Brexit Referendum Superthread

prinzeugen

radharc wrote: »

Betfair is by far the best indicator of the likely result, 'Remain' has drifted from a 94% chance to a 66% shot since polling closed.

The votes are the indication of the result not a bookie.

Mr.Nice Guy

Part of me wants Brexit to win narrowly just to see what the reaction will be in Scotland, assuming the Scots vote remain.

Francie Barrett

Warwich 70/30, Nuneaton 80/20.

It's looking like England will vote Leave.

RobertKK

US futures for the stock market are down right now.

radharc

prinzeugen wrote: »

The votes are the indication of the result not a bookie.

What are you on about? The votes are the result. And Betfair is not a bookie.

embraer170

The Leave continues to look far stronger than expected.

The_Kew_Tour

Real winners are people like Michael o Leary tonight. Say he getting some pounds bought just around now

Francie Barrett

Betfair has just went mental again. Now Leave is 4/6. We are now getting into sh1t your pants territory.

Akrasia

Lemming wrote: »

Calm the horses folks; of all the areas declared thus far, only one out of the five declared has been a Leave majority - Sunderland just happened to be a larger margin at this early stage.

Yeah it's crazily early. But a lot of indications are pointing at leave. I would have bet the house on remain. But this is the day of reckoning and the numbers are starting to tell their story

Harry Angstrom

There's going to be a North/South divide. It's good to see that the Geordies have given a ringing rejection of the EU but anywhere south of Watford will overwhelmingly vote to remain.

RobertKK

Anyone who went to bed early would have went in the belief that it is going to be remain, now no one knows.

Francie Barrett

Foyle 78/22 Remain - expected, but what worries me is the turnout of just 57%.

Polo_Mint

Sand wrote: »

I'm not too worried about it, but I imagine if the Remain campaign dont start posting some serious wins soon, the leaders of the Leave campaign will start bricking it as they realise they will actually have to enact their foolishness.

I saw the Tory Leave MPs signed a petition asking David Cameron to remain on no matter what the result. A certain amount of CYA and trying to bring themselves back into favour, but I cant see Cameron staying on if Leave wins. He would be on the wrong side of a historic issue, and why would he want to have his name attached to the 7 ring circus a Leave vote would result in? He will quit and leave Gove, Johnson and Farage to clean up their own mess - god help the UK then.

You seem to be blaming Johnson and Farage for the people voting to Leave as if half the population is stupid.



I think its quite brave for the UK to hold this referendum V The EU.


I think if you gave All EU citizens a vote on the same day to keep the EU or Disband I think you would be very surprized at the result.

People think the UK are mad to leave because they are the only ones having a referendum.

embraer170

Some very early suggestions that some London boroughs are up to 80% Remain.

Lemming

Foyle in NI has declared: 78.3 % remain to 21.7% leave

Toobz

This is not good at this point, very concerning.

Francie Barrett

embraer170 wrote: »

Some very early suggestions that some London boroughs are up to 80% Remain.

The problem is that where the Remain vote is strong, the turnout is lower.

Harry Angstrom

Wales could be an interesting bellwether. If they vote to leave then it's not going to look good for the Remain lot.

Akrasia

Francie Barrett wrote: »

The problem is that where the Remain vote is strong, the turnout is lower.

The torrential rain today in London won't have helped at all

Harry Angstrom

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Betfair has just went mental again. Now Leave is 4/6. We are now getting into sh1t your pants territory.

13/8 with Boyle now.

Sand

Polo_Mint wrote: »

You seem to be blaming Johnson and Farage for the people voting to Leave as if half the population is stupid.



I think its quite brave for the UK to hold this referendum V The EU.

I think they're very brave too. If they vote leave, I think I'll watch how it all turns out for them from a long distance away.

Maryanne40

Interesting (and worrying) point made there on Sky about turnout....someone here mentioned that earlier....

Harry Angstrom

Well done Swindon!

Maryanne40

Harry Angstrom wrote: »

Well done Swindon!

Do you want them to go Harry????

ClanofLams

Swindon was expected to back Brexit by 15 points so 54 46 there is quite a positive result for remain

Harry Angstrom

Maryanne40 wrote: »

Do you want them to go Harry????

I do. I have no time for the EU after the way they treated us following the economic crash.

cristoir

Swindon was supposed to vote for leave by far more than Sunderland. It has put a big question mark over BBC's model.

Akrasia

Ok. I'll give it another half hour before I go to bed...

sink

Glasgiow 56.2% turnout is a very bad indicator.

StringerBell

Swindon was expected to go further with leave, Broxbourne pretty much where they were expected to be.