240_aco1.GIF


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    #316
    dexter647
    Registered Users Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭dexter647


    ^^^^^
    Potential for a scandi high to develop??
    5399805046_0d30e4dd70.jpg


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    #317
    Nabber
    Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    ECMF showing some HP, stalling the westerlies and ushering in the southerlies...

    ecmslp.168.png

    ecmslp.192.png

    Would be nice at this stage to at least have the HP set up shop over us and gave some clear frosty nights


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    #318
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,946 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Nabber wrote: »
    ECMF showing some HP, stalling the westerlies and ushering in the southerlies...


    Would be nice at this stage to at least have the HP set up shop over us and gave some clear frosty nights

    Yup and all those Kids that get drones and helicopters etc could do with some calm weather ;)


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    #319
    WheatenBriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,170 ✭✭✭WheatenBriar


    Villain wrote: »
    Yup and all those Kids that get drones and helicopters etc could do with some calm weather ;)

    Speaking of which,does yours have much range :D


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    #320
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,946 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    WheatenBriar wrote: »
    Speaking of which,does yours have much range :D

    About 3km :P


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    #321
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    :D

    372285.png


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    #322
    snaps
    Registered Users Posts: 7,138 ✭✭✭snaps


    Both gfs and gem trying to build a scandi high after Christmas up to new year.


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    #323
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    ECM at 192hrs tonight. Shows the potential for an intense Atlantic storm to develop towards the end of the month with a central pressure of 930 hPa. Long way off but the GFS showed something similar this morning (don't have the bandwidth to view latest runs :( )

    372386.png

    New Moon



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    #324
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    ECM at 192hrs tonight. Shows the potential for an intense Atlantic storm to develop towards the end of the month with a central pressure of 930 hPa. Long way off but the GFS showed something similar this morning (don't have the bandwidth to view latest runs :( )

    372386.png

    tw45DDm.png


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    #325
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Keep an eye on that one shown for the 28/29th.

    168-289UK_zbr5.GIF


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    #326
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    The ECMWF has an overall strengthening of the Atlantic trough over the next 10 days compared to the last 10. No hint of blocking.

    500 hPa height aomalies

    Last 10 days
    ecm05_nat_gh500_10mean_gh500-1000mmean_10mean_anom_2015122200_000.png


    Next 10 days
    ecm05_nat_gh500_10mean_gh500-1000mmean_10mean_anom_2015122200_240.png


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    #327
    Nabber
    Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    Der she blows land lovers

    ukgust.png


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    #328
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Interesting UKMO at 144 hours. Storm approaching the southwest and probably still deepening. Another low developing out in the Atlantic that might take a similar track.

    UW144-21_kbt7.GIF


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    #329
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Interesting UKMO at 144 hours. Storm approaching the southwest and probably still deepening. Another low developing out in the Atlantic that might take a similar track.


    still a long way to go though i suppose. looks like there will be a storm but where


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    #330
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    A different kind of FI chart from the GEM. Scandinavian High, Eastern Europe in the freezer and cold air heading our way by the end of the run.

    fjG4Vqvl.jpg

    Between potential storms and a potential easterly, FI looks interesting but very uncertain naturally.


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    #331
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    :eek::eek::eek::eek:

    gfs-0-174.png?18?18

    gfs-0-180.png?18?18


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