Snow and Ice Warning : Thursday/Friday 7th/8th December

JCX BXC

Jobs OXO wrote: »

What did the RTE lady say ?

Nothing too dissimilar to what's in the ME forecast.

Captain Snow

This is for after our first Snow event another possible slider LP and a reload from the north. This is the 18z lets see its evolution.

Danno

Ninja snow for Sunday morning...?

Stephen Hawkins football boots

Stuck on Isle of man with work
Due to fly back to dub on sat at 10.30 am.Do u think that flight will go? Sorry for high jacking thread, but anxious to get off the island that time forgot

JCX BXC

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

Stuck on Isle of man with work
Due to fly back to dub on sat at 10.30 am.Do u think that flight will go? Sorry for high jacking thread, but anxious to get off the island that time forgot

As I've already personally answered to you, directly, on this thread, it's a yes, it will take off.

Nearly no precip forecast for Saturday, check the forecast!

Stephen Hawkins football boots

JCX BXC wrote: »

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

Stuck on Isle of man with work
Due to fly back to dub on sat at 10.30 am.Do u think that flight will go? Sorry for high jacking thread, but anxious to get off the island that time forgot

As I've already personally answered to you, directly, on this thread, it's a yes, it will take off.

Nearly no precip forecast for Saturday, check the forecast!

Thank you it just seems the charts are showing snow
But thanks will leave now

Oscar Bravo

2235 Update from Met Eireann....

Tomorrow Thursday will be cold and blustery with a mix of sunny spells and occasional showers. While the south and east will have a mainly dry day, showers will become widespread and wintry across the north and west. Falls of snow are likely across Ulster and north Connacht later in the day. Northwest winds will be very strong with gale gusts in northern areas. Highest temperatures 4 to 8 degrees.

James Bond Junior

I never know where Limerick city should place. Are we south or west?

Donegal Storm

We're going to see a brief north westerly with temperatures above freezing throughout and a waterlogged and warm ground from todays rain, something we've seen countless times and it very rarely delivers much more than brief slushy snow in Ulster and a morning dusting elsewhere. Nowhere near enough to affect Dublin airport or commuters.

pad199207

Donegal Storm wrote: »

We're going to see a brief north westerly with temperatures above freezing throughout and a waterlogged and warm ground from todays rain, something we've seen countless times and it very rarely delivers much more than brief slushy snow in Ulster and a morning dusting elsewhere. Nowhere near enough to affect Dublin airport or commuters.

Yes we’re all perfectly aware of that.

You might change your tune come Sunday however

screamer

pad199207 wrote: »

Yes we’re all perfectly aware of that.

You might change your tune come Sunday however

Why what's Sunday looking like?

JCX BXC

No mention of snow in Dublin, Cork or Shannon's 11pm TAF's (airport forecasts), Knock is forecasting sleet from 2pm with a moderate chance of snow from 5pm.

These forecasts only ever extend 24hrs.

Oscar Bravo

Cold front up along the west coast now with heavy rain in it. winds will start to swing to the north west behind it and will be blustery along NW coasts tomorrow

Pangea

Donegal Storm wrote: »

We're going to see a brief north westerly with temperatures above freezing throughout and a waterlogged and warm ground from todays rain

I remember one day in Lettekenny I was going into the hospital, it was raining and the ground was very wet, Snow wasn't forecast but then it started to snow. Naturally I said it won't stick, the ground would be too wet. Coming out of the hospital an hour later I had a job to find my car with the snow cover! I ended up leaving it and staying in a hotel for the night. It was incredible. Seeing is believing

Gaoth Laidir

JCX BXC wrote: »

No mention of snow in Dublin, Cork or Shannon's 11pm TAF's (airport forecasts), Knock is forecasting sleet from 2pm with a moderate chance of snow from 5pm.

These forecasts only ever extend 24hrs.

Notable that even Belfast still only shows rain, with a chance of sleet or graupel, and that at Dublin the showers for Dublin are only of rain. That's less than I thought, especially for Belfast, which in general has more severe TAFs than those generated by Met Éireann for the south.

(BELFAST/ ALDERGROVE)
TAF AMD EGAA 061942Z 0619/0718 19015KT 9999 BKN008
TEMPO 0619/0703 20020G30KT 5000 RA -RADZ
PROB40 TEMPO 0619/0703 SCT008 BKN018
BECMG 0702/0704 29020G35KT SCT025
TEMPO 0707/0718 5000 SHRA BECMG 0712/0715 28015G25KT
PROB40 TEMPO 0714/0718 4000 SHRASN SHGS SCT005 BKN010CB=

(DUBLIN)
TAF EIDW 062300Z 0700/0724 21021KT 9999 SCT015 BKN030
TEMPO 0700/0702 22022G34KT
TEMPO 0700/0704 5000 -RA BKN013
PROB30 TEMPO 0703/0705 4000 RA BKN007
BECMG 0702/0704 31022G35KT
BECMG 0704/0706 28017G28KT
TEMPO 0711/0724 28020G33KT -SHRA SCT012 SCT018CB=

(SHANNON)
TAF EINN 062300Z 0700/0724 20017G28KT 9999 FEW010 BKN012
TEMPO 0700/0703 3000 RA BKN007
BECMG 0701/0703 33024G37KT FEW015 SCT030
BECMG 0703/0705 31017G28KT
TEMPO 0714/0724 5000 SHRA SCT012 SCT018CB =

