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UFC/MMA Log 2017

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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 47


    alcantara sub 2/1
    15
    sj

    nate by sub 10/1
    5
    sj

    treble on two above with max decision (11/4)
    2euro




    under 2.5 rounds alcantara
    under 1.5 rounds vitor nate borrachinha bamg
    over 1.5 silva medeiros
    assuncao fight to go the distance
    claudia
    antonio carlos junior

    3 (47.91)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 48

    bad start to the night so far



    Max Holloway @ 13/10
    Nate Marquardt @ 11/8
    Doubles, 1 bet 4.00

    Max Holloway @ 13/10
    23.00 Single


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 46

    alcantara
    gadelha
    borrachinha

    17 treble (38.74)



    Max Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ or Decision @ 7/4
    12.00 Single
    365


    was planning on backing max all week but chickened out, he won't sub aldo so it should be one or the other

    shocked by alcantara...was a last minute choice as the 1.77 odds on the
    other two wasn't enough for me..sick, not always a good idea backing against a guy you know nothing about

    staked 29
    ret 33
    +4

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 47


    alcantara sub 2/1
    15
    sj

    nate by sub 10/1
    5
    sj

    treble on two above with max decision (11/4)
    2euro




    under 2.5 rounds alcantara
    under 1.5 rounds vitor nate borrachinha bamg
    over 1.5 silva medeiros
    assuncao fight to go the distance
    claudia
    antonio carlos junior

    3 (47.91)
    no joy but no regrets about backing nate for what I thought was a 50/50 fight...both so far past it now sadly
    -25
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 48

    bad start to the night so far



    Max Holloway @ 13/10
    Nate Marquardt @ 11/8
    Doubles, 1 bet 4.00

    Max Holloway @ 13/10
    23.00 Single
    staked 27
    ret 52.90
    +25.90


    staked 81/ret 85.90/+4.90


    Total staked 847/ret 997.78/+150.78


    error made on previous total which should be +145.88

    Mark hunt up next but just waiting for those odds to drift a little bit more first :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 49

    UFC Matches Ben Nguyen v Tim Elliott
    11-06-2017 03:30
    Match Betting
    Tim Elliott @ 4/9
    UFC Matches John Moraga v Ashkan Mokhtarian
    11-06-2017 01:30
    Match Betting
    Ashkan Mokhtarian @ 6/4
    UFC Matches Mark Hunt v Derrick Lewis
    11-06-2017 05:30
    Method & Round Combo
    Mark Hunt KO & Round 1 @ 4/1
    Your Bets
    Treble
    1 line at ?4.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: ?4.00
    Potential returns: ?72.22
    PP


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 50


    Hunt by ko round one 4/1
    8
    pp

    Hunt by ko round two 8/1
    2
    888

    Hunt by ko round three 15/1
    1
    888


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 51

    Hunt by ko 6/4
    40
    888

    minute I seen this match up this was in my head, pretty sure it'll be a ko by one or the other, both have serious power but if hunt lands I doubt lewis will be able to eat it, think there's a chance hunt could eat a few from lewis though.
    I think hunt could do to lewis what he did to nelson


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 49

    UFC Matches Ben Nguyen v Tim Elliott
    11-06-2017 03:30
    Match Betting
    Tim Elliott @ 4/9
    UFC Matches John Moraga v Ashkan Mokhtarian
    11-06-2017 01:30
    Match Betting
    Ashkan Mokhtarian @ 6/4
    UFC Matches Mark Hunt v Derrick Lewis
    11-06-2017 05:30
    Method & Round Combo
    Mark Hunt KO & Round 1 @ 4/1
    Your Bets
    Treble
    1 line at ?4.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: ?4.00
    Potential returns: ?72.22
    PP
    -4
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 50


    Hunt by ko round one 4/1
    8
    pp

    Hunt by ko round two 8/1
    2
    888

    Hunt by ko round three 15/1
    1
    888
    can't believe this went four rounds
    -11
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 51

    Hunt by ko 6/4
    40
    888

    minute I seen this match up this was in my head, pretty sure it'll be a ko by one or the other, both have serious power but if hunt lands I doubt lewis will be able to eat it, think there's a chance hunt could eat a few from lewis though.
    I think hunt could do to lewis what he did to nelson
    Took a while but it got there in the end, hunt never looked in any real danger of losing, surprised me that hunt wasn't favourite for this
    staked 40
    ret 100
    +60


    staked 55/ret 100/+45

    Total staked 902/ret 1097.78/+195.78


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 52


    Dong Hyun Kim 3.60
    Colby Covington v Dong Hyun Kim - 17/06/2017
    Stake 20.00
    Estimated Return:72.00
    coral


