League of Ireland Betting

ben.schlomo

Felipe Jealous Spaceship wrote: »

A whopping 0/4 from Johnny Ward

Two longshots which weren't far off and were worth a punt. The rest were as successful as your treble posted above.

diusmr8a504cvk

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Two longshots which weren't far off and were worth a punt. The rest were as successful as your treble posted above.

My punts were published on a forum for opinions, his was and are posted on a publication's website where readers trust the advice of the writer.
Big difference, you wouldn't see me coming on here calling Gavin a f*cking eejit.

Fitz*

To be fair, we've all been there where we have done a 3/4 fold and all legs are losses.

Gavin "shels"

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Two longshots which weren't far off and were worth a punt.

Agree with that, always worth a outside bet in the FAI Cup early stages when LoI teams are in it. Was little value around, hopefully a few interesting ties crop up today - hopefully Crumlin get a nice tie for a bet!

Is 5pts JWs max bet? If so, 4pts on Rovers -2 & 3pts on Derry -2 were bad bets. No way you lump on the FAI Cup without confirmed 11.

diusmr8a504cvk

Think Dundalk are gone up to 3/1 on Pp for the cup after drawing Derry yesterday. Rovers now favourites at 2.5/1.

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
Back with two bets this week - took week in the Premier so two First Div bets. Waterford Draw No Bet at evens does look a shout but depends what Waterford and what Cork teams decide to show up.

Second placed Drogs host bottom team Wexford. Danny Furlong their key striker who scored 9 of their 20 goals this season retired during the week so will be a huge loss to Wexford. Drogs should ease past these.

Cabinteely still in with a shout for the League and only two points between 2nd/3rd spots in 4th. Solid home form against an out of form Galway who've really had a nothing season.

Drogheda -1.75 Asian @ 1.85 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

Cabinteely -1.25 Asian @ 2.00 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small Stake

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Drogheda -1.75 Asian @ 1.85 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

Cabinteely -1.25 Asian @ 2.00 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small Stake

Drogs 6-0
Cabo 0-1 surprise loss

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
And we're back with a couple of bets... Premier looks like a minefield so going with First Div games. A must win game for both teams in the First Division to keep pressure on Shels at the top.
Second placed Drogheda travel to second from bottom Athlone. They've played twice this season with Drogs coming out the better in both games with a two goal advantage.
Third placed Longford travel to bottom side Wexford and anything other than a win will see their title challenge over you would imagine, sitting 8 points off top and two games to play for after this. Wexford have just won two games all year and lost their top striker Danny Furlong before their last League game against Drogheda (which they lost 6-0). Furlong scored 9 of their 20 goals this season... Longford have won both encounters this seaosn but only by a goal - that should change tomorrow.

Drogheda -1.25 Asian @ 1.75 (Bet365/Asia) - Small/Med Stake

Longford -1.5 Asian @ 1.75 (Bet365/Asia) - Small/Med Stake

diusmr8a504cvk

I like Galway United -0.25 Asian @ 1.975

Gavin "shels"

Felipe Jealous Spaceship wrote: »

I like Galway United -0.25 Asian @ 1.975

Depends which Limerick turn up :pac:

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Drogheda -1.25 Asian @ 1.75 (Bet365/Asia) - Small/Med Stake

Longford -1.5 Asian @ 1.75 (Bet365/Asia) - Small/Med Stake

2 winners

okidoki987

https://www.rte.ie/news/2019/0904/1073668-match-fixing/

Doesn't look great for the LOI hierarchy.

Gavin "shels"

Surprised it took so long... Paddy Power not paid out on the Sligo - Limerick game to date.

okidoki987

Gavin shels wrote: »

Surprised it took so long... Paddy Power not paid out on the Sligo - Limerick game to date.

When was that match played?

Gavin "shels"

24th August.

okidoki987

That would make sense all right.
Limerick 2 up, 3 sent off and end up losing 6-2.
I'm sure there must be other matches during the season bookies haven't paid out on as well.
Anybody know did betting exchanges pay out on that match?

diusmr8a504cvk

okidoki987 wrote: »

That would make sense all right.
Limerick 2 up, 3 sent off and end up losing 6-2.
I'm sure there must be other matches during the season bookies haven't paid out on as well.
Anybody know did betting exchanges pay out on that match?

Don't think they've refused to pay out on other games but there's been at least four other games with dodgy patterns.

Gavin "shels"

okidoki987 wrote: »

That would make sense all right.
Limerick 2 up, 3 sent off and end up losing 6-2.
I'm sure there must be other matches during the season bookies haven't paid out on as well.
Anybody know did betting exchanges pay out on that match?

PP only haven't paid out on Sligo game. All others been paid out on. If it wasn't for PP reporting these few matches, Limerick would be getting away with this tbf.

joeysoap

Obviously Paddy has taken a few serious bets on it.

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
No write up, just one bet.

