Strong Winds for Munster, Connacht and Leinster : PM 17th/AM 18th, Jan 2018

piplip87

I was with a girl called Georgina once. Show loved vodkas. So can everybody in Cork please leave some out on your roofs tonight/tomorrow. Draw her south to give me white gold

M.T. Cranium

Georgina has moved about halfway across the Atlantic in 12 hours, and the M6 buoy continues to produce gusts near 60 knots. It is clearly trying to grab Fionn's energy and could come in at a faster pace than the models earlier were showing. Watching developments very closely here. There are no helpful ship reports, ships were routed way south days ago. But satellite shows considerable potential.

If in Ulster or any county that is close to Ulster, monitor the snowfall for Ulster thread closely, this looks like a potential 5-10 cm blizzard set-up on a track like south Mayo to Meath or north Dublin. (snow would be anything north of the track and then filling in behind the departing low Thursday).

sdanseo

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Georgina has moved about halfway across the Atlantic in 12 hours, and the M6 buoy continues to produce gusts near 60 knots. It is clearly trying to grab Fionn's energy and could come in at a faster pace than the models earlier were showing. Watching developments very closely here. There are no helpful ship reports, ships were routed way south days ago. But satellite shows considerable potential.

If in Ulster or any county that is close to Ulster, monitor the snowfall for Ulster thread closely, this looks like a potential 5-10 cm blizzard set-up on a track like south Mayo to Meath or north Dublin. (snow would be anything north of the track and then filling in behind the departing low Thursday).

You know things are getting serious when MT predicts a blizzard :eek:

Just a small nudge south there Georgina, please.

M.T. Cranium

00z guidance so far not much change, if anything it has nudged north a few miles on the GFS and Arpege, about the same on GEM. Track still close to border of NI and ROI.

Periods of snow rather than a blizzard perhaps, for inland Ulster. We should get a pretty big signal when it passes the M6 buoy around 17-18z.

gozunda

Meteorite58 wrote: »

AROME 18Z a handy model and and fairly accurate showing gusts 100 -120 km/h overland. Looks quite strong as it exits the East coast.

Interesting as it shows the potential for wind speeds to sometimes increase inland and the widely believed idea that the highest winds always occur in coastal regions does not always hold true.

KizzyMonster

gozunda wrote: »

Interesting as it shows the potential for wind speeds to sometimes increase inland and the widely believed idea that the highest winds always occur in coastal regions does not always hold true.

Is the RED snow?!

vicwatson

KizzyMonster wrote: »

Is the RED snow?!

No

Oscar Bravo

STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Munster, Connacht and Leinster

A fast moving Atlantic depression will cross Ireland this evening and early tonight bringing winds of 50 to 65km/h and gusts of 90 to 110km/h to many counties. Winds may temporarily exceed these values in exposed Atlantic coastal fringes for a time this evening. There is an increased risk of coastal flooding due to the combination of the high seas, strong winds and the low pressure.

Issued:

Wednesday 17 January 2018 10:44

Valid:

Wednesday 17 January 2018 17:00 to Thursday 18 January 2018 03:00

Met Eireann hasn't named the storm yet. I have what may be a stupid question. Do they name it after it has passed if the wind speed recorded meets the criteria?

mickger844posts

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Met Eireann hasn't named the storm yet. I have what may be a stupid question. Do they name it after it has passed if the wind speed recorded meets the criteria?

They name the storms before the event dependant on forecast wind speeds, This is a borderline situation wether to name or not.

JCX BXC

They name storms if they get to Orange level wind warnings. Consideration is also given to rain warnings.

luimneachboy

Looks like this wont be anything at all. Weather on rte one now ,not too worried over it. I thought this was going to be orange countrywide but no

squarecircles

luimneachboy wrote: »

Looks like this wont be anything at all. Weather on rte one now ,not too worried over it. I thought this was going to be orange countrywide but no

It was looking ferocious earlier in the week with a powerful jet stream,pity really,all's it done to serve is to disrupt the Greenland flow and shorten the cold spell proper to about 1 day,while diluting the cold potential in the following days.

