Cold Spell - Snow & Ice Possible Thursday 8th / Friday 9th

pad199207

By the look of that satellite, id say we will be counting the snowflakes falling from the sky later rather than counting the cm's on the ground

martyfurey

Please everybody remain positive. I need my snow fix to get me through until next summer. a nice even 10cm will do me fine. can melt away by tomorrow evening but 10cm will be perfect. Please Please let it be snow god whoever you are.

torres9kop

Would u say it will snow around D4 tonight or are we to near the sea?? Anyone?

munsterlegend

pad199207 wrote: »

By the look of that satellite, id say we will be counting the snowflakes falling from the sky later rather than counting the cm's on the ground

It certainly looks very weak so far but seems to have intensified a little over the last hour or so going by the radar. I presume it's rain in coastal places at this stage.

JCX BXC

West Clare at 16:00

Temp 5.8c
Dewpoint 1.9c

No measurable rainfall, drops evident on cars and windows. Very light.

patneve2

Very interesting satellite image with a West to East flow W of the midlands and an East to West flow E of the midlands. Eastern Ireland clearly under a more continental influence. Sky starting to cloud over here now from the East.

JCX BXC

Knock airport reporting light snow in the 4pm METAR, take this as very good news for anyone further east as there was no snow forecast for NOC in the TAF.

kod87

martyfurey wrote: »

Please everybody remain positive. I need my snow fix to get me through until next summer. a nice even 10cm will do me fine. can melt away by tomorrow evening but 10cm will be perfect. Please Please let it be snow god whoever you are.

unless you are on very high ground you will be struggling to get more than 2/3 cm at best. We are talking about a light covering for people in the midlands and inland east.

Gaoth Laidir

Every single station is reporting either broken or overcast cloud cover at 3 pm. Doesn't bode well.

(Baldonnel) PsMETAR BALD 051500Z 25002KT 9999 FEW025 BKN050 05/M03 1026 MSL=
(Belmullet) PsMETAR BELM 051500Z AUTO 20017KT 4900NDV -SHRA OVC011/// 06/05 1023 MSL=
(Ballyhaise) PsMETAR BYHE 051500Z AUTO 18008KT 9999NDV BKN050/// 04/M01 1026 MSL=
(Claremorris) PsMETAR CLAR 051500Z AUTO 17007KT //// // ////// 04/M01 1025 MSL=
(Cork Airport) PsMETAR CORK 051500Z 11008KT 9999 FEW019 BKN046 04/M01 1026 MSL=
(Dublin Airport) PsMETAR DUBL 051500Z 12005KT 9999 FEW025 BKN050 04/M05 1027 MSL=
(Finner) PsMETAR FINN 051500Z AUTO 18008KT 9999NDV OVC040/// 05/M02 1024 MSL=
(Gurteen) PsMETAR GURT 051500Z AUTO 13008KT 9999NDV FEW048/// BKN160/// 04/M02 1026 MSL=
(Johnstown Castle) PsMETAR JOHN 051500Z AUTO 05003KT 9999NDV OVC050/// 04/M04 1026 MSL=
(Connaught Airport) PsMETAR KNOC 051500Z 17009KT 9999 BKN035 BKN100 03/M02 1025 MSL=
(Mace Head) PsMETAR MACE 051500Z AUTO 18013KT 9999NDV DZ BKN018/// OVC043/// 06/03 1025 MSL=
(Malin Head) PsMETAR MALI 051500Z AUTO 19018KT 9999NDV OVC042/// 05/M01 1024 MSL=
(Mullingar) PsMETAR MULL 051500Z AUTO 18005KT 9999NDV OVC044/// 04/M01 1026 MSL=
(Oak Park) PsMETAR OKPK 051500Z AUTO 13001KT 9999NDV OVC049/// 04/M05 1027 MSL=
(Roches Point) PsMETAR ROCH 051500Z AUTO 12006KT 9999NDV BKN044/// 06/M01 1026 MSL=
(Shannon Airport) PsMETAR SHAN 051500Z 14007KT 9999 FEW020 BKN050 05/M02 1026 MSL=
(Sherkin Island) PsMETAR SHER 051500Z AUTO 09003KT 9999NDV OVC050/// 06/M02 1026 MSL=
(Valentia Observatory) PsMETAR VALE 051500Z AUTO 18007KT 9999NDV OVC030/// 06/00 1026 MSL=

Wbt are still too high. Need those temperatures coming right down to zero at this stage.

MJohnston

The front looks pretty active so far anyway, but doesn't it have to meet the easterly air before it really kicks off?



Most interesting thing is the front is quite slow, it's moved east about 100km in 2 hours?

