The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Guingamp DC @ 1.62

Here's the PSG squad for this game, they're resting all their key players
Gardiens : Trapp, Sirigu
Défenseurs : Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Doucouré, Kurzawa, Van der Wiel, Aurier
Milieux : Matuidi, Rabiot, Stambouli, Nkunku, Rimane
Attaquants : Lucas, Augustin, Ongenda, Meïté, Taufflieb

**** Guingamp are losing 2-0 to PSG's reserves :mad:

****ers, more money on Toulouse then

Loafing Oaf

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

To hell with football anyway.:P This week, I'll be mostly focusing on the Masters and the Grand National.

Get in Rule the World!:p

Masters a total washout though...

mailburner

Griezmann seems to score every week in la liga yet I either never back him or never think about him till he scores

Mr. Green

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad +1 @ 2.010

28.11.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 4 : 0
09.05.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 2 : 0
04.01.15 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 0
22.02.14 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 3 : 1
13.02.14 COP Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 1

&

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad -0.5 @ 6.240

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Toulouse @ 1.78

absolute must-win game, they've had decent results since their new coach came in

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

TNS to win
Portadown DC
@ 1.79

TNS will clinch the title with a win today, it's their last home game of the season and I'm sure they'd prefer to celebrate winning the title at home than away.
Portadown have lost their last 5 games

double boom

Colash

Barcelona you are absolutely killing me . My luck lately is seriously draining me .. A break is seriously needed

Mr. Green

Mr. Green wrote: »

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad +1 @ 2.010

28.11.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 4 : 0
09.05.15 PRI Barcelona Real Sociedad 2 : 0
04.01.15 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 0
22.02.14 PRI Real Sociedad Barcelona 3 : 1
13.02.14 COP Real Sociedad Barcelona 1 : 1

&

Real Sociedad -vs- Barcelona, Real Sociedad -0.5 @ 6.240

1:0

djhaxman

Colash wrote: »

Barcelona you are absolutely killing me . My luck lately is seriously draining me .. A break is seriously needed

Yeah I hear you. Outside of Spurs and Chelsea, Barcelona are the team who have wrecked the most bets for me. Got sucked in by the decent odds on them tonight and got punished for it.

mailburner

hadnt the balls to go near rs despite barca being poor enough recently
really like athletico even more now...think 5/2 is big or dc 3/4 worth a bigger stake surely

A_Sober_Paddy

mailburner wrote: »

hadnt the balls to go near rs despite barca being poor enough recently
really like athletico even more now...think 5/2 is big or dc 3/4 worth a bigger stake surely

What about Real for the LaLiga, they are 5 points off and if Barca continue to play like tonight they will be in trouble

mailburner

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

What about Real for the LaLiga, they are 5 points off and if Barca continue to play like tonight they will be in trouble

I looked at odds and saw real and athletico at 14s and got very excited by this
but then I saw this


17.04. 19:30 Barcelona Valencia
20.04. 19:00 Dep. La Coruna Barcelona
23.04. 19:30 Barcelona Gijon
30.04. 19:30 Betis Barcelona
08.05. 19:00 Barcelona Espanyol
15.05. 19:00 Granada CF Barcelona


If carlsberg did title run ins.....

Mr. Green

Before the match, Barcelona had very little time, I will write now:

Quarter-finals

06.04. 21:45 Paris SG-Manchester City 2 : 2 - heroic draw
06.04. 21:45 Wolfsburg-Real Madrid 2 : 0 - unreal win
05.04. 21:45 Barcelona-Atl. Madrid 2 : 1 - very difficult win
05.04. 21:45 Bayern Munich-Benfica 1 : 0 - difficult match

8 top-club
09/04


19:30 Manchester City 2 - 1 West Brom - 1.33-5.50-11.00 very difficult win (West Brom to score@2.08) (AH + 1.25 interesting)
18:00 Guingamp 0 - 2 Paris SG - 3.10-3.30-2.38 easy win (disappointing French football)
19:30 Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Mainz - 2.15-3.50-3.40 difficult match (big odd, interesting)
17:00 Real Madrid 4 - 0 Eibar - 1.17-8.00-15.00 easy win (small odd, dont play)
19:15 Espanyol 1 - 3 Atl. Madrid - 5.50-3.50-1.73 difficult match (interesting but this is a Athletico)
21:30 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Barcelona - 6.50-4.20-1.50 loss favs (very interesting stats)
20:30 Academica 1 - 2 Benfica - 15.00-5.25-1.25 very difficult win (small odd, dont play)
16:30 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayern Munich 12.00-6.50-1.22 - (small odd, dont play)

& spain train (treble Real+Atl.Madrid+ Barca) 1.17*1.73*1.5=3.0 (easy win? - I don't believe )

