UFC/MMA Log 2017

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BET 62


UFC Matches Alistair Overeem v Fabricio Werdum
09-07-2017 03:30
Method of Victory
Alistair Overeem by KO @ 2/1

UFC Matches Anthony Pettis v Jim Miller
09-07-2017 03:00
Method of Victory
Anthony Pettis on Points @ 6/4

UFC Matches Yoel Romero v Robert Whittaker
09-07-2017 04:30
Method of Victory
Robert Whittaker by KO @ 7/5

UFC Matches Amanda Nunes v Valentina Shevchenko
09-07-2017 05:00
Method of Victory
Amanda Nunes by KO @ 3/1

Win
Single: Alistair Overeem by KO @ 2/1
1 line at €8.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €8.00
Potential returns: €24.00

Win
Single: Anthony Pettis on Points @ 6/4
1 line at €12.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €12.00



Accumulator 4
1 line at €2.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €2.00
Potential returns: €144.00

Trebles from 4
4 lines at €1.50 per line
Total stake for this bet: €6.00
Potential returns: €151.20
Paddy

I had the 3 kos in mind for a while here although overeem could well win on pts, nunes could well win or lose by dec, price on whittaker is muck
I do think pettis is better than miller but given how tough miller is I do think pettis will do well to finish.

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BET 63

One daft one to finish up


UFC Matches Amanda Nunes v Valentina Shevchenko
09-07-2017 05:00
Method & Round Combo
Amanda Nunes KO & Round 2 @ 11/1
UFC Matches Yoel Romero v Robert Whittaker
09-07-2017 04:30
Method & Round Combo
Robert Whittaker KO & Round 2 @ 5/1
UFC Matches Curtis Blaydes v Daniel Omielanczuk
09-07-2017 04:00
Method & Round Combo
Curtis Blaydes KO & Round 2 @ 5/1

Your Bets
Trixie
4 lines at €1.25 per line
Total stake for this bet: €5.00
Potential returns: €765.00

Guffy

The Nunes fight is off. Nunes in hospital or something

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gufc21 wrote: »

The Nunes fight is off. Nunes in hospital or something

Cheers for the heads up

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 58


Robert Whittaker
Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £47.75
Total stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £47.75
Betbright


This the only bookie left going 10/11 so I took it.
I just wasn't willing to back him at 5/6 and not sure why the odds have
shortened so much in the past day or two.
If he's as good as he looked v souza he should win this one.

Close but whittaker gets it done
staked 25
ret 47.75
+22.75

mailburner wrote: »

BET 59

Overeem 4/5
60
betway


overeem
nunes
whittaker
pettis
torres
johnson

3
(55.56 returns)


I'm very happy with this price on overeem and their first fight turned out
to be a mismatch with werdum not willing to engage.
It's possible werdum could come out swinging but it's unlikely imo he will try that again like he did v miocic.
There's only one winner her for me (hopefully that won't be betway)

So often the fighters I'm most confident about just about get it done and this was certainly the case here
staked 63
ret 108
+45

mailburner wrote: »

BET 60

Valentina Shevchenko v Amanda Nunes
Amanda Nunes
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Odds: 1/1
Stake: 32.00
Possible Return: 64.00
Betv

Nunes a slight underdog can't leave that price behind

Void

mailburner wrote: »

BET 62


UFC Matches Alistair Overeem v Fabricio Werdum
09-07-2017 03:30
Method of Victory
Alistair Overeem by KO @ 2/1

UFC Matches Anthony Pettis v Jim Miller
09-07-2017 03:00
Method of Victory
Anthony Pettis on Points @ 6/4

UFC Matches Yoel Romero v Robert Whittaker
09-07-2017 04:30
Method of Victory
Robert Whittaker by KO @ 7/5

UFC Matches Amanda Nunes v Valentina Shevchenko
09-07-2017 05:00
Method of Victory
Amanda Nunes by KO @ 3/1

Win
Single: Alistair Overeem by KO @ 2/1
1 line at €8.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €8.00
Potential returns: €24.00

Win
Single: Anthony Pettis on Points @ 6/4
1 line at €12.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €12.00



Accumulator 4
1 line at €2.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €2.00
Potential returns: €144.00

Trebles from 4
4 lines at €1.50 per line
Total stake for this bet: €6.00
Potential returns: €151.20
Paddy

