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Winter Weather 2016/17 - General Discussion
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We do thankfully. Yours as stated here doesn't really have a tremendous amount of relevance to the point at hand though.
If someone was to wander in here looking for a bit of winter weather discussion and trying to avoid snow threads see, then stating an opinion like "wtf are you all still talking about snow for" would be relevant at that time. Wandering on to a 150 page thread about snow and stating that opinion might not in fairness. ;-)
Well if snow wasn't as rare as it is in Ireland, do you think the thread would be filled with snow obsession posts?Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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Not a great six months ahead at all of what the CFS is showing:
February - Rather average rainfall and mild.
March - Rather wet and mild but northern blocking
.
April - Very wet yet mild.
May - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind.
June - Fairly average with warm and rather dry conditions.
July - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind like May.
A very poor start to the Summer is predicted by the CFS right now. Of course it's all just for fun but knowing Ireland's climate, this will probably be what it will be like, PLEASE BE WRONG.
At this stage, February is not looking as mild as it was but it is still looking rather mild. Quite a boring end to this extremely benign Winter
. Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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Listening to RTÉ Gold,Larry Gogan is playing the chart of Jan 9th 1982,the week of the famous blizzard
There was seriously great music then and slow sets
Meanwhile while our high has to go somewhere eventually either northwest or Northeast or North
Currently it can't really go south
So patience people and see what happens0 -
Listening to RTÉ Gold,Larry Gogan is playing the chart of Jan 9th 1982,the week of the famous blizzard
There was seriously great music then and slow sets
Meanwhile while our high has to go somewhere eventually either northwest or Northeast or North
Currently it can't really go south
So patience people and see what happens
Some great memories alright
This is a great site for UK hits, if you want to find out what was number 1. on your birthday or the top 40 at the time. For me it's Tina Charles with 'I Love to Love'!
www.everyhit.com0 -
sryanbruen wrote: »Not a great six months ahead at all of what the CFS is showing:
March - Rather wet and mild but northern blocking.
Well, maybe the cfs thinks an SSW might set up blocking, albeit in the wrong place to deliver a cold spell(much like now). A block that is too far west for instance in a west based nao. As for February, a few long range forecasters were predicting a more active Atlantic than is normal for this month. I really hope we don't get really cold weather in late February into March, knowing our luck that will probably happen.0 -
Seriously ...are you the donegal postman or James Madden?sryanbruen wrote: »Not a great six months ahead at all of what the CFS is showing:
February - Rather average rainfall and mild.
March - Rather wet and mild but northern blocking.
April - Very wet yet mild.
May - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind.
June - Fairly average with warm and rather dry conditions.
July - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind like May.
A very poor start to the Summer is predicted by the CFS right now. Of course it's all just for fun but knowing Ireland's climate, this will probably be what it will be like, PLEASE BE WRONG.
At this stage, February is not looking as mild as it was but it is still looking rather mild. Quite a boring end to this extremely benign Winter.0 -
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sryanbruen wrote: »Not a great six months ahead at all of what the CFS is showing:
February - Rather average rainfall and mild.
March - Rather wet and mild but northern blocking.
April - Very wet yet mild.
May - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind.
June - Fairly average with warm and rather dry conditions.
July - Very cool and wet with a northerly wind like May.
A very poor start to the Summer is predicted by the CFS right now. Of course it's all just for fun but knowing Ireland's climate, this will probably be what it will be like, PLEASE BE WRONG.
At this stage, February is not looking as mild as it was but it is still looking rather mild. Quite a boring end to this extremely benign Winter.
So which predictions are you going with, yours or CFS?Due to 2016 being a unique year in terms of the QBO or solar activity, I am not highly confident on these predictions for the coming year as I was with my 2016 ones:
January - Very cold and rather wet but sunny.
February - Fairly mild, wet and dull.
March - Rather warm, wet and sunny.
April - Warm, dry and sunny.
May - Very cool, dull and wet.
June - Pleasantly warm and dry. Very sunny.
July - Very sunny, dry and warm.
August - Warm, wet and dull.
September - Fairly cool, wet and sunny.
October - Very wet, stormy and mild.
November - Another very sunny November but wet and mild.
December - Cold, dull and fairly dry.
Like I did with 2016, I am not allowed change any of these predictions during the course of the year under any circumstances. Please can I get July right this year!
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=102117775&postcount=10 -
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sryanbruen wrote: »Mine. I base my predictions on patterns, not what models are showing.
Thats easy to do, I'll give my own a lash.
Winter, dull, the odd sunny day, a couple of Atlantic stroms, a bit of frost and the Internet clamering for snow.
Spring, slight rise in temperatures, some sunny days, dull and wet and the usual final sting in the tail from winter.
Summer, a few additional sunny days, a scorching 3/4 days at the start of June with everyone on the interweb predicting it to last for months, then rain, dull and miserable.
Autumn, Sept and Oct usually the nicest months of the year weatherwise. After that its downhill with the intenet folk predicting a "White Christmas". But in reality its dull, miserable, wet, mild and stormy all in the same week.
They're the patterns I observed for over 50 years and like yourself I'll stick with them as well.0 -
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Thats easy to do, I'll give my own a lash.
Winter, dull, the odd sunny day, a couple of Atlantic stroms, a bit of frost and the Internet clamering for snow.
Spring, slight rise in temperatures, some sunny days, dull and wet and the usual final sting in the tail from winter.
Summer, a few additional sunny days, a scorching 3/4 days at the start of June with everyone on the interweb predicting it to last for months, then rain, dull and miserable.
Autumn, Sept and Oct usually the nicest months of the year weatherwise. After that its downhill with the intenet folk predicting a "White Christmas". But in reality its dull, miserable, wet, mild and stormy all in the same week.
They're the patterns I observed for over 50 years and like yourself I'll stick with them as well.
By patterns I mean:
QBO, AO, NAO, SW, El Nino / La Nina etc.Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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sryanbruen wrote: »By patterns I mean:
QBO, AO, NAO, SW, El Nino / La Nina etc.
Right i'll add my own little prediction for 2017.:D
This is for the southeast of Ireland.
Based on a rough link to El Nino and La Nina conditions giving stormy and wet weather to Ireland and the middle between El Nino and La Nina (neutral) giving dry conditions to the southeast. With ENSO heading back into neutral territory and predicted to stay this way till October.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/january-2017-enso-update-happy-new-year
I'm predicting a drier than normal spring and drier than normal summer and perhaps wetter than normal autumn and winter as it heads back into El Nino conditions.
You heard it here first.;)0 -
pedigree 6 wrote: »Right i'll add my own little prediction.:D
This is for the southeast of Ireland.
Based on a rough link to El Nino and La Nina conditions giving stormy and wet weather to Ireland and the middle between El Nino and La Nina (neutral) giving dry conditions to the southeast. With ENSO heading back into neutral territory and predicted to stay this way till October.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/january-2017-enso-update-happy-new-year
I'm predicting a drier than normal spring and drier than normal summer and perhaps wetter than normal autumn and winter as it heads back into El Nino conditions.
You heard it here first.;)
And my predictions show a wet Spring, dry Summer, very wet Autumn and a rather dry start to Winter. So we're both on the same page with a dry Summer and a wet Autumn.Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/
Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1
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