Although I never bother watching the forecast after the 1 news,they're not meteorologists and fail to go into finer detail.

I hope it doesn't sneak up on us,as everyone's attention is more focused towards the potential snow event further north.

It could also upgrade nearer the time.

jimmynokia

They may never name a storm again..
https://www.independent.ie/entertainment/banter/trending/what-next-naming-raindrops-its-ridiculous-channel-4-weather-presenter-criticises-met-eireann-for-naming-storm-fionn-36499250.html

Soccarboy11

Rain has started here in cork City, unsure if it's related to this storm or not don't know much about potential georgina, not very much reported on it by met eireann or met office really !

Gaoth Laidir

The Germans have called this storm Friedrich, just to confuse things.

ninebeanrows

jimmynokia wrote: »

They may never name a storm again..
https://www.independent.ie/entertainment/banter/trending/what-next-naming-raindrops-its-ridiculous-channel-4-weather-presenter-criticises-met-eireann-for-naming-storm-fionn-36499250.html

No matter what your opinion on naming Fionn. Liam Dutton is best advised to stay quiet. How unprofessional. Lost any respect for him, if you don't agree with something you don't lash out like a child.

jimmynokia

Weathercheck wrote: »

No matter what your opinion on naming Fionn. Liam Dutton is best advised to stay quiet. How unprofessional. Lost any respect for him, if you don't agree with something you don't lash out like a child.

Agrred none of his effing business anyway..

mickger844posts

Rain started about an hour ago, nothing too heavy really. Winds are light. Temp 6.2c

www.waterfordcityweather.com

Soccarboy11

mickger844posts wrote: »

Rain started about an hour ago, nothing too heavy really. Winds are light. Temp 6.2c

www.waterfordcityweather.com

Rain just picked up a lot here in cork so I'd say it's moving over the country now.

ninebeanrows

This system is noteworthy as any late unprogged deepening and we have a severe wind even in Greater Dublin. Would not rule out a severe swathe of 110-130kph gusts impacting this populated area for a few hours, it's been closely watched and an orange upgrade is possible

waterways

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

The Germans have called this storm Friedrich, just to confuse things.

They give all lows in 2018 female names, so this one is Friederike. :P

Oneiric 3

Here is where the Met have it a 7pm: (wind speed chart)



And actual analysis at 5pm:



Seems pretty much on track thus far.

pad199207

Weathercheck wrote: »

No matter what your opinion on naming Fionn. Liam Dutton is best advised to stay quiet. How unprofessional. Lost any respect for him, if you don't agree with something you don't lash out like a child.

Exactly completely agree WC. He has lost a great deal of credibility now over this.

squarecircles

Very Gusty Winds have suddenly picked up in west mayo.

Siobhan Ryan mentioning the winds will reach orange levels at times with severe winds possible.

jimmynokia

pad199207 wrote: »

Exactly completely agree WC. He has lost a great deal of credibility now over this.

Just been looking through his timeline he is one [ Mod Snip ]


Mod Note: Please refrain from using such language in the weather forum. Thanks

waterways

M6 1800 max gusts 64 kn

CB19Kevo

About a hour ago there was a massive increase in winds at a rapid pace.
Still currently intensifying with violent gusts,Very wild out there and not what i was expecting,Still no weather station so cannot provide readings.
South east Kerry.

Oscar Bravo

7pm Met Reports

Belmullet now 988hpa.
Sherkin gusting 48 knots
Mace head gusting 45 knots.
Valentia 43 knots.

Nice range in temperature from South to North, Valentia 11 degrees , Ballyhaise in Cavan 2 degrees.

Oneiric 3

Huge rise in temp here over the last hour, 4.3 about an hour ago, now 9.3c! Wind 17 knots mean.

Edit: make that 21 kt mean.

Edit: Temp graph over the last hour: