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The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

18384868889194

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 531 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    Deportivo La Coruna host Rayo Vallecano tonight, they're priced around 1.9 but are on a 7 game winless streak. Just a heads up.

    However Deportivo have only lost 2 of 10 home league games this season, while Rayo have only won 1 of 10 away leagues games.

    BTTS has hit in 6 of Depor's 10 homes, and in 7 of Rayo's 10 aways. 65% hit average hit rate. 3/4 seems a decent price, as you only need it to come in more than 4 out of 7 times (58% of the time) to make profit and it comes in 65% of the time.

    There has been a combined 6 draws between their last 7 home and 7 away matches respectively (6 draws from 14), they draw an average of 43% of the time so the 27/10 on the draw also seems quite large, as you only need it to come in 27% of the time to make profit.

    Hope that maths is right anyway! :D

    I'll test it out with small singles on both the draw @ 27/10 and BTTS @ 3/4.


  • Registered Users Posts: 862 ✭✭✭unplayable


    over 2.5 in this depor game at 1.95 looks a good bet.

    8/9 last rayo games were over 2.5.depor first choice keeper is out. gonna put a little on this!


  • Registered Users Posts: 862 ✭✭✭unplayable


    yeah bbts at 1.82 prob a better bet actually.thanks


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    Rayo over 4,5 corners @ 1.83 seems decent for a team that averages 5.9 corners on the road

    3fdde604a433d38da30abdc845c756c5.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    inforfun wrote: »
    Rayo over 4,5 corners @ 1.83 seems decent for a team that averages 5.9 corners on the road

    3fdde604a433d38da30abdc845c756c5.png

    Are you over my shoulder?

    Looking at the exact same thing here.

    It looks solid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    Can anyone find a market for Maritimo corners? Anything over 5 looks a great bet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 531 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    shmeee wrote: »
    Can anyone find a market for Maritimo corners? Anything over 5 looks a great bet.

    Maritimo corner match bet 2/5 Will Hills?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    shmeee wrote: »
    Are you over my shoulder?

    Looking at the exact same thing here.

    It looks solid.

    Of course i am watching you.

    ff3ffc5e9cd6a0a5d64603c24aa21c3d.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    shmeee wrote: »
    Are you over my shoulder?

    Looking at the exact same thing here.

    It looks solid.

    Right, went for total match corners over 10 @ 20/21 with Boyles in the Depor game.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭Lamposts


    Double of Over 2.5 goals and over 4.5 corners for Rayo @2.20 or something.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    However Deportivo have only lost 2 of 10 home league games this season, while Rayo have only won 1 of 10 away leagues games.

    BTTS has hit in 6 of Depor's 10 homes, and in 7 of Rayo's 10 aways. 65% hit average hit rate. 3/4 seems a decent price, as you only need it to come in more than 4 out of 7 times (58% of the time) to make profit and it comes in 65% of the time.

    There has been a combined 6 draws between their last 7 home and 7 away matches respectively (6 draws from 14), they draw an average of 43% of the time so the 27/10 on the draw also seems quite large, as you only need it to come in 27% of the time to make profit.

    Hope that maths is right anyway! :D

    I'll test it out with small singles on both the draw @ 27/10 and BTTS @ 3/4.


    Had to wait only 20 mins for BTTS land, well in.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,973 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    And only 24 minutes for >2.5 goals too! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 531 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    shmeee wrote: »
    Had to wait only 20 mins for BTTS land, well in.

    Not bad haha. A draw would be nice!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,402 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    Skybet treble of Arsenal, City and Utd max bet €32.94 @ 11/2. Best price elsewhere is less than 4/1. Despite United's form it's actually Arsenal I'm worried about.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭Lamposts


    Lamposts wrote: »
    Double of Over 2.5 goals and over 4.5 corners for Rayo @2.20 or something.

    1 corner short. :(


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  • Registered Users Posts: 531 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    However Deportivo have only lost 2 of 10 home league games this season, while Rayo have only won 1 of 10 away leagues games.

    BTTS has hit in 6 of Depor's 10 homes, and in 7 of Rayo's 10 aways. 65% hit average hit rate. 3/4 seems a decent price, as you only need it to come in more than 4 out of 7 times (58% of the time) to make profit and it comes in 65% of the time.

    There has been a combined 6 draws between their last 7 home and 7 away matches respectively (6 draws from 14), they draw an average of 43% of the time so the 27/10 on the draw also seems quite large, as you only need it to come in 27% of the time to make profit.

    Hope that maths is right anyway! :D

    I'll test it out with small singles on both the draw @ 27/10 and BTTS @ 3/4.

