Saturday PM (10th) - Tuesday AM (13th), Snow and Ice

Happygosad33

MJohnston wrote: »

It's worth mentioning that AROME, ARPEGE, and arguably the ECM are not really biting on this Monday overnight precip turning into snow. ARPEGE has been a good performer in my experience this winter, so this could just be a significant rainfall and nothing more.

Did you not see the ECM snow depths for Tuesday morning?

Kermit.de.frog

MJohnston wrote: »

It's worth mentioning that AROME, ARPEGE, and arguably the ECM are not really biting on this Monday overnight precip turning into snow. ARPEGE has been a good performer in my experience this winter, so this could just be a significant rainfall and nothing more.

To help you sleep easier :pac:

pauldry

Shower activity very low on my side of Sligo town today

Went to the other side of town n road was white

Now shower activity has ceased but there was a graupel shower at 9 so roads 0c n icy

MJohnston

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Did you not see the ECM snow depths for Tuesday morning?

I did and they don't really show any depth other than for high ground.

MJohnston

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

To help you sleep easier :pac:

Yeah, the HIRLAM is certainly the most bullish, with the WRF not far behind, but across the range of models, there's not really a consensus. HIRLAM and WRF have been bad performers ime.

Happygosad33

MJohnston wrote: »

I did and they don't really show any depth other than for high ground.

Incorrect. It shows 4 to 8 inches widely across the NW. Look at it again .

sryanbruen

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Incorrect. It shows 4 to 8 inches widely across the NW. Look at it again .

MJohnston is in Dublin and talking about the band of rain though.

Meteorite58

WRF not showing much accumulations of snow at this stage. The HIRLAM looks pretty full on. Will be interesting watching that wave depression form running along the S of the country, looks like a lot of precipitation from it on it's NW flank, could a big dump of snow come from here as it draws in the colder airs? could get windy on its SW flank, possibly towards Wexford early morning ( just musing about the set up ). Another couple of runs eh ....

sryanbruen

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

To help you sleep easier :pac:

I think the Hirlam’s broken .

Happygosad33

sryanbruen wrote: »

MJohnston is in Dublin and talking about the band of rain though.

Dublin was missing from his post. Thought he meant for everywhere.

Kermit.de.frog

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Snowbiee21

Let’s hope us dubs get what we are after and not turn out like a rain event like what happened in December where there was a lot of unhappy people on here !

MJohnston

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Incorrect. It shows 4 to 8 inches widely across the NW. Look at it again .

That's not really true, if you look at the 0h chart, it already shows 1-4 cm (I have weather.us set to cm not inches) of snow lying in the NW on lower ground (which there isn't really a whole lot of in the NW anyway). By Tuesday morning, there's maybe an extra 1 or 2cm on that low ground in the NW, while most of it is still over higher ground.

Line that ECM snow depth chart up with a terrain map from Google Maps and you'll see there's not much happening outside of high ground.

Meteorite58

From following the ICON it normally under shows snow potential. Tomorrow night/ tues morning looks to show a fair amount of it falling ( perhaps sleet, wet snow ? ) . How much accumulates is another thing. Definitely a couple more runs will tighten up the picture.

Prone to overestimating wind speeds but this looks like some blast of winds on the coastal counties. Squall lines, straight line winds will be on the look out for tomorrow evening. A memorable weather watching night in store I'm thinking.

Oneiric 3

I hope the Dubs get to see some snow tomorrow night. I already predict that there will be, on average, about 20 posts per snowflake witnessed.

Longing

I tried to post photos but no joy. To show 3inchs of snow here.

sryanbruen

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

I hope the Dubs get to see some snow tomorrow night. I already predict that there will be, on average, about 20 posts per snowflake witnessed.

Cheers Oneiric 3 .

Snowbiee21

sryanbruen wrote: »

Cheers Oneiric 3 .

A few flakes and we nearly have a heart attack xD

pauldry

Looks potentially a white out for here tomorrow night could see a couple of inches

Ive noticed in the last 40 years that when we get heavy snow thats the end of it

I think that will be it for a while but the end of February still has Easterly potential

JCX BXC

Everything's white here in West Clare, roads, grass, cars, roofs. Everything bar the former is frozen solid too (roads are slowly thawing, wouldn't like to be driving though).

pauldry

Lamppost watching

pauldry

Snow shower just now

0.6c seems to be the essential temperature here for snow

Seems to be organised showers arriving at 7 am

pauldry

More snow just now

Temp 0.4c

Happygosad33

MJohnston wrote: »

That's not really true, if you look at the 0h chart, it already shows 1-4 cm (I have weather.us set to cm not inches) of snow lying in the NW on lower ground (which there isn't really a whole lot of in the NW anyway). By Tuesday morning, there's maybe an extra 1 or 2cm on that low ground in the NW, while most of it is still over higher ground.

Line that ECM snow depth chart up with a terrain map from Google Maps and you'll see there's not much happening outside of high ground.

You're completely wrong. Zoom in for crying out loud. Check wicklow mountains thats a set up like that. You really don't know how to reach a terrain map very well. Over 50% of Ulster and large parts of connacht are 4 to 6 inches. Honestly.

force eleven

Met E update only gives sleet/snow for high ground tonight. Gerry Murphy must be on duty.

Heroditas

Due to be heading down to Mayo from Dublin this morning. Anyone here down that neck of the woods with a weather update?
Debating whether I'm best postponing the drive.

The Nutty M

Heroditas wrote: »

Due to be heading down to Mayo from Dublin this morning. Anyone here down that neck of the woods with a weather update?
Debating whether I'm best postponing the drive.

I'm after making the journey the opposite way this morning. Left Claremorris just after 3, arrived in blanchards town just before 6. Stuck to the motorway,N17/M17 was nuts,about 5cms of snow but a sheet of ice under it. It never got any better until on the M6 at Ballinasloe.

redsteveireland

Rain?

Heroditas

The Nutty M wrote: »

I'm after making the journey the opposite way this morning. Left Claremorris just after 3, arrived in blanchards town just before 6. Stuck to the motorway,N17/M17 was nuts,about 5cms of snow but a sheet of ice under it. It never got any better until on the M6 at Ballinasloe.

Uhoh that doesn't sound good at all.
Thanks for the update. Much appreciated.

redsteveireland

All getting very messy in Galway city for the commute, heavy rain graupel mix here, making the roads very slippy.