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Milk Price III

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Kerrys latest forward price is 32c/l. That's an increase of 3c/l since the last offer of 29c/l.

    So it looks somewhat positive for milk prices next year.

    There's definitely scope for a 1c increase this month but doubt we'll see much more than a half cent if any increase at all. Lakelands will be important in keeping or forcing the rest to raise.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,246 ✭✭✭Grueller


    Kerrys latest forward price is 32c/l. That's an increase of 3c/l since the last offer of 29c/l.

    So it looks somewhat positive for milk prices next year.

    There's definitely scope for a 1c increase this month but doubt we'll see much more than a half cent if any increase at all. Lakelands will be important in keeping or forcing the rest to raise.

    That forward price is 2c ahead of glanbias latest fixed price scheme.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭oxjkqg


    Kerrys latest forward price is 32c/l. That's an increase of 3c/l since the last offer of 29c/l.

    So it looks somewhat positive for milk prices next year.

    There's definitely scope for a 1c increase this month but doubt we'll see much more than a half cent if any increase at all. Lakelands will be important in keeping or forcing the rest to raise.

    Far cry from fixed scheme no. 16 of 29 cent a litre :confused:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Lakelands rise 1c/l.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,711 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Lakelands rise 1c/l.

    To 32cpl including vat :D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    whelan2 wrote: »
    To 32cpl including vat :D

    I caught it in the Journal but they quote prices ex-vat so I have no idea what the current prices are:rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,711 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Glanbia staying with a base price of 30.18 cpl including vat. Then 0.42 cpl share of profits and 0.4cpl top up payment from the co op.very complicated. Still nearly 2 cent behind lakelands base price


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,485 ✭✭✭Keepgrowing


    John Murphy taking over from Martin Keane as chair of glanbia coop
    Hopefully he can straighten the ship and get milk price and share price back on track

    He’ll have no bearing on share price as that’s the plcs relm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,645 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    whelan2 wrote: »
    Glanbia staying with a base price of 30.18 cpl including vat. Then 0.42 cpl share of profits and 0.4cpl top up payment from the co op.very complicated. Still nearly 2 cent behind lakelands base price

    Reading on Agriland, Glanbia saying they'll be paying on average 38.15c/L for September milk. Can someone explain, based on the numbers from whelan2 there, how they get to 38.15c/L?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    Reading on Agriland, Glanbia saying they'll be paying on average 38.15c/L for September milk. Can someone explain, based on the numbers from whelan2 there, how they get to 38.15c/L?
    Their averaging what suppliers will be paid for solids, smokescreen basically


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,711 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    Their averaging what suppliers will be paid for solids, smokescreen basically

    The solids are the farmers- own work, not glanbias


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,141 ✭✭✭RightTurnClyde


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    Their averaging what suppliers will be paid for solids, smokescreen basically

    Now that would be a good start for John Mirphy. Stop them quoting the average price inc solids. Focus on the base price


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,645 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    Their averaging what suppliers will be paid for solids, smokescreen basically
    whelan2 wrote: »
    The solids are the farmers- own work, not glanbias

    Is the price achievable?

    Sorry for the questions, I'm not a dairy person. Just trying to figure out how in the name of jaysus they say the price is x, plus a "bonus" of y and z, but are actually paying way more than that according to their own statement. I see Kerry have said something similar now too


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭oxjkqg


    Kerry at 31 cent, jesus christ some insult!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Is the price achievable?

    Sorry for the questions, I'm not a dairy person. Just trying to figure out how in the name of jaysus they say the price is x, plus a "bonus" of y and z, but are actually paying way more than that according to their own statement. I see Kerry have said something similar now too

    The price is achievable, it's being received and exceeded by half the suppliers.

    But it's a slant used to make the price being paid look much better than it actually is. Kerrys base price is still unchanged from last month at 31c/l though the price received by farmers has risen due to the effects of cows starting to dry off and volumes decreasing while solids increase. And it will look better again next month as the same process of lower volumes and higher solids leads to a higher price per litre while the base price still stays unchanged.


  • Registered Users Posts: 285 ✭✭Acquiescence


    oxjkqg wrote: »
    Kerry at 31 cent, jesus christ some insult!

    A cynical person might suggest it was to incentivise uptake of the most recent forward pricing offer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,711 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Reading on Agriland, Glanbia saying they'll be paying on average 38.15c/L for September milk. Can someone explain, based on the numbers from whelan2 there, how they get to 38.15c/L?

    With an average price like that there will be many over 40cpl but will also be those under 30cpl.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,427 ✭✭✭Wildsurfer


    Is the price achievable?

