Double Gameweek/Blank Gameweek planning

FHFC

FHFC wrote: »

Pope 2
Cresswell 7
Jones 6
Alonso 7
KdB 12
Alli 10
Sterling 9
Salah 0
Arnie 5
Kane TC 9
Depoitre 1
Total 68points

That would have been for a -8 and would also have meant I didnt get Otamendi last week with my FT which would have cost me another 5 points. I'd only have Niasse 1 pointer to sub in for Salah, or I might have sold Salah for Son for another -4 (which I am glad I didnt do).

Plus I'd have a few players that I don't want.

So nett score from not playing Free Hit (so far) would be 68-8-5+1=55 points.

Free Hit score 87

Amended as above. Approx 31 point gain from the chip although there's some guesswork in that.

It's possible I'd have bought Masuaka if I'd been planning ahead as I wouldn't have been certain I could afford Cresswell. May also have gone for Eriksen if I had to hold the spurs player for a few GWs.

FHFC

Paully D wrote: »

Okay, time to analyse the success of the free hit.

Non-Free Hit Team:

The below is what I would have had this week with automatic subs taken into account. Speroni, Salah and Robertson didn't play. Naughton was suspended.

Pickford | 2

Christensen | 2
Ogbonna | 4
Dunk | 1

Hazard | 10
Sterling | 9
Arnautovic | 5
Zaha | 2

Kane (TC) | 9
Morata | 2
Calvert-Lewin | 1


Total = 47 points including triple captain, no points hit.

Free Hit Team:

Adrian | 6

Otamendi | 2
Ogbonna | 4
Maguire | 6

Son | 12
Eriksen | 8
Sterling | 9
Arnautovic | 5
Mahrez | 14

Kane (C) | 6
Aguero | 6

Total = 78.

So overall, a 31 point difference. Despite the many disappointments throughout the gameweek, it has to go down as a success.

Only real regret is that if I had known De Bruyne was going to play, I'd have gone with him instead of Eriksen and Vertonghen instead of Otamendi (as I had that lined up provisionally before the end of the Palace v City game), which would have netted me an extra 11 points, but I don't think any of us could have realistically expected him to start.

But surely if not free hitting you'd have taken a hit or two to get more than 3 dgwers? Would you really not have sold Hazard for a spurs player?

Great score. Well played. But I think your underestimating your gains.

extra gravy

Gained around 30 points overall with the free hit. Halved my rank from 240,000 to 120,000 so delighted with that.

PARlance

FHFC wrote: »

But surely if not free hitting you'd have taken a hit or two to get more than 3 dgwers? Would you really not have sold Hazard for a spurs player?

Great score. Well played. But I think your underestimating your gains.

The fact that there's 3 Spurs attackers in the FH team strongly suggested that Hazard would have been taken out for a Spurs mid imo. That could have been a FT too but wouldn't have changed much really.

Chesty08

I used my Free Hit in GW10.
My players were off form, a couple where injured and I had used a -12 point hit midweek. When using this hit I brought in Coutinho who had played the previous 5 games.
News then broke that Coutinho was injured and both Kane & Aguero weren't going to feature. So I was left with no premium hitters, captaincy choice and nearing a -20 hit.
I looked back and used the Free Hit, scored 58 points & had a captaincy fail on Sanchez at home to Swansea.
Couting back my score of what players I would of had, it would of been 45 (-12). So in this GW there was a +25 points n return.
However, and a big however, I went back to a team I was not happy with and ultimately made 8 transfers over 3 GW's costing me -20 in points

Cartman78

I'll stick this here as well (also posted to the Matchday thread) -

So – played the Free Hit and relatively HEWT with 66.

Like most weeks, there’s a tinge of frustration as it could/should have been so much more – Morgan missing the clean sheet is especially annoying.

A nice jump in OR from 278K to 187K, and put some more distance at the top of my money league….but can’t help feeling it should have been so much better.

So back to reality with my regular squad – assuming no transfer(s) my GW total this week would have been a whopping 28 points () I think:

Courtois (1)
Robertson (0) | Duffy (1) | Ogbonna (4) |Kenny (0)
Hazard (10) | Salah (0) | Coutinho (0) | Richarlison (2)
Morata (2) | Kane (6)
Subs: Elliot (0) | Crouch (2) | Long (0)| Surman (0)

Shocking stuff and major surgery required.

So at the moment it seems that the Free Hit was a major success but not sure if the way I used it was strategically clever or not….will be better able to assess at the end of the season I guess.