I had the 3 kos in mind for a while here although overeem could well win on pts, nunes could well win or lose by dec, price on whittaker is muck
I do think pettis is better than miller but given how tough miller is I do think pettis will do well to finish.

staked 28
ret 30
+2
Pettis gets the job done, really regret not having a few bob on the reem to win on pts which was 9/2, doubt I'll be backing him to ko any quality fighter for a while

mailburner wrote: »

BET 63

One daft one to finish up


UFC Matches Amanda Nunes v Valentina Shevchenko
09-07-2017 05:00
Method & Round Combo
Amanda Nunes KO & Round 2 @ 11/1
UFC Matches Yoel Romero v Robert Whittaker
09-07-2017 04:30
Method & Round Combo
Robert Whittaker KO & Round 2 @ 5/1
UFC Matches Curtis Blaydes v Daniel Omielanczuk
09-07-2017 04:00
Method & Round Combo
Curtis Blaydes KO & Round 2 @ 5/1

Your Bets
Trixie
4 lines at €1.25 per line
Total stake for this bet: €5.00
Potential returns: €765.00

-5


Staked 121/ret 185.75/+64.75

Total staked 1158/ret 1493.46/+335.46

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BET 64


Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
Stake : €17.00
hills


Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €12.00


Paul Craig By Decision @ 14/1
Stake : €3.00



16 Jul 2017 - Khalil Rountree v Paul Craig - Method of Result
Paul Craig By Decision @ 14/1
16 Jul 2017 - Alexandre Pantoja v Neil Seery - Method of Result
Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
16 Jul 2017 - Paul Felder v Stevie Ray - Method of Result
Paul Felder By Decision @ 11/4
16 Jul 2017 - Cynthia Calvillo v Joanne Calderwood - Method of Result
Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €1.00
Estimated Returns : €340.31

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BET 65


Felder 6/4
18
skyb


16 Jul 2017 - Alexandre Pantoja v Neil Seery - Method of Result
Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
16 Jul 2017 - Paul Felder v Stevie Ray - Method of Result
Paul Felder By Decision @ 11/4
16 Jul 2017 - Cynthia Calvillo v Joanne Calderwood - Method of Result
Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €2.00
Estimated Returns : €45.37

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BET 66



UFC Matches Stevie Ray v Paul Felder
17-07-2017 00:30
Method of Victory
Paul Felder by KO @ 9/1
UFC Matches Gunnar Nelson v Santiago Ponzinibbio
17-07-2017 01:30
Method of Victory
Gunnar Nelson on Points @ 6/1
UFC Matches Khalil Rountree v Paul Craig
16-07-2017 23:30
Method of Victory
Paul Craig by Points @ 12/1
Your Bets
Win
Single: Paul Felder by KO @ 9/1
1 line at €3.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €3.00
Potential returns: €30.00

Trixie
4 lines at €0.50 per line
Total stake for this bet: €2.00
Potential returns: €600.50

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BET 67

Bofando round one 13/8
13

just in time

bofando round one
gunni sub
calvilla sub
felder pts
2euro

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 64


Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
Stake : €17.00
hills


Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €12.00


Paul Craig By Decision @ 14/1
Stake : €3.00



16 Jul 2017 - Khalil Rountree v Paul Craig - Method of Result
Paul Craig By Decision @ 14/1
16 Jul 2017 - Alexandre Pantoja v Neil Seery - Method of Result
Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
16 Jul 2017 - Paul Felder v Stevie Ray - Method of Result
Paul Felder By Decision @ 11/4
16 Jul 2017 - Cynthia Calvillo v Joanne Calderwood - Method of Result
Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €1.00
Estimated Returns : €340.31

no joy, close with pantoja
-33

mailburner wrote: »

BET 65


Felder 6/4
18
skyb


16 Jul 2017 - Alexandre Pantoja v Neil Seery - Method of Result
Alexandre Pantoja By Decision @ 6/5
16 Jul 2017 - Paul Felder v Stevie Ray - Method of Result
Paul Felder By Decision @ 11/4
16 Jul 2017 - Cynthia Calvillo v Joanne Calderwood - Method of Result
Cynthia Calvillo By Submission @ 7/4
Stake : €2.00
Estimated Returns : €45.37

staked 20
ret 45
+25

mailburner wrote: »

