UFC/MMA Log 2017

mailburner

BET 31

Sanchez on pts 7/1
3

leites by sub 4/1
4

de lima by ko 11/4
3.50

50c treble

I'm just hopeful of getting one up here maybe two tbh

sanchez looks unlikely but he is durable to say the least and the last time he finished an opponent was 2008, iaquinta is good but is he that good to be so short after a long layoff?

from mmajunkie
Against Leites, who attempted just 14 strikes in his most recent fight, a decision loss to Krzysztof Jotko...probably a fight he should have won and he should win this one too imo
I'd like to see him do what he does best and go for a sub, he's never been finished and has gone five with silva in his prime (wouldnt engage, possibly the worst championship fight I've seen)

The de lima bet is more or less about me wanting to take on osp whos on a 3 fight losing streak so it might be a good time to take him on
I'd fear for his future if he couldnt beat de lima in fairness...either way it surely finishes early

mailburner

BET 32

Perry by ko/tko 6/4
14
skybet


jake has been in there with the very elite of the division and probably should be eating perry for breakfast but there's no doubt in my mind he'll stand and bang with perry who is tough as nails and will eventually get a ko

mailburner

BET 33

All these not to go the distance
osp de lima
davis dandois
To go the distance
ortiz moreno
penne taylo
Iaquinta sanchez
perry ko
swanson ko
3 returns 68.71
betway

mailburner

BET 34

Penne by dec 7/4
8
skybet

Thought penne might have been favourite for this, haven't been impressed with taylor so far but she should be hard to finish

penne pts
perry ko
swanson ko
3 at 10.14/1
skybet

mailburner

BET 35

cub by ko round two
penne by dec
perry by ko round one
moreno by dec
osp de lima fight to finish in round one
5 x 50c four folds
50c accum
skybet
fairly big odds :pac: (622/1)

mailburner

BET 36

moreno pts 4/1
5

lauzon pts 9/2
1.50

50c double
skybet




2euro total, 7 folds + accum

too many mad bets tonight possibly, as long as the cub ko comes in it should be a profitable night, surely something else will click

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

BET 30

Swanson by ko/tko 4/5
30
fred


It's usually when I'm most confident about a fight that I've been wrong so far this year and it's the reason I'm not putting more on this, if swanson can't put artem away I'll be amazed
This seems like a total mismatch and I think cub will have one thing is his head which will be to take the head off artem

yet again my main bet goes down, rarely looked like coming off
-30

mailburner wrote: »

BET 31

Sanchez on pts 7/1
3

leites by sub 4/1
4

de lima by ko 11/4
3.50

50c treble

I'm just hopeful of getting one up here maybe two tbh

sanchez looks unlikely but he is durable to say the least and the last time he finished an opponent was 2008, iaquinta is good but is he that good to be so short after a long layoff?

from mmajunkie
Against Leites, who attempted just 14 strikes in his most recent fight, a decision loss to Krzysztof Jotko...probably a fight he should have won and he should win this one too imo
I'd like to see him do what he does best and go for a sub, he's never been finished and has gone five with silva in his prime (wouldnt engage, possibly the worst championship fight I've seen)

The de lima bet is more or less about me wanting to take on osp whos on a 3 fight losing streak so it might be a good time to take him on
I'd fear for his future if he couldnt beat de lima in fairness...either way it surely finishes early

-11

mailburner wrote: »

BET 32

Perry by ko/tko 6/4
14
skybet


jake has been in there with the very elite of the division and probably should be eating perry for breakfast but there's no doubt in my mind he'll stand and bang with perry who is tough as nails and will eventually get a ko

won
staked 14
ret 30.80
+16.80

price on that was actually 6/5

mailburner wrote: »

BET 33

All these not to go the distance
osp de lima
davis dandois
To go the distance
ortiz moreno
penne taylo
Iaquinta sanchez
perry ko
swanson ko
3 returns 68.71
betway

-3

mailburner wrote: »

BET 34

Penne by dec 7/4
8
skybet

Thought penne might have been favourite for this, haven't been impressed with taylor so far but she should be hard to finish

penne pts
perry ko
swanson ko
3 at 10.14/1
skybet

-11

mailburner wrote: »

BET 35

cub by ko round two
penne by dec
perry by ko round one
moreno by dec
osp de lima fight to finish in round one
5 x 50c four folds
50c accum
skybet
fairly big odds :pac: (622/1)

-3

mailburner wrote: »

BET 36

moreno pts 4/1
5

lauzon pts 9/2
1.50

50c double
skybet




2euro total, 7 folds + accum

too many mad bets tonight possibly, as long as the cub ko comes in it should be a profitable night, surely something else will click

-9

staked 81/ret 30.80/-50.20

Total staked 619.20/ret 809.28/+190.08

Too many method of victory bets, thought penne won and maybe singles on leites and moreno might have made more sense, disaster of a night, didn't see the swanson fight going the distance at all

Division

What do you think of this?