Green&Red

I took a -8 instead of the FH, ended up with 70. Captaining Son over Kane was the difference along with holding KDB.
Hard to tell what I would have done but probably Hazard instead of KDB, would have dropped Jones for a spurs defender and probably Sane over Salah. Doubt I would have picked up Carroll, maybe Arnautovic
So all in all happy to still have my FH and TC

km79

Sanchez going to city would change everything wouldn't it
Even now I think there is still a chance sterling plays the role up front jesus did for some away/big games. Pep has not trusted kun in some games to do this.
If Sanchez comes then the cat is well and truly amongst the pigeons

I'll wait a few weeks

PARlance

km79 wrote: »

Sanchez going to city would change everything wouldn't it
Even now I think there is still a chance sterling plays the role up front jesus did for some away/big games. Pep has not trusted kun in some games to do this.
If Sanchez comes then the cat is well and truly amongst the pigeons

I'll wait a few weeks

If he was set to go I think I'd get him in as an Arsenal player and keep 4 City players for the rest of the season

Why would I want to make a transfer anyway.

shineon23

Been thinking about this since Monday that I should have played free hit, but as I hadn't given it much thought there was no point rushing it. I was planning Kane TC since the fixture was announced and said I may as well follow through with it.

Over the week I was thinking about what my free hit team would be and how itd fare against my TC team. And yes I actually would have had my annual one week fling with Big Handsome Andy Carroll as I bought him in both my draft teams.

TC team scored 63(-4) points.
Transfers were DDG and Willian out for Lloris and Arnautovic

Lloris 8
Jones 6
Bellerin 8
Francis 0
Alonso 7
Masuaku 3

Arnautovic 5
Sterling 9
Richarlison 2 (subbed in for Salah)

Kane (TC) 9
Aguero (TVC)6

Free Hit team would have scored 85 and would have been;

Without been able to use TC, and having another Spurs attacker to choose, Id captained Alli who was guranteed more minutes, which doesn't really make a lot of sense, after I've wasted my TC on Kane.

Adrian 6

Jones 6
Vertonghen 9
Alonso 7

Arnautovic 5
Alli (C) 20
Sterling 9
Richarlison 2(?) .Not sure who I would have picked here would have had 7.9 ITB. Hindsight would have me picking a high scorer so no point saying someone else

Aguero 6
Kane (VC) 3
Carroll 12

Bench would have been cheapest players possible.

Difference would have been 85 vs 59.

So 26 and I'd still have my TC, which I always seem to mess up, and I'd have used up the chip that I'm not really sure how to play.

As has been the trend all this season, not caring as much as other years and not paying close attention is costing me but it could have been a lot worse. I'm making steady ground in my private leagues in spite of myself and hope to sicken some rivals by catching them in the season run in :D

wardides

I've spent roughly the last 2 hours trying to work out when is best to use my TC, FH and BB chips with half a season to go. I haven't got a clue.

Iused2likebusts

wardides wrote: »

I've spent roughly the last 2 hours trying to work out when is best to use my TC, FH and BB chips with half a season to go. I haven't got a clue.

Wildcard 33 BB 34 FH 35 TC 37.

km79

km79 wrote: »

Sanchez going to city would change everything wouldn't it
Even now I think there is still a chance sterling plays the role up front jesus did for some away/big games. Pep has not trusted kun in some games to do this.
If Sanchez comes then the cat is well and truly amongst the pigeons

I'll wait a few weeks

I have played about with a team that includes Sanchez in case he does move. Quite happy with it too.

Problem is where would Pep play him and at who’s expense.

You’d have to guess up front at Aguero’s expense.

normanoffside

So my FH team got me 62.
I just checked and if I had taken the planned -4 my team would have scored 41 and I'd have used the TC chip on Kane.
I'm probably on the edge of acceptable despite a disaster last night (12 pts from 6 players)

Shanotheslayer

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I have played about with a team that includes Sanchez in case he does move. Quite happy with it too.

Problem is where would Pep play him and at who’s expense.

You’d have to guess up front at Aguero’s expense.

I would say Sane to be honest

Iused2likebusts

So Blanks and DGWs for the rest of the season
GW28 Arsenal V Man city and Man uTd V chelsea will be cancelled here if any of those teams make the caraboa cup final
GW31 Clashes with FA cup QF . This will cause a big blank. The only game that definetly goes ahead here at the minute is Stoke v everton as both are out of the cup
DGW 34 This will be more than likely the biggest double with cancelled gw 28 and gw 31 games moved to here.
GW 35 This clashes with the FA cup SF and will cause a Blank. Currentlly stoke v burnley is the only game that is scheduled to go ahead then. Should end up being 3/4 games cancelled. This will be a challenging week as you will load up on dgw players for 34 but then a fair few will have blanks in 35. I think this could be a possible good week for FH potentially better than the blank gw of 31 as more games will take place and more decent teams will play.
Dgw 37 The games cancelled from gw 35 should get moved here and if a team makes the caraboa cup and the fa qf a gw 28 or 31 game could get moved here. Will be a fairly big double probably not as big as 34 though.

