Snow and Ice Warning : Thursday/Friday 7th/8th December

JCX BXC

Gonzo wrote: »

Friday they show showers of sleet and snow along the west and mostly sunny elsewhere but colder and temps around 3C.

That's great for me thanks!

(West Clare).

hatrickpatrick

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

We've seen worse than the below chart 4 days away (albeit I know the GFS precipitation chart is awful)..

What worries me is the close proximity of rain off the West coast, any slight wobble and this becomes more of a sleet/slush event than a snow event. Even so, signs are still looking pretty good.

ninebeanrows

Looking like a potent toppled followed by a complicated and in places snowy 'breakdown'. Certainly Friday looks good for snowfall to sea level nationwide but whether any flurries make it to the south and east is uncertain.

server down

CrowdedHouse wrote: »

I'm glad kod87 and George Sunsnow mentioned it in passing because I was beginning to wonder was my old noggin going off a bit. Everyone talks about 2010 but in my neck of the woods - near Roscrea Tipp it was a fairly unremarkable event snow-wise. Sure there was snow but checking through my old photos, I can see the grass on my lawn through the snow (the fact that I only took a handful says a lot). I travelled regularly to Galway without difficulty.

The COLD though folks I'll never forget..

Snow was nearly universal across Ireland but it looks like in this satellite taken on the 22nd that a finger from Waterford to north Tipp (and a chunk of the midwest) missed out in the heavier stuff. There were two more days of snow though, but mostly on the east as I recall.

https://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/features/2010/ire-snow1210.html

pilly

server down wrote: »

Snow was nearly universal across Ireland but it looks like in this satellite taken on the 22nd that a finger from Waterford to north Tipp (and a chunk of the midwest) missed out in the heavier stuff. There were two more days of snow though, but mostly on the east as I recall.

https://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/features/2010/ire-snow1210.html

Sorry snow lovers but I really don't want that scenario to happen again. Need to get a flight Christmas Eve.

2Mad2BeMad

Delighted with the mild weather, I bloody hate the cold :L them warehouses are like freezers when it drops.

sdanseo

-10 850hPa stalling over the east coast for around 12hrs on the 12Z GFS. 528 still knife edge.

Unlikely much in the way of precipitation will make it to Dublin and the East.

If you're in rural Donegal though, might be worth digging out the wooly hats.

RobertKK

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Aye
My milk in December 2010 was being brought from Arklow to the Glanbia ballyragget plant in Kilkenny where our Lorry driver said there was no snow
The staff down there couldn’t believe what he was telling them about conditions up our way
Here’s a pic attached of us clearing (again) the lane down into the yard so the lorry could get in
We were successfull as per the 2nd pic
The piles of snow we created lasted until the end of January!

That was on Dec 22nd,it snowed heavy again on the 23rd and 24th

That was north west Kilkenny, but in north east Kilkenny we had over 30cm/1ft of snow then a thaw in the middle of it and snow didn't fully go, then we had another 30cm/1ft or so of snow.
But the main roads and the biggest business in Kilkenny would get special preferences for snow clearing.
I had to dry off the cows at the end of November 2010 as the milk lorry couldn't reach me.

Danno

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Aye
My milk in December 2010 was being brought from Arklow to the Glanbia ballyragget plant in Kilkenny where our Lorry driver said there was no snow
The staff down there couldn’t believe what he was telling them about conditions up our way...

Your lorry driver must have been drunk... I live four miles north of the Glanbia factory and I can assure you there was 12cm of snow on the ground here!