    I have no idea why kim is such an underdog here like a few others have
    pointed out on the mma gambling thread, his losses have only been to the very elite in woodley, maia and condit
    I see this as a 50/50 match up so those odds have to be take imo

    Only bet for me on the card apart from maybe a kim method of victory bet


    It's only now I realise that this card is already on as I type this :o


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 53

    Kim by sub 2/1
    4
    skyb

    kim by ko 8/1
    2
    skybet


    not sure if kim will try to put on a show and finish colby or play it safe and lay on colby for three....or maybe it might happen the other way round :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 52


    Dong Hyun Kim 3.60
    Colby Covington v Dong Hyun Kim - 17/06/2017
    Stake 20.00
    Estimated Return:72.00
    coral


    I have no idea why kim is such an underdog here like a few others have
    pointed out on the mma gambling thread, his losses have only been to the very elite in woodley, maia and condit
    I see this as a 50/50 match up so those odds have to be take imo

    Only bet for me on the card apart from maybe a kim method of victory bet


    It's only now I realise that this card is already on as I type this :o
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 53

    Kim by sub 2/1
    4
    skyb

    kim by ko 8/1
    2
    skybet


    not sure if kim will try to put on a show and finish colby or play it safe and lay on colby for three....or maybe it might happen the other way round :pac:

    couldn't have been more wrong
    -26

    Total staked 928/ret 1097.78/+169.78


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 54

    mitrione 4/5
    50
    bet365


    The minute this match up was made I was backing mitrione, evens yesterday so I'm thinking I missed the boat
    fedor is past it, matt should win this easily enough unless he does something stupid


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 55

    Dennis Siver @ 8/15
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Yes @ 4/6
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) Bader V Davis
    Multiple Type: Double
    Stake: 25.00
    Possible Return: 63.89
    betv

    think bader and davis will cancel each other out, don't see penn doing much here either and just wish he'd retire


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 56

    Yes @ 4/6
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) bader davis
    Lorenz Larkin @ 4/9
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Matt Mitrione @ 4/5
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Erik Koch @ 2/7
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Carla Esparza @ 2/5
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Dennis Siver @ 8/15
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    No @ 2/5
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) chiesa lee
    Multiple Type: 7 fold
    Stake: 4.00
    Possible Return: 66.98


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 57


    Ryan Bader - to win by Decision or Technical Decision @ 9/4
    (Round Betting - Match)
    Matt Mitrione - to win in Round 1 @ 15/8
    (Round Betting - Match)
    Dennis Siver - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 2/1
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Carla Esparza - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 8/11
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Erik Koch - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 11/4
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Multiple Type: 5 fold
    Stake: 2.00
    Possible Return: 363.13


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 54

    mitrione 4/5
    50
    bet365


    The minute this match up was made I was backing mitrione, evens yesterday so I'm thinking I missed the boat
    fedor is past it, matt should win this easily enough unless he does something stupid
    That looked like a pretty out of shape fedor
    staked 50
    ret 90
    +40

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 56

    Yes @ 4/6
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) bader davis
    Lorenz Larkin @ 4/9
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Matt Mitrione @ 4/5
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Erik Koch @ 2/7
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Carla Esparza @ 2/5
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Dennis Siver @ 8/15
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    No @ 2/5
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) chiesa lee
    Multiple Type: 7 fold
    Stake: 4.00
    Possible Return: 66.98
    -4

    Staked 54/ret 90/+36

    Total staked 982/ret 1187.78/+205.78


    Good start to the weekend there and a pretty comfortable one with matt, fedor looked pretty fat in there.
    I flew through the bader davis fight and all i heard was crowd booing anytime I stopped it, I would be shocked if siver doesn't bring in the double and am far too confident of it coming in.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 55

    Dennis Siver @ 8/15
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Yes @ 4/6
    (Will The Fight Go The Distance - Match) Bader V Davis
    Multiple Type: Double
    Stake: 25.00
    Possible Return: 63.89
    betv

    think bader and davis will cancel each other out, don't see penn doing much here either and just wish he'd retire
    one scary moment in the second where siver was dropped but penn was shot by the third round, bader davis could have fought ten rounds without a finish
    staked 25
    ret 63.89
    +38.89

