PopePalpatine's Motorsport Betting Log

PopePalpatine

Today's word is "driveability" - it's absolutely bucketing down at Monza, and I think that could limit Lewis's ability to go flat out and thus negate his power advantage over Vettel, and I'm putting €5.49 on him to take pole @11/2 with BetVictor.

PopePalpatine

€6 on Sainz to reach Q3 @6/5 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine

€3 on Vettel to finish top of Q2 @3/1 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine

Q2 ruined me.

€197.12
- €9.00
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€188.12

PopePalpatine

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Q2 ruined me.

€197.12
- €9.00
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€188.12

And so has the main session. Lesson learned, avoid backing Ferrari in the wet.

€188.12
- €5.49
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€182.63

PopePalpatine

Anyone who can pose a threat to Hamilton had their qualifying compromised, so I'm putting €8 on a winning margin of over 10 seconds @2/1 with Paddy Power.

Now watch as Stroll takes out Lewis in the first corner. :rolleyes:

Guffy

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Now watch as Stroll takes out Lewis in the first corner. :rolleyes:

Have a cheeky fiver on stroll to lead at end of lap 1 for this reason. Can see hamilton playing cautious with this unknown quantity on turn 1. If stroll is over aggressive he could give him the lead with the aim of retaking it later. 7/1 on 365 seems awful high.

Or am i way off the mark?

PopePalpatine

Yeah, I think that's a value pick, I'm just going with a fiver on him to finish top 6 @8/5 with Bwin, and another fiver on Williams to get both cars in the points @5/2 with Ladbrokes.

Guffy

Did not expect that aggression from hamilton. Stroll got away well too

PopePalpatine

I should have capitalised more on Ladbrokes' mistake.

€182.63
- €5.50
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€177.13

PopePalpatine

€1 each way on Bourdais to win the Grand Prix at the Glen @28/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365.

PopePalpatine

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€1 each way on Bourdais to win the Grand Prix at the Glen @28/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365.

Just sums up the weekend for me, he finished last.

On the bright side, at least Bet365 refunded my "Hamilton to top P3" bet.

€177.13
+ €3.00
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€180.13

PopePalpatine

€2 on Dovizioso to win the San Marino MotoGP @9/2 with Bet365.

PopePalpatine

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€2 on Dovizioso to win the San Marino MotoGP @9/2 with Bet365.

Of course I forgot about the conditions of Petrucci's first win.

€180.13
- €2.00
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€178.13

PopePalpatine

€6 on Vettel to win the Singapore GP from pole and either Red Bull to finish on the podium @11/2 with William Hill (under #YourOdds).

PopePalpatine

As much as I hate betting on the 1st practice session, IMHO Bwin messed up by giving Vettel 5/2 odds to top that session, so I'll put €3 on that.

PopePalpatine

The good news is that the Red Bulls look really good from that first session...the bad news is that they were too good.

€178.13
- €3.00
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€175.13

PopePalpatine

€1 on the long-shot Request-A-Bet on Sky - Vettel to win from pole, Ricciardo to finish on the podium and set the fastest lap and Alonso to finish top 6 @100/1.

PopePalpatine

Just so I don't have all of my eggs in the "Vettel to take pole" basket , I'll have €10 on him to win the race @19/10 with Betsafe. I think Ferrari were sandbagging today, and I should have noticed back when Danny Ric was 5/1 to top P1 when Hamilton went fastest around the halfway stage. :rolleyes:

PopePalpatine

€7 on Wehrlein to out-qualify Ericsson @3/4 with Bwin.

Also, €3 each on Vettel to finish top 2 with Verstappwn/Ricciardo @13/4 & €4.90 on Haas to out-qualify Williams @13/10, also with Bwin.

PopePalpatine

Williams are out, but Grosjean isn't, and Wehrlein lines up 19th...ahead of Ericsson!

€175.13
+ €11.62
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€186.75

PopePalpatine

Vettel takes pole with a Red Bull alongside him. The important thing is my Request-A-Bets live on for another day.

€186.75
+ €6.75
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€193.50

PopePalpatine

My final bets before lights out:

€4 on Raikkonen to be in 5th or worse at the end of lap 1 (Bet365). Hamilton starts right behind him, so I think he can jump him off the line or into the first corner.
€4 each on Perez & Magnussen to win their groups on Ladbrokes @6/4 & 7/4 respectively - both of them have scored points on all their visits to Singapore. I used an odds boost on these to boost them to 31/20 & 9/5.
€1 on Vettel to win, Ricciardo to finish on the podium, Hülkenburg to score points, and Kvyat & Palmer to fail to finish @40/1 on SkyBet.

Finally, it's currently pouring down in Singapore. So, to cover myself, I'll have €9 on Max @3/1 & €6 on Danny Ric @5/1 on Bwin.

PopePalpatine

OK, one last bet: €5 on Hulk to beat Bottas @12/5 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine

Typical Max. :rolleyes:

€193.50
- €9.00
- €1.50 (I bet on Ricciardo to lead the 1st lap)
- €3.00 (...and Max)
+ €4.00 (...but at least he took out Kimi)
- €18.00 (...but of course Seb had to be taken out too)
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€168.00

PopePalpatine

€1.50 e/w on Adam Morgan in the second BTCC race today @8/1 with Bet365, he finished 3rd earlier and the Mercedes looks quite good. That sounds familiar...

PopePalpatine

PopePalpatine wrote: »

OK, one last bet: €5 on Hulk to beat Bottas @12/5 with Bwin.

And he's out with mechanical issues.
€168.00
- €5.00
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€163.00

PopePalpatine

Morgan doesn't come close, and Perez provides the only consolation after a disastrous day.

€163.00
- €4.00
- €3.00
- €6.00
+ €6.20
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€156.20

PopePalpatine

€2 on Newgarden to win the Sonoma GP @4/1 with Bet365.

EDIT: What was I thinking...

€156.20
- €2.00
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€154.20

PopePalpatine

My picks for the weekend:

• €10 on either Red Bull to finish on the podium @EVS (Bwin)
• €5 on Ricciardo to beat Raikkonen @13/10 (Bwin)
• €3 on Verstappen to beat Raikkonen in the 1st practice session @6/5 (Bwin)
• €5.52 on Toro Rosso to beat Haas @7/10 (Bwin)
• €4 on Stroll to score points @11/4 (Betstars)

Hamilton is 5/4 to win from pole with Bet365, I'll shop around to see who can beat that.