Novelty Market Bet (Politics, UK {EU/Brexit} ) Should they stay, or should they go?

Rjd2

ianburke wrote: »

media saying it's still too close to call.

Yeah, upon reflection saying its a done deal is premature, but think those late polls tonight and the betting market on BF really is not good news for Leave

Although I scolded people last week when they said that Italy were no value v Ireland, so I can be as wrong as anyone:o:pac:

4068ac1elhodqr

Agree there's so many factors in this unprecedented event, Boris (surprisingly) did a decent appeal on Sky tonight liking it to Independence Day.

Even the North which is presumed to be 1.03 for remain, had their main party take out a 4-page wraparound advertisement in the Metro (4m commuter views). Polls with typical sample sizes of 2,000, need an air of caution compared to the silent/silenced 40m circa mid-lower-England Tesco/Adsa shopping C&D's making their daily grind. Heart vs Head.

Hypothetically, even now if you went 3,000 @1.33 and 1,000 @4.33, the most you could loose would be 10 notes, or gain 330.

mansize

Betfair offering an enhanced 2.5 for 50.01-55 to vote REMAIN
(Max bet prob too low for you guys)

ianburke

1/20 back out to 2/7 now

now 4/6!

Bandana boy

Big results for leave there in Newcastle and Sunderland , remain backers should be sweating a bit now

ianburke

Bandana boy wrote: »

Big results for leave there in Newcastle and Sunderland , remain backers should be sweating a bit now

sharp drop in the pound. sky news is the place to be tonight!

4068ac1elhodqr

Bjorn Strong Lever wrote: »

... May even be worth seeing what happens in the 12.30am Sunderland EI/1st result, they should have 6pt lead for a tie to occur.

#sweatyfxtraders could be trending shortly, a great name for a rock band also.

4068ac1elhodqr

Think snapback is the popular term for this sort of thing, still early days Cameroon will be on the toilet for a while yet.

ianburke

exit is odds on now!

robertowjr

ianburke wrote: »

exit is odds on now!

Remain hit 2.7 odds seconds ago.

4068ac1elhodqr

Unprecedented swinging, it was around 8.0 few hours ago with Skybet.
Timing and patience appears to be the name of the game.

ianburke

it's madness altogether on betfair. remain went from 2.3 to 1.8 right after glasgow vote then back out to 2.2...it's now 1.9 again.

Mellor

lol, You can back both side >evens if you wait around and look in the right places.
Great times for anyone who laid bremain when it hit 1.2 :D:D:D

Mellor

50-55 remain is now odds on, thats grim

ianburke

poa wrote: »

I have 1K on Bremain now.

http://imageshack.com/a/img922/4381/0HsjV9.jpg

Last chance to get on the train to winnersville at 1.29

http://imageshack.com/a/img924/310/vzo6su.jpg

41M Euro backing Bremain on Betfair exchange. The money in the market knows.

http://imageshack.com/a/img924/1750/qqDJ6u.jpg

This is buying money.
A dead cert.

squeaky bum time it's out to 2.4 now. the money in the market hadn't a clue whether it wins or not

Mellor

ianburke wrote: »

squeaky bum time it's out to 2.4 now. the money in the market hadn't a clue whether it wins or not

Luckily for Walter Mitty, he probably had nothing on it

ianburke

Mellor wrote: »

Luckily for Walter Mitty, he probably had nothing on it

he did post the screenshots 2 500e bets on pp. it seems they are now deleted. peanuts in comparison to the 130,000,000 matched on betfair.

all but over now. remain 250/1 on betfair. out unbackable.

just goes to show there is never a dead cert. hope there wasn't too many who followed "poa". i put 40 on remain the last day for the interest at about 1/2 as i fancied they'd edge it. the media told us it would be close so am perplexed as to how remain was so short(sub 1.2) before any results were coming through.

mansize

Nicola Sturgeon: "Scotland has spoken - and spoken decisively.”

Bandana boy

Mellor wrote: »

Luckily for Walter Mitty, he probably had nothing on it

No doubt an insider will have warned him when Leave hit 6-1 and he got 7 figures on

Mellor

ianburke wrote: »

he did post the screenshots 2 500e bets on pp. it seems they are now deleted. peanuts in comparison to the 130,000,000 matched on betfair.

Meh, posting screenshots and then deleting them isn't huge evidence to be honest. Especially when somebody had been caught out in multiple lies

munster87

Mellor wrote: »

Meh, posting screenshots and then deleting them isn't huge evidence to be honest. Especially when somebody had been caught out in multiple lies

I wonder will night still follow day?

Gregk961

Pretty sure its the same guy who had "10k" on Boyhood to win best picture: http://touch.boards.ie/thread/2057349636/1

Never seen somebody to devote hours of text to a 1.5 shot and it then to lose. Hilarious!

Harry Palmr

Poa is banned I see, and poor too.

duffman13

Harry Palmr wrote: »

Poa is banned I see, and poor too.

Only backs sure things, might throw a wedge on Klitschko as Fury is also a sure thing

Watching the volatility this morning in the betting markets was crazy. Some money to be made this morning when the numbers started rolling in.

Mellor

duffman13 wrote: »

Only backs sure things, might throw a wedge on Klitschko as Fury is also a sure thing

Watching the volatility this morning in the betting markets was crazy. Some money to be made this morning when the numbers started rolling in.

Hillary is in trouble

Mellor

munster87 wrote: »

I wonder will night still follow day?

I've no idea what that means. Maybe?

4068ac1elhodqr

Poa may want to re-think those large singles on Alex(BB), Clinton(USA) & Fury,
seems night doesn't follow day, and the only certain thing are death and taxes.

Think this may set a precedence for Scotland's independence, a NI border poll and even a Trump win across in the US.
Well done to anyone that played a long waiting game and picked off any value when/where available.

Bandana boy

Bjorn Strong Lever wrote: »

Poa may want to re-think those large singles on Alex(BB), Clinton(USA) & Fury,
seems night doesn't follow day, and the only certain thing are death and taxes.

What he does have in his favor is that they are not real

inforfun

MOD

Please stop discussing that guy.
He is banned, he is a re-reg (Mrs brown boys ring a bell?) so when he enters the arena again, just report him.

Thanks

Mellor

inforfun wrote: »

MOD

Please stop discussing that guy.
He is banned, he is a re-reg (Mrs brown boys ring a bell?) so when he enters the arena again, just report him.

Thanks

To be fair, it was obviously a re-reg/nonsense account from the start. I assumed he was one of the mods having a laugh :pac::pac: