FPL price changes 2017/18.

extra gravy

Deleted User wrote: »

I agree he could start against Stoke. I could also see him scoring if getting 20 minutes as a sub. I would like him in my team mid to long term.

But. If he doesn't start against Stoke it's a small disaster and that 0.1m will hugely impact any replacement at this stage of the season.

I've just taken a -4 to get him out for a bench player so I've another week to decide on a proper replacement.

Feck it, this made sense, just did Iwobi to Cork. Will have exactly enough to do Gabbi to Firmino then if I want.

shineon23

Up:
Vardy
Salah



Down:
Iwobi*
Slimani
Sterling

*That's a young Iwobi signing for Arsenal in 2003, not a young Stormzy.

shineon23

Up:
Mkhitaryan
Lukaku


Down:
Depoitre
Lindelöf
Bernardo Silva

PVA

Do we think Jesus will drop this week?

Hard to gauge as a number of people will be focusing on Kane, Zaha, Fabregas, Cahill etc.

City have a good fixture up next, and a few people said Jesus played well. Reckon I'll hold either way

km79

Was sure fabregas would drop last night
Be great if zahas flag is changed soon........
Austin and siggy nearing drops too........

dsmythy

km79 wrote: »

Was sure fabregas would drop last night
Be great if zahas flag is changed soon........
Austin and siggy nearing drops too........

Hopefully he drops a bit if Everton and him start slowly because of the difficulty of their fixtures.

FHFC

PVA wrote: »

Do we think Jesus will drop this week?

Hard to gauge as a number of people will be focusing on Kane, Zaha, Fabregas, Cahill etc.

City have a good fixture up next, and a few people said Jesus played well. Reckon I'll hold either way

Jesus and Gabbiadini both over the 50% Mark and will be very close to dropping in the Friday rush imo. Hard to call it and they may escape, but it'll be close.

Father Hernandez

FHFC wrote: »

Jesus and Gabbiadini both over the 50% Mark and will be very close to dropping in the Friday rush imo. Hard to call it and they may escape, but it'll be close.

I'll happily take Jesus at 10.4 if he drops in the next while

PARlance

Father Hernandez wrote: »

I'll happily take Jesus at 10.4 if he drops in the next while

I'll happily take his 10 points this weekend at 10.4

km79

Tonight could be carnage

shineon23

km79 wrote: »

Tonight could be carnage

I've been watching FPLS most evenings and there has been a lot of changes due each night and only a few going through.

Could be carnage or a huge let down judging by other nights so far

km79

shineon23 wrote: »

km79 wrote: »

Tonight could be carnage

I've been watching FPLS most evenings and there has been a lot of changes due each night and only a few going through.

Could be carnage or a huge let down judging by other nights so far

Really hoping we get definite zaha news tomorrow to cause a flag change but fear it will be Friday

scotchy

What time do these changes generally take place ? or is it just a random thing?

shineon23

scotchy wrote: »

What time do these changes generally take place ? or is it just a random thing?

2:19am

manual_man

shineon23 wrote: »

2:19am

On the second?

manual_man

shineon23 wrote: »

I've been watching FPLS most evenings and there has been a lot of changes due each night and only a few going through.

Could be carnage or a huge let down judging by other nights so far

Decent amount of wildcarders after gw1 too

manual_man

PVA wrote: »

Do we think Jesus will drop this week

Maybe. But he will rise again

FHFC

manual_man wrote: »

Maybe. But he will rise again

3 days later I reckon.

manual_man

FHFC wrote: »

3 days later I reckon.

Hallelujah

Can't be having a double price drop

Peter File

Zaha is the second most transferred player out this week and all online links suggest he is out for 4 weeks. FF organisers are being very kind in not cutting prices yet

km79

Peter File wrote: »

Zaha is the second most transferred player out this week and all online links suggest he is out for 4 weeks. FF organisers are being very kind in not cutting prices yet

They don't cut his price
It's all based on numbers
They could be kind and change his flag if he is indeed out for 4 weeks
According to them he has a 75% chance of playing

Scorpion Sting

km79 wrote: »

They don't cut his price
It's all based on numbers
They could be kind and change his flag if he is indeed out for 4 weeks
According to them he has a 75% chance of playing

Every reputable source online is saying he's out for around 4 weeks but I guess FPL Towers want to hear full confirmation from the club which is annoying as a Zaha owner.

ScummyMan

Darmian was such a bad pick, but I'm fcuked if I'm taking him out for a -8 so I'll have to swallow his price drop I'm afraid.

shineon23

Up:
----

Down:
Austin
Darmian
Coutinho
Fabregas
Cahill
Rondón
Murray

Bout time Fab dropped.

km79

Austin
6.4
I wouldn't even mind if gabbi was dropped this weekend now......

Mint Sauce

km79 wrote: »

They don't cut his price
It's all based on numbers
They could be kind and change his flag if he is indeed out for 4 weeks
According to them he has a 75% chance of playing

Dont understand this flag thing, and how a player becomes protected from a drop. Either way, hope he does (become protected), because cant take a hit already.