Where odds (1.17 - 1.33) outsiders scored in three of four matches.
Where odds (1.5 - 1.73) outsiders win one of two matches

Europe League

Quarter-finals

07.04. 22:05 Ath Bilbao-Sevilla 1 : 2 -difficult match
07.04. 22:05 Braga-Shakhtar 1 : 2- difficult match
07.04. 22:05 Dortmund-Liverpool 1 : 1- heroic draw (last chance to Pool)
07.04. 22:05 Villarreal-Sparta Prague 2 : 1 - difficult match

17:00 Valencia-Sevilla 2.40-3.50-2.88
21:30 Ath Bilbao- Rayo Vallecano 1.57-4.00-6.00
22:30 Braga-Moreirense 1.44-4.00-8.00
17:00 Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk-Shakhtar 11.00-6.00-1.20
16:30 Schalke-Dortmund 4.50-4.00-1.73
18:00 Liverpool-Stoke City 1.65-4.00-6.00
19:15 Villarreal-Getafe 1.50-4.00-7.50
20:30 Sparta Prague-Pribram 1.20-6.50-13.00

These 5 games I will be very interesting. Especially Ath Bilbao, Villarreal, Liverpool

Any opinions, advice welcome.

inforfun

A Vallecano\Stoke +0,5 double looks interesting...

I like your thinking as always Mr. Green and i dont know if you know about the research Raymond Verheyen did a few years ago.
Mostly based on CL & EL teams it was crystal clear that when teams played on Thursday, they were losing points on Sunday against opposition you would not expect them to lose points against for the simple fact they would score less goals than they would normally do after at least 3 days rest

Period: From 2001/2002 till 2010/2011
Countries: England
Holland
Germany
France
Spain
Portugal
Italy
Competitions: League games
Champions League
Europa League
Total games: 27.002 games
Conclusion: Only 2 recovery days between games is insufficient: unfair play!
All teams win less games after only 2 recovery days: fatigue?
After only 2 recovery days: 70% less goals scored in 60-90min
After only 2 recovery days: 75% more goals against in 60-90min

Full pdf of that research

Used that 2nd conclusion, goal against in the last 30 quite a bit in live betting.

Lasagna Diarra

Marseille @ 1.87

bigboss1986

Arsenal f*cked my accu yesterday so today I go for long shot:

Shalke DC
Sunderland DC
@3.71
Treble:

Sevilla
Sunderland-Leicester over 2.5
Stoke Dc
@15.05
Good luck

inforfun

Guidetti AGS @ 3.1 and 2 or more @ 15

seanhynes

inforfun wrote: »

Guidetti AGS @ 3.1 and 2 or more @ 15

On Nolito in this one 8/5 anytime

mailburner

like firmino anytime at 9/4, looks big if he's back

think pool will take this esp after stoke knocking them out of the cup
when city beat pool..pool beat city a few days later in the league
same applies to watford who arsenal thrashed after being put out of the cup
think this will motivate the pool even more but the europa game might also be a factor

just wondering if that bet will be void if firmino doesnt start with bwin as I wont be around?
not familiar with their rules on that one

magherakid

Double

Basel Team Goals Over 1.5 4/7
Rangers -1 2/5

gstack166

mailburner wrote: »

like firmino anytime at 9/4, looks big if he's back

think pool will take this esp after stoke knocking them out of the cup
when city beat pool..pool beat city a few days later in the league
same applies to watford who arsenal thrashed after being put out of the cup
think this will motivate the pool even more but the europa game might also be a factor

just wondering if that bet will be void if firmino doesnt start with bwin as I wont be around?
not familiar with their rules on that one

If he doesn't play it'll be void, yes. But even if he only gets 30 seconds on the field, you'll lose if he comes on at any time.

scouttio

mailburner wrote: »

like firmino anytime at 9/4, looks big if he's back

think pool will take this esp after stoke knocking them out of the cup
when city beat pool..pool beat city a few days later in the league
same applies to watford who arsenal thrashed after being put out of the cup
think this will motivate the pool even more but the europa game might also be a factor

just wondering if that bet will be void if firmino doesnt start with bwin as I wont be around?
not familiar with their rules on that one

If it makes any difference to you, Stoke didnt knock them out of the cup, Liverpool went through on penalties.

mailburner

napoli
sund/leic under 2.5
double 2.03 888

wee bets on these, leic going for their sixth 1-0 win in seven...am a sucker for these
1-0 leic 11/2 (365 best 13/2)
no goalscorer 8s skyb

mailburner

scouttio wrote: »

If it makes any difference to you, Stoke didnt knock them out of the cup, Liverpool went through on penalties.

thanks scouttio

I actually watched that too

was looking at the 2nd leg result and totally forgot like an ape

scouttio

mailburner wrote: »

thanks scouttio

I actually watched that too

you even mentioned the final against Man City in the same post

retalivity

On the leicester 1-0 train, now 7/1 on bet365.

