The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

Lasagna Diarra

Livorno DC -- 5 losses in a row
Oostende DC -- 4 losses in a row
double @ 1.51

DoctaDee

Shanghai/BTTS @ 5/2 to start the day

Yup 3-1 Shanghai FT ..

byronbay2

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Livorno DC -- 5 losses in a row
Oostende DC -- 4 losses in a row
double @ 1.51

Based on the info in your post, this seems like a VERY short price for a double. Both teams have lost at least their past 4 matches but you are happy to do a bet for BOTH to not lose their matches today at odds of 1/2?? Good luck with your bet but am I missing something here?

Lasagna Diarra

byronbay2 wrote: »

Based on the info in your post, this seems like a VERY short price for a double. Both teams have lost at least their past 4 matches but you are happy to do a bet for BOTH to not lose their matches today at odds of 1/2?? Good luck with your bet but am I missing something here?

I get 1.50 because I'm limited to Bwin.fr, that same double would prolly add up to 1.75-1.80 with the right bookies. I don't mind short prices as long as I consider the bet to be safe-ish.

inforfun

inforfun wrote: »

Barca will be on Lass' radar soon if they keep going like this.

Wednesday's Dutch matches.

DC's on Heracles and De graafschap (against Feyenoord and Utrecht).

Cup final next Sunday is between Utrecht and Feyenoord

You might want to add Excelsior DC (away to twente) for a treble or in stead of utrecht. Utrecht would be a dodgy one anyway.

Twente is without their entire midfield Ziyech (17 g, 10A) Mokotjo and Guttierez.

PopePalpatine

DoctaDee wrote: »

Shanghai/BTTS @ 5/2 to start the day

Yup 3-1 Shanghai FT ..

Thanks, I just about hopped on the Shanghai train before their first goal but was unable to get the Shanghai/BTTS, so instead I went for BTTS in the 2nd half.

DoctaDee

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Thanks, I just about hopped on the Shanghai train before their first goal but was unable to get the Shanghai/BTTS, so instead I went for BTTS in the 2nd half.

Always nice to get the day off to a good start - Nearly a full program of FL72 on later across the water to reinvest the winnings .. well done

PopePalpatine

Well, BetVictor are offering a 3/1 treble of Brighton, Sheffield Wednesday & Walsall if you're interested.

bigboss1986

Treble :
Bayern,Napoli,City @ 2.35 this morning


Polish Ekstraklasa
Cracovia-Zaglebie BTTS @ 1.66 or over 2.5 @ 1.90

retalivity

Fcuk, I forgot suwon - Osaka was this morning, and of course Osaka lost again!

Seoul at home to buriram tmoro, won the match in Thailand 6-0. Line is -2.5 @1.925, will have that and -3.5, -4.5.

shocksy

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Why? Newcastle badly need points

Badly needed points or not, they will not be good enough especially if City put out a decent side. All aboard City as the other poster said is bang on. :D

Dio On The Doubles

FatRat wrote: »

I profited from arbing with this so don't be so sorry! :pac: Thanks a lot

You had the right move on it taking both over and under. Glad to see you pocketing on it. Don't mind losing the bet I took but they must have been making daisy chains together or something all match long to have no cards till the 85th minute

FatRat

Another great request-a-bet here from Sky (I think):

Newcastle 3+ corners, Man City 6+ corners, 20+ booking points - 2/1

From what I can see here, you're essentially betting on Man City to get 6+ corners at a massively higher price. Man City over 5 corners is currently trading around 4/5. Newcastle over 2 corners is 1/5 nearly everywhere and over 10 booking points is 1/14 with PP.

keano25

Aguero to score anytime and City win 6/4. Thoughts?

scouttio

keano25 wrote: »

Aguero to score anytime and City win 6/4. Thoughts?

I actually wouldn't be surprised if he was rested tonight

Austria!

FatRat wrote: »

Another great request-a-bet here from Sky (I think):

Newcastle 3+ corners, Man City 6+ corners, 20+ booking points - 2/1

From what I can see here, you're essentially betting on Man City to get 6+ corners at a massively higher price. Man City over 5 corners is currently trading around 4/5. Newcastle over 2 corners is 1/5 nearly everywhere and over 10 booking points is 1/14 with PP.

Nicely argued, I'm convinced.

ShamoBuc

Man city/ Brighton/ Burnley from 6/1 to 8/1 pp, thoughts?

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

Also, Sam Johnson anytime for djurgarden tmoro evening @2.62. Has scored in his first 3 matches, bizzarely there are 3 players with shorter prices ahead of him

Good lad, took him 25mins.
Will keep an eye on him, 5gls in 3 and a bit games now

eh i dunno

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Man city/ Brighton/ Burnley from 6/1 to 8/1 pp, thoughts?

Not great is it. Think Newcastle might get something and Burnley/boro looks a draw

keano25

keano25 wrote: »

Aguero to score anytime and City win 6/4. Thoughts?

Strong team from City out. I'm going for it.

