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I still have to pay 100% more interest on my mortgage than any other European

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  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    koheim wrote: »
    Can anyone explain to me why we have this situation?
    It is almost impossible in Ireland to repossess a property on which mortgage is not being repaid.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,899 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    minikin wrote: »
    It was a nonsense statement - like saying almost pregnant.
    Something is either impossible or it's not.

    The associated time and cost with repossessing a house in Ireland is alot, therefore banks insure against this by having higher interest rates than other countries where it is not as time consuming/expensive.

    It is alot like motor insurance, your basically paying a bit extra for those who do not pay.

    They also want to make as much money as possible without losing customers. The current typical rates reflect what the market is willing to pay and what they can afford to go with in regards not putting people doing business with them.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,264 ✭✭✭✭jester77


    Here in Germany, if you don't pay then you are out. You would be laughed at if you tried to organise a protest in front of your house for not paying your bills.

    That is why you can get a fixed mortgage for 20+ years for < 2%.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭minikin


    I'm sorry but I don't buy that excuse (The cost of evictions) for a minute.

    Very rough estimate: 750,000 residential mortgages live at the moment
    x average €250 overcharge per month
    = €187.5 million overcharge per month
    = €2.25 billion overcharge per annum.

    Are people seriously suggesting that they are losing a similar amount in unpaid mortgage repayments every month?
    (yes I know the €250 figure relates to new mortgages but you can be damn sure a similar metric (paddy tax) has applied here for the past 30 years)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,090 ✭✭✭dok_golf


    The rates are high because
    A. The banks have to repay bailout either directly or indirectly by showing a profit whereby the government can sell its shares on behalf of the people at a better price.
    B. Because the credit ratings of Irish banks still isn't as good as e.g. German ones, it costs more to borrow
    C. Only 2 banks really so therefore no competition


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  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    minikin wrote: »
    I'm sorry but I don't buy that excuse for a minute.

    Very rough estimate: 750,000 residential mortgages live at the moment
    x average €250 overcharge per month
    = €187.5 million overcharge per month
    = €2.25 billion overcharge per annum.

    Are people seriously suggesting that they are losing a similar amount in unpaid mortgage repayments every month?
    Where are you getting these numbers from?

    Do they include the stock of trackers?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭minikin


    They are very fair questions Lumen, thank you for posing them, I have edited my post to answer without the use of humour this time:

    1. Those figures, which I qualified as being 'very rough estimates' are explained in the above post.
    2. Tracker mortgages certainly have some influence on the figures, I certainly considered them when making the calculations.


  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Seems like there's about 1% of excess fat.

    Are greedy mortgage lenders about to see enormous margins squeezed?
    http://www.independent.ie/business/personal-finance/property-mortgages/are-greedy-mortgage-lenders-about-to-see-enormous-margins-squeezed-35837228.html
    AIB's net interest margin hit 2.25pc in 2016 and had climbed to 2.42pc by the fourth quarter of last year...The net interest margin of Deutsche, Germany's biggest bank, is just 1.42pc.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,269 ✭✭✭1641


    dok_golf wrote: »
    The rates are high because
    A. The banks have to repay bailout either directly or indirectly by showing a profit whereby the government can sell its shares on behalf of the people at a better price.
    B. Because the credit ratings of Irish banks still isn't as good as e.g. German ones, it costs more to borrow
    C. Only 2 banks really so therefore no competition

    Something in all of these, I think. But why are there only 2 banks (well, 4 or 5) if there is such a killing to be made? There is nothing to prevent one of the EU banks coming in - instead they are leaving or have left. I certainly think the great difficulty in getting timely repossession compared to most other countries is a factor. But imagine the outcry if the laws were proposed to be changed to facilitate easier repossession.

    A further factor is that the banks are losing money on tracker mortgages and new mortgages are helping to compensate for this loss.


