Betting Log [Division]

Division

€200 to €10,000 Betting Log

Thread betting guidelines

Football bets only.

I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.

I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill

Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.

*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.


I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.

Starting Balance: €200

English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20

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Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

Balance: €213

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Champions League
Napoli v Real Madrid
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
Stake €21

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Napoli 1-3 Real Madrid

Balance: €228

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English Premier League
Bournemouth v West Ham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
Stake €23

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Bournemouth 3-2 West Ham

Balance: €242

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English FA Cup
Chelsea v Manchester Utd
Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
Stake €24


Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36

mailburner

Division wrote: »

Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36

seriously good price you got on that one
I don't see it now on pp and best besides is 8/15, just sorry I didn't look
when I first seen this

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mailburner wrote: »

seriously good price you got on that one
I don't see it now on pp and best besides is 8/15, just sorry I didn't look
when I first seen this

They definitely made a mistake with that one over at Paddy Towers. The next best priced bookie at the time I posted was 1.57 and the over 2.5 goals was 1.36 and BTTS was 1.33. It is the reason this was my first 15% bet of the log.

The market disappeared from their website sometime yesterday which I hope means that a lot of people got on it.

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Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
Monaco 3-1 Man City

Balance: €301

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English Premier League
Bournemouth v Swansea
Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
Stake €30

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Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea

Balance: €328

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World Cup Qualifier
Peru v Uruguay
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
Stake €32

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Peru 2-1 Uruguay

Balance: €368

mailburner

You're making this look easy, long may it continue
followed you on the last one

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English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €36

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English Premier League
Everton v Leicester
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
Stake €36

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Champions League
Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
Stake €36

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Everton 4-2 Leicester (Bet Won)
Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)

Balance: €379

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English Premier League
Tottenham v Bournemouth
Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €38

English Premier League
Man Utd v Chelsea
Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
Stake €38

Champions League
Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
Stake €38

eh i dunno

Only seeing this now. Brilliant stuff

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Tottenham 4-0 Bournemouth (Bet Won)
Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)

Balance: €387

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English Premier League
West Ham v Everton
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €38

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West Ham 0-0 Everton

Balance: €349

eh i dunno

Division wrote: »

West Ham 0-0 Everton

Balance: €349

Would still be 0-0 if they were playing now. dreadful game

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English Premier League
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
Stake €34

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Liverpool 1-2 Crystal Palace (Bet Won)

Balance: €379

Spanish La Liga
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake €56

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Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

Balance: €323

English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €32

byronbay2

Division wrote: »

Real Madrid 2-3 Barcelona (Bet Lost)

Balance: €323

English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake €32

Pretty significant drift on this, plenty of 1.91 available on BTTS now.

Very unlucky with the previous bet btw.

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byronbay2 wrote: »

Pretty significant drift on this, plenty of 1.91 available on BTTS now.

Very unlucky with the previous bet btw.

Tough to see Messi scoring the winner with the last kick of the ball after Madrid missed a few good scoring opportunities.

I was talking to someone about this drift in the odds and have been looking for team news but I can't explain the drift in the odds. People seem to be totally disregarding recent form.

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Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham (Bet Lost)

Balance: €291

Champions League
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
Stake €29