DoctaDee

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Man city/ Brighton/ Burnley from 6/1 to 8/1 pp, thoughts?

eh i dunno wrote: »

Not great is it. Think Newcastle might get something and Burnley/boro looks a draw

Burnley have kept 9 clean sheets in last 11 .. it has all the makings of a tight game 1st v 2nd - but with Burnley looking over their shoulder at Brighton .. if I was to have a play I'd look to Burnley 1-0 or what I'll probably run with is Burnley/No @ 10/3

scouttio

Brighton Vs QPR over 2.5 evens
Burnley DNB evens
Colchester 5/6
Portsmouth -1 7/5
4 singles and an accum

Man City -1 6/4
De Bruyne any time 13/8

If MR Green comes along soon and starts talking up Newcastle we may as well call all these Man City bets a loser now!

Dio On The Doubles

Really like the odds on Townsend to score for Newcastle tonight. Putting away plenty lately.



Townsend to score @7.4 on Betfair (also matched @7.00)

Double on BTTS ipswich Fulham and over 2.5 goals Leeds Wolves @3.55 Betvictor

DoctaDee

Preston/Fulham/Leeds/Hudders +1.5 TG accum 49.75 - concentrating on teams with nothing to play for better chance of an open game

Rasputin11

Over 1.5 goals in each of the 12 Championship games enhanced to 40/1 with BFSB. I priced it on oddschecker and it's best price 34/1 with BFSB and less than 30/1 with most of the major firms. Worth no more than a fiver but a bit of interest for the evening.

Edit** Removed already!!

spock.

Newcastle v Man City

Under 2.5 goals @ 2.3
Small on under 1.5 @ 4.75

magherakid

Cliftonville v Crusaders
Crusaders 21/20

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Livorno DC -- 5 losses in a row
Oostende DC -- 4 losses in a row
double @ 1.51

boom

Dio On The Doubles

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Really like the odds on Townsend to score for Newcastle tonight. Putting away plenty lately.



Townsend to score @7.4 on Betfair (also matched @7.00)

Double on BTTS ipswich Fulham and over 2.5 goals Leeds Wolves @3.55 Betvictor

Double won

spock.

spock. wrote: »

Newcastle v Man City

Under 2.5 goals @ 2.3
Small on under 1.5 @ 4.75

1-1

keano25

keano25 wrote: »

Strong team from City out. I'm going for it.

Shocking.. clear penalty not given for City.

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Cliftonville v Crusaders
Crusaders 21/20

winner 3-1 FT

9de5q7tsr8u2im

LuckyDude12 wrote: »

Newcastle over 1.5 cards 4/6 compared to a city win 4/7, only if you're not confident on city not grabbing all 3 points.

*odds from bet365

when it wins and you dont bet :pac:

Lasagna Diarra

Entire bankroll on Barca & Madrid double @ 1.43

must win for both and Barca have lost their last 3 league games, which hadn't happened since 2003

Hollister11

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Entire bankroll on Barca & Madrid double @ 1.43

must win for both and Barca have lost their last 3 league games, which hadn't happened since 2003

Your bankroll must be a few k at this stage

9de5q7tsr8u2im

Man united over 0.5 cards 8/15 bet of the season 99% chance of winning 1% miracle

Lasagna Diarra

Hollister11 wrote: »

Your bankroll must be a few k at this stage

lol if only! I lost quite a lot last week

-=al=-

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Entire bankroll on Barca & Madrid double @ 1.43

must win for both and Barca have lost their last 3 league games, which hadn't happened since 2003

Thinking about throwing both Madrid teams in for a treble. A chance at first place for any of them if there's slip ups!

Also, Ajax have to win to get first place back from Eindhoven tomorrow

9de5q7tsr8u2im

-=al=- wrote: »

Thinking about throwing both Madrid teams in for a treble. A chance at first place for any of them if there's slip ups!

Also, Ajax have to win to get first place back from Eindhoven tomorrow

Im going to smash in my bank roll on barca and madrid too, really tempting to add in ajax as they badly need to win, inforfun sorry for the eye catching word but i need your help, if ajax and psv level on points end of season will it go through points difference/ h2h record or a season finale? Cheers

A_Sober_Paddy

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Entire bankroll on Barca & Madrid double @ 1.43

must win for both and Barca have lost their last 3 league games, which hadn't happened since 2003

Real Madrid?

Lasagna Diarra

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

Real Madrid?

Yes

Mr. Green

scouttio wrote: »

If MR Green comes along soon and starts talking up Newcastle we may as well call all these Man City bets a loser now!

I today without the rates.
Thought about the Newcastle.
But I don't like this club.
Although Manchester city was too delicious, after the victory over PSG and Chelsea winning 3:0

for Example Valencia after their win over Barcelona was @1.87 at the start line, and now @1.69.
The expectations are high and the second match in three days after an emotional win on the road.
And no real motivation.
The teams finish the championship.
That's what I think now.

