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Why would anyone give away good tips.

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Comments

  • #402
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown 14:25     Huntsman Son       BetfairSportsbook     17.00


  • #403
    Widdensushi
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,307 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Fair play for putting up the tips, six horses in a seventeen horse race seems a lot. Are you backing them all ew or are some of them win


  • #404
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown 14:25     Mr Antolini         William Hill   @ ; 26.00


  • #405
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown 14:25     Gassin Golf     with Willy     @    26.00


  • #406
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Widdensushi wrote: »
    Fair play for putting up the tips, six horses in a seventeen horse race seems a lot. Are you backing them all ew or are some of them win
    Have had up to 9 horses in a field of 12 at times ... And still didnt get the winner.  But these are value bets and the value is in the place. So all bets are each way.  On the extreme end of things had 22 nags backed in last years grand national :)


  • #407
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    the thing that lot of punters cant grasp is backing a certain horse at a certain price and also at a certain time.  MyLovleyHorse might be a value bet at 34.0 at 12pm in the day.  He may go out in price say to 41.0 at 3pm for a 5pm race but he is no longer value even at that new price. So these tips have a half life of about 20 min. No point in lookiing at them 3 hrs after they posted and seeing price is still available.  Its no longer a value bet.  However according to my stats these tips beat the starting price around 70% of the time.  Beating the BFSP is key and is also what marks you out in the bookies eyes unfortunately


  • #408
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown 14:25     Le Patriote        William Hill   @ ; 10.00

    That makes 8 in the same race :)


  • #409
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 13:25     Icario       Bet 365  @   3.75


  • #410
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Masham Star       Bet 365   @   7.50


  • #411
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 15:40     Glencairn View          Bet 365     10.00


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  • #412
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Hereford17:10     Sizing Tara     @    6.00


  • #413
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown 14:25     Huntsman Son       William Hill   @   15.00


  • #414
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Hereford 13:40     Jimmy Bell       SunBets     17.00


  • #415
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Early Morning        Bet 365      11.00


  • #416
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Sandown1 14:25     Silver Streak       Bet 365   @ ; 17.00


  • #417
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Hereford 16:00     Cinderfella     @     17.00


  • #418
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 15:40     Close Shave       Bet 365  @   10.00


  • #419
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 14:40     Keswick          Bet 365  @   15.00


  • #420
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 13:55     Epicuris         Paddy Power     6.00


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  • #421
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Hereford 16:00     Applesolutely       Paddy Power     2.63

    nice double with previous one


  • #422
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Summer Icon        Bet 365  @   26.00


  • #423
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 15:40     Space Cadet        Paddy Power     8.00


  • #424
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    13.50 nitro Ami at 51.0 willy


  • #425
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 14:40     Reine Des Miracles       William Hill     23.00


  • #426
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Early Morning        Bet 365     13.00


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  • #427
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    PopePalpatine wrote: »
    mayoman1973 wrote: »
    Gowran Park 13:55     Epicuris         Paddy Power     6.00

    Hopefully it's the first of many today!
    image.png
    could be a great day, could be a crap day,  but long term willy an paddy will lose


  • #428
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    PopePalpatine wrote: »
    mayoman1973 wrote: »
    Gowran Park 13:55     Epicuris         Paddy Power     6.00

    Hopefully it's the first of many today!
    image.png

    word of warning ... dont paste bet slips with bet ID on a public forum.  If you think Paddy is not scraping info off forums like this then you would be seriously mistaken.


  • #429
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 17:00     Bounderby         Ladbrokes     8.00


  • #430
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    bit of profit for people from the 2:25.  1, 2 and 4.  (11 or 12 picks mind you but that still left half a dozen other nags ) Just throw it on the pile and wait for next winner/loser.


  • #431
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Salateen        Bet 365     7.50


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  • #432
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    hope result holds for 2:25.  365 have paid out and willy anyways and ive never seen either to take the money back    Phew !!  BF didnt close the markets and antonio was left open to back at 1.55


  • #433
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    masham star 15:15  still good value at 7.5


  • #434
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Wolverhampton 15:15     Make Music    @   34.00


  • #435
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Gowran Park 16:15     Fire In His Eyes   365  @    4.00


  • #436
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Hereford   17:10     Mr Washington    @   23.00


  • #437
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    20:45 sputnik b365 @ 11.0


  • #438
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    good end day ... :)  should have more than canceled out bad days in middle of week.  26.0, 11.0, 6.0 winners and a few 20.0+ placers.  Main course not served till Tue :)


  • #439
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Plumpton 14:20 Seaston Spirit William Hill @ 3.50


  • #440
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Dundalk 15:05 Shecanrally Bet 365 @ 21.00


  • #441
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Dundalk 15:05 Bonnie Baugh Coral @ 4.00


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  • #442
    ballyargus
    Registered Users Posts: 1,016 ✭✭✭ballyargus


    Shecanrally, led for the first phases. Good EW money though


  • #443
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    First of many cheltenham bets ..... Cheltenham 16:10 Kayf Grace Bet 365 @ 21.00


  • #444
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 16:10 Jers Girl Bet 365 @ 15.00


  • #445
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 16:10     Midnight Tour       Bet 365     @ 67.00


  • #446
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    15:30     Wicklow Brave          Bet 365     15.00    
    16:10     La Bague Au Roi           Bet 365     7.00


  • #447
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    15:30     Wicklow Brave          Bet 365     15.00    
    16:10     La Bague Au Roi           Bet 365     7.00


  • #448
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 15:30     Faugheen       Bet 365   @ ; 7.50


  • #449
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 16:10 La Bague Au Roi PP & BetfairSportsbook 8.50


  • #450
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 13.03.2018 15:30 Chtibello More info William Hill 51.00


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  • #451
    mayoman1973
    Registered Users Posts: 1,386 ✭✭✭mayoman1973


    Cheltenham 15:30 Mick Jazz Paddy Power 41.00


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