Snow and Ice Warning : Saturday(PM)/Sunday 9th/10th December - SEE MOD NOTE POST #1

cherryghost

It's extreme borderline stuff really. Most places might just get some cold mucky rain affair while 20km up the road might get snow plastered. The temperature range going into the weekend is insane. We're talking 0-3 north of the country and temps as high as 8 or 9 in the south. Any difference in the systems movement is going to change someones outcome.

sryanbruen

ECM's snow depth for Sunday isn't much different from what it was yesterday.

nagdefy

At 324m asl in South East Laois, historically we've had huge localised snowfalls from these scenarios countless times. We'll be prepared!

People dividing the country between the Northern and southern half of the country miss a lot of localised micro climates. It's never as simple as a line from Galway to Dublin.

There's a big difference between southern Kerry and southern Cork on the coast and parts of the southern midlands.

Donegal Storm

Lots of divergence in different model runs still, some showing 30cm in the midlands, others showing the midlands totally snow free with snow only across the north and north west. Obviously it's gonna be a nowcast so interesting to watch, I wouldn't want to be on shift at the met tomorrow, it'll be a long one!

I'm still skeptical it won't be a mainly high ground affair but lots of potential for a real pasting across large swathes of the country

Akrasia

I'd be happy with an inch of lying snow for the kids to look at. The ECM seems to deliver this to the Ennis area by sunday but, i'd say the urban heat island will mean nothing will stick anywhere within 1 or 2 km of a town.

Rock Lesnar

Dont think we'll see much snow action now on sunday, hope im wrong but i think we are just to far east to get it, and we'll end up with a messy muck day with flooding while 5 miles down the road, its snowing like crazy

kod87

nagdefy wrote: »

At 324m asl in South East Laois, historically we've had huge localised snowfalls from these scenarios countless times. We'll be prepared!

People dividing the country between the Northern and southern half of the country miss a lot of localised micro climates. It's never as simple as a line from Galway to Dublin.

There's a big difference between southern Kerry and southern Cork on the coast and parts of the southern midlands.

you could not be in a better location and elevation really.

thecretinhop

sryanbruen wrote: »

ECM's snow depth for Sunday isn't much different from what it was yesterday.

wow it is on a knife edge if that happened....

.

nagdefy

kod87 wrote: »

you could not be in a better location and elevation really.

Sometimes it's not all it's cracked up to be! After frontal snow 12 Jan 2010 we were snowed in for a week until a snow plough arrived! Great day 1 but boredom sets in and you feel very isolated Constant shoveling to make pathways from the front and back doors.

DOCARCH

thecretinhop wrote: »

wow it is on a knife edge if that happened....

.

If it happened, it wouldn't really be on a knife edge.

thecretinhop

DOCARCH wrote: »

If it happened, it wouldn't really be on a knife edge.

yeah sorry meant for say galway

nacho libre

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Lots of divergence in different model runs still, some showing 30cm in the midlands, others showing the midlands totally snow free with snow only across the north and north west. Obviously it's gonna be a nowcast so interesting to watch, I wouldn't want to be on shift at the met tomorrow, it'll be a long one!

I'm still skeptical it won't be a mainly high ground affair but lots of potential for a real pasting across large swathes of the country

I am too. I have a feeling it will end up going too far north and as a consequence end up as cold rain for most, aside from Ulster and high ground.
However if it does end up being an epic frontal snow event it will be bittersweet for me watching from afar. I have not seen one measly flake of snow here yet!:(

George Sunsnow

nagdefy wrote: »

At 324m asl in South East Laois, historically we've had huge localised snowfalls from these scenarios countless times. We'll be prepared!

People dividing the country between the Northern and southern half of the country miss a lot of localised micro climates. It's never as simple as a line from Galway to Dublin.

There's a big difference between southern Kerry and southern Cork on the coast and parts of the southern midlands.

Very true about the mountain micro climates
January 2010 for example driving from Arklow to Aughrim Heavy Rain,flooding in fact after a very wet day and few days
Road from Aughrim to about a mile from Aughavanagh Co. Wicklow deeper into the hills and patches of snow start to appear on the sides of the road but it’s still raining albeit sleetier
It’s night but you can see the icy substance on the windscreen
Turning left at Aughavanagh,there’s more flakes in the rain than rain
About a mile inland further uphill and it’s a fog of driving snow
The road is getting trickier and you can hear the frozen pile underneath the Jeep
About 2 miles further on,the road is completely blocked,we can go no further
We get out to a total blizzardous white out
Just driving snow
The road is blocked by waist deep snow
There are farm houses up lanes totally cut off
After a bit of playing around with taboggans on the road, we inch our way slowly in reverse until we can turn somewhere
Below Aughavanagh it’s rain again
Back in Arklow about 20 miles southeast of where that road was blocked,it’s a whole different cold rainy world with most people oblivious to the artic island we’d been up to and it’s isolated farm houses

screamer

kod87 wrote: »

nagdefy wrote: »

At 324m asl in South East Laois, historically we've had huge localised snowfalls from these scenarios countless times. We'll be prepared!

People dividing the country between the Northern and southern half of the country miss a lot of localised micro climates. It's never as simple as a line from Galway to Dublin.

There's a big difference between southern Kerry and southern Cork on the coast and parts of the southern midlands.

you could not be in a better location and elevation really.

Us too not quite as high as that but we also have a micro climate and surrounded by hills high on a plateau I'm hoping we get a but of snow action

shane.