Gaoth Laidir

MJohnston wrote: »

The front looks pretty active so far anyway, but doesn't it have to meet the easterly air before it really kicks off?



Most interesting thing is the front is quite slow, it's moved east about 100km in 2 hours?

Met Éireann have the front moving eastwards at 25 knots at 6 pm.

Larbre34

No doubt I'll get the usual sarky comments that are fired at non-believers, but i agree with Pad, there is so little energy in this i dont see any accumulations worth talking about other than a caster sugar sprinkling, frozen onto hard surfaces by dawn. To my mind Met E have said 0-3 for a reason.

Riskymove

any update on when the front will reach say...Kildare/Dublin?

munsterlegend

Larbre34 wrote: »

No doubt I'll get the usual sarky comments that are fired at non-believers, but i agree with Pad, there is so little energy in this i dont see any accumulations worth talking about other than a caster sugar sprinkling, frozen onto hard surfaces by dawn. To my mind Met E have said 0-3 for a reason.

It certainly does look a weak affair so far. It must surely be expected to pick up if to leave anything more than a dusting.

munsterlegend

Larbre34 wrote: »

No doubt I'll get the usual sarky comments that are fired at non-believers, but i agree with Pad, there is so little energy in this i dont see any accumulations worth talking about other than a caster sugar sprinkling, frozen onto hard surfaces by dawn. To my mind Met E have said 0-3 for a reason.

It certainly does look a weak affair so far. It must surely be expected to pick up if to leave anything more than a dusting.

MJohnston

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Every single station is reporting either broken or overcast cloud cover at 3 pm. Doesn't bode well.

It's 90% clear skies over Dublin Airport now anyway, I can see from D7 towards the airport and there's one large cloud, but that's about it. Pretty similar picture towards the south too, there's some cloud out over Dublin Bay and some lurking out west. Calling it broken cloud would be an inversion of the truth though, it's broken blue skies!

kod87

munsterlegend wrote: »

It certainly does look a weak affair so far. It must surely be expected to pick up if to leave anything more than a dusting.

I though a dusting was all we were expecting, so looks about in line with whatwas expected then

sryanbruen

pad199207 wrote: »

By the look of that satellite, id say we will be counting the snowflakes falling from the sky later rather than counting the cm's on the ground

That’s all I care about, seeing the white gold fall.

Gonzo

kod87 wrote: »

I though a dusting was all we were expecting, so looks about in line with whatwas expected then

I wasn't expecting much more than 2 to 3 cm but looking at that radar, I think we'll struggle to even get that, unless it intensifys over the next few hours.

pad199207

Gonzo wrote: »

I wasn't expecting much more than 2 to 3 cm but looking at that radar, I think we'll struggle to even get that, unless it intensifys over the next few hours.

1.6c and DP -1c. So snow territory here in Kildare

Storm 10

Radar shows the front well in over Galway but bone dry here

mobil 222

Snowing now BenBulbin Sligo
Very light but its coming

Gaoth Laidir

MJohnston wrote: »

It's 90% clear skies over Dublin Airport now anyway, I can see from D7 towards the airport and there's one large cloud, but that's about it. Pretty similar picture towards the south too, there's some cloud out over Dublin Bay and some lurking out west. Calling it broken cloud would be an inversion of the truth though, it's broken blue skies!

Yes, at 4 pm it's scattered cloud (4 okta in the synop).

PsMETAR DUBL 051600Z 13005KT 9999 FEW025 SCT050 03/M04 1026 MSL=

Gaoth Laidir

Storm 10 wrote: »

Radar shows the front well in over Galway but bone dry here

I think it's a lot of high precipitation not reaching the surface. Very low totals from this. The Harmonie could be right (1-3 mm).

George Sunsnow

pad199207 wrote: »

1.6c and DP -1c. So snow territory here in Kildare

3.8c -2.3c here
What’s your wet bulb? Below 1.5c hopefully and dropping?

TheMilkyPirate

Looking at the 3 hour forecasts on met.ie I'm pretty sure that's just the start of the front. It looks like it will intensify

dacogawa

torres9kop wrote: »

Would u say it will snow around D4 tonight or are we to near the sea?? Anyone?

It's still a 50/50, I don't think anyone could call it right now for such a small specific area.

dacogawa

There is more in that front to the west, you can see heavier arriving just behind now on http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

DOCARCH

Knock reporting light snow at 4pm (and 3c).

gabeeg

dacogawa wrote: »

It's still a 50/50, I don't think anyone could call it right now for such a small specific area.

Yeah, agreed.

The only thing I would say is that Eastern coastal areas are almost as likely as inland areas to see snow, as the air to our east is cold.