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Brexit Referendum Superthread

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Comments

  • #992
    The Sidewards Man
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭The Sidewards Man


    StringerBell wrote: »
    I don't think the constant betting odds updates are necessary are they?!

    They are going to be shifting a lot for the next few hours, only 32 results are in out of 382.

    Good modding post.


  • #993
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Leave is now 4/5!


  • #994
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    GBP getting dumped in to $1.42 already


  • #995
    ClanofLams
    Registered Users Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭ClanofLams


    Unnamed senior Labour figure predicting brexit according to BBC


  • #996
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    Leave is now 4/5!
    Leave is now 2/3!


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  • #997
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    StringerBell wrote: »
    I don't think the constant betting odds updates are necessary are they?!

    They are going to be shifting a lot for the next few hours, only 32 results are in out of 382.
    The betting has been way ahead of the idiots on TV.


  • #998
    robertowjr
    Registered Users Posts: 285 ✭✭robertowjr


    Do you feel there is a price to back Bremain at the moment @2.7?


  • #999
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    Leave is now 2/3!
    Leave is now 1/2!


  • #1000
    BoJack Horseman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,248 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    Leave is now 4/5!

    These up to the second betting exchange updates are irrelevant!

    No one cares.


  • #1001
    prinzeugen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,891 ✭✭✭prinzeugen


    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    Leave is now 2/3!


    Whats with the big text.. are you working for a bookmakers??


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  • #1002
    Sand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,592 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    RobertKK wrote: »
    It needs something radical to stop others looking to leave.

    The EU will take the same approach as they did to the bailouts for Ireland, Greece and Portugal. Make the terms so terrible, so harmful, so wrong headed that the no one else will want anything like that deal.

    The naivete of the Leave campaign is that they believe the EU will give them good terms - it entirely in the interests of the EU to ensure the UK gets terms that are bad enough to ensure no one else looks to leave.


  • #1003
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,750 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    The FTSE futures show a big fall in the stock market, currently down 5.1%


  • #1004
    mansize
    Closed Accounts Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭mansize


    Betting suspended on Betfair.


  • #1005
    SantryRed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,224 ✭✭✭✭SantryRed


    How does Betfair indicate anything about how Brexit will go? Surely the market is being dictated by the money that is being bet on, which has no correlation to the votes that have yet to be counted/announced?


  • #1006
    The Sidewards Man
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭The Sidewards Man


    Christina Skinny Tearfully wrote: »
    GBP getting dumped in to $1.42 already

    GBP would want to start buying lubricant.


  • #1007
    Frank Bullitt
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,773 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    The real tragedy if the Brits decide to leave, is that we will still hear the word "Brexit" for a while yet.


  • #1008
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    GBP is $1.40 and sinking


  • #1009
    embraer170
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,442 ✭✭✭embraer170


    2.2 million votes in and with 37/382 declared, there still hasn't been a good surprise for Remain.


  • #1010
    ClanofLams
    Registered Users Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭ClanofLams


    To be fair there is significant money in the betting markets, over 100 million on bet fair. It's as good an indicator to the result as any.


  • #1011
    BoJack Horseman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,248 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Christina Skinny Tearfully wrote: »
    GBP is $1.40 and sinking

    f*ck....

    That means that British exports will start to look more attractive to foreign customers, while domestically produced goods and services might fare better vs imports..

    Who would want that?


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  • #1012
    BoJack Horseman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,248 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    ClanofLams wrote: »
    It's as good an indicator to the result as any.

    Nope... the votes are.


  • #1013
    Sand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,592 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Gintonious wrote: »
    The real tragedy if the Brits decide to leave, is that we will still hear the word "Brexit" for a while yet.

    Yeah, the best part about a Remain vote is that the whole Brexit news cycle would end. If Brexit wins, then it will be the main UK story for the next 2 years as reality increasingly dawns on them.


  • #1014
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,195 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    The betting has been way ahead of the idiots on TV.

    So?

    Does that mean it is necessary to shoot the load every time the odds change?

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



  • #1015
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,750 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Sand wrote: »
    The EU will take the same approach as they did to the bailouts for Ireland, Greece and Portugal. Make the terms so terrible, so harmful, so wrong headed that the no one else will want anything like that deal.

    The naivete of the Leave campaign is that they believe the EU will give them good terms - it entirely in the interests of the EU to ensure the UK gets terms that are bad enough to ensure no one else looks to leave.

    I agree, I said that to leave people on twitter. They just said well we should leave if they would treat us that way...
    But it is like Greece, they took a hard line and ended up with no banks, so had to back down.
    So they will do as you say, the UK will have to be made an example of if they leave.


  • #1016
    prinzeugen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,891 ✭✭✭prinzeugen


    Christina Skinny Tearfully wrote: »
    GBP is $1.40 and sinking


    Should I Sell, Sell, Sell??

    What is with the constant updates? Should you not be posting that on the Investments thread??


  • #1017
    duffman13
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,953 ✭✭✭duffman13


    BoJack Horseman wrote: »
    Nope... the votes are.

    Yeah but the votes aren't counted, betting patterns can often indicate a swing in results however I agree live betting updates are not a good marker at such an early stage. Early reaction to a few exit calls can make people who have heavily backed remain getting twitchy.


  • #1018
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,750 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    prinzeugen wrote: »
    Should I Sell, Sell, Sell??

    What is with the constant updates? Should you not be posting that on the Investments thread??


    It indicates what the markets believe the result will be.


  • #1019
    ClanofLams
    Registered Users Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭ClanofLams


    BoJack Horseman wrote: »
    Nope... the votes are.

    Indicator I said. Votes are the results.


  • #1020
    BoJack Horseman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,248 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Rumours on twitter that the turnout in Tower Hamlets is 180%.....

    Apparently this is down on projections :pac:


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  • #1021
    S.M.B.
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,383 ✭✭✭S.M.B.


    StringerBell wrote: »
    So?

    Does that mean it is necessary to shoot the load every time the odds change?
    The swing in odds over the past half hour is a pretty big deal to be fair. It's not like people have been giving updates on the odds for the past few weeks.


This discussion has been closed.
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