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 57


    Ryan Bader - to win by Decision or Technical Decision @ 9/4
    (Round Betting - Match)
    Matt Mitrione - to win in Round 1 @ 15/8
    (Round Betting - Match)
    Dennis Siver - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 2/1
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Carla Esparza - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 8/11
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Erik Koch - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 11/4
    (Method of Victory - Match)
    Multiple Type: 5 fold
    Stake: 2.00
    Possible Return: 363.13
    started well with the first three winning but that was that
    -2

    Staked 27/ret 63.89/+36.89


    Total staked 1009/ret 1251.67/+242.67

    The ship has steadied a bit after a few bad events thankfully :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Tough to call a winner at decent odds at the top UFC level. There will probably be a fair bit of value when Bamma comes to Dublin on the 7th July if there are people here with a bit of inside knowledge. Any odds available now?

    Will look to get some tickets for this. Should be a good show.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    Tough to call a winner at decent odds at the top UFC level. There will probably be a fair bit of value when Bamma comes to Dublin on the 7th July if there are people here with a bit of inside knowledge. Any odds available now?

    I'd be thinking this won't be priced up till a day or two before it if it is priced up at all


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Bamma 30 odds: https://www.betbright.com/mma

    Have any opinion on any of the fights?


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    Bamma 30 odds: https://www.betbright.com/mma

    Have any opinion on any of the fights?

    I don't know them at all


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  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Tweeted John Kavanagh to see if he was willing to tip any of the matches. Must not want to pick sides:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Division wrote: »
    Tweeted John Kavanagh to see if he was willing to tip any of the matches. Must not want to pick sides:)

    Try here http://touch.boards.ie/thread/2057756967/5

    He agreed with me on nunes and whittaker
    I'm already sold on overeem


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Fair play to him he tweeted me back, tipping Smullen.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 58


    Robert Whittaker
    Stake: £25.00
    Potential Returns: £47.75
    Total stake: £25.00
    Potential Returns: £47.75
    Betbright


    This the only bookie left going 10/11 so I took it.
    I just wasn't willing to back him at 5/6 and not sure why the odds have
    shortened so much in the past day or two.
    If he's as good as he looked v souza he should win this one.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,683 ✭✭✭✭callaway92


    Not that it will mean much too you - but Romero was underdog in his last 5 fights..and we know how they went!

    I have a good feeling for Yoel here. Cracking fighter


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    callaway92 wrote: »
    Not that it will mean much too you - but Romero was underdog in his last 5 fights..and we know how they went!

    I have a good feeling for Yoel here. Cracking fighter

    It surprises me that he was the underdog v tavares after beating brunson or even tim kennedy
    I'd love to know where to get past odds
    I backed him to beat weidman and kennedy but saying that I never really rated weidman who was champ when the only real contender was silva.

    I don't like backing against him but that performance v souza blew me away unless maybe souza had an off night against whittaker so maybe I'm giving whittaker too much credit, time will tell I guess :)
    I don't think romero should be the underdog here however, maybe a little bit too much hype around whittaker


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 59

    Overeem 4/5
    60
    betway


    overeem
    nunes
    whittaker
    pettis
    torres
    johnson

    3
    (55.56 returns)


    I'm very happy with this price on overeem and their first fight turned out
    to be a mismatch with werdum not willing to engage.
    It's possible werdum could come out swinging but it's unlikely imo he will try that again like he did v miocic.
    There's only one winner her for me (hopefully that won't be betway)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 60

    Valentina Shevchenko v Amanda Nunes
    Amanda Nunes
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Odds: 1/1
    Stake: 32.00
    Possible Return: 64.00
    Betv

    Nunes a slight underdog :confused: can't leave that price behind


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 61


    Tonights card



    James Krause @ 2/9
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Jesse Taylor @ 4/6
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Multiple Type: Double
    Stake: 28.00
    Possible Return: 57.04
    betv


    krause should have little problem beating tom here, taylor will get lima down
    and keep him there, think the 4/6 is a pretty good price there


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,858 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 61


    Tonights card



    James Krause @ 2/9
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Jesse Taylor @ 4/6
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Multiple Type: Double
    Stake: 28.00
    Possible Return: 57.04
    betv


    krause should have little problem beating tom here, taylor will get lima down
    and keep him there, think the 4/6 is a pretty good price there

    I won't get a bet in easier than that this weekend.

    staked 28/ret 57.04/+29.04

    Total staked 1037/ret 1307.71/+270.71


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