Gaoth Laidir

Just to show how much colder the GFS is, it is running a good 2-4 degrees colder than either the ARPEGE or ECMWF for 850 hPa temperatures on Friday. That is, of course, translating into the difference between rainy and snowy precip.

nacho libre

I hope the latest ecm output isn't correct but it looks plausible

Rodar08

nacho libre wrote: »

I hope the latest ecm output isn't correct but it looks plausible

Can you explain it in simple terms what you mean and how things are looking now Nacho libre? I’m in N. Donegal but down in beside the swilly so not always a great place for snow. Thanks

nacho libre

Rodar08 wrote: »

Can you explain it in simple terms what you mean and how things are looking now Nacho libre? I’m in N. Donegal but down in beside the swilly so not always a great place for snow. Thanks

It could hearld a return to an Atlantic regime beyond the weekend. It would chime with previous uk met office updates. You see we don't need a raging pv for our cold chances longer term to be ruined, all it requires is a lobe of the pv in the wrong position spoiling things. It does look like we could have snow on friday, though. Although, i would take heed of what Goath Laidir says above - he seems to like snow, but he never lets his desire for snow get in the way of a sober analysis of events.

JanuarySnowstor

Everything looks marginal to me.
Even Thursday's event has backtracked to be a 24 hour event (24 hour as in falling snow)
Long term the lack of proper heights sways me more to ECM rather than gfs
I don't see proper sliders without a strong Scandinavian or Greenland high.

Still the best start to Winter since 2010 though and plenty evidence that the jet is not itself by a country mile

Meteorite58

Late Thurs night early Fri morning ( during the dark hours ) look the best chance for snow to me. At the moment not showing much precipitation later Fri / Sat away from N. NW, W, SW coasts until the expected front arrives Sat night.

Stephen Hawkins football boots

I'm due to fly from isle of man into Dublin Airport on sat. Do you think this cold weather will affect either airport?

JCX BXC

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

I'm due to fly from isle of man into Dublin Airport on sat. Do you think this cold weather will affect either airport?

Not a chance.

ninebeanrows

By the time Friday arrives this could be a westerly going by the continuing trend :P

However, still cold and some snow potential countrywide Thursday night into Friday....

Stephen Hawkins football boots

JCX BXC wrote: »

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

I'm due to fly from isle of man into Dublin Airport on sat. Do you think this cold weather will affect either airport?

Not a chance.

Thanks

Gonzo

this is now way downgraded since this post was started. Now it looks like the majority of the cold will quickly shoot down Thursday night with milder air approaching the west by Friday morning, turning most of the showers back to sleet or even rain by Friday afternoon as the coldest air moves eastwards very quickly.

pistolpetes11

It really depends on which way the low goes I thought ?

Although In saying that I have not being keeping a keen eye on the charts so that might be gone wrong at this stage

kenmc

Gonzo wrote: »

this is now way downgraded since this post was started. Now it looks like the majority of the cold will quickly shoot down Thursday night with milder air approaching the west by Friday morning, turning most of the showers back to sleet or even rain by Friday afternoon as the coldest air moves eastwards very quickly.

Stupid bloody country. We can't even do winter right

squarecircles

Some serious misery porn to endulge in...

UK looks like potentially getting a good dumping of snow on Monday/Tuesday...

And emmm...yeah,were getting ummm...well...

Rain.

Gaoth Laidir

For me it's snow during Thursday night and pre-noon Friday, becoming a watery mix thereafter. Plenty of accumulations above 200 metres across Ulster, Sligo, Mayo and Galway, tapering off through the north midlands. Maybe a dusting for the east but no disruption there.

Rodar08

Doesn’t look like much agreement here I don’t know what to think anymore but I much prefer Donegal weather channels forecast. I’ve screen shot it here.

icesnowfrost

Don't see what people are seeing. It's still game on from Thursday to Saturday at least.

Rock Lesnar

Everytime Kermit starts a snow thread, its doomed, doomed i tells ya

Rock Lesnar

icesnowfrost wrote: »

Don't see what people are seeing. It's still game on from Thursday to Saturday at least.

I could be wrong but it doesnt look like snow for the east, sure we might get a few flurries or an odd shower, but thats no good to anybody, then it looks like rain saturday night, with milder air pushing in

pauldry

Some wintry showers and some white Thursday night in North and West

The Atlantic always prevails.....in the past 7 years anyhow

Rodar08

I’m sorry but I’m confused.. so is this entire thread about the east of Ireland??