    Full house! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    Full house! :D

    Great shouts!

    The corners were slow tonight. Not to be for me.

    At least some of us made a few quid.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,888 ✭✭✭9de5q7tsr8u2im


    Collie D wrote: »
    Skybet treble of Arsenal, City and Utd max bet €32.94 @ 11/2. Best price elsewhere is less than 4/1. Despite United's form it's actually Arsenal I'm worried about.

    full blast on it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    For those who want to put another 1/2 season bet together.
    STan James have PSV to win the league in Holland @2

    Currently on top already and despite still in the CL, cant see them lose first place anymore.
    Certainly when they get the last deal done, Van Ginkel on loan from Chelsea.
    By far the best squad if they add him too


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭magherakid


    West Ham 10/11

    Remi Garde to consider his future after
    failing to sign any players in the transfer window


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,888 ✭✭✭9de5q7tsr8u2im


    Matchs on tuesday/wednesday looking good :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭spurshero


    I think Chelsea will win . They look like a team finally getting their act together. Arsenal are hard to predict but gun to head would fancy them . Good luck with it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    Anyone else having trouble with Skrill? Can't access it all day and trying to move funds.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,933 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    magherakid wrote: »
    West Ham 10/11

    Remi Garde to consider his future after
    failing to sign any players in the transfer window

    Seems big, all over that
    Could see them winning by 2/3 clear goals


  • Registered Users Posts: 862 ✭✭✭unplayable


    yeah just lumped west ham @1.91 thanks for heads up.live on tv and all.payet should be back on form easy win


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 812 ✭✭✭clickerquicklic


    Skybet acca is on Betfair at 9/2 ish its huge ive 10k on it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,036 ✭✭✭shmeee


    Norwich v Spurs

    Spurs over 5 corners is priced @ 1.8 with bet365, from 1.83 overnight. Powers go 1.72.

    Spurs did't hit this line in their last game, FA cup v Colchester but in their previous 5 games in all competitions it came in easily. They are becoming big fans of corners lately with counts of 10, 8, 11, 16 + 9. The worry here is Norwich, their opponents average only 4.5 corners at home.

    I'll wait till Boyles maybe open a book on it, they usually go top price when they do. Can't see much more movement on the line with bet365 anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,198 ✭✭✭buckfasterer


    Skybet got Arsenal, City and Utd boosted from 7/2 to 11/2


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,303 ✭✭✭Lasagna Diarra


    Crystal Palace DNB @ 1.60

    they've lost their last 4 league games


  • Registered Users Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    Liverpool in February

    2 February - Leicester (away), Premier League
    February 6 - Sunderland (home), Premier League
    Not selected date of the week - West ham (away), FA Cup
    February 14 - Aston Villa (away), Premier League
    February 18 - "Augsburg" (exit), UEFA Europa League
    20/21 February - the Fifth round of the FA Cup
    February 25 - "Augsburg" (home), UEFA Europa League
    February 28 - Manchester city (at Wembley), League Cup Final


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    January didnt look much better.
    8 matches in 23 days i heard?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35 Charity10k


    Everton v Newcastle - Both Teams To Score - 1.7 Bet365


  • Registered Users Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    30.01. 20:30
    Liverpool
    West Ham
    0 : 0

    ENGLAND: Capital One Cup
    26.01. 22:45
    Liverpool
    Stoke City
    1 : 1
    (0 : 1)

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    23.01. 15:45
    Norwich
    Liverpool
    4 : 5

    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    20.01. 23:00
    Liverpool
    Exeter
    3 : 0

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    17.01. 17:05
    Liverpool
    Manchester United
    0 : 1

    13.01. 23:00
    Liverpool
    Arsenal
    3 : 3

    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    08.01. 22:55
    Exeter
    Liverpool
    2 : 2

    ENGLAND: Capital One Cup
    05.01. 23:00
    Stoke City
    Liverpool
    0 : 1

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    02.01. 15:45
    West Ham
    Liverpool
    2 : 0


  • Registered Users Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    Liverpool going for the record number of matches. So will fatigue and the priorities.


    PS I find it very difficult to go to the forum, the captcha and not the first time


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    Mr. Green wrote: »
    Liverpool going for the record number of matches. So will fatigue and the priorities.


    PS I find it very difficult to go to the forum, the captcha and not the first time

    Boards.ie is a bit of a pain since that DDOS attack.
    Login issue i dont have as i never log out....