  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    1641 wrote: »
    But why are there only 2 banks (well, 4 or 5) if there is such a killing to be made?
    The Irish market is really small. 17,000 Irish mortgage approvals in 2016. That's about 2% of volumes in the UK. Anyone got stats for Germany or France?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,995 ✭✭✭✭Cuddlesworth


    Lumen wrote: »
    The Irish market is really small. 17,000 Irish mortgage approvals in 2016. That's about 2% of volumes in the UK. Anyone got stats for Germany or France?

    That and the CB has just been sitting on applications.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 697 ✭✭✭wordofwarning


    Lumen wrote: »
    It is almost impossible in Ireland to repossess a property on which mortgage is not being repaid.

    This is definitely a factor in why mortgages are more expensive. But when a German Bank and a non-money lender are fighting to get a license to sell mortgages in Ireland, yet are struggling. You have to ask, are mortgages expensive in Ireland to recoup the bailout money? It would seem it is a factor

    Despite the massive non-performing loans in Ireland. Some Irish banks are extremely profitable.

    Lets open the market to fair competition and see what a functioning market sees as a right premium for dodgy repossession laws in Ireland


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,461 ✭✭✭Bubbaclaus


    minikin wrote: »
    I'm sorry but I don't buy that excuse (The cost of evictions) for a minute.

    Very rough estimate: 750,000 residential mortgages live at the moment
    x average €250 overcharge per month
    = €187.5 million overcharge per month
    = €2.25 billion overcharge per annum.

    Are people seriously suggesting that they are losing a similar amount in unpaid mortgage repayments every month?
    (yes I know the €250 figure relates to new mortgages but you can be damn sure a similar metric (paddy tax) has applied here for the past 30 years)

    You don't have to "buy that excuse", but it is the reason. If the bank could repossess assets from non-performing loans easier than rates would go down significantly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 993 ✭✭✭737max


    1641 wrote: »
    There is nothing to prevent one of the EU banks coming in -
    Front page of Sunday Business Post yesterday would disagree. The Government is allegedly supporting the Banks due to their large stake in the Banks.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tar.Aldarion


    There is no way it has got to do with repossessions, that is a tiny fraction of how much they are making extra every year. Less than 1% of the value of mortgages is in arrears. Those figures were from 2011 when things were way worse than now even.

    Basically they are in the business of making money and know they can do it, and have no competition - and huge protections from the country.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,572 ✭✭✭dubrov


    Arrears doesn't include restructured and default mortgages.

    No way it is only 1% as well


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tar.Aldarion


    dubrov wrote: »
    Arrears doesn't include restructured and default mortgages.

    No way it is only 1% as well

    10% of mortgages were restructured. Yes it was less than 1%, <1 billion in arrears out of a total mortgage value of 115 billion for 777,000 homes. It's probably less now as that was 6 years ago and I don't know figures since then, however things are much better here and unemployment shot down at ridiculous pace. Nearly 10% lower now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Less than 1% of the value of mortgages is in arrears.

    Nope.

    Q1 2017 stats:
    Residential Mortgages on Principal Dwelling Houses

    The outstanding balance on all lenders’ PDH mortgage accounts in arrears of more than 90 days was €10.7 billion at end-March, equivalent to 11 per cent of the total outstanding balance on all PDH mortgage accounts...For all institutions, the value of accounts in longer-term arrears over 360 days remains large, amounting to just under €8.8 billion at end-March 2017.

    Residential Mortgages on Buy-to-Let Properties

    The outstanding balance on all BTL mortgage accounts in arrears of more than 90 days was €5.5 billion at end-March, equivalent to 24 per cent of the total outstanding balance....Accounts in arrears of over 720 days now number 14,367 or 11 per cent of the total stock of BTL mortgage accounts, and 88 per cent of outstanding arrears. The outstanding balance on these accounts was €4.2 billion at end-March, equivalent to 18 per cent of the total outstanding balance on all BTL mortgage accounts.

    Source: https://centralbank.ie/news-media/press-releases/residential-mortgage-arrears-and-repossessions-statistics-q1-2017

    ...and then there's the massive can-kicking exercise of restructuring arrangements.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tar.Aldarion


    Lumen wrote: »
    Nope.

