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EuroMillion - MainBalls - Selections

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  • 16-01-2018 8:21pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭


    Following on from jacools three-in-row, https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057794334

    Will do a few selections based purely on data, trend, gaps and universal phi. Only for EM main balls 2018.

    This is for tonight's EM due out in 10mins, with emphasis on 18 & 33.

    Double (18, 33), a single for each of these, and maybe a lucky alt treble (16, 34, 46) as indicated below:

    Screen_Shot_2018-01-16_at_19.17.47.png


«13456

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr



    Double (18, 33), a single for each of these,
    and maybe a lucky alt treble (16, 34, 46)

    One ball away from the 1500/1 treble as both 34 & 46 came out.
    Will have to re-calculate for Friday's draw later in the week.

    o4EqZEp.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,542 ✭✭✭IncognitoMan


    Are you going for the same numbers again Friday?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Are you going for the same numbers again Friday?

    Nope, slight modifications. Might also try slightly different approach using 'combination market' ('365) of single/doubles, basically select about 6 and if 1 or more is called, it's win time.

    Trebles 1500/1 could be a bit ambitious initially, doubles is still a nice kick back at 100/1, singles should create BE'Points at 10/1.

    Euromills' is an excellent market for this as huge data log available for the last 1,000+ draws, but also using pull/magnetic factors for the last 500 and 130 draws also (hence all the bar colours)


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,542 ✭✭✭IncognitoMan


    I might follow a couple of these for a while just for interest, at small stakes. What time are you looking to post at usually? Just before the draw?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    I might follow a couple of these for a while just for interest, at small stakes. What time are you looking to post at usually? Just before the draw?

    Usually on day of draw, but will try sending up bit earlier as the market closes early 7.30 (well 5mins before with main vendor: '365) and is thus easy to miss, esp. on Fridays.

    Will also have to update the keys/labels on the chart, so many factors and I'm not a bookworm statistician, just a bookie basher. note: The keys/factors may also evolve over time.

    Currently using triple bar chart data sets 1,000, 500 and last 130 draws (vertically stretched, like the Phi to match max area ratio). The green squares are 'high avoidance recent calls', so try to avoid these for 6 draws, particularly the most recent darker shades.

    Focus is on i) overdues (lower blue bars), but much more is on ii) elasticity (or pull) between 130 and 500 sets. E.g. '18' is of great interest as has large elasticity currently and low appearance.

    iii) Phi is significant here, as shown in universal drop off after 62%. Which also ties in with iv) 'cascades' (in groups of 5 or so), no real sign of a tight sawtooth pattern here. Both 'globally' relevant and both factors should continue.

    As mentioned in jacools 3-row, there is/was a wild-card-triple-factor of v) slippy^/heavy*/lucky± balls, i.e. those with zeros^/high-ink-yield*/7's±, that will need looked at again with the more recent dozen or so results.

    Lastly vi) mass consciousness is handy tool, so the more that agree/suggest the next number(s) the better.

    Side note: This is always going to be low-stakes, high yield approach, so not intended for the bulk of any wage packet. (simple doubles is a fancy 100/1, treble if desired 1500/1), always via books (not paying for Canadian teachers pensions) and any significant gains will see 10% to good causes, again not chuggers nor pen-pushers, but perhaps lunch and new jacket handed to those in need of such items). And when the fun stops, the challenge itself stops.

    A single end of month (tue/fri) 33,000/1 might be worth a go also for the laugh.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Here's the balls prediction for tonight:

    PRIMARY CHOICES: 8,16,18,24,26,32,33 (probably select a few random doubles from these as event market)
    SECONDARY: 6,7,10,13,22,25,34,46
    TERTIARY: 31,44
    REJECTED: 2,4,11,12,21,23,30,38,48,49

    Will throw up the chart forecasting these later, market closes very shortly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    There may be the odd error e.g. had also selected '40', but missed on list above.

    0ibosWm.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    RESULTS: 3, 8, 17, 44, 50

    PREDICTIONS:
    PRIMARY CHOICES [x8]: 8^,16,18, 24, 26, 32, 33, 40.
    SECONDARY [x8]: 6, 7, 10, 13, 22, 25, 34, 46. TERTIARY [x2]: 31, 44^.
    REJECTED: [x10] 2, 4, 11, 12, 21, 23, 30, 38, 48, 49 (correct, as in none of these appeared).

    Only x1 Pri and x1 Ter. Unusual to see two low numbers, but #50 is the 10yr most popular number.
    Very close to a 100/1 double, from 1st three of primary combination set.

    d9Qslyp.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Tuesday's 23rd Jan Euroballs.

    Keeping it simple for this one. The greener the bar chart the better.
    These x18 are all favourable (apart from the last three high balls) who may have exceeded the curve.

    16 & 18 severely overdue now, but either could appear with any of the following: 1,8,32,33,40. Secondaries include 14-15, 42. Slight possibility of 8, 24-26 etc.

    lVm7JpG.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Tuesday's 23rd Jan Euroballs.