    Sorry for the questions, I'm not a dairy person. Just trying to figure out how in the name of jaysus they say the price is x, plus a "bonus" of y and z, but are actually paying way more than that according to their own statement. I see Kerry have said something similar now too
    The base price is the price given for milk at a specified butterfat and protein content. But with good management most suppliers will exceed this 'base' level and will be paid extra for their higher percentage fat/protein content. This fat/protein content is usually referred to as the solids content of milk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,645 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Thanks all for helping me understand. One last one (I think). For the solids, is it a set price per fix amount over and above the base constituents?

    And another!
    What difference does it make? If farmer A has super milk with great fat/protein, and the lad next door is a shady operator with poor numbers, when it all goes into the truck and to the processor, what difference does the hard work of farmer A mean to the processor apart from a higher pay out /l. Isn't that quality milk diluted with the rubbish stuff?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,394 ✭✭✭✭Timmaay


    Wildsurfer wrote: »
    The base price is the price given for milk at a specified butterfat and protein content. But with good management most suppliers will exceed this 'base' level and will be paid extra for their higher percentage fat/protein content. This fat/protein content is usually referred to as the solids content of milk.

    Quoting milk price in c/l in Ireland is complete smoke and mirrors. We are paid a flat rate per kg of solids, end of story. The farmer wants to maximise the kgs of ms (within a reasonable cost), if he achieves 28c/l or 50c/l its almost irrelevant (aside from the water deduction).


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Thanks all for helping me understand. One last one (I think). For the solids, is it a set price per fix amount over and above the base constituents?

    And another!
    What difference does it make? If farmer A has super milk with great fat/protein, and the lad next door is a shady operator with poor numbers, when it all goes into the truck and to the processor, what difference does the hard work of farmer A mean to the processor apart from a higher pay out /l. Isn't that quality milk diluted with the rubbish stuff?

    We're paid on kgs of fat and protein produced in the milk as this is what is sold and there's a small charge for the volume of water, for want of a better word, that the solids are contained in in the milk.

    So two farmers can send the exact same kgs of fat and protein to be processed but get two different prices as one would have lower solid % in their milk so get charged more to pay for the cost of evaporating the water off while the other would have a higher price as he would be deducted less to pay for the lower volume of water to be evaporated in his milk.

    Same kgs of solids but 2 different prices to reflect the extra cost of disposing of the water.

    Every collection is sampled to measure the fat and protein %s and also the cellcount and lactose and tested for the lack of antibiotics and two or three times a month to check the total bacteria count.

    So every time you're collected, there's a record of everything there that reduces quality and you get deductions for each of those. Except antibiotics, any trace of those in the milk and you get charged for the entire cost of the entire tank of milk.


  • Registered Users Posts: 120 ✭✭Farm365


    Timmaay wrote: »
    Quoting milk price in c/l in Ireland is complete smoke and mirrors. We are paid a flat rate per kg of solids, end of story. The farmer wants to maximise the kgs of ms (within a reasonable cost), if he achieves 28c/l or 50c/l its almost irrelevant (aside from the water deduction).

    Why isn’t the price quoted in kgs of solids? How do you work in the price per kg?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,061 ✭✭✭alps


    Farm365 wrote: »
    Why isn’t the price quoted in kgs of solids? How do you work in the price per kg?

    The price is quoted in €/kg of Protein plus €/kg Fat and minus the amount they'll charge per litre delivered.

    Each processor pays a different amount cor each of the values above, and as each farmer has a different Fat to protein profile and ratio, there is no such thing as a price for the combined kg of milk solids.

    IFJ have standardised their KG of milk solids for the creation of the Milk league attached, which ranks processors in price/kg of this standardised kg MS..


  • Registered Users Posts: 15 farmerrichie


    Looking forward to milk price increase from dairygold. 2c a litre wouldn't be out of the way, just to catch up with the other co ops milk prices��.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,711 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    What's the story with arrabawn milk being recalled from a good few supermarkets?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    whelan2 wrote: »
    What's the story with arrabawn milk being recalled from a good few supermarkets?

    https://twitter.com/franmcnulty/status/1316776070998302722?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    What causes the bacteria?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    What causes the bacteria?
    The FSAI said the test for Enterobacteriaceae is used as an indicator of poor hygiene, process failure and/or post-processing contamination of heat processed foods.
    Seems to be a hygiene/washing problem in the plant.


  • Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭degetme


    Kerrys latest forward price is 32c/l. That's an increase of 3c/l since the last offer of 29c/l.

    So it looks somewhat positive for milk prices next year.

    There's definitely scope for a 1c increase this month but doubt we'll see much more than a half cent if any increase at all. Lakelands will be important in keeping or forcing the rest to raise.

    Are you going to sign up


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    degetme wrote: »
    Are you going to sign up

    No, I locked in a good bit a while back so I'm as covered as I want to be tight now.

    What I gained in fixing, I lost much more on the money due on leading milk price compensation.


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