The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

magherakid

Mangala to be shown a card 9/4

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Mangala to be shown a card 9/4

nice one doesn't play 2nd half

langer91

LUKAKU!!

mailburner

and the whole forum breathes a sigh of relief :pac:

ShamoBuc

Get in !

KevIRL

KevIRL wrote: »

Lukaku A/T enhanced from 7/4 to 5/2 with PP. Will have some of that. In form and up against a leaky city defense.

Boomtime

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

3 bets for tonight, 5/2

Lukaku bet will have to be taken.

I like the look of btts first half, 11/4, came in for a few of Everton home games recently I think

Small on btts both halves also 10/1


Hopefully a few more goals than last night.

The big man scored.

Pity city couldn't get a fhg for my other 2 , but can't complain.

inforfun

buckfasterer

evosteo wrote: »

just got a free 10 yoyo bet on b365, stuck it on lukaku AT & everton to win 2-1 @20/1

:eek:

eh i dunno

eh i dunno wrote: »

Hoping on the Lukaku funbus @5/2 and a double of benfica/napoli @1.77

Boom boom

clickerquicklic

Boooooooommmmm massive massive result for me thanks guys

ShamoBuc

evosteo wrote: »

just got a free 10 yoyo bet on b365, stuck it on lukaku AT & everton to win 2-1 @20/1

Get in !

clickerquicklic

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Get in !

Followed you for 2-1

Thank you lukaku
Don't like putting bookie sscreenshots up other than betfair as paranoid they will link accounts.

mailburner

evosteo wrote: »

just got a free 10 yoyo bet on b365, stuck it on lukaku AT & everton to win 2-1 @20/1

nice one steo, nothing like free money

shmeee

Well in all tonight, made up for last night.

Didn't get on all evening.

Done a quick treble earlier which had Everton in it but need Atletico Madrid to turn it around which isn't looking good. Napoli and Everton done the job earlier. 13/2 or so.

Hopefully the luck from here is thrown over to me for next half hour.

Shanotheslayer

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Everton Win 13/5
Everton +1 4/5
Everton Over 5.5 Corners 10/11
Everton +1 corner 5/6

So did anyone follow ?


BOOM
BOOM
BOOM
BOOM

I want you in my roooooom


GTFIIIIIII

clickerquicklic

Well done guys owe whoever mentioned lukaku boost

ShamoBuc

Great to see so many winners in here tonight!

Toobz

clickerquicklic wrote: »

Followed you for 2-1

MOD: removed 2 screenshots as OP has removed his

I think you owe him a Pint

ShamoBuc

clickerquicklic wrote: »

Well done guys owe whoever mentioned lukaku boost

KevIRL wrote: »

Lukaku A/T enhanced from 7/4 to 5/2 with PP. Will have some of that. In form and up against a leaky city defense.

evosteo

evosteo wrote: »

just got a free 10 yoyo bet on b365, stuck it on lukaku AT & everton to win 2-1 @20/1

ahhh lads, just in the door from football training in that rain :eek:,

looks like everyone had a good night

delighted

Hollister11

I think I might take Messi top scorer in La Liga. He is 16/1, and only 9 goals off Suarez.

I'm also thinking off taking Sergio Augero at 7/1. He's only 7 off Lukaku.

I might double it as well for interest

PopePalpatine

It's a shame no-one's offering each way odds on the top goalscorer in La Liga, I'll pass on that particular market.

inforfun

Probably nowhere odds avaiable making it worth it but the FIFA had the winner of the ballon D'or of this year already on their website yesterday.



Quickly followed by a statement that the winners (female winner is in the screenshot too) are not known yet.

Now, this election is done by coaches and captains of national teams and i dont think the votes are only done on the day itself but way before that.

Mabe the female winner is worth a bet, if there is any bookie offering odds on it.

