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Hurricane Matthew
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In terms of impacts over the next couple of days, Haiti is definitely the one to be concerned about. Its a 3rd world country that has suffered more than its fair share of natural disasters.
140 miles south of the western tip of Haiti. This means 20-40 hours of rain until it passes out of the way of Haiti, with the most wind & rain on the eastern quadrant. This is not going to go well for this island nation.
Bahamas and Cuba are better equipped to cope.
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Rain rolling into Haiti earlier today
Taking cover
Flooded car in Haiti earlier today
Guantanamo evacuation yesterday
Source https://weather.com/news/news/hurricane-matthew-latest-news-00 -
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iLikeWaffles wrote: »Holy balls imaging that coming towards you. Can do nothing but pray!
I would imagine seeking shelter and battening down the hatches would be a more fruitful reaction than praying for Jebus to help your plight
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...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MADE LANDFALL NEAR LES ANGLAIS IN WESTERN HAITI AT 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
The companion rain formation is still there.
The wind strength hasn't changed (230km/h), 934mb, moving at 15km/h. Some watches in parts of Florida are likely to be announed some time today. It's forecast to get close to the Florida East coast as a major Hurricane.0 -
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SnakePlissken wrote: »I would imagine seeking shelter and battening down the hatches would be a more fruitful reaction than praying for Jebus to help your plight
You'd be surprised with the power of belief.0 -
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Looking more serious now for the East Coast
NHC: Users are reminded not to focus on the exact forecast track since
strong winds, heavy rainfall, and a dangerous storm surge will
extend far from the center of Matthew. Most of the models shows a
strong hurricane near the east coast of Florida and the southeast
United States from days 2 through 5.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm
surge, extreme winds, heavy rains, flash floods, and/or mudslides in
portions of the watch and warning areas in Haiti, Cuba, and the
Bahamas. Please consult statements from the meteorological services
and other government officials in those countries.
2. Direct hurricane impacts are possible in Florida later this
week. Tropical storm and/or hurricane watches have been issued
for portions of the Florida peninsula and the Florida Keys.
3. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions could affect portions of
Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week or this
weekend, even if the center of Matthew remains offshore. It is too
soon to specify what, if any, direct impacts Matthew might have on
the remainder of the U.S. east coast farther north. At a minimum,
very dangerous beach and boating conditions are likely along much of
the U.S. east coast later this week and weekend.
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map (Inundation)
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The main GFS track and several of its ensembles, as well as the NGFDL model, are now showing what is effectively a U-turn for Matthew - it is now being forecast to hug the east coast of Florida and then perform an abrupt southeast turn as it reaches Georgia and South Carolina.
This could get extraordinarily messy if it swings south, re-strengthens over the warmer waters there and then completes a "loop de loop" as the GFS is suggesting. At the very least, the Bahamas could be in for a second landfall next week.
Usual caveats apply that tracks this far out tend not to verify, but that GFS is crazy. It reminds me of Nadine in 2012, except obviously Nadine remained in the open Atlantic for the duration of its bizarre track, so it was more just an interesting storm than a potentially dangerous one.
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