    Keeping it simple for this one. The greener the bar chart the better.
    These x18 are all favourable (apart from the last three high balls) who may have exceeded the curve.

    16 & 18 severely overdue now, but either could appear with any of the following: 1,8,32,33,40. Secondaries include 14-15, 42. Slight possibility of 8, 24-26 etc.

    Results are in = 5,8,9,23,24.

    OezmdbC.png

    Funny feeling might have won a 100/1 double, as one of the lines that featured two of these (8 & 24) went in last week, right at the cut off time for Friday (7:25pm), hence entered into today's draw by accident.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Might have a go again at the 1500/1 triple from 5 (combination), for the last Friday of the month Friday 26th.
    10 lines from 5balls, trebles. Just as long as it gets in before Friday's 19:24:59secs. 16 and/or 18 will surely feature in that array.

    rM3WCw3.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Tonight's lucky balls are below, in the self-explanatory chart. Have included the star duo for a change, as might actually dash out for a rare single ticket, it's 90m tonight. Now you can't live off those sorts of numbers, but it's a good start. Generally don't recommend shop tickets, usually it's 2/3 or maybe 4 from combination entry but will make the occasional exception.

    Xk0k4SC.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Not great balls tonight for a change (in Draw #1080) (26/01/18). Load of neutral rated spheres and two negatives.
    6, 15, 24, 28, 48 {4} {9}

    sWfIFCm.png

    That €90m will have to wait a bit longer. In fairness no one in Europe won the top prize and only 14 managed the five ball without stars, just 1 person got 5+1s for a lousy 1.3m.
    When there is such lousy balls all at once, it can be a positive-negative, as it accentuates the likely-hood of the elastically due digits somewhat more.

    For Tuesday, the recommendation is rinse and repeat*, with added gusto, rollover time.
    *Will avoid the 4star however for a few draws after today's appearance, swap for either 1,5,6^ or 7. 10star could sneak in also next week.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Pretty much a self-explanatory chart this week (i.e. for tonight's and Friday's EMs), reusing some or most of the previous week's lousy aul balls.

    b4EbsJu.png

    Added rather a few variables and assigned +/- points, methodology will always evolve somewhat.
    Threw in a gawk at the lucky stars, sure why not. Generally recommend either a mix 5-10lines/pts (s/d/t/q).
    Maybe also just one or two shop tickets if aiming for the jackpot, during these peak rollover phases.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Results are in 11,15,21,27,35.

    Not ideal numbers but can't really complain, as none of these were ranked as 'negative or undesirable' numbers. 11 and 21 show good elasticity.
    The old fav #27 appears again with it's multiple plus points (the strongest pair number in very recent times, and strong very triple option).
    The other four were all just 1 place away from the preferred digit arrays such as 10,16,20,36.

    2Gn2qZV.png

    The LuckyStars were a mixed bag, #4 has exceeded it's ratio now, and shouldn't rear it's head again for some time.
    #5 was referenced as slightly positive on the chart, but not listed on suggested four, as range pairs.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    On Tues a couple of the purple/blue {elasticity} bars came up, makes sense that a couple of these other types may show up to party from Group A, and other groups.

    A: 9, 16, 41, 46
    B: 16*, 18*, 33, 46
    C: 8, 12, 50
    D: 2, 8, 22, 47
    E: 17, 40

    Simple pick one from each group/sector, 16 and 18 maybe deserve special single/doubles.
    Luckystars Friday fans should avoid 4 & 9. Instead choose from 1,5,6, small chance of 12.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Results: 14 - 34 - 36 - 39 - 48. [02 - 03]

    Made a slight typo on Grp A, 36 is one of the purple/navy bars, (not 46).
    Not great balls, but not too bad, as three of the lowest appearing (long-term 14yr) balls showed up.
    Not sure why didn't have a group cat for these rare ones over 1082 draws, still conceptual work-in-progress.

    34 has only ever been seen 97 times since 2004. 39 & 48 only around 100 times (all 15% avg approx).
    No bad luckystars, but none good, just a regular sequential pair, again.

    Tonight's balls marked red, previous draw black:
    ysyL2aR.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Simplified (expected demand elasticity) for the main balls tonight on Tues 6 Feb are below.
    One or more from each of the colour groups with extra emphasis on the scarlet triangles as they indicate *dual demand.
    #4 seems to have triple expectation to appear shortly using this method.

    jmaxv19.png

    3,4*,11,21,22*,36,47,50.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Results Tue 6th Feb: 8, 17, 28, 34, 38 [6,12]

    Not ideal result numbers, but a couple of numbers from Fridays targeted range showed up (8, 17) and two of the four recommended four luckystars (6, 12).