Stipe Miocic vs Junior Dos Santos - over 2.5 rounds @ 1.83?

mailburner

Division wrote: »

What do you think of this?

Stipe Miocic vs Junior Dos Santos - over 2.5 rounds @ 1.83?

I fancy it to last that long at least
I don't see either going in trying to take the others head off, think there'll be a lot of respect on both sides and it could turn out very similiar to the last contest, some say jds could be on the decline, don't think so myself although miocic looks to have improved since their last meeting


I backed miocic last time they met thinking he was over priced and had a pretty good chance, he was 19/5 and he just failed, nobody gave him a prayer here tbh

Division

mailburner wrote: »

I fancy it to last that long at least
I don't see either going in trying to take the others head off, think there'll be a lot of respect on both sides and it could turn out very similiar to the last contest, some say jds could be on the decline, don't think so myself although miocic looks to have improved since their last meeting


I backed miocic last time they met thinking he was over priced and had a pretty good chance, he was 19/5 and he just failed, nobody gave him a prayer here tbh

I watched the last one. The difference between the two was JDS had much better cardio and was the only one making an effort in the final round and a half when Miocic had absolutely nothing left in the tank.

mailburner

Division wrote: »

I watched the last one. The difference between the two was JDS had much better cardio and was the only one making an effort in the final round and a half when Miocic had absolutely nothing left in the tank.

what your opinion on maia? is 11/10 an insane price? I can't see why he's not a shorter price here
The problem is anytime I've been very confident about a bet here and have increased my stakes i've fallen short

Division

mailburner wrote: »

what your opinion on maia? is 11/10 an insane price? I can't see why he's not a shorter price here
The problem is anytime I've been very confident about a bet here and have increased my stakes i've fallen short

Can't help you on this one as I don't know much about Masvidal but its obvious that Maia is going to try to end this one with a rear naked choke against a striker who may not have the ground game to stop him.

Not a bet for me, MMA is a tough sport to profit from and trying to pick a winner at value odds is hard enough without trying to pick the method or round but...:)

Maia in round 3 by rear naked choke.

I very rarely bet MMA and always at low stakes for a bit of fun. I haven't a clue how to price this up so i just don't bother, its interesting enough for me without a bet.

mailburner

Division wrote: »

Maia in round 3 by rear naked choke.

sub in round 3 16s it is then :P
the 4/1 by betvic on the rare naked choke has to be worth a bet though

it'll be 4 rear naked choke finishes in 5 bouts if he get this one done by this method so that will do for me

mailburner

BET 37


Demian Maia v Jorge Masvidal
Rear Naked Choke
(Submission Outcome - Match)
Odds: 4/1
Stake: 16.00
Possible Return: 80.00
betv


seems the most likely sub outcome and a nice price to boot

mailburner

that price didn't last long (11/4) :pac:

Division

Division wrote: »

What do you think of this?

Stipe Miocic vs Junior Dos Santos - over 2.5 rounds @ 1.83?

2.2 with BetVictor. Have to have a bit of that.

mailburner

BET 38

Alvarez by ko 5/1
10
888

It's anyones guess as to how alvarez will respond to his last ko defeat, might try and take dustin down and win that way or might just stand and bang, if he does the latter I think he has a good chance of putting dustin away, think he will go out there and try to put on a show myself and price is just a little too big imo and nearly two points bigger than most books

mailburner

BET 39

maia evens
25


I think maia will get masvidal down and keep him there, was thinking a bigger stake but chickened out

mailburner

BET 40

joanna pts
frankie pts
maia sub
4 at 17.32
888


joanna pts
frankie pts
maia sub
alvarez ko
2.80 at 95.29
888

mailburner

BET 41

can't resist one more



Stipe Miocic - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 6/4 (Method of Victory - Match)
Over 2.5 @ 2/7 (Alt Total Rounds U/O - Match) jj v andrade
Over 2.5 @ 4/9 (Total Rounds U/O - Match) edgar v rod

Multiple Type: Treble Stake: 11.00 Possible Return: 51.07
betv

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

BET 37


Demian Maia v Jorge Masvidal
Rear Naked Choke
(Submission Outcome - Match)
Odds: 4/1
Stake: 16.00
Possible Return: 80.00
betv


seems the most likely sub outcome and a nice price to boot

masvidal defended too well
-16

mailburner wrote: »

BET 38

Alvarez by ko 5/1
10
888

It's anyones guess as to how alvarez will respond to his last ko defeat, might try and take dustin down and win that way or might just stand and bang, if he does the latter I think he has a good chance of putting dustin away, think he will go out there and try to put on a show myself and price is just a little too big imo and nearly two points bigger than most books

void

mailburner wrote: »