Things to be aware of are that its very possible the likes of city, arsenal, chelsea and utd will have blanks in both gw 28 and gw 31 also the knockout of cl will be taking place in and around then so it may make sense to sell lads you never thought you would.
Stoke will have no blanks may be useful if on wildcard to include 1 of their players possibly.
There will probably be 1 more dgw like the spurs one we just had. It will be needed if a team makes the fa sf and caraboa cup final as that would cause 3 blanks and we only have 2 dgw dates.
Their is also Ben Crelin on twitter and his fancy spreadsheets for those people that dont like the more traditional approach I take.

manual_man

Busts may I just say if you're not employed as a Data Analyst, you should be!

manual_man

GW28 could really throw a spanner in the works then. I'll be looking to have 2 F/T going into GW and even then a - 4 or -8 may be needed. GW28 was in my thoughts as a possible time to dump Chelsea assets anyway.

km79

@BenCrellin: Arsenal vs Man City might not be Blank in GW28.

Arsenal will have a free midweek after the Carabao Cup Final, so if ARS/MCI reach the Final, they might provisionally move their GW28 fixture to Feb 27/28.
(They'd have to reschedule it again if MCI get an FA Cup 5th round replay) https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/950063853244645378/photo/

And if Man City get knocked out of the FA Cup in Round 4, they'd probably move the fixture to Feb 17/18, that would give them both a DGW in GW27 followed by a Blank in GW28.

Going to do my level best to hold my WC until league cup finalists are known at a minimum
Longer if I can !

I'd actually be ok with a firmino ban as id get kun in for a -4 and scratch that itch without WC

Morzadec

manual_man wrote: »

GW28 could really throw a spanner in the works then. I'll be looking to have 2 F/T going into GW and even then a - 4 or -8 may be needed. GW28 was in my thoughts as a possible time to dump Chelsea assets anyway.

Yeah their very long run of favourable fixtures ends right there.

That's somewhat of a headache saver, as transferring Chelsea players out this week can be looked at as both a remedy for the Skinny week as well as a longterm move

Morzadec

Using my FH earlier this season is making the BGWs and DGWs tough to plan for.

Having a look at GW 31, Leicester vs Arsenal is one that could go ahead that would have some decent players playing in it.

GW31 is interesting, I'm wondering whether to try to gradually plan for it and then WC right after, or almost just write it off as a week where every team is likely to score very low.

Morzadec

Something worth keeping an eye on is when City wrap up the league. If they're deep in the CL and FA Cup and the league is won by GW 33 (which is entirely possible) it may be risky or impossible to get value out of them for DGWs

FHFC

Morzadec wrote: »

Something worth keeping an eye on is when City wrap up the league. If they're deep in the CL and FA Cup and the league is won by GW 33 (which is entirely possible) it may be risky or impossible to get value out of them for DGWs

Definitely agree. There will come a point, probably well before the DGWs where city assets will have to be dumped for players with something to play for.

FHFC

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

So Blanks and DGWs for the rest of the season
GW28 Arsenal V Man city and Man uTd V chelsea will be cancelled here if any of those teams make the caraboa cup final

Back of the fag packet is always best.....

But as fancy spreadsheet man pointed out, if arsenal beat Chelsea in the LC semi there may be no BGW28 at all.

As an early free hitter I'm rooting for Arsenal there.. ..

km79

FHFC wrote: »

Definitely agree. There will come a point, probably well before the DGWs where city assets will have to be dumped for players with something to play for.

Which is why I wish Kane hadn’t got feckin sick

FHFC

km79 wrote: »

Which is why I wish Kane hadn’t got feckin sick

Liverpool could be the stars of the DGWs this year.

Shanotheslayer

FHFC wrote: »

Definitely agree. There will come a point, probably well before the DGWs where city assets will have to be dumped for players with something to play for.

They'll be playing for the Invincible season :pac:

Iused2likebusts

FHFC wrote: »

Back of the fag packet is always best.....

But as fancy spreadsheet man pointed out, if arsenal beat Chelsea in the LC semi there may be no BGW28 at all.

As an early free hitter I'm rooting for Arsenal there.. ..

I don't think teams would be too keen to reschedule a game for 3 days after a cup final granted the schedule is very tight so there isn't much leeway. Gw 26 is another option for the arsenal city game and the Chelsea utd game could go to gw 29 with both Chelsea and utd in cl action the midweek of gw 30.

Iused2likebusts

At least 4 more PL teams going out after the 4th round draw.