BET 66



UFC Matches Stevie Ray v Paul Felder
17-07-2017 00:30
Method of Victory
Paul Felder by KO @ 9/1
UFC Matches Gunnar Nelson v Santiago Ponzinibbio
17-07-2017 01:30
Method of Victory
Gunnar Nelson on Points @ 6/1
UFC Matches Khalil Rountree v Paul Craig
16-07-2017 23:30
Method of Victory
Paul Craig by Points @ 12/1
Your Bets
Win
Single: Paul Felder by KO @ 9/1
1 line at €3.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: €3.00
Potential returns: €30.00

Trixie
4 lines at €0.50 per line
Total stake for this bet: €2.00
Potential returns: €600.50

big price on the felder ko...pp would only let me have 3 on it (wanted 5)
staked 5
ret 30
+25

mailburner wrote: »

BET 67

Bofando round one 13/8
13

just in time

bofando round one
gunni sub
calvilla sub
felder pts
2euro

staked 15
ret 34.13
+19.13

Staked 73/ret 109.13/+36.13


Total staked 1231/ret 1602.59/+371.59

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BET 68




I usually oppose weidman so have do so once again and although gastelum isn't on the same level as rockhold/romero I do think he has a clear advantage standing.
I do think he'll be able to keep it standing also, not sure how he wins this and the win price of 8/13 is short enough too but I'm pretty sure he won't be winning by sub.

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BET 69

rivera
gastelum
kelleher
la flare fight to go distance
7 (returns 37.13)
skybet

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BET 70


Natal pts 4/1
5
skybet

natal pts
rivera pts
la flare pts
kelleher sub
1 @ 84.31/1
skyb

same four with gastelum ko
1 at 263/1
skybet

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BET 71


Brian Kelleher - Submission 3.60
Brian Kelleher v Marlon Vera - 22/07/2017
Stake £12.00
Estimated Return:£43.20
Total Stake: £12.00
Potential Return: £43.20
Coral

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BET 72

kelleher sub in round one 11/3
3
skybet

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BET 73

la flare pts evens
rivera pts 13/8
7 double
betfred


That's enough betting for one night.

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I can safely say I have never got so many fights this wrong on the same card before.
I made a few mistakes and the main was to disregard a fighter I didn't know in vera by backing kelleher based on his last performance, same applies to anders who happened to be quite the beast.
I certainly don't regret the la flare bet.
I thought gastelum was going to save me and he nearly did so backing against weidman has finally bit me on the arse.

-76 overall

Total staked 1307/ret 1602.59/+295.59

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BET 74

Jason Knight v Ricardo Lamas
Ricardo Lamas
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Odds: 11/10
Stake: 35.00
Possible Return: 73.50
Betv


I've no idea why lamas is the underdog here, recent losses have only been to holloway aldo and mendes and whilst knight looked good beating chas kelly it hardly makes him favourite here imo.

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BET 75

manuwa
woodley
cyborg
20 (returns 51.07)
bet365


cyborg will win, fancy manuwa to win by finish also and woodley in my opinion will be well prepared for maia, don't see maia getting woodley down sadly and
woodley wins this standing imo or loses on pts by not doing enough, hard one to call but I don't fancy maia by sub, woodley may well blow maia away early also but if it
goes past two I think it'll probably go the distance.

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BET 76

lamas pts 15/8
4

woodley pts 9/2
3

cormier pts 9/2
2

lawler ko 21/10
4

1 accum at big odds


woodley pts
lawler ko
lamas pts
2 treble (ret 98.04)

all boyles (not all best prices)

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BET 77

albu round one 9/2
4

manuwa round two 11/2
2

robbie round three 14/1
4

2 treble
bet365


I've a gut feeling robbie could be down two rounds here and go head hunting in the third and maybe get a ko or he may well
finish cowboy in the first.....maybe even neither of course...if cowboy wins it's by points imo.

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BET 78


30 Jul 2017 - Kailin Curran v Alexandra Albu - Method of Result
Alexandra Albu By Submission @ 10/3
Stake : €8.00
Estimated Returns : €34.66

Double(s)
30 Jul 2017 - Jimi Manuwa v Volkan Oezdemir - Method of Result
Jimi Manuwa By KO/TKO/DQ @ EVS
30 Jul 2017 - Kailin Curran v Alexandra Albu - Method of Result
Alexandra Albu By Submission @ 10/3
Stake : €3.00
Estimated Returns : €26.00



curran is not ufc standard at all and will imo be either finished one way or another, hoping I've picked the right one.
Manuwa an obvious one but the price ain't great

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BET 79

maia pts 7/1
2
bet365

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Bet 80

Moreno
Sam/rashad to go thé distance
16 @ 1.71/1
Skybet

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Bet 81

Moreno sub 5/2
5

Rashad pts 7/4
5

2 double

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Bet 82

Till
Khabilov
15 @ 2.04

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Bet 83

Nunes 11/10
30
Hills


Have her favourite myself so a no brainer.

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Bet 84

Cejudo
Dos anjos
20 double @0.92/1
Hills

Can't believe Dos has declined this much...don't rate reis too highly.

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Bet 85

Cejudo pts
Rds pts
Melendez pts
4 (49.50)

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 74

Jason Knight v Ricardo Lamas
Ricardo Lamas
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Odds: 11/10
Stake: 35.00
Possible Return: 73.50
Betv


I've no idea why lamas is the underdog here, recent losses have only been to holloway aldo and mendes and whilst knight looked good beating chas kelly it hardly makes him favourite here imo.

Easy for lamas
staked 35
ret 73.50
+38.50

mailburner wrote: »

BET 75

manuwa
woodley
cyborg
20 (returns 51.07)
bet365


cyborg will win, fancy manuwa to win by finish also and woodley in my opinion will be well prepared for maia, don't see maia getting woodley down sadly and
woodley wins this standing imo or loses on pts by not doing enough, hard one to call but I don't fancy maia by sub, woodley may well blow maia away early also but if it
goes past two I think it'll probably go the distance.

manuwa killed this
-20

mailburner wrote: »

BET 76

lamas pts 15/8
4

woodley pts 9/2
3

cormier pts 9/2
2

lawler ko 21/10
4

1 accum at big odds


woodley pts
lawler ko
lamas pts
2 treble (ret 98.04)

all boyles (not all best prices)

woodley obliges
staked 16
ret 16.50
+50c

mailburner wrote: »

BET 77

albu round one 9/2
4

manuwa round two 11/2
2

robbie round three 14/1
4

2 treble
bet365


I've a gut feeling robbie could be down two rounds here and go head hunting in the third and maybe get a ko or he may well
finish cowboy in the first.....maybe even neither of course...if cowboy wins it's by points imo.

All lost
-12

mailburner wrote: »

BET 78


30 Jul 2017 - Kailin Curran v Alexandra Albu - Method of Result
Alexandra Albu By Submission @ 10/3
Stake : €8.00
Estimated Returns : €34.66

Double(s)
30 Jul 2017 - Jimi Manuwa v Volkan Oezdemir - Method of Result
Jimi Manuwa By KO/TKO/DQ @ EVS
30 Jul 2017 - Kailin Curran v Alexandra Albu - Method of Result
Alexandra Albu By Submission @ 10/3
Stake : €3.00
Estimated Returns : €26.00



curran is not ufc standard at all and will imo be either finished one way or another, hoping I've picked the right one.
Manuwa an obvious one but the price ain't great

-11

mailburner wrote: »

BET 79

maia pts 7/1
2
bet365

-2

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 80

Moreno
Sam/rashad to go thistance
16 @ 1.71/1
Skybet

Underestimated pettis or maybe thought moreno was better than that.
-16

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 81

Moreno sub 5/2
5

Rashad pts 7/4
5

2 double

It's time evans called it a day, loses by split to sam.
-12

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 82

Till
Khabilov
15 @ 2.04

Won
Staked 15
ret 30.60
+15.60

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 83

Nunes 11/10
30
Hills


Have her favourite myself so a no brainer.

Nunes by split
staked 30
ret 63
+33

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 84

Cejudo
Dos anjos
20 double @0.92/1
Hills

Can't believe Dos has declined this much...don't rate reis too highly.

That was as easy as I hoped it might be.
Staked 20
ret 38.40
+18.40

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 85

Cejudo pts
Rds pts
Melendez pts
4 (49.50)

not even close
-4

Staked 193/Ret 222/+29

Total staked 1500/ret 1824.59/+324.59