The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

fuzzydunlop85

Shamelessly stolen from the rp but I like southampton to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/8.

retalivity

Plea at @2.3 for nice
Nice sw @1.75
Ajax/celta btts @1.8

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

Plea at @2.3 for nice
Nice sw @1.75
Ajax/celta btts @1.8

Nice are an abomination.
Btts lands though

Dio On The Doubles

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Taken Ferreyra anytime for Shaktar away to Gent tonight @3.1 on Bet365

They put 5 past Gent lately and he was on the scoresheet. Hes their highest scorer this season with 5 goals in the league. Seems a decent price.

Taken btts in Ajax v Celta @1.8 on bet365 too

Both winners

88th minute goal from Ferreyra originally awarded to another lad but changed to Ferreyra after. 3-5 there, crazy score.

BTTS a winner in Ajax Celta

fuzzydunlop85

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Shamelessly stolen from the rp but I like southampton to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/8.

Winner!

PopePalpatine

I thought their suggestion was Southampton & over 3.5 goals, thank f*ck I just went for a double of them and Sparta Prague! :pac:

fuzzydunlop85

PopePalpatine wrote: »

I thought their suggestion was Southampton & over 3.5 goals, thank f*ck I just went for a double of them and Sparta Prague! :pac:

Yeah was definitely under 3.5 and southampton win, to be honest it's a bet I've never done before but worked out alright !

They've been on fire this week, find them very good on the euro football - off the top of my head this week they tipped :

Southampton win and under 3.5
Shaktar SW
Leicster - draw
Juventus Under 2.5
Bayer Lev + 1
Fenerbache SW
Dortmund HT/FT
Monaco SW
Sevilla to nil
Porto to nil
Barca /City Btts and over 2.5
Arsenal btts and over 2.5

J. Marston

Looking at the weekend, Swansea DC at 11/10. United bogey side away, no first choice centre backs, no Herrera and probably no Pogba.

Can definitely see Swansea taking something.

Trimm Trabb

My bet for weekend:

Bournemouth 4/6
Man City -1 4/6

Double 7/4 or 1.78

hefferboi

Bets for weekend:

BTTS in Liverpool game
Chelsea win
Bournemouth win
Xhaka to be booked if he starts

10 Pays 150 if Xhaka is 2/1

add Man city to win it pays 180

ben.schlomo

J. Marston wrote: »

Looking at the weekend, Swansea DC at 11/10. United bogey side away, no first choice centre backs, no Herrera and probably no Pogba.

Can definitely see Swansea taking something.

Swansea were dog rough the last night, no creativity or competence in the middle of midfield, nothing up front with Llorente isolated, big issues with them for me.

J. Marston

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Swansea were dog rough the last night, no creativity or competence in the middle of midfield, nothing up front with Llorente isolated, big issues with them for me.

Same could've been said for Stoke and Burnley before they played United.

Also, United haven't won after a Europa League game this season. Played 3, drew 1 and lost 2.

9de5q7tsr8u2im

J. Marston wrote: »

Same could've been said for Stoke and Burnley before they played United.

Also, United haven't won after a Europa League game this season. Played 3, drew 1 and lost 2.

This is why i lose money...

Cant get my head around swansea and the united game, both are in a big muck right now

retalivity

Mohamed Shrilling Self-respect wrote: »

This is why i lose money...

Cant get my head around swansea and the united game, both are in a big muck right now

Both having trouble scoring. Go under 2.5 @2.1

spock.

Mohamed Shrilling Self-respect wrote:

This is why i lose money...

Cant get my head around swansea and the united game, both are in a big muck right now

No need to bet on every game

ben.schlomo

spock. wrote: »

No need to bet on every game

Exactly.

Division

Swansea v Man Utd is a tricky one but you have to select ranges and assign values, not simply just look for the team you think will win on the day. If you can do it well in the long run you will profit.

Here is my take on the game. Under 3.5 goals is my pick. Its about the value, not just betting with big odds. Its a marathon not a sprint and all that...