(CORK)
TAF EICK 062300Z 0700/0724 20020G32KT 2500 -DZ BKN003
TEMPO 0700/0703 0400 FG RADZ OVC001
BECMG 0700/0702 24020G32KT
BECMG 0702/0704 33025G37KT 9999 NSW SCT010 BKN020
BECMG 0704/0706 33018G32KT
BECMG 0707/0709 30016G27KT
TEMPO 0716/0724 5000 SHRA SCT010 SCT018CB=

(CONNAUGHT)
TAF EIKN 062300Z 0700/0724 23020G32KT 5000 -RADZ BKN004
TEMPO 0700/0701 0500 FG RADZ BKN001
BECMG 0700/0701 33022G35KT 9999 NSW BKN010
BECMG 0701/0703 30017G27KT FEW015 BKN025
TEMPO 0709/0718 29020G32KT
TEMPO 0709/0714 5000 SHRA SCT012 SCT018CB
TEMPO 0714/0724 3000 SHRASN BKN010 SCT018CB
PROB40 TEMPO 0717/0724 1200 SHSN BKN005=

Oscar Bravo

11pm , Belmullet now reporting a north westerly wind and 10 degrees. cold front moving through swiftly.

Storm 10

Not too much to worry about after listening to the forecast from ME just now on THE Radio

Meteorite58

So the first sign of the colder airs to come. Will be interesting watching this develop, Winds starting to Veer to the NW.

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/938562510462050305

gozunda

James Bond Junior wrote: »

I never know where Limerick city should place. Are we south or west?

Brought this up previously in the last big storm thread. Being bang in the middle of the other the South western counties and having a coastal border, the county and city frequently gets an equal measure of bad weather (eg storm Darwin) but gets left out of relevant forecasts until the weather event is imminent or actually hits. Seems to be treated as bit of an anomaly weather-wise imo.

Been gusting here South east and wet most of the day. Currently waiting for the next front north west and more rain / sleet etc - oh joy...

pauldry

Temperature in Sligo at 1145 12.6c
At 1245 8.8c
Now 7.5c

JCX BXC

pauldry wrote: »

Temperature in Sligo at 1145 12.6c
At 1245 8.8c
Now 7.5c

Was 12.3c here at midnight
9.3c now at 1:50.

Not quite as rapid in West Clare, still substantial though!

Kermit.de.frog

Trough will enhance snow shower activity tonight bringing at least a dusting to many aided by a generously strong wind. Remember sea temperatures are still warm - this will add further enhancement and instability. Thunderstorms are likely particularly near coasts.



Where snow does lie for Friday temperatures will struggle so it's likely to hang around.

On Sunday - not much correction needed for Ireland to be effected by frontal snow. Will update my thoughts later today.

It's going to be a very cold weekend. Watch out for ice as well.

Kermit.de.frog

Update for Sunday

Game on - on UKMO. If the LP slides this far southwest it could be a snow event



GFS not so keen. But UKMO is good, literally only 100 miles in the difference (or bad depending on your perspective) for Ireland.

Kermit.de.frog

ECM also partly delivers the goods for the north and east on Sunday. Snowfall at least for a time and maybe throughout. On a knife edge.


In the mean time temperatures have been dropping rapidly. Snow from this evening - but south Leinster (south of Wicklow mountains) and Munster may not be that badly effected.

Wine Goddess

RTE news just said up to 3cm SNOW expected in north and west and higher ground elsewhere.....wonder if that's what HARMONIE is predicting......

KingdomRushed

I’m taking the young fella from Dublin to my sister’s gaff in Cavan on Saturday morning, hopefully there will be enough lying snow to build a snowman with his cousins.

However after being on another *famous weather forum this morning, seeing grown men (who stayed up all night for a model run) cry and fight with each over whether the snow will fall in Birmingham or Essex I’d nearly prefer of it didn’t snow at all, just to see them cry some more lol

munsterlegend

Looks like the northern half of the country will do well out of this. Thought down in west Munster we might do ok but forecast is only for an isolated wintry shower.

Enjoy people where it falls!

Rebelbrowser

munsterlegend wrote: »

Looks like the northern half of the country will do well out of this. Thought down in west Munster we might do ok but forecast is only for an isolated wintry shower.

Enjoy people where it falls!

Just as a straw clutch for people in Munster:-

1. The Met warning is countrywide so they are not completely ruling out snow in the South; and
2. The difficulty with getting snow in Ireland is usually to do with temps, such that the precipitation falls alright - but not as snow. If we do get precipitation from, say, 3am tonight to lunch time tomorrow, that will probably fall as snow. Now if there's one thing we do well in Ireland its getting the precipitation in! With NW winds coming in off the Atlantic I'd be surprised still if West Munster doesn't get some decent falls and could even see it pushing all the way through to my area (Cork city). On 17 December 2010, in a very different (much colder) set up admittedly (the 1st day of the second cold spell then), I remember a similar forecast with showers to push in to a line north of Galway. Ultimately we got 6cm of snow that night in Cork city, far more in different more western parts of Munster. The principle isn't that different now - a NW wind will usually carry showers inland in Munster. So I am not giving up all hope (though the fact this analysis goes against all the models, Met E, etc is not good!)

Jaycornyn

In the north west here. All though I do love snow I hate the risk on the roads. Roads around here arnt gritted and its quite a hilly twisty road. Always accidents on it when there is snow or ice. But, its never anything major. Just wish they would run a gritter on it.

If we do get snow ill try throw up a few pictures if this is the place for it?

ninebeanrows

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

11pm , Belmullet now reporting a north westerly wind and 10 degrees. cold front moving through swiftly.

How did you get access to that chart :pac: