Brexit Referendum Superthread

murpho999

smjm wrote: »

I think Cameron's going to have to resign, no matter what the final result!

Why would have to resign if they vote remain?

Francie Barrett

Leave now 1/4.

Thud

Infini2 wrote: »

Leave had a lead of 350k at one point but remain is starting to close the gap now its back down to 240k.

That was edinburgh, most of scotland vote is in now though

smjm

sadie06 wrote: »

Edinburgh making a difference! Great margin for stay.

Several large English votes for Leave just wiped out that result.

whatever_

Thud wrote: »

whatever_ wrote: »

Good, it's been far too high for too long. Much better for jobs and exports.

Itll make uk imports cheaper from uk but exports dearer for them to buy so not good for jobs/exports here

Yes, a short term problem for Ireland - but hopefully only short term. There would be a case for UK / EU help for Irish exporters if the problem persists.

mansize

murpho999 wrote: »

Why would have to resign if they vote remain?

51% aint much of a mandate

mansize

whatever_ wrote: »

Yes, a short term problem for Ireland - but hopefully only short term. There would be a case for UK / EU help for Irish exporters if the problem persists.

from whom? the UK would have bigger problems and EU won't want to give concessions to a leaving country

laugh

1/2 a million ahead now for leave.

murpho999

Pound fallen 6% since counting started.

Billy86

Walsall 68% leave

Francie Barrett

Leave now 1/6

The fat lady is about to start up. Leave side are looking very pleased with themselves now. Back biting and recrimination beginning among the Remain side.

Thud

whatever_ wrote: »

Yes, a short term problem for Ireland - but hopefully only short term. There would be a case for UK / EU help for Irish exporters if the problem persists.

So not much better for jobs or exports?

mansize

If its leave, SNP have a mandate for another Independence referendum.

Rjd2

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Yep, Osborne has pretty much put his job on the line here.

Osbourne could be ****ed as well, horror few months for him, his disability cuts and this have really hurt him

Boris will want the Tory mps who were on the leave bandwagon in the big positions.

Harry Angstrom

mansize wrote: »

Why would the EU do that? And Norway has free movement of people, something the UK had an issue with....

The EU will not give favourable deals to the UK, it wouldn't be advantageous to do so, it would weaken the Union.

Norway has a population of about 5 million, the UK has a population of about 65 million. It would be fairly advantageous to the EU to keep the UK on side. I'd be surprised if the UK couldn't negotiate a better deal than Norway.

smjm

mansize wrote: »

If its leave, SNP have a mandate for another Independence referendum.

Scottish voters aren't half going to get confused. SNP telling them to vote Leave, then vote Remain, then vote Leave again!

Billy86

mansize wrote: »

If its leave, SNP have a mandate for another Independence referendum.

Now that would be interesting! Is there any timeline or deadline?

laugh

If one was in control of the order that constituencies were reported they could make a killing on the financial markets.

Completionist

Watching http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/gbpusd/chart

Pound falling fast

sadie06

This is a leap into the unknown. I'm shocked!

murpho999

mansize wrote: »

51% aint much of a mandate

It's not any kind of mandate. This is not an election.

51% is a win.

mansize

Rjd2 wrote: »

Osbourne could be ****ed as well, horror few months for him, his disability cuts and this have really hurt him

Boris will want the Tory mps who were on the leave bandwagon in the big positions.

Osbourne might resign anyway. Let the Brexiters sort out their own mess.

_Redzer_

Completionist wrote: »

Watching http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/gbpusd/chart

Pound falling fast

Excellent!

I'm off to England in a few weeks, I'll get some sterling tomorrow in advance!

mansize

murpho999 wrote: »

It's not any kind of mandate. This is not an election.

51% is a win.

a mandate to negotiate with the EU

Mr.Nice Guy

Sinn Fein calling for a border poll now on BBC.

Harry Angstrom

mansize wrote: »

Osbourne might resign anyway. Let the Brexiters sort out their own mess.

What mess? It's the democratic will of the British people.

RobertKK

I can't see anything but a Leave win.

Meanwhile Sterling is continuing to fall and the FTSE futures show near a 9% drop.

whatever_

mansize wrote: »

whatever_ wrote: »

Yes, a short term problem for Ireland - but hopefully only short term. There would be a case for UK / EU help for Irish exporters if the problem persists.

from whom? the UK would have bigger problems and EU won't want to give concessions to a leaving country

If the UK leave, England's relationship with Wales, NI, Scotland and especially Ireland is crucial.
There would be a clear political case for both the EU and UK to fix a problem such as this. I'm talking about
Ireland. Ireland has no plans to leave (yet).

laugh

Harry Angstrom wrote: »

What mess? It's the democratic will of the British people.

Doesn't mean it won't be bad for them.

mansize

Harry Angstrom wrote: »

What mess? It's the democratic will of the British people.

The mess of exiting the EU, it won't be easy. And there will be hard decisions for someone to make.