Value should be read as:

If you bet €1 on a bet 100 times:

106% = Total return of €106 = €6 profit = 6% Yield

94% = Total return of €94 = €6 loss = -6% Yield

Division

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

My bet for weekend:

Bournemouth 4/6
Man City -1 4/6

Double 7/4 or 1.78

Bookies are really disagreeing on the handicap market

For example: Middlesbrough -1

Bet365 @ 21
Coral @ 56

Great example of why you need multiple accounts.

Trimm Trabb

Division wrote: »

Bookies are really disagreeing on the handicap market

For example: Middlesbrough -1

Bet365 @ 21
Coral @ 56

Great example of why you need multiple accounts.

Think price on City was general this morning. I took it off PP.

keano25

Wheres that table from Division?

Division

I do it myself. Basic excel skills and some maths are necessary if you want to be able to price up markets.

Division

Little accum for the weekend with an expected strike rate of 26%. EV is a bit larger than you would expect as I disagree with the bookies ratings by a large margin on the over/under market in Bournemouth v Sunderland.

Burnley Double Chance
Stoke Double Chance
Bournemouth v Sunderland - Under 3.5 Goals
Swansea v Man Utd - Under 3.5 Goals

5/1 Boylesports

Shanotheslayer

Burnley Clean Sheet Yes. 3.5

Middlesbrough Over 3.5 Corners 2.1

City CS NO 1.9

West Ham CS YES 3.00

All 1pt. All singles.

retalivity

I like that burnley cs price, will take that.
Also Stoke +0.5gls ah @1.975

And a championship/fa cup anytime gs lucky 15
Mitrovic @2.2
Kodija @2.5
G murray @2.87
J morris @3.1

unplayable

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Yeah was definitely under 3.5 and southampton win, to be honest it's a bet I've never done before but worked out alright !

They've been on fire this week, find them very good on the euro football - off the top of my head this week they tipped :

Southampton win and under 3.5
Shaktar SW
Leicster - draw
Juventus Under 2.5
Bayer Lev + 1
Fenerbache SW
Dortmund HT/FT
Monaco SW
Sevilla to nil
Porto to nil
Barca /City Btts and over 2.5
Arsenal btts and over 2.5

Any RP tips for the PL..

clairewithani

It's down to 2 in our local Last Man Standing. I have Chelsea, Utd, Leicester, Southampton (among others). Anyone care to throw out an opinion in who to pick?

Division

clairewithani wrote: »

It's down to 2 in our local Last Man Standing. I have Chelsea, Utd, Leicester, Southampton (among others). Anyone care to throw out an opinion in who to pick?

Tough week, could be a few upsets.

Would avoid Leicester as they are without their first choice goalkeeper, have to see how they handle that.

Hull didn't allow a shot on target last time out but they are the weakest opponent of your options.

Everton can spring a surprise but Chelsea are so good at home this season.

Utd are unreliable so would leave them for another week and wait for them to play at home.

Good luck.

bigboss1986

Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

Small double @ 4.70 :
Korona DC
Sunderland DC

clairewithani

Southampton and United I had picked already in my own head so went with Southampton. Utd have lost me the last 2 Last Man Standings. Thanks for reply Division. Fingers crossed.

retalivity

bigboss1986 wrote: »

Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

Small double @ 4.70 :
Korona DC
Sunderland DC

Las, youre signed into the wrong account!

mailburner

Burnley overpriced at home to palace
Took 5/2
Small on vokes anytime 12/5

bigboss1986

mailburner wrote: »

Burnley overpriced at home to palace
Took 5/2
Small on vokes anytime 12/5

2min

JamesFitz

Fantastic shout mailburner

bigboss1986

bigboss1986 wrote: »

Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

Small double @ 4.70 :
Korona DC
Sunderland DC

Korona won 3-1 :D Profit.Waiting for Sunderland now.Red card and goal disallowed :mad:

Division

Division wrote: »

Little accum for the weekend with an expected strike rate of 26%. EV is a bit larger than you would expect as I disagree with the bookies ratings by a large margin on the over/under market in Bournemouth v Sunderland.

