Weather disruptions to flights Monday 16th Oct - post here

bobwilliams

Guys,flying from Madrid to Dublin at around 18:00 Monday..'what r the chances??

LiamaDelta

bobwilliams wrote: »

Guys,flying from Madrid to Dublin at around 18:00 Monday..'what r the chances??

Explained in post #1 - unless a crystal ball has been installed since

A319er

DAA showing KLM BA and EIR cancellations ex DUB now for tomorrow

lfc200

Stobarts cancelled ex Cork now. Everything else showing as ok at the moment

TomOnBoard

LiamaDelta wrote: »

Explained in post #1 - unless a crystal ball has been installed since

The O.P. asked "what are the chances".

The mod note in the 1st post said "What is clear at present is that if the weather is as significant as the forecasts are suggesting, all the main airports in the Republic will be majorly affected at some stage during Monday."

The predictions on the Weather threads, based on currently available information place Wicklow /Dublin as more in the path of some of the worst winds than was previously forecast. Wicklow and Waterford have already been declared as Red areas by Met Eireann.

See post 1810 on this thread:
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057796550&page=121

Its hard to see that a flight during the height of the storm at 18:00 (17:00 Irish time) will not incur at best a significant delay, and at worst, cancellation.

Tom123

Stobart cancelled from Isle of man at 17:35

bobwilliams

LiamaDelta wrote:

Explained in post #1 - unless a crystal ball has been installed since

Schit sorry my bad

TomOnBoard

There's going to be some bunfight after tomorrow with passengers expecting compensation for cancelled flights that they won't be entitled to. I'm pretty sure that Ophelia will be classed as having given rise to "extraordinary circumstances" leading to said cancellations, and when they occur, airlines are not liable for payment of compensation.

However, the EU 261 provisions still apply in respect of the Airline's duty to take care of you even where a flight is cancelled due to "extraordinary circumstances". If you are or are likely to be affected, take a look at this page to understand your rights.

https://www.caa.co.uk/Passengers/Resolving-travel-problems/Delays-cancellations/Your-rights/Your-rights-when-you-fly/

Irish Steve

I would expect very unlikely to get from Madrid to Dublin tomorrow evening, simply because the aircraft will have to get to Madrid, and at around 1400, Dublin will not be a nice place to be, and flights are very unlikely to be able to depart, given the wind prediction above of 170 42 G 60 Kts, that's going to be right on the limits for moving around on the ground, loading and unloading baggage cans, and similar issues, and using runway 16 is an added aggravation, if there are then multiple missed approaches, which is a given with the forecast, there will be significant delays.

xabi

https://twitter.com/corkairport/status/919554572821106688

Would be nice if I they said which flights

strandroad

TomOnBoard wrote: »

There's going to be some bunfight after tomorrow with passengers expecting compensation for cancelled flights that they won't be entitled to. I'm pretty sure that Ophelia will be classed as having given rise to "extraordinary circumstances" leading to said cancellations, and when they occur, airlines are not liable for payment of compensation.

However, the EU 261 provisions still apply in respect of the Airline's duty to take care of you even where a flight is cancelled due to "extraordinary circumstances". If you are or are likely to be affected, take a look at this page to understand your rights.

https://www.caa.co.uk/Passengers/Resolving-travel-problems/Delays-cancellations/Your-rights/Your-rights-when-you-fly/

Would they still be obliged to book you on another flight in such case?

crashadder

I would rather my flight cancelled tomorrow (15:50) than delayed as i have a connection to the last flight to my final destination. (self connection too). I do hope to find out in the morning as i dont want to be stranded in Dublin airport.

TomOnBoard

strandroad wrote: »

Would they still be obliged to book you on another flight in such case?

AFAIK, yes. The only thing excluded by the "extraordinary circumstances" cancellation reason is the payment of compensation. All the other duties of care will still apply, including either refunds or re-routing.

Jacovs

On the DAA app its showing 21 arriving flights and 22 departing flights already cancelled tomorrow. Between KLM, Aer Lingus and BA.

confusicus

Flight out of Dublin at 6.20am - will they generally cancel these early flights if they return crew leg likely won't be able to get back to Dublin?

Locker10a

confusicus wrote: »

Flight out of Dublin at 6.20am - will they generally cancel these early flights if they return crew leg likely won't be able to get back to Dublin?

I would say it depends on what time the crew are due to return to Dublin, UK or Benelux flight coukd possibly be ok as they return well before midday

Masala

From KERRy Airport website:

We have just received this message from Aer Lingus Regional

Due to significant weather forecast for tomorrow 16 Oct we have cancelled a number of flights.

Cancelled Flights
EI3204 From Dublin
EI3205 to Dublin
EI3208 from Dublin

Text messages will be sent directly to all passengers booked on the above flights informing them of the situation. Also included in the text will be the passengers rights due to the cancelations i.e Rebooking on next available flight or a full refund.
Aer Lingus Regional will not be providing any ground transport due to advierse weather conditions.
Any further queries please contact the airline directly

goingnowhere

Dublin might not to be too bad as the wind favours 16 for the morning. The first wave of EI departures should be be getting out and back, clearly will be a lot of queuing to take off

As nearly the entire EIR schedule is gone and BA and KLM have pulled the post morning ops, does help a bit with gate availability and general space on the apron and holds

Real problem is if you can't land in Dublin, it gets ugly Cork, Shannon, Knock will be even worse weather than Dublin, BHD is out most likely, but BFS has a crosswind runway so might be good. So looks like MAN will be busy.

Oscar Bravo

aer lingus confirms following cancellations for tomorrow:

EI710/EI711 ORK-LHR-ORK
EI712/EI715 ORK-LHR-ORK
EI836/EI837 ORK-MUC-ORK
EI822/EI823 ORK-CDG-ORK
EI894/EI895 ORK-FAO-ORK

lfc200

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

aer lingus confirms following cancellations for tomorrow:

EI710/EI711 ORK-LHR-ORK
EI712/EI715 ORK-LHR-ORK
EI836/EI837 ORK-MUC-ORK
EI822/EI823 ORK-CDG-ORK
EI894/EI895 ORK-FAO-ORK

Where have you seen this Oscar Bravo?

JCX BXC

Some of the rotations between Shannon and Heathrow are cancelled tomorrow, as well as all Stobart rotations (Edinburgh and Birmingham).

LXFlyer

lfc200 wrote: »

Where have you seen this Oscar Bravo?

They are on the Cork Airport twitter feed.

lfc200

LXFlyer wrote: »

They are on the Cork Airport twitter feed.

Thanks. Due to go on the ORK-LHR tomorrow morning so delighted to be honest. Gives me an extra day at home before having to head to London for another 2 weeks

JCX BXC

Dublin

Regular
BECMG 1607/1609 10015G25KT
BECMG 1610/1612 16025G40KT
BECMG 1612/1614 16035G50KT
BECMG 1616/1618 21030G45KT

Decoded
8am-10am 100 degrees 15kts gusting 25kts
11am-1pm 160 degrees 25kts gusting 40kts
1pm-3pm 160 degrees 35kts gusting 50kts
5pm-7pm 210 degrees 30kts gusting to 45kts

Shannon

Regular
BECMG 1605/1607 09025G35KT
BECMG 1609/1612 14035G55KT
BECMG 1612/1614 17040G60KT
BECMG 1614/1616 23030G45KT

Decoded
6am-8am wind 090 degrees 25kts gusting to 35kts
10am-1pm wind 140 degrees 35kts gusting 55kts
1pm-3pm wind 170 degrees 40kts gusting 60kts
3pm-5pm wind 230 degrees 30kts gusting 45kts

Cork

Regular
BECMG 1603/1606 07020G30KT
BECMG 1607/1609 17035G50KT
BECMG 1609/1611 17040G60KT
TEMPO 1611/1614 18048G70KT
BECMG 1614/1616 23035G50KT


Decoded
4am-7am wind 070 degrees 20kts gusting 30kts
8am-10am wind 170 degrees 35kts gusting 50kts
10am-12pm wind 170 degrees 40kts gusting 60kts
12pm-3pm wind temporarily 180 degrees 48kts gusting 70kts
3pm-5pm wind 230 degrees 35kts gusting to 50kts


Knock

Regular
BECMG 1603/1605 05018G30KT
BECMG 1608/1610 08025G40KT
BECMG 1610/1612 12025G40KT
BECMG 1612/1614 12035G50KT
BECMG 1614/1616 23030G45KT
BECMG 1616/1618 24025G35KT

Decoded
4am-6am wind 050 degrees 18kts gusting 30kts
9am-11am wind 080 degrees 25kts gusting 40kts
11am-1pm wind 120 degrees 25kts gusting 40kts
1pm-3pm wind 120 degrees 35kts gusting 50kts
3pm-5pm wind 230 degrees 30kts gusting 45kts
4pm-6pm wind 240 degrees 25kts gusting 35kts

*----*----*----*----*----*----*----*----*----*----*

Nothing spectacular at Knock, Shannon and Dublin, however I've never seen 70kts at Cork!

Dublin may cope fine until 1pm, at which point ground ops may stop with the gust of 50kts.

Cork may not actually handle any aircraft if those forecasts come off, perhaps the first departures.

Shannon will also struggle to handle any aircraft, diversions are likely if not straight out cancellations. Will be interesting to see what the transatlantics do.

Masala

Any thing from Ryanair..... seem they operating as normal

JCX BXC

With those winds for DUB it looks like a wait and see sort of operation.

For Cork and Shannon though I wouldn't have much hope, Knock won't have it easy either.

Flight out of Knock @ 9:30, when should we be informed if its cancelled or not ?

Storm 10

Red warning for the whole Country now

duskyjoe

Met Eireann has issued a code red warning for all of the country.....all schools off and colleges.

Wouldn't surprise me if brown coat clip board brigade halted ops 2m at Dub and for good reason. Cans around flying the ramp etc. We'll see

JCX BXC

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Flight out of Knock @ 9:30, when should we be informed if its cancelled or not ?

Nobody here can really answer that, as only the airline knows that.