Morzadec

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

At least 4 more PL teams going out after the 4th round draw.

Saw a lot of all PL ties.

Presumably this makes gw31 potentially less of a headache than we might have expected?

Good news for those of us who have used our FH?

Iused2likebusts

Morzadec wrote: »

Saw a lot of all PL ties.

Presumably this makes gw31 potentially less of a headache than we might have expected?

Good news for those of us who have used our FH?

Ye a maximum of 11 pl teams in the last 16 so less likely to have 8 pl teams in the qf. Worst case scenario is 8 blanks but for that you need 8 pl teams in the quarters and for none of those teams to have a league fixture against each other in gw 31.

km79

There is a decent chance both Swansea and Brighton could lose their ties too
Huddersfield have a tricky home one too maybe

FHFC

Lovely hurling...

Rikand

Early free hitters getting all the luck

manual_man

I feel there will be no blanks in GW28. Games can be played midweek. All 4 teams still involved in European football so the FA will be aware it could be very troublesome trying to rearrange games if they push it further down the line.

km79

Provisionally has shaqiri earmarked for my team if I WC next week due to no blanks and a rally nice run of fixtures
If Martin o Neill takes over he will certainly be in it . MON will solidify and set pieces will be vital. I may also break one of my main rules and also get a cheap stoke defender ..........

Especially if Cameron will be playing centra (meaning holding)l midfield. I’ve been waiting for an opportunity to get him in all season.

km79

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Especially if Cameron will be playing centra (meaning holding)l midfield. I’ve been waiting for an opportunity to get him in all season.

Hopefully if MON gets it he will get it too late to buy too many players !

shineon23

Deleted User wrote: »

Especially if Cameron will be playing centra (meaning holding)l midfield. I’ve been waiting for an opportunity to get him in all season.

My annual Geoff Cameron transfer is normally met with Geoff's own annual injury lay off.
Hoping these won't collide again in next few weeks,

I'm going to start watching their wing backs/RB/LB situation as well after the Man Utd game.

Dubh Geannain

Sweet sweet justice.

Held onto the DGW team with the exception of Adrian. Banked this week's transfer.

Thank you messers Arnie, Son, Erik and Captain Kane.

Made up for a very average Christmas

Morzadec

Looks very much like B'mouth vs WBA should likely join Stoke vs Everton as a confirmed game in gw31.

extra gravy

Morzadec wrote: »

Looks very much like B'mouth vs WBA should likely join Stoke vs Everton as a confirmed game in gw31.

Matty Phillips should be back in time for that gameweek :pac:

km79

Morzadec wrote: »

Looks very much like B'mouth vs WBA should likely join Stoke vs Everton as a confirmed game in gw31.

Hhhmmmmm bournemouth also have a decent game in 28 but I really can't keep Daniels any longer !

Iused2likebusts

Morzadec wrote: »

Looks very much like B'mouth vs WBA should likely join Stoke vs Everton as a confirmed game in gw31.

Nice callum Wilson in play for me now. Edit just checked fixtures West brom need to go out to liverpool first though.

Morzadec

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Nice callum Wilson in play for me now. Edit just checked fixtures West brom need to go out to liverpool first though.

Yup by no means guaranteed, but needs a wba upset against Liverpool AND a successful negotiation of a 5th round tie while surely prioritising a relegation battle so would be hugely surprised to see this fixture not go ahead

km79

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Nice callum Wilson in play for me now. Edit just checked fixtures West brom need to go out to liverpool first though.

With his injury record I wouldn’t count on him being fit by then
I’ve Learnt my lesson from last year anyway

I brought in Stanislas and Phillips weeks ahead of the skinny week
I held them through injury and loss of form
Neither then played

I’m not doing it again
Daniels is going this week

Iused2likebusts

We could have Burnley Chelsea in 31 aswell if Chelsea go out. Less blanks means less doubles.

Iused2likebusts

km79 wrote: »

With his injury record I wouldn’t count on him being fit by then
I’ve Learnt my lesson from last year anyway

I brought in Stanislas and Phillips weeks ahead of the skinny week
I held them through injury and loss of form
Neither then played

I’m not doing it again
Daniels is going this week

Same as myself we both wildcarded early with plans for that blank in mind with some of our players . 6 of the lads I had didn't make it and one of my Everton defs baines I think went off early and didn't get the cs.

km79

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Same as myself we both wildcarded early with plans for that blank in mind with some of our players . 6 of the lads I had didn't make it and one of my Everton defs baines I think went off early and didn't get the cs.

I’ve never held it this long before
It feels weird !

eh i dunno

km79 wrote: »

I’ve never held it this long before
It feels weird !

Mmmm sounds like fun