Burnley Double Chance
Stoke Double Chance
Bournemouth v Sunderland - Under 3.5 Goals
Swansea v Man Utd - Under 3.5 Goals

5/1 Boylesports

Doesn't get much closer than that. Almost home and hosed.

mailburner

Had no internet access from 4-5
Kinda relieved

Brighton 29/20
Glen murray anytime 21/10

City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me

mailburner

Had no internet access from 4-5
Kinda relieved

Brighton 29/20
Glen murray anytime 21/10 365

City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me

bigboss1986

bigboss1986 wrote: »

Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

Small double @ 4.70 :
Korona DC
Sunderland DC

Booom.Big profit today!!!

Loafing Oaf

On Swansea/United HT/FT @22/1...

byronbay2

Anyone waiting for Everton to score (5-0 down, 15 mins left) to bring up "every team to score in today's 5 PL games"? I'm not, but some people on this forum seem to like those kinds of bets.

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

Brighton 29/20
Glen murray anytime 21/10 365

City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me

easy for brighton, blank for murray

Canonfan

byronbay2 wrote: »

Anyone waiting for Everton to score (5-0 down, 15 mins left) to bring up "every team to score in today's 5 PL games"? I'm not, but some people on this forum seem to like those kinds of bets.

I didn't see this bet thankfully, did the 3pm EPL BTTS @14/1

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

I like that burnley cs price, will take that.
Also Stoke +0.5gls ah @1.975

And a championship/fa cup anytime gs lucky 15
Mitrovic @2.2
Kodija @2.5
G murray @2.87
J morris @3.1

stoke bet won, kodijja scored......aaaaaand thats it.

shocksy

Liverpool enhanced from 1/4 to Evens (Max Stake €20) when you place the bet in the Paddy Power Messenger App.

Just text your Stake and ENHANCED LIVERPOOL.

Edit. New users only.

Dio On The Doubles

Posted in wrong thread last time

Going for BTTS @1.88 on Betfair Exchange in Swansea v Man United

United have failed to win any game after the Europa league this year. They conceded three against Watford post Europa, one against Stoke and four against Chelsea. BTTS landed in the Watford and Stoke games but not the Chelsea one.

BTTS has landed 8/10 recent head to head between the two and 8/10 of Swansea's recent matches

No Herrera, Bailly, Smalling or Valencia for United today - Herrera and Bailly out are the biggest help to the Swans getting on the scoresheet. Pogba is also out but he wasn't being used right anyway.

As bad as United are at scoring lately, Swansea are also a complete mess so I think United should net one. Two calamities finding the net against each other today hopefully.

Best of luck with any bets lads.

KevIRL

shocksy wrote: »

Liverpool enhanced from 1/4 to Evens (Max Stake €20) when you place the bet in the Paddy Power Messenger App.

Just text your Stake and ENHANCED LIVERPOOL.

Only for new users of the Messenger App unfortunately

mailburner

really fancy arsenal to do a job on spurs, cards will surely come if this happens

arsenal 1.92 main bet
danny rose to be carded at 11/5 (888) booked in last 4 in league, most go evens or less on this bar coral (7/4)

small on
sanchez wincast 7/2 hills
ozil wincast 6.75 888
vertonghen to be carded 5/2 888

mailburner

nice 7/5
plea anytime 9/4 888 (no way am I backing balo)

top away to 18th placed caen, look like good odds to me

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

really fancy arsenal to do a job on spurs, cards will surely come if this happens

arsenal 1.92 main bet
danny rose to be carded at 11/5 (888) booked in last 4 in league, most go evens or less on this bar coral (7/4)

small on
sanchez wincast 7/2 hills
ozil wincast 6.75 888
vertonghen to be carded 5/2 888

ouch!

Dio On The Doubles

Lucas playing Centre half for Pool today.

He's @2.5 for a booking on most books however betfair sportsbook still have him @4.00 for a booking. Huge price imo so I am on.