    But double posts all over the place, mostly when using "quick reply" which of course i keep doing.....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,933 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    settled on this lot..all 888 (only slighly worse on the hcap)

    main bet
    west ham 28/29....couldnt wait around any longer for evens

    wham ht/ft 9/4
    wham -1 13/5
    payet anytime 40/17

    was gonna go payet motm but only a lousy 4s when next up is 8/1



    can't desert patrick
    van aanholt anytime 9.5/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    The forum, on a white background.
    No more buttons, I can not say thank you.
    Can't copy and paste my message.
    No the "fat text"

    I Wish the forum quickly recovered :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Saint Sonner


    West Ham -1AH
    Man City -1AH
    Man Utd
    Arsenal
    Spurs Race to 5 Corners

    23/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Saint Sonner


    West Ham -1AH
    Man City -1AH
    Man Utd
    Arsenal
    Spurs Race to 5 Corners

    23/1


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,862 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    Probably will be punished for doing a Lass bet, i.e i dont want things to happen but....

    Man Utd - Stoke > Under 1 GL first half @ 1.7

    MAn Utd has played 11 matches at home so far and at HT they were 2x in the lead, 1x behind and 8 draws.
    Considering the won and lost first halfs all have to be 1-0 with 2 goals scored an 1 conceded in those 11 matches that under GL 1 would be 8x a winner and 3x a void so far this season

    baf9d3443e02c155931f879d7af682b7.png

    The slightly highlighted grey numbers is the 1st half stats for them.
    If i was a Man Utd fan, i wouldnt even bother to go in the first half.

    or you can just take the 0-0 at HT @2.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,905 ✭✭✭Avfctom


    magherakid wrote: »
    West Ham 10/11

    Remi Garde to consider his future after
    failing to sign any players in the transfer window

    Don't blame him clubs sold him down the river price looks big enough half our pathetic side out injured too


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭fuzzydunlop85


    Arsenal ,city -1 , west ham , Tottenham. Trebles and accum.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭Lamposts


    Random OptaJoe stats for tonights games. :)
    9 - Dele Alli has had a hand in nine goals in his last 12 Premier League games for Spurs (five goals, four assists). Wunderkind.
    24 - No PL side allowed their opponents more shots on target in January than Arsenal (24 – level with Sunderland). Invaded.
    4 - Liverpool have allowed their opponents to score with their first shot on target in all four Premier League games so far in 2016. Gifts.
    2 - Arsene Wenger has come up against Ronald Koeman on 10 occasions as Arsenal manager, winning just two of those matches (D4 L4). Struggle.
    8 - Christian Benteke has scored eight goals in eight Premier League appearances on a Tuesday. Hopeful.
    11 - Wayne Rooney has scored 11 Premier League goals on a Tuesday, only Alan Shearer (15) has more. Ruby.

    On:
    Rooney anyitme 7/5
    Alli anytime 13/5
    Andre Gray anytime 2/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,584 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    Arsenal/spurs double enhanced from 5/2 to 7/2 PP


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,888 ✭✭✭9de5q7tsr8u2im


    Arsenal
    Man United
    Monaco
    Marseille +1

    @4.023 €60 Acca Edge

    Arsenal
    Man United +1
    Man City
    Monaco
    Crystal Palace +1
    Liverpool +1
    Roma +1

    @12.73 €30 B365


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,256 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    KevIRL wrote: »
    Arsenal/spurs double enhanced from 5/2 to 7/2 PP

    That looks too nice a price to turn down, Spurs are due a loss, hopefully not tonight.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭Dio On The Doubles


    Gone for over 2.5 goal line Wolves v Bolton doubled with spurs over 1.5 team goals @3.42


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,400 ✭✭✭evosteo


    few selections for tonight

    done them in an accum

    Monaco SW @ 4/6
    Over 2.5 & Yes arsenal v southampton @ 6/4
    Leicester or Draw @ 4/9
    Tottenham SW @ 4/5
    Over 2.5 & Yes city v sunderland @ 6/5
    Tottenham - Over 5.5 corners @ 4/5
    West Ham SW @ 17/20
    Over 2.5 & Yes derby v preston @ 7/4
    Draw or Burnley @ 11/20
    Draw or Walsall @ 21/50
    Draw or Roma @ 21/50

    @ 682/1 :P

    gl


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,225 ✭✭✭✭J. Marston


    Arsenal
    City
    Liverpool DC
    Stoke DC

    7/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭scouttio


    Couple of bets for tonight

    Man City -1 at 2.30
    Leicester v Liverpool over 10 corners at 1.75
    Burnley DNB at 2.24, Burnley are in decent form
    Wolves to beat Bolton, Bolton are really in the ****ter both on and off the pitch
    And Aston Villa double chance, because too many people are confident in West Ham and I like being "that guy"


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