    Q1 2017 stats:



    Source: https://centralbank.ie/news-media/press-releases/residential-mortgage-arrears-and-repossessions-statistics-q1-2017

    ...and then there's the massive can-kicking exercise of restructuring arrangements.

    There is a difference in the value of accounts that are in arrears and how much is actually in arrears. To take the figures I know off hand, the value of "mortgage accounts in arrears" in 2011 was also 8 billion, but the amount in arrears was less than 1 billion.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,933 ✭✭✭smurgen


    Absolutely disgraceful that the government would block competition for competative mortgages.literally ripping off the ordinary citizens to support inefficient and overly large irish banks.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,269 ✭✭✭1641


    737max wrote: »
    Front page of Sunday Business Post yesterday would disagree. The Government is allegedly supporting the Banks due to their large stake in the Banks.

    Perhaps they are to some extent - I don't know. If so, I assume it is with a view to getting as much back as possible of the taxpayer money that was put into them. If they are not profitable the value of the shares will be very little.That seems like transferring bank losses onto the taxpayer again - or,at least, not getting any of their money repaid. Meanwhile a new bank with no overhang of non-performing loans could skim all the cream.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,985 ✭✭✭BailMeOut


    smurgen wrote: »
    Absolutely disgraceful that the government would block competition for competative mortgages.

    are they? Isn't just that foreign banks just do not want to do business here at the moment.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,269 ✭✭✭1641


    smurgen wrote: »
    Absolutely disgraceful that the government would block competition for competative mortgages.literally ripping off the ordinary citizens to support inefficient and overly large irish banks.

    Inefficient ? Yet we complain when banks cut costs - cutting staff, closing branches, restricting services at branches, etc.


  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    There is a difference in the value of accounts that are in arrears and how much is actually in arrears. To take the figures I know off hand, the value of "mortgage accounts in arrears" in 2011 was also 8 billion, but the amount in arrears was less than 1 billion.

    OK, in that case the arrears balance numbers from March 2017 are:

    PDH: 2.71bn (2.73% of total outstanding balance of all PDH mortgages)
    BTL: 1.91bn (8.17% of total outstanding balance of all BTL mortgages)

    Source: https://www.centralbank.ie/statistics/data-and-analysis/credit-and-banking-statistics/mortgage-arrears

    Or in graph form for PDHs:

    Screen_Shot_2017-08-28_at_20.49.24.png

    Source: http://www.thepropertypin.com/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=65651&start=150

    There are seventy six thousand PDH mortgage arrears cases outstanding. That is an insane number.

    Where did you get the 1% number from?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,704 ✭✭✭Allinall


    737max wrote: »
    Front page of Sunday Business Post yesterday would disagree. The Government is allegedly supporting the Banks due to their large stake in the Banks.

    I'm not really sure what that means.

    There are European banks here already in the mortgage market, and most are leaving voluntarily.

    That would leave me to believe that the market is not that attractive, despite the supposed high margins.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,712 ✭✭✭Deagol


    koheim wrote: »
    http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/german-lender-promising-cheap-loans-meets-resistance-as-politicians-seek-to-protect-aib-and-boi-36072622.html

    The insane interest rate we have in Ireland will stay, think it is a levy to keep bailing out AIB and BoI....

    I would love to cut 250 Eurp a month of my monthly outgoings:
    http://www.independent.ie/business/personal-finance/property-mortgages/mortgage-holders-here-pay-250-more-than-eu-average-each-month-36024788.html

    Can anyone explain to me why we have this situation? What is the banks excuse? Where is the Consumer Protection Commission?

    If the Irish banks are making such huge profits that you are intimating in your post, can I ask you why you think no foreign banks are queuing up to do business here (ignoring the gutter press article above, the government cannot stop any European bank doing business here). ? And in fact, why several large foreign banks have left our shores?
    The answer to me at least is pretty obvious.

