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Cheltenham Day 1
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May aswell get a thread going...
I'm not going to talk too much about the Grade 1's as they dont really appeal to me, however i do expect most of Mullins' hotpots to win. I think AP is possibly the least likely winner, but NC could win!!
In the first handicap, 2.50, i cant get away from the top 2 in the market, Holywell and Out Same.
Out Sam gets in lighlty after an impressive win last time. And its decent form too.
Holywell is extremely well handicapped on his old form, his 9l fourth in the Gold Cup last year is the best single piece of form available and clearly laid out for this. If he runs to that form he wins. Its Chel record is very good too. On the balance of things, its Holywell for me.
In the next big one, 4.50 i've gone for Noble Endeavor and I really cant see this one out of the frame with Codd doing the steering. A very good second here last year behind the very good Kilultagh Vic. The yard have won 2/3 last runnings of this race so looks another laid out for this race by Elliott. Step up in trip to 4 miles will suit too as looks like he stays all day. Good chance.
In the last, Im ****ing disgusted Thomas Crapper didnt make the cut as i really really really fancied him, im just glad i didnt back him AP like a knob. So in a race that lacks any real strength in depth and doesnt seem to have many horses that look overly well handicapped, i like the fav Aloomomo and the Nicholls trained Bouvreuil. (though Ballyalton worth a look on his form from 2 years ago behind Faugheen)
I cant really split them tbh so im going for the bigger priced and the one with some Cheltenham form - Bouvreuil.
Holywell - 2nd
Noble Endeavor - fell when getting into contention at 2nd last. Would have placed.
Bouvreuil - 2nd (beaten by the horse i mentioned above haha) but
Good runs all round and money back as a free bet with PP as 2 came 2nd
Follow me tomorrow xoxo
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