    That's the way it goes, thus will re-use some from the 3,4*,11,21,22*,36,47,50 array for Friday.
    And if it's still a rollover use the other two luckystars (1,5) with shop ticket.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    New prediction for tonight's '€130m MegaRollOverWinTimesLuckyLuckyWin' are a few combinations selected from

    Set A: (4, 19, 26, 33, 37, 38, 50 ) ls [1,5]
    Set B: (5, 10, 18, 23, 25, 26, 40, 42, 44 ) ls [1,5]

    Based on 'expected demand elasticity' of recent (100circa) results vs circa A.1,000 & B.500c draw histories.
    Couple of shop tickets also, as the rollover has now exceeded the Fibonacci curve by 2draws and thus severely overdue.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    New prediction for tonight's '€130m MegaRollOverWinTimesLuckyLuckyWin' are a few combinations selected from

    Set A: (4, 19, 26, 33, 37, 38, 50 ) ls [1,5]
    Set B: (5, 10, 18, 23, 25, 26, 40, 42, 44 ) ls [1,5]

    Based on 'expected demand elasticity' of recent (100circa) results vs circa A.1,000 & B.500c draw histories.
    Couple of shop tickets also, as the rollover has now exceeded the Fibonacci curve by 2draws and thus severely overdue.

    Results, Fri 9th Feb: 22, 31, 36, 38, 44 [1,11]

    Just 1+1ls, and no winners throughout Europe, yet another mega-rollover.

    Can assume anyway, there is a very good chance of the illusive '5' lucky star on Tues. Also chance of low-balls after these recent top heavy results. Would like to see 16 and 18 on Tuesday.

    See the EM operators in the UK have a new game out called 'EM-Hotpicks'
    Exactly the same odds as the bookies offerings, but also additional access to the '5ball market'. e.g. pick 5 main numbers and get 1 millions squids, cheaper than shop tickets also.

    'https://www.national-lottery.co.uk/euromillions-hotpicks

    Compare that '1m 5ball' to tonight's best (single) regular result in Ire of €49,825 for getting 5main. which is approx x20 worse than hotpicks (excluding fx rates further reducing).

    Surprisingly only 8 folks throughout all of Europa got 5main balls tonight and the €50k. The (single) best result in Europe was 5+1 netting 1.7m.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Euroballs for tonight (testing a slightly new formula).

    There are more disliked number that the primary (positive liked/selected choices). But these are the PRIMARY choices: 4,7?,16,18,19,29 [6, 7]
    Only managed to get a few random selection on via 365, as always leave it a bit too close to the 19:25 cut-off point.

    Have '7' as a both positive and negative as expecting low-range of numbers tonight, otherwise would avoid it.

    M9WFNUL.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,099 ✭✭✭Mech1


    I done it the other way (closed my eyes and poked the card).
    I didnt win anything either!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Results are in for Draw 1,085: 10, 13, 17, 21, 44 [1,11].
    They're a low-set as expected but not the precise desired low set numerals.

    44 was a bit of a surprise as came out just last week, 10 has been missing for a while and should really have been on secondary list.

    Ts56XXk.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Oops might have grabbed a sneaky 100/1 double just 15seconds before close, not sure why selected 10,44,47 probably looking at charts then coupon then charts again.
    10 and 44 were the the two best performers from the 2011-16 period (green bars) with reasonable elasticity so could have been a sub-conscious rushed choice just before close.
    Other correction was that luckystar was 10 not 11, still no difference/matter.

    tF1lVXq.png

    The main batches were using the above primary selections 10lines of trebles from 5 (slightly over-ambitious combination market method).

    Still 23pts returning 101pts, and another slightly accidental double from couple of weeks ago.
    Next week should really avoid the teen numbers, and aim for high balls (particularly 30's) but both 16 & 18 are showing a drought status.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    No overall EU winner yet again, it's approaching the Sep '17 mega rollover.
    Only 1 single person in Ire did well with 5+1 (333k), next in line were x42 winners of 3.6k winner (4+2),
    the rest just small change. (Excluding the plus draws...).

    4bZWDRq.png

    In the last 1.5yrs 9.7% of jackpot winners hail from Ireland.

    Since it's inception (14yrs) they have only been 3.2%, so the recent trend towards 10%c, has been generous, with only 5 larger EU states doing better.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Lucky primary balls for tonight, few trebles and a random double again.

    XcN2Uey.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    A nice spread of high-ish balls, but unfortunately none of the primary five. Indeed a couple of negatives actually came out.
    Can further discount some of these repeat numbers e..g 10 and also LS 10, both came out in the last draw as well as today.

    #50 is always a great ball to select, the single most popular since the beginning.
    Surely someone in Eurozone has got themselves 150m by now...

    pgE4lE0.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭racso1975


    nope another role over :eek:


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Hard to believe that, yet another r/over.

    Even worse, the biggest prize in Ire was just €3,019 won by just 4 ticket holders! (excluding +draws).
    These sorts of figures make my occasional 100/1 doubles seem more attractive.

    For anyone passing through the uk next Fri they're doing 'x25 1m' on their random rafflecode thingy.
    Also available there, is a new 'HotPicks EM' ticket game, which is uniquely good vlaue.

    Correctly get 5mains (no stars) and also bag 1m fresh squid. Only x24 folks in entire Euroticketzone got (just €24,328) for the 5main balls.
    Ignoring the fx rates, that's just '2.43%' of what they could have got via EM-HotPicks. Lets hope Brexitious won't' effect this new offering.


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