Mayo constituency GE2020

PARlance

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Whats the quota set at ?

65% turnout so 12,760.

Ring surplus - Dillon, and Rose Conway surplus - ??

PARlance

Dudda wrote: »

And the tally is over.

That was a close finish. It was the third last box when Ring overtook RCW to top the poll. Never thought a spreadsheet could be so engaging for 3 hours.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CBfXja-jXqwaUfrbPLq4Y2RJiVJlid9I8JrNz45Fjek/edit?usp=drivesdk

Great entertainment, some finish.

Coillte_Bhoy

Word from the count is that McHugh is getting massive transfers and might be in with a shout

irishgeo

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Ring surplus - Dillon, and Rose Conway surplus - ??

The other left candidates.

Hercule Poirot

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Ring surplus - Dillon, and Rose Conway surplus - ??

I'd say McHugh will pick up a lot of Rose's surplus

Dudda

Coillte_Bhoy wrote: »

Word from the count is that McHugh is getting massive transfers and might be in with a shout

Surely to far behind. She would need a massive amount from Paul Lawless to jump Mulherin or Dillon. Can't see it happening but then a week ago I'd have never said RCW would be so close to topping the poll.

Shelflife

No one has reached the quota, so id say the bottom 7 could be eliminated together unless there are deposit issues to looked into.

Coillte_Bhoy

Shelflife wrote: »

No one has reached the quota, so id say the bottom 7 could be eliminated together unless there are deposit issues to looked into.

Conway and Ring are about 2,000 votes each over it

Loafing Oaf

irishgeo wrote: »

The other left candidates.

But after that more to FF than FG surely. Enough to elect Chambers I would guess...

Hercule Poirot

Official result to be announced around 18:30

Loafing Oaf

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

But after that more to FF than FG surely. Enough to elect Chambers I would guess...

One of the FG's will be eliminated, electing the other. Can't see Chambers getting in.

Shelflife

Coillte_Bhoy wrote: »

Conway and Ring are about 2,000 votes each over it

According to the final tally both have approx 14500 and the quota is 14700 approx.

irishgeo

Shelflife wrote: »

According to the final tally both have approx 14500 and the quota is 14700 approx.

the quota is around 12700. 65% turnout.

Coillte_Bhoy

Shelflife wrote: »

According to the final tally both have approx 14500 and the quota is 14700 approx.

Quota is about 12,700

Shelflife

Coillte_Bhoy wrote: »

Quota is about 12,700

How are you getting that figure ?

Im going on the tally count that was on this thread.


Ahh spotted it now, theres another quota figure on the bottom left that I was looking at.

Knock2

There could be 3 north mayo tds returned
Rcw,dc,mm,but probally just 2.
Not a sf fan at all so saying this with a very heavy heart,it’s a very sad day for politics and I suppose the job now is for middle ireland to stand up and recover the ground lost to the left

irishgeo

Shelflife wrote: »

How are you getting that figure ?

Im going on the tally count that was on this thread.

its on the tally sheet.

Stewball

Knock2 wrote: »

it’s a very sad day for politics

I'm in the opposite camp.

A tough day at the office for FFG - is always a good day for politics in Ireland in my book.

irishgeo

rte said in their review of the tallies that chambers is in trouble.

PARlance

Knock2 wrote: »

There could be 3 north mayo tds returned
Rcw,dc,mm,but probally just 2.
Not a sf fan at all so saying this with a very heavy heart,it’s a very sad day for politics and I suppose the job now is for middle ireland to stand up and recover the ground lost to the left

Not a SF fan but I don't consider it a sad day at all. I don't like the old guard of SF getting in, but there are plenty of new candidates, many of them capable, that will add to Irish politics. We need a 3rd party and I would much prefer if that was Labour, but that's not going to happen anytime soon.

Knock2

It’s a sad day because there economic policy’s r for the birds
Tax sumbody else tax big business build more houses that you will get for free reduce college fees HOW will they fund this??
I suppose it’s a reflection of the social welfare state we have become and just gos to increase the since of entitlement that a certain section of society feels!
Where to now for middle ireland !
Mayb we are the folks for working or caring!!!

spakman

Knock2 wrote: »

It’s a sad day because there economic policy’s r for the birds
Tax sumbody else tax big business build more houses that you will get for free reduce college fees HOW will they fund this??
I suppose it’s a reflection of the social welfare state we have become and just gos to increase the since of entitlement that a certain section of society feels!
Where to now for middle ireland !
Mayb we are the folks for working or caring!!!

They're not going to be largest party so they won't get to implement those policies.
It could happen after next election though if people swallow the same ****e.

Loafing Oaf

Decent showing for the Aontu guy; if they get that level in other constituencies they might make the 2% state funding threshold

PARlance

No doubt they've gotten away with some pie in the sky stuff (to put it lightly) but let's not fool ourselves into thinking the FF or FG don't do the same in elections, when they can. Maybe not as bad, but certainly on the scale.The squeezed middle still paying USC a good example.

Part of me wants SF to form part of a government, because it will be a dose of reality, otherwise they get a free ride in opposition, spilling the same crap out again and building on their vote.

I don't think they will form part of the government though. They didn't want to imo. Not running enough candidates the obvious sign of that. Fairly sure their plan is to sit it out and build on this.

Coillte_Bhoy

PARlance wrote: »

No doubt they've gotten away with some pie in the sky stuff (to put it lightly) but let's not fool ourselves into thinking the FF or FG don't do the same in elections, when they can. Maybe not as bad, but certainly on the scale.The squeezed middle still paying USC a good example.

Part of me wants SF to form part of a government, because it will be a dose of reality, otherwise they get a free ride in opposition, spilling the same crap out again and building on their vote.

I don't think they will form part of the government though. They didn't want to imo. Not running enough candidates the obvious sign of that. Fairly sure their plan is to sit it out and build on this.

They absolutely do want to be in govt, the decison to run less candidates was based on their poor showing in the polls and the hammering they got in the local elections. Easy with hindsight to say they erred but at the time it made sense

Stewball

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Decent showing for the Aontu guy; if they get that level in other constituencies they might make the 2% state funding threshold

It was bad enough funding Renua for the last few years.

PARlance

Coillte_Bhoy wrote: »

They absolutely do want to be in govt, the decison to run less candidates was based on their poor showing in the polls and the hammering they got in the local elections. Easy with hindsight to say they erred but at the time it made sense

I really don't think they do, not this time around. History is not favourable for the minority party, if they stay out of government then they can criticise and play the opposition card and should/could grow even more before the next one. They've everything to gain from not being in government imo.

Coillte_Bhoy

PARlance wrote: »

I really don't think they do, not this time around. History is not favourable for the minority party, if they stay out of government then they can criticise and play the opposition card and should/could grow even more before the next one. They've everything to gain from not being in government imo.

They wont be a minority party though in the sense that Lab, Greens etc usually were. Anyway i agree with your last point

Cosmo Kramer

Is there a possibility of ending up with no Castlebar TD here? If Mulherin can get in front of Dillon, Dillon's transfers might take her home over Chambers. When, if ever, did Castlebar not have at least one TD, it has generally had two over the years?