2016 U.S. Presidential Race Megathread Mark 2.

ECO_Mental

Yeah the major population in Miami etc have only still reported 80% but they hold in total around 30% of the whole pop. She will pick up a lot here to make up what she is behind atm

Boom__Boom

byrneg28 wrote: »

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president/florida

Can I discount this?

I would guess this isn't making any allowance for the split of the various districts left to report.

Quin_Dub

Looking like Trump is going to take Florida...

Itssoeasy

Quin_Dub wrote: »

Looking like Trump is going to take Florida...

It'll be by the skin of his teeth as far as I can see.

The Talking Bread

Quin_Dub wrote: »

Looking like Trump is going to take Florida...

noone can determine that yet. If I was to forecast, I would say Hillary, by a fraction of a percentage

mrkiscool2

Boom__Boom wrote: »

I would guess this isn't making any allowance for the split of the various districts left to report.

538 has also suggested that Trump will win Florida so looking good. He is 1% of the vote up with only around 15%. Hillary is up in the remaining votes but the last few areas in the Panhandle will push Trump over the edge.

Quin_Dub

Itssoeasy wrote: »

It'll be by the skin of his teeth as far as I can see.

It'll be very close , but it's mostly rural areas left to finish counting which are going his way..

Only 1 major Urban/Democrat area with any significant % left to count and that's not looking like it'll be enough for Clinton so far..

26000 Elephants

broward, miami-dade yet to complete.

K-9

ABC had a feed of puppies playing in front of a miniature White House, it was oddly mesmerizing and very therapeutic. Shame it's gone now. I'm not dreaming this up!

munsterlegend

Wtf are the last 9% in Florida up to! Been at 91 for ages now

mrkiscool2

26000 Elephants wrote: »

broward, miami-dade yet to come in.

Still a good few rural areas in the Panhandle will compensate enough to make sure Trump keeps his lead. A lot of sites and channels cautiously giving Florida to Trump but not calling it.

ECO_Mental

right im all set up now fox on the laptop and CNN on the TV getting both side:cool:

Boom__Boom

Quin_Dub wrote: »

It'll be very close , but it's mostly rural areas left to finish counting which are going his way..

Only 1 major Urban/Democrat area with any significant % left to count and that's not looking like it'll be enough for Clinton so far..

There is only a tiny amount of votes in the rural areas; by contrast the south-east counties have a much higher number of voters and Clinton is well up there.

TheOven

Clinton will have trouble if they dont get the senate. GOP have already said they are no longer letting the next president decide a supreme court judge if it doesnt go their way.

schizo1014

ECO_Mental wrote: »

right im all set up now fox on the laptop and CNN on the TV getting both side:cool:

I'm using boards here its honestly just handier

aloyisious

Fox has Don with 80 electoral college votes, HRC with 68, while CNN has HRC with 68 and Don with 66. Strange estimates

mrkiscool2

Boom__Boom wrote: »

There is only a tiny amount of votes in the rural areas; by contrast the south-east counties have a much higher number of voters and Clinton is well up there.

Well, I don't care which side takes it, but most places are calling it for Trump.

26000 Elephants

munsterlegend wrote: »

Wtf are the last 9% in Florida up to! Been at 91 for ages now

chad removal!

Itssoeasy

munsterlegend wrote: »

Wtf are the last 9% in Florida up to! Been at 91 for ages now

Probably sitting there going "ah Jaysus lads not again."

Overheal

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Probably sitting there "ah Jaysus lads not again."

Apparently Broward county had some snafu with unsealed early ballots. They'll be the last to report

aloyisious

Seem's only 13% of Broward County results in so far

eagle eye

If Trump wins Florida and Ohio does he become a slight favourite?

Itssoeasy

Overheal wrote: »

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Probably sitting there "ah Jaysus lads not again."

Apparently Broward county had some snafu with unsealed early ballots. They'll be the last to report

Id say that election officials get into the fetal position and weep when they hear the words broward county.

ECO_Mental

HIllary has a pile of votes in Miami dade etc she is running 70% in these large urban area. it will come back

Boom__Boom

aloyisious wrote: »

Seem's only 13% of Broward County results in so far

Running about 65% for Clinton and has 9% of Florida's population.

munsterlegend

eagle eye wrote: »

If Trump wins Florida and Ohio does he become a slight favourite?

No he is still a big outsider but if he loses Florida it's all over.

Rayne Wooney

Only 16% of Broward and 53% of Palm Beach votes in.

Clinton will surely win Florida

Itssoeasy

John McCain is reelected.

K-9

Clinton doing well in Ohio and N. Carolina. If she takes one of those it's difficult to see how Trump gets there.

K-9

Itssoeasy wrote: »

John McCain is reelected.

That should be a state worth staying up late to see how it goes.

munsterlegend

Trump half way there according to Fox! Uphill from here though

RobertKK

On the stock market futures, the Dow is falling as race much tighter than expected.

RobertKK

Trump now leading in North Carolina.

learn_more

I'll be shocked if Trump wins Florida.

K-9

Trump doing well with Union member votes. If he loses that shows where he could a won it!

dark crystal

Colorado, Michigan and Minnesota all too close to call - they should all go to Clinton, but the fact it's so close is bothering me more than it should!

Atlantic Dawn

Trump now 3/1 5/2 on PP.

RobertKK

PaddyPower have slashed the odds on Trump winning, but keep Hillary the favourite.

Clinton 1/3
Trump 5/2

The Talking Bread

learn_more wrote: »

I'll be shocked if Trump wins Florida.

Would have said that 15 minutes ago. He has it definitely now.

mrkiscool2

Rayne Wooney wrote: »

Only 16% of Broward and 53% of Palm Beach votes in.

Clinton will surely win Florida

No, she is around 12 points up in the remaining areas which wouldn't be enough to turn it for her. Florida is looking like it will go to Trump.

26000 Elephants

ECO_Mental wrote: »

HIllary has a pile of votes in Miami dade etc she is running 70% in these large urban area. it will come back

I dont think she has enough there to swing it for her, unfortunately.

Itssoeasy

munsterlegend wrote: »

Trump half way there according to Fox! Uphill from here though

What they are saying is that he's still in it when they expected him to not be.

munsterlegend

A lot of Murphys running in Florida. Good to see Samantha getting in.

alchemist33

I just realise polling ended at 7pm in some states. Thats ridiculously early.

ECO_Mental

Yeah Fox saying he is in this race...it will be great seeing them back down from this

Or I could be wrong:o

bigroad

Trump for the win.

munsterlegend

Itssoeasy wrote: »

What they are saying is that he's still in it when they expected him to not be.

Needs a lot of things to go in
His favour still but at least it's interesting.

RobertKK

At 2.11am Irish time, Trump can win this election.

The Talking Bread

RobertKK wrote: »

At 2.11am Irish time, Trump can win this election.

Not really saying anything there, are you though! Obviously he can still win. Will he................no.

Overheal

538 model is still in play