Fromvert

How does a player get protected from dropping?

km79

If zaha could hang in there until the press conference .......

ElTel

Fromvert wrote: »

How does a player get protected from dropping?

http://www.fiso.co.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=124646

shineon23

OneColdHand wrote: »

Every morning I wake up hoping Mick McCarthy has been incorporated into the price changes thread!

RossieMan wrote: »

I die a little without Mick telling me who's gone up or down.

jimmii wrote: »

Take the chance to get things back to how they were last season. We needs lot of Mick and some well chosen gifs that's what this thread is really about.

OneColdHand wrote: »

Micks or gtfo!

Up:
Mounie



Down:

---

km79

Zaha you beauty !
Now hope he is ruled in or most likely out for a few weeks and flag changes
Still probably won't be enough to save him from a drop though

kennyb3

What site are people using?

Fpl statistics or fantasy football fix?

Fantasy football fix were predicting loads of rises last night but only one happened

callaway92

Fingers Crossed Benteke holds on tonight.

If he blanks in the match tomorrow then I'll just get rid of him.

Don't want price decreases this early in the season.

PVA

Praying for Erikssen to hold off on rising

Scorpion Sting

kennyb3 wrote: »

What site are people using?

Fpl statistics or fantasy football fix?

Fantasy football fix were predicting loads of rises last night but only one happened

FPL Statistics are the best for price changes in my opinion.

FHFC

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

FPL Statistics are the best for price changes in my opinion.

Agree. I found Fix kinda lost the run of thing last season too. Their prediction method of using rate/hr to estimate when changes are gonna happen is silly too. When transfers slow down late in the evening the predicted times always change so it's misleading if you look at it during the day.

FPLS are usually not far away, sometimes players just over 100% don't go but they adjust their calcs every morning based on what happened the night before and provide an updated % while Fix just leave players at 100%+ ongoingly which is pointless.

Somebody mentioned FISO earlier in the thread but they are nowhere near the mark.

Fix for seeing how fast people are rising/falling.

FPLS for best estimate of % to rise/fall

FISO for records of changes occurred.

PVA

FHFC wrote: »

ongoingly

What a perfectly cromulent word

FHFC

Based on my data from last 3 seasons we can expect between 20 and 30 price drops tonight. Even Zaha might not be safe.

https://twitter.com/trevg1977/status/898575707600805888

Fromvert

Ugh Benteke will probably drop but I've already subbed out Zaha for Mata so not taking the -4 to avoid the drop.

PVA

FHFC wrote: »

Based on my data from last 3 seasons we can expect between 20 and 30 price drops tonight. Even Zaha might not be safe.

https://twitter.com/trevg1977/status/898575707600805888

Total anomaly of only one rise last night though...

FHFC

PVA wrote: »

Total anomaly of only one rise last night though...

No drops was very odd yeah. GW1 starting on Friday may have changed the dynamic a bit. Transfers till now spread over an extra day.

Not sure though. Be interesting to see if the usual flurry of drops happens tonight.

PVA

Going by FPLS there will be 20+ changes, although the majority of these will be drops rather than rises.

Shedite27

PVA wrote: »

Going by FPLS there will be 20+ changes, although the majority of these will be drops rather than rises.

Fantasy Fotball Fix reckons Ibrahimvic is dropping

Scorpion Sting

Up:



Willian


Down:



Costa, Trippier, Pedro, Sané, Walcott, Robertson, Pied, S. Long, Shelvey, Snodgrass

cathalio11

Sure almost 400,000 people transferred Zaha out. That's almost 40% of people who owned him. 

Ah no his price stays the same though .......................

iroced

cathalio11 wrote: »

Sure almost 400,000 people transferred Zaha out. That's almost 40% of people who owned him. 

Ah no his price stays the same though .......................

The red flag increased his target NTO (Net Transfers Out) for him to drop.

FHFC

iroced wrote: »

The red flag increased his target NTO (Net Transfers Out) for him to drop.

He still should have dropped comfortably. Xhaka also should have gotten second rise.

Major decrease in number of rises and in particular falls based on recent years. Something has changed.

iroced

FHFC wrote: »

He still should have dropped comfortably. Xhaka also should have gotten second rise.

Major decrease in number of rises and in particular falls based on recent years. Something has changed.

Are you sure? FISO reckoned that a red flag may multiply the threshold up to 2.5 times.
10% of his ownership was required for him to drop. Red flag pushes that to 25%. That's huge!
Do you know what was his ownership at the beginning of the week so that we could work out his threshold?

They made an update to their CTC explanation this year and reckon that this multiplier (present in the previous seasons) has gone for orange & yellow flags.

Now what I don't get is how they're so far off in their predictions if they actually are following the adjustments FPL are making to their algorithm.

About Xhaka second rise, maybe FPL put back the weighting factors. That'd be a great news (if also applied to price drops).

km79

I don't mind that zaha didn't drop
He will drop tonight and there was no way I was making my transfer for next week today so it has allowed me time
Trippier at 5.4 at home to Burnley ........