Also stoke +0.5ah @2.35 because liverpool

Lasagna Diarra

Monaco DC @ 1.55
and DNB @ 1.95

seanhynes

seanhynes wrote: »

On Nolito in this one 8/5 anytime

Nolito the only scorer ,the game should have had many more goals

seanhynes

Lorenzo Insigne anytime 11/10 him and Gabbiadini should be amongst the goals against Verona

JonnyM

Insigne 1st goal napoli vs verona

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Monaco DC @ 1.55
and DNB @ 1.95

2-0 down its over... going big on Marseille to recoup the losses

9de5q7tsr8u2im

God monaco are a shame, no wonder their home seats are empty the whole time and they certainly dont deserve a CL spot..

KevIRL

Spurs Liverpool double enhanced from 9/4 to 3/1 on PP

ShamoBuc

KevIRL wrote: »

Spurs Liverpool double enhanced from 9/4 to 3/1 on PP

Worth a tenner.

Pool's starting 11 will be interesting.

seanhynes

seanhynes wrote: »

Lorenzo Insigne anytime 11/10 him and Gabbiadini should be amongst the goals against Verona

Both scored before ht :pac:

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Worth a tenner.

Pool's starting 11 will be interesting.

Skrtel starts


Stoke over 1.5 3/1 looks tasty now.

9de5q7tsr8u2im

Liverpool Over 1.5 Card Index
Man United +1
Bayer leverkusen
11.45

Dave147

Followed the 1-0 Leicester due to stats and feel like getting sick, 94:45 ****ing seconds and Vardy scores for 2-0

spock.

retalivity wrote:

On the leicester 1-0 train, now 7/1 on bet365.

Took this aswell.
So so close.

dan185

Had a good bit on Leicester race to 7 corners at 19/10. Had 6 before their goal then went 30 mins with none. Got one in injury time, lol

bigboss1986

Dave147 wrote: »

Followed the 1-0 Leicester due to stats and feel like getting sick, 94:45 ****ing seconds and Vardy scores for 2-0

I cashed out with bet365 at 91st minute Not trying to be smart but cash out option with bet365 and betfair is f*ckin great

Sync

I went 2-0 on the in play PP offer, was disguested at 89th or w/e when they missed a great chance so turned off the game.

inforfun

dan185 wrote: »

Had a good bit on Leicester race to 7 corners at 19/10. Had 6 before their goal then went 30 mins with none. Got one in injury time, lol

bigboss1986 wrote: »

I cashed out with bet365 at 91st minute Not trying to be smart but cash out option with bet365 and betfair is f*ckin great

Sync wrote: »

I went 2-0 on the in play PP offer, was disguested at 89th or w/e when they missed a great chance so turned off the game.

MOD

All 3 congratulations but.... screenshots if you after time, please.

Read here why

Mr. Green

Liverpool -vs- Stoke City, Stoke City +0.5 @ 2.430
Liverpool -vs- Stoke City, Stoke City @ 5.960

England train

Leicester (2:0) + Liverpool + Totten.

ShamoBuc

Dave147 wrote: »

Followed the 1-0 Leicester due to stats and feel like getting sick, 94:45 ****ing seconds and Vardy scores for 2-0

Think it would have been 5 1-0 wins on the trot if it came in, very close.

magherakid

Tottenham 1/1
Kane Anytime 5/4

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

napoli
sund/leic under 2.5
double 2.03 888

wee bets on these, leic going for their sixth 1-0 win in seven...am a sucker for these
1-0 leic 11/2 (365 best 13/2)
no goalscorer 8s skyb

Main bet wins handy

Couldnt cash out on leic...Decided to keep on driving rather than stop but bet was tiny

Firmino anytime 3.4 bf

FatRat

Didn't think I'd bet on football this weekend with so much tied up in the golf but I can't resist this.

Spurs over 6.5 corners @Evens

Spurs have quite a ridiculous corner record at home in the PL. The only time they haven't managed 7 in the past 7 games at home (as far back as I checked) was in an uncontested game against Bournemouth where the scored in the first minute. If United can hold out and not concede for at least a while in this game, I don't see how Spurs won't hit 7 again.

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Double

Basel Team Goals Over 1.5 4/7
Rangers -1 2/5

winner

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

Firmino anytime 3.4 bf

Loadsa goals but no joy

ShamoBuc

KevIRL wrote: »

Spurs Liverpool double enhanced from 9/4 to 3/1 on PP

Looks in now3-0