PopePalpatine

The bookies must be kicking themselves that FIFA's corruption has been exposed, they could have bribed them to change the winner. :pac:

clickerquicklic

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Nice bet on Stoke dnb 11/10 and

I see a few people go for DNB here , as a professional I always make sure I am getting the absolute best odds , DNB was an area I looked at before , I made a simple spreadsheet to work out what odds I was actually getting if I did the draw no bet manually. Very often I found that betting Team win and Team draw to replicate the DNB gave favourable odds.

If we take Stoke above taking the match odds and draw odds gave implied odds of 2.38 v 2.10 available at the bookies ( I am not obsessed with this stoke game it was just first example I saw!)

Anyway I was going to post my spreadsheet but found a site with a working calculator , plug in your win and draw odds and it will give you implied DNB odds if its greater than DNB odds then its a no brainer.

http://www.arbcruncher.com/free_popup.asp?type=1

Go to the top corner and select Draw no bet calculator from drop down box , ignore comission if your taking prices from bookmakers and add comission if from exchange.

evosteo

Asian 0.0 is the same as dnb but better odds for the same thing afaik

Mr. Green

About Asian handicaps.

Handicap (+0.25) can be replaced by two stakes handicap (0) and handicap (+0.5).
But, as a rule, Asian handicap (+0.25) will be more expensive than two bets.

For example the match Cadiz - Сelta.

If you put 1000 Euro on the handicap (+0.25) @ 3.08 it will bring 2080 euros of profit with wins and 1040 euros for a draw.
But If you split the bet into two parts and put the 830 euros handicap (+0.5) @ 2.46
and 170 Euro handicap (0) @ 4.85
when you win you will receive Cadiz 1041+824= 1865, with a draw of 1040 euros.
Accordingly, your profit (if you win of Cadiz) 1865 - 2080 = EUR -215.

It is always necessary to consider the Asian handicap. Rarely, but sometimes on the contrary

So

Cadiz -vs- Celta Vigo, Cadiz +0.25 @ 3.080

This is the first match. Cadiz plays very tight at home.
Celta 10th house accepts Atletico Madrid.
Even if today to lose everything can be solved at home.
Celta is one of the most popular bets.
Celta without Nolito and Augusto Fernandez.
But despite that, the line on Celta fell down 1.99 - 1.62

PopePalpatine

What's everyone's thoughts on the other Copa del Rey game tonight (Eibar vs Las Palmas), as well as Wigan vs Gillingham? Gillingham look fairly overpriced at ~3/1.

shmeee

One bet tonight, spotted this the other day.

Wigan v Gillingham

Total Corners over 12 @ 7/4 Stan James (17/10 with Powers, 6/4 bet365)

Wigan's games average corners count at home is 12.1.

Wigans Total Corners last 8 home games reads, 16, 11, 16, 10, 12, 9, 11, 13.

Wigan has a team average 8 corners at home themselves, their total corners in their last 8 home games reads, 11, 9, 12, 8, 8, 8, 6, 8, 9.

In the Total Wigan Corners market, Betfair go 17/10 over 7 corners and 27/10 over 8 which look like value but I'm going with Total corners market as Gillingham love a corner also.

Gillingham's corner count in last few away games read, 6, 5, 5, 4, 6, 6.

So my bet is Total Corners over 12 @ 7/4 Stan James.

Mr. Green

And Wigan and Eibar is very popular today.

Eibar on the line fell (2.06 - 1.76 now). In the Cup del Rey in the first match - I would not take Eibar such a favorite against Las Palmas.
Next match Eibar against Espanyol. I don't think the Cup is so important for these clubs.

Gillingam 4 wins in a row.
Gillingham and Wigan haven't played in a draw. Think there will be very few goals.

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

One bet tonight, spotted this the other day.

Wigan v Gillingham

Total Corners over 12 @ 7/4 Stan James (17/10 with Powers, 6/4 bet365)

Wigan's games average corners count at home is 12.1.

Wigans Total Corners last 8 home games reads, 16, 11, 16, 10, 12, 9, 11, 13.