Cabinteely -1 Euro or -1.5 Asian @ 1.90 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small Stake

ShamoBuc

3 home wins, Bohs, Pats, Sligo at 3/1 pp

A lot at stake in Drogs game so...... Draw at 5/2 looks big, bet365

Edit, no joy on either.

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
No write up, just one bet.

Cabinteely -1 Euro or -1.5 Asian @ 1.90 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small Stake

Winner!

Gavin "shels"

Away all week at a wedding and had a promotion party to attend yesterday so didn't get to post over the losing bet on Cobh yesterday here.

Backing Dundalk medium/large stake tomorrow - odds seem to be gone so may have to take -0.75 medium.

spurshero

Gavin shels wrote: »

Away all week at a wedding and had a promotion party to attend yesterday so didn't get to post over the losing bet on Cobh yesterday here.

Backing Dundalk medium/large stake tomorrow - odds seem to be gone so may have to take -0.75 medium.

So backing minus 0.75 medium is same as backing Dundalk to win ? 7 to 10 best price ?

Gavin "shels"

spurshero wrote: »

So backing minus 0.75 medium is same as backing Dundalk to win ? 7 to 10 best price ?

Nope, -0.75 is Asian handicap for -0.5, -1.0. Dundalk have drifted so probably get win at an Ok price.

Gavin "shels"

Gavin "shels" wrote: »

Backing Dundalk medium/large stake tomorrow - odds seem to be gone so may have to take -0.75 medium.

That'll do!!

diusmr8a504cvk

Fancy the draw in Bohs and Rovers @ 11/5 on PP. Might take a scored draw, not sure.

Gavin "shels"

Felipe Jealous Spaceship wrote: »

Fancy the draw in Bohs and Rovers @ 11/5 on PP. Might take a scored draw, not sure.

Game I'm avoiding tbh. Maybe at bet when teams are announced as Bohs could be missing some key players who are listed as doubtful.

eh i dunno

Dundalk near evens tonight at home to Derry. I know the league is won but surely that's a decent price . Any team news? 4 players missing according to dundalk twitter

dinneenp

From RP- St pats 4 point tipdundlak 2 pointg

Dundalk can continue their celebrations after winning the League of Ireland title by beating Derry City in Oriel Park.

The Lilywhites are a dramatically bigger price than they would normally be on the basis of having the league wrapped up but any Dundalk player slacking off is playing a dangerous game.

The Lilywhites effectively have two players for each position and their bench was again shown to great effect when they beat Sligo in the FAI Cup last weekend. Derry are no mugs but Dundalk should win.

St Patrick's are the bet of the weekend at home to Waterford United, the odds seeming to take almost no account of the fact that Waterford are just playing out the season, while St Patrick's are fighting for a place in Europe, which is not yet guaranteed.

Since Stephen O'Donnell came in, they have been stronger defensively, and the key for Saints is to start scoring goals. But Waterford are no great shakes defensively and Pat's should oblige at home against inferior opponents with nothing to play for.

Saints were excellent in their last game, shutting out Shamrock Rovers in Tallaght

Gavin "shels"

eh i dunno wrote: »

Dundalk near evens tonight at home to Derry. I know the league is won but surely that's a decent price . Any team news? 4 players missing according to dundalk twitter

League won... Derry needing a win to keep them in a European spot... Dundalk players probably had a beer or three on Sunday. No bet for me. Nothing at all takes our fancy this weekend hence no post.

Dundalk
Injured: John Mountney, Patrick McEleney.
Suspended: Dean Jarvis, Daniel Cleary.

Derry City
Injured: Jack Malone, Darren Cole.

Gavin "shels"

dinneenp wrote: »

From RP- St pats 4 point tipdundlak 2 pointg

Would love to see the RP strike rate for this season, say it's poor.

ben.schlomo

Gavin shels wrote: »

dinneenp wrote: »

From RP- St pats 4 point tipdundlak 2 pointg

Would love to see the RP strike rate for this season, say it's poor.

Poor across the board with all their football I think. The lads on Betfair are a lot better and at least they show their p/l.

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
Just one bet for Saturday none for tomorrow. 4th place gets Europe due to the Cup Final being Dundalk/Shamrock Rovers so a win here would set Derry up on course to secure European football. Following on from this game, Derry host 5th placed Pats in what could be a 6 pointer for Europe.

Derry win or -0.5 Asian @ 1.85 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

Professor Genius

Gavin "shels" wrote: »

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
Just one bet for Saturday none for tomorrow. 4th place gets Europe due to the Cup Final being Dundalk/Shamrock Rovers so a win here would set Derry up on course to secure European football. Following on from this game, Derry host 5th placed Pats in what could be a 6 pointer for Europe.

Derry win or -0.5 Asian @ 1.85 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

Nice one

Gavin "shels"

Professor Genius wrote: »

Nice one

No bother, hopefully a couple of bets in the last week of the League.

Gavin "shels"

Derry odds absolutely smashed... was hoping to top -0.75 but it's on a -2.5 line now :O

Gavin "shels"

Probably us done for the season, nothing took our fancy on Friday bar Derry but the value was completely gone.