    BTW, my mortgage interest rate is 1.15%, so not sure how that is 'insane'?


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tar.Aldarion


    Lumen wrote: »
    snip cool graphs and figures


    Dunno now, research at the time but could be off after 6 years. Did a quick google and here is somebody that was saying similar
    http://www.ronanlyons.com/2011/08/30/top-ten-facts-in-relation-to-ireland%E2%80%99s-mortgage-debt-arrears/

    As of June this year, Ireland has 777,000 residential mortgages worth €115bn. Of these, 40,000 (or just over 1 in 20) are in arrears of greater than six months. This figure has doubled in 18 months, as it was 19,000 in late 2009.
    These 40,000 mortgages in arrears of more than six months are worth €8bn in total, but the arrears on them is worth less than €1bn. Court proceedings have been issued on 3,000 mortgages, a smaller number now than two years ago.
    There have been a total of 500 repossessions in the last twelve months. The majority (two thirds) of these have been “voluntary surrenders”, i.e. abandoned properties. There were 56 Court-ordered repossessions in the second half of 2010 and 103 in the first half of 2011.
    During 2010 in the UK, there were 36,300 repossessions, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders. If the same rate of repossessions had applied in Ireland over the last 12 months, we would have seen 2,300 repossessions – i.e. about fifteen times the rate of Court-ordered repossessions that we have seen in the last 12 months.
    Irish banks gave out 673,000 mortgages between the start of 2005 and the end of 2008, the period most likely to contain the bulk of those in arrears. About 225,000 of these were either people switching lender or top-up mortgages. Of the remaining 450,000, 88,000 were investment mortgages, 145,000 were mover-purchaser, while 125,000 were first-time buyer mortgages.
    Ireland’s banks have given out 35,000 mortgages in the last eighteen months. At the same time, the number of mortgages has fallen by almost 16,000. This means that over 50,000 people have paid off their mortgage since the end of 2009, compared to the 20,000 who have slipped into arrears of six months of more during the same period.
    Between 2005 and 2008, one in six first-time buyers had a deposit of more than 30%, while one in five borrowed at 100%. Looking at the market as a whole, just under 40% of all mortgages taken out were at less than 70% loan-to-value.
    Someone who borrowed a mortgage of €300,000 in early 2006 and who has not missed a payment will, by the end of this year, have typically paid off about 13% of their principal, meaning their loan outstanding is about €260,000. A deposit of more than 30% means the home would have been valued at €450,000 or more. Such a home would now command an asking price of about €225,000. By the end of 2015, the principal outstanding would be about €220,000.
    Two million people were employed in Ireland in late 2006. 1.77 million were employed in early 2011, which means that about seven of every eight people who were at work in the boom are still at work.
    The 1.43 million households in the State in the 2006 Census were estimated to be worth €526bn collectively in early 2007. This had fallen to €289bn by mid-2011. Housing stock built since 2006 is worth approximately €42bn. To calculate net housing wealth in Ireland, mortgage liabilities of €115bn must be subtracted from the €330bn of residential housing assets, giving a figure of about €215bn. In other words, Ireland’s current “loan-to-value” is about 35%.


  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Dunno now, research at the time but could be off after 6 years. Did a quick google and here is somebody that was saying similar
    http://www.ronanlyons.com/2011/08/30/top-ten-facts-in-relation-to-ireland%E2%80%99s-mortgage-debt-arrears/
    OK, well returning to the point earlier about the difficulty of repos, from the data linked I get a total of 2.5k PDH repos since Sept 2009, over which eight year period we've gone from 64k arrears cases outstanding to 76k arrears cases outstanding.

    Why would any sane institution want to join that party?


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,995 ✭✭✭✭Cuddlesworth


    Lumen wrote: »
    Why would any sane institution want to join that party?

    The better question would be, whats going to happen in the next crash?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 31,080 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    The better question would be, whats going to happen in the next crash?
    Bank run.


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