Wigan has a team average 8 corners at home themselves, their total corners in their last 8 home games reads, 11, 9, 12, 8, 8, 8, 6, 8, 9.

In the Total Wigan Corners market, Betfair go 17/10 over 7 corners and 27/10 over 8 which look like value but I'm going with Total corners market as Gillingham love a corner also.

Gillingham's corner count in last few away games read, 6, 5, 5, 4, 6, 6.

So my bet is Total Corners over 12 @ 7/4 Stan James.

Disaster.... How like? And goals flying in.

9de5q7tsr8u2im

Oh my days.... Thanks wigan absolute legends!!

shmeee

LuckyDude12 wrote: »

Oh my days.... Thanks wigan absolute legends!!

That was some comeback, unreal stuff.

And as for Eibar, disaster for those on.

KevIRL

Man utd (h v Sheffield utd), man city (a v Norwich) and west ham (h v wolves) treble. Enhanced from 11/4 to 4/1 on PP.

Don't like FA cup betting, especially early rounds with teams fielding weakened teams, but that seems a good bet. Let's hope the recent run of 'Power Price' goodness continues.

eh i dunno

Any one backing Exeter tonight @11/2? Pool seem to be playing mostly youngsters. Might wait for line ups

Saint Sonner

eh i dunno wrote: »

Any one backing Exeter tonight @11/2? Pool seem to be playing mostly youngsters. Might wait for line ups

Went heavy on Pool then heard what klopp said! :mad:

PopePalpatine

I would have thought Exeter +1.5 might be a good idea.

Lasagna Diarra

Evian DC @ 1.67

3 losses in a row

Hollister11

Looks like paddy power have a boards account - http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/member.php?u=791069

There going to be watching us now.

KevIRL

Exeter gone from 13/2 yesterday to 9/2 now on PP. Am starting to think there is some value in Liverpool at 8/13

Lasagna Diarra

Hollister11 wrote: »

Looks like paddy power have a boards account - http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/member.php?u=791069

There going to be watching us now.

lol, it seems that all but 1 of his/their posts have been deleted

Mr. Green

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Evian DC @ 1.67

3 losses in a row

02.01.16 LEA Exeter Dagenham & Red. 1 : 2
28.12.15 LEA Exeter AFC Wimbledon 0 : 2
26.12.15 LEA Oxford Utd Exeter 3 : 0
19.12.15 LEA Exeter Luton 2 : 3

4 loses

But start line

Exeter City Liverpool 12,35 6,03 1,277

Now

Exeter City Liverpool 5,55 4,34 1,625

buckfasterer

Hollister11 wrote: »

Looks like paddy power have a boards account - http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/member.php?u=791069

There going to be watching us now.

Me and that **** have history. If you have a spare hour, read the thread to find out what a **** PP can be.

inforfun

Hollister11 wrote: »

Looks like paddy power have a boards account - http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/member.php?u=791069

There going to be watching us now.

Well.... Judged by the recent views in the right bottom corner... it is us watching them

Lasagna Diarra

Mr. Green wrote: »

02.01.16 LEA Exeter Dagenham & Red. 1 : 2
28.12.15 LEA Exeter AFC Wimbledon 0 : 2
26.12.15 LEA Oxford Utd Exeter 3 : 0
19.12.15 LEA Exeter Luton 2 : 3

4 loses

But start line

Exeter City Liverpool 12,35 6,03 1,277

Now

Exeter City Liverpool 5,55 4,34 1,625

I wouldn't touch Exeter here, there are still 3 divisions between the two teams.

Shane St.

Any giant killing recommendations?

callaway92

Shane St. wrote: »

Any giant killing recommendations?

David @ 6.7 to beat Goliath.

Can take the DC at 2.85 too.

Hollister11

inforfun wrote: »

Well.... Judged by the recent views in the right bottom corner... it is us watching them

Well played

Mr. Green

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

I wouldn't touch Exeter here, there are still 3 divisions between the two teams.

And what about Bastia to win? @46.0
Think that PSG is well noted new year and holidays