Maybe a novelty bet on the Cup Final on Sunday - shall have a look.

Will post up our stats for the season in the coming weeks.

Gavin "shels"

So 2019 is done.... overall we hit an 11.98% ROI which isn't too bad. 56 bets advised in total over the season.

Comparing that to 2018 - we had an ROI of just 1.86% and we advised 80 bets.

The decrease in bets and going with quality over quantity worked. Roll on February 14th, roll on the 2020 season and roll on Shels being back in the Premier!

spurshero

Gavin "shels" wrote: »

So 2019 is done.... overall we hit an 11.98% ROI which isn't too bad. 56 bets advised in total over the season.

Comparing that to 2018 - we had an ROI of just 1.86% and we advised 80 bets.

The decrease in bets and going with quality over quantity worked. Roll on February 14th, roll on the 2020 season and roll on Shels being back in the Premier!

Any profit is good Over a season cheers for all the write ups

Gavin "shels"

We're nearly back :pac:

spurshero

Gavin shels wrote: »

We're nearly back :pac:

A few people are tipping shels to win down in cork ?

Gavin "shels"

spurshero wrote: »

A few people are tipping shels to win down in cork ?

I dont fancy us tbh, seen us a couple of times in preseason and look a bit disjointed. I'd take a draw and I'd say Morris would too! Just about to start the trek down to Cork in 30 mins we're back!!!

Gavin "shels"

**League Of Ireland**

We’re back!

Tonight the LOI season kicks off with the premier division games.

As it’s the first games of the season we don’t have any fancies that we can agree on to tip this evening, but have decided to do up some of our individual fancies for the season and our individual bet of the night.

These are not group tips as such just opinions from each of us, on what we feel could be value bets in the LOI premier and first division, top goal scorer and our best fancies for tonights games.

Alan Forristal:

Premier Div:
Betting W/O Dundalk + Shams - Derry 3/1 (PP)

First Div:
Winners - Longford Town 4/1

Premier Div Top Scorer:
Matty Smith (Waterford FC) 20/1 EW

Tonight’s fancy -
Shelbourne win 21/10
______________________________

Gavin Doherty:

Premier Div:
Betting W/O Dundalk and Shams: Bohs 5/2

First Div:
Longford 4/1

Premier Top Scorer:
Tim Nielsen (Derry City) EW 16/1

Tonight’s Fancy:
Sligo DNB 4/5

————————————
Aidan Morris:

Premier Div:
Dundalk outright winners - EVS
Cork finish bottom - 7/1

First Div:
Winners - Longford 4/1

Premier Top Scorer:
Tim Nielsen (Derry City) 16/1

Tonights fancy:
Under 1.5 goals Cork v Shels 7/4
————————————

Feel free to leave your fancies for the season in the comments below, and what you are putting in your docket tonight.

yabadabado

Anyone doing winners/top GS betting?

joeysoap

UCD 500/1 to win premier division on betfair. Know as much about it as JD and Shane Ross I suppose. ( I know, both gone)

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

I dont fancy us tbh, seen us a couple of times in preseason and look a bit disjointed. I'd take a draw and I'd say Morris would too! Just about to start the trek down to Cork in 30 mins we're back!!!

I'll take being wrong on that!!!

spurshero

Gavin "shels" wrote: »

I'll take being wrong on that!!!

Put them in an Acca . All up bar wolves . If I ever find that lad that introduced var !!!!!!

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
First proper set of bets for the season.
Shamrock Rovers into their first home game after a 1-0 win against Dublin rivals Bohs. Having seen Cork City host Shels last Friday, I can safely say Cork will struggle this season especially in the early stages until their team gel more. Cork didn't have one decent chance during the whole 90 mins against newly promoted Shels. Rovers team strengthened over the close season and they'll be looking for more silverware this season.
St. Pats were unlucky by all accounts against Waterford on Friday with a stonewall peno turned down and Waterford new stopper Brian Murphy making some important saves. Sligo made a bad start to their league campaign by losing to Finn Harps who needed a playoff win to not be relegated last season and are firmly tipped to struggle again this season.
Cabo/Bray Unders is solely based on the pitch at Stradbook. Pictures from last Saturday show the pitch was in a bad state after a rugby match. Weather has been bad in Dublin since last Saturday with a lot of rainfall so the pitch will probably not have improved much.

Shamrock Rovers -1 Euro or -1.5 Asian @ 1.90 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

St. Pats +0.25 @ 2.00 (Bet365/Asia) - Small Stake

Cabo\Bray Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 - Small Stake

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Shamrock Rovers -1 Euro or -1.5 Asian @ 1.90 (Bet365/Asia/General) - Small/Med Stake

St. Pats +0.25 @ 2.00 (Bet365/Asia) - Small Stake

Cabo\Bray Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 - Small Stake

Rovers 6-0
Pats 2-0

Cabo/Bray 4-2...

2 winners and a loss...:D