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Very true about the mountain micro climates
January 2010 for example driving from Arklow to Aughrim Heavy Rain,flooding in fact after a very wet day and few days
Road from Aughrim to about a mile from Aughavanagh Co. Wicklow deeper into the hills and patches of snow start to appear on the sides of the road but it’s still raining albeit sleetier
It’s night but you can see the icy substance on the windscreen
Turning left at Aughavanagh,there’s more flakes in the rain than rain
About a mile inland further uphill and it’s a fog of driving snow
The road is getting trickier and you can hear the frozen pile underneath the Jeep
About 2 miles further on,the road is completely blocked,we can go no further
We get out to a total blizzardous white out
Just driving snow
The road is blocked by waist deep snow
There are farm houses up lanes totally cut off
After a bit of playing around with taboggans on the road, we inch our way slowly in reverse until we can turn somewhere
Below Aughavanagh it’s rain again
Back in Arklow about 20 miles southeast of where that road was blocked,it’s a whole different cold rainy world with most people oblivious to the artic island we’d been up to and it’s isolated farm houses

Sounds like a novel!

Hooks Golf Handicap

I'm hoping for a white gold around Carlow but doubting it more and more.

We had a few rain showers this evening after dark and if it wasn't cold enough then it's hard to see it cold enough on Sunday.
Also the dreaded word thaw rears its head even if we get a big fall.
The sadness of the drip drips, the roads clearing, green grass reappearing and finally the snowman goes dark grey and withers.

The One Doctor

giveitholly wrote: »

Any chance of a few more counties being added to the warnings

I just added a few more for the craic. Neverwhere, the Lost Isles, Garrickmore Upper East Side and, of course, Lapland South.

Chris_5339762

18Z GFS a downgrade for Dublin IMO (an upgrade for me as I'm flying in from Stansted), just the temperatures look too high... they're saying 4 - 5 degrees. Now I know its more than just that, but that seems a little TOO warm for a major dumping.

Reckless Abandonment

Chris_5339762 wrote: »

18Z GFS a downgrade for Dublin IMO (an upgrade for me as I'm flying in from Stansted), just the temperatures look too high... they're saying 4 - 5 degrees. Now I know its more than just that, but that seems a little TOO warm for a major dumping.

18z aren't out yet..

fraxinus1

Notice how quiet it has become in here? Most folk now accept that apart from high ground in midlands and mud Ulster, Sunday will be a non event regarding snowfall. It’s simply to mild.

JCX BXC

fraxinus1 wrote: »

Notice how quiet it has become in here? Most folk now accept that apart from high ground in midlands and mud Ulster, Sunday will be a non event regarding snowfall. It’s simply to mild.

Someone didn't wake up on the right side of the bed this morning!

giveitholly

JCX BXC wrote: »

Someone didn't wake up on the right side of the bed this morning!

Think that happens a lot

United road

JCX BXC wrote: »

Someone didn't wake up on the right side of the bed this morning!

Never a truer word said!

JanuarySnowstor

For Cork

The 18z has livened up the front as it returns south and clears away late Sunday night. I see at least 4/5 hours of snow falling for us. In fact as we won't have the onshore wind problem that Dublin will I actually see us doing very well out of this.
Definitely a rain to snow event though and our chance is very late Sunday.

Is a red warning possible for the Midlands. .....maybe!

KingdomRushed

fraxinus1 wrote: »

Notice how quiet it has become in here? Most folk now accept that apart from high ground in midlands and mud Ulster, Sunday will be a non event regarding snowfall. It’s simply to mild.

Nah, they are out having a pint or that.

BLIZZARD7

This has the potential to be an absolutely epic event, my gut feeling is Dublin will experience mixed precip with limited accumulations. I do think the Midlands and high ground in wicklow/Dublin will see copious amounts of snow though, wouldn't be surprised to see 30cm plus in some areas- @nagdefy you look in line for a major dumping.

If some feature pops up locally in the Irish Sea to cause winds at the surface to go offshore for Sunday then coastal Dublin/Wicklow/Louth will join the fun and games, that's unlikely at this stage though and isn't forecast.

pistolpetes11

fraxinus1 wrote: »

Notice how quiet it has become in here? Most folk now accept that apart from high ground in midlands and mud Ulster, Sunday will be a non event regarding snowfall. It’s simply to mild.

Were waiting for the model run to come out , its Friday now Im sure there is plenty of time for it to cool down by Sunday and Met Eirean didn't just put out an orange warning for the craic ,

Ok for your location it may not be great but all cards are still on the table for a lot of us

Deank

fraxinus1 wrote: »

Notice how quiet it has become in here? Most folk now accept that apart from high ground in midlands and mud Ulster, Sunday will be a non event regarding snowfall. It’s simply to mild.

MJohnston

JCX BXC wrote: »

Someone didn't wake up on the right side of the bed this morning!

The kind of poster who doesn't like to respond when you point out logical flaws in their posts...

I mean, they were stating that yesterday/today's Orange warning was unwarranted!

Kermit.de.frog

BLIZZARD7 wrote: »

This has the potential to be an absolutely epic event, my gut feeling is Dublin will experience mixed precip with limited accumulations. I do think the Midlands and high ground in wicklow/Dublin will see copious amounts of snow though, wouldn't be surprised to see 30cm plus in some areas- @nagdefy you look in line for a major dumping.

If some feature pops up locally in the Irish Sea to cause winds at the surface to go offshore for Sunday then coastal Dublin will join the fun and games, that's unlikely at this stage though and isn't forecast.

All comes down to wind strength for the coast. The lighter the wind, the better for us.

Real action will be inland.