BET 39


maia evens
25


I think maia will get masvidal down and keep him there, was thinking a bigger stake but chickened out

just about
staked 25
ret 50
+25

mailburner wrote: »

BET 40

joanna pts
frankie pts
maia sub
4 at 17.32
888


joanna pts
frankie pts
maia sub
alvarez ko
2.80 at 95.29
888

-6.80

mailburner wrote: »

BET 41

can't resist one more



Stipe Miocic - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 6/4 (Method of Victory - Match)
Over 2.5 @ 2/7 (Alt Total Rounds U/O - Match) jj v andrade
Over 2.5 @ 4/9 (Total Rounds U/O - Match) edgar v rod

Multiple Type: Treble Stake: 11.00 Possible Return: 51.07
betv

was certain frankie would go the distance
-11

staked 58.80/ret 50/-8.80

Total staked 678/ret 859.28/+181.28

I really feel that was an event I should have made money on, frankie hit 10/11 at one stage, regret not taking that price though I thought if he won it would surely be on pts
I don't recall him seeing him do so much damage to a fighter in all the years i've been watching him

callaway92

mailburner wrote: »

masvidal defended too well
-16



void


just about
staked 25
ret 50
+25


-6.80


was certain frankie would go the distance
-11

staked 58.80/ret 50/-8.80

Total staked 678/ret 859.28/+181.28

I really feel that was an event I should have made money on, frankie hit 10/11 at one stage, regret not taking that price though I thought if he won it would surely be on pts
I don't recall him seeing him do so much damage to a fighter in all the years i've been watching him

In fairness, your Alvarez bet getting void was lucky, plain and simple, so it kinda evened it. He should've been DQ'd. Great fight though.

mailburner

callaway92 wrote: »

In fairness, your Alvarez bet getting void was lucky, plain and simple, so it kinda evened it

Was more referring to the fact that I backed frankie jj and miocic yet none in singles...was lucky enough to get the maia bet up also

mailburner

BET 42

dj griffin 9/4
11
skybet

I don't know the guy and it's his pro debut, went 2/2 and an amateur, one sub one ko
kimbo slice's son baby is his opponent, fought once subbed once
The price might be wrong and it might not but I don't want to be sitting here later on tonight regretting not throwing a few pound on a fighter that could be just as one dimensional as his dad regardless of the opponent

mailburner

BET 43

kongo
mac donald
30 @ 1.75
sj

always a risk with kongo, rory is in a different league to daley

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

BET 42

dj griffin 9/4
11
skybet

I don't know the guy and it's his pro debut, went 2/2 and an amateur, one sub one ko
kimbo slice's son baby is his opponent, fought once subbed once
The price might be wrong and it might not but I don't want to be sitting here later on tonight regretting not throwing a few pound on a fighter that could be just as one dimensional as his dad regardless of the opponent

slice by ko
-11

mailburner wrote: »

BET 43

kongo
mac donald
30 @ 1.75
sj

always a risk with kongo, rory is in a different league to daley

kongo by the skin of his teeth, rory got it done easily
staked 30
ret 52.60
+22.60

staked 41/ret 52.60/+11.60

Total staked 719/ret 911.88/+192.88

mailburner

BET 44

Single
Abdul Razak Alhassan v Omari Akhmedov MMA-UFC
Abdul Razak Alhassan - Round 1
Round betting
Odds: 3/2
1 line at ?30.00
Total stake for this bet: ?30.00
Potential return: ?75.00
Ladbrokes (boyles next best 21/20)

abdul round 2 7/1
5

abdul round 3 14/1
2
skybet

7 fights all by first round ko, first proper test here also possibly

mailburner

BET 45

Single: Misha Cirkunov Submission & Round 1 @ 5/2
1 line at ?10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: ?10.00
pp

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

BET 44

Single
Abdul Razak Alhassan v Omari Akhmedov MMA-UFC
Abdul Razak Alhassan - Round 1
Round betting
Odds: 3/2
1 line at ?30.00
Total stake for this bet: ?30.00
Potential return: ?75.00
Ladbrokes (boyles next best 21/20)

abdul round 2 7/1
5

abdul round 3 14/1
2
skybet

7 fights all by first round ko, first proper test here also possibly

I'm a little embarrassed by this one, akhmedov is one tough lad and I completely overlooked that
-37

mailburner wrote: »

BET 45

Single: Misha Cirkunov Submission & Round 1 @ 5/2
1 line at ?10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: ?10.00
pp

figured he only had to turn up and it was either gonna be a ko or sub lol
-10

47 down the drain there


Total staked 766/ret 911.88/+148.88

mailburner

BET 46

alcantara
gadelha
borrachinha

17 treble (38.74)



Max Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ or Decision @ 7/4
12.00 Single
365


was planning on backing max all week but chickened out, he won't sub aldo so it should be one or the other