Mr. Green

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Entire bankroll on Barca & Madrid double @ 1.43

must win for both and Barca have lost their last 3 league games, which hadn't happened since 2003

13.12.15 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 1 : 0
01.03.15 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 1 : 1
27.09.14 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 0 : 2
08.02.14 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 4 : 2
14.09.13 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 2 : 2

Hi Lass. Don't need overbetting. This always ends badly, friend.

Villarreal finished the championship, but with real Madrid he will fight.
@1.25 on Real vs. tenacious and organized Villarreal is very very small.
I see a win here real with a probability of 60-65% (@1.7)

The match with Liverpool at home and only 28.04

9de5q7tsr8u2im

Mr. Green wrote: »

13.12.15 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 1 : 0
01.03.15 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 1 : 1
27.09.14 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 0 : 2
08.02.14 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 4 : 2
14.09.13 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 2 : 2

Hi Lass. Don't need overbetting. This always ends badly, friend.

Villarreal finished the championship, but with real Madrid he will fight.
@1.25 on Real vs. tenacious and organized Villarreal is very very small.
I see a win here real with a probability of 60-65% (@1.7)

The match with Liverpool at home and only 28.04

I see your logic there green, but i'd rather put my money on a real madrid win due to their current situation and a mazy run, liverpool are due a draw or loss and might burn out after and exhaustive days of EL & PL comparing it with RM's opposition Villareal who also have played EL & CL, so therefore RM at home will be looking for revenge after Villareals emphatic win over them at home a few months back

retalivity

LuckyDude12 wrote: »

Man united over 0.5 cards 8/15 bet of the season 99% chance of winning 1% miracle

Had a look at the stats, united have received no cards in 3 of their last 10 home games

inforfun

LuckyDude12 wrote: »

Im going to smash in my bank roll on barca and madrid too, really tempting to add in ajax as they badly need to win, inforfun sorry for the eye catching word but i need your help, if ajax and psv level on points end of season will it go through points difference/ h2h record or a season finale? Cheers

Goal difference.
Happened once before when PSV won it that way with Koeman as manager and Van Gaal at AZ in 2006/7 season



Look at the results on that last day for Ajax, PSV and AZ. (AZ was leading at 1 point iirc)
And they say the EPL is the most exciting league in the world. Yeah, right

Heerenveen - Ajax usually is a fixture with a lot of goals with Ajax scoring the majority of them.
I suspect the Heerenveen manager to be a closet Ajax fan and will have Heerenveen play way too open.
4 or 5 goals there with Ajax the winner.
And Joey van den Berg (Hee) to be booked.


BIG FAT EDIT

Apparently, the Dutch FA has changed this GD deciding factor and since this season it is the H2H that decides.
Which is in Ajax' favour as well (1-2 and 2-0).

A_Sober_Paddy

inforfun wrote: »

Goal difference.
Happened once before when PSV won it that way with Koeman as manager and Van Gaal at AZ in 2006/7 season



Look at the results on that last day for Ajax, PSV and AZ. (AZ was leading at 1 point iirc)
And they say the EPL is the most exciting league in the world. Yeah, right

Heerenveen - Ajax usually is a fixture with a lot of goals with Ajax scoring the majority of them.
I suspect the Heerenveen manager to be a closet Ajax fan and will have Heerenveen play way too open.
4 or 5 goals there with Ajax the winner.
And Joey van den Berg (Hee) to be booked.


BIG FAT EDIT

Apparently, the Dutch FA has changed this GD deciding factor and since this season it is the H2H that decides.
Which is in Ajax' favour as well (1-2 and 2-0).

Ajax over 3.5 team goals ?

inforfun

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

Ajax over 3.5 team goals ?

A win will do them. So it all depends on how Heerenveen is set up.
Heerenveen - Feyenoord they thought it was a great idea to go for the attack and Feyenoord trashed them 5-0 in the fh.

If the tactical genius that is Foppe de Haan again plays with van den berg (a midfielder) as a central defender i can see Ajax score that many, yes.

Lasagna Diarra

Mr. Green wrote: »

13.12.15 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 1 : 0
01.03.15 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 1 : 1
27.09.14 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 0 : 2
08.02.14 PRI Real Madrid Villarreal 4 : 2
14.09.13 PRI Villarreal Real Madrid 2 : 2

Hi Lass. Don't need overbetting. This always ends badly, friend.

Villarreal finished the championship, but with real Madrid he will fight.
@1.25 on Real vs. tenacious and organized Villarreal is very very small.
I see a win here real with a probability of 60-65% (@1.7)

The match with Liverpool at home and only 28.04

I agree Villarreal are a tough team and it won't be an easy win but the motivation on the Madrid side will be extremely high, they can still realistically win La Liga and even win every trophy this season, plus they're at home where they're pretty strong, a 1-0 win with the help of the referee will do

PopePalpatine

I can't find anything for v.d.Berg to get booked on 888, 365, Sky, BetVictor, William Hill, Coral, PP or even the Betfair Exchange. Maybe he'll show up later.