Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) ** READ MOD NOTE POST #1 **

Stephen Hawkins football boots

JCX BXC wrote: »

To be honest, if people would read the thread rather than a single word and immediately post "no snow?" or "downgrade?" we'd have less of this nonsense. I rarely write this so strongly but it is getting tiring.

Also, when you see users being in complete denial that there's cold weather coming, such as our lovely botanical gardens poster earlier, check their post count before taking their word on hand. It seems that all reasonable posts are ignored and anyone wrongfully saying there's no cold coming is believed.

It's always very easy to log onto Met.ie and give a quick check if in any doubt.

I understand many users here are entirely innocent and simply a victim of trolling, to whom I apologise and offer the advice that it's simply a fact of life, and to figure out who the reputable posters are.

Did you mention no snow? I just read no snow 😁

Villain

bertie4evr wrote: »

Any way of watching it online? I missed it live.

Should be on RTE Player in next hour or so

Lumi

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

The trolling on this thread is A1

We’ve had numerous examples of this type of post all evening.
The mod note in the OP and the Forum Announcement make it perfectly clear that calling other users trolls on thread is not on.

Cut it out and focus on the weather instead.

Final warning!


MOD NOTE

This is a busy thread and as a result the Mod Team will be taking a zero Tolerance approach to trolling, flaming and personal abuse.

Don’t say you weren’t warned!!

And please don’t feed - report & let the Mod team deal with Troublesome Posters/Trolls

gozunda

gozunda wrote: »

Dropped from 2.0c to 0.5c in the last hour. Starting to look like it could be colder than predicted here tonight

130 m asl
North Cork Limerick Tipperary border

Edit:#1 +1 hour Temperature now -0.5c

Edit #2 + 2 hour Temperature now -1.0c


That's quite a rapid temperature drop even for here

JCX BXC

All eyes on the GFS run, -15 uppers touching the east coast from Dublin to Wexford on Wednesday night, dare I say, an Upgrade?

Also, GFS has snow along the east coast south of Dublin from 9am tuesday morning.

Odelay

Did I hear a dog barking in the background during the weather report?

munsterlegend

gozunda wrote: »

Edit #2 + 2 hour Temperature now -1.0c


That's quite a rapid temperature drop for here

The clouds must have cleared in your location.

Daniel2590

GFS looking colder than the ECM for Thursday

sdanseo

Max Prophet wrote: »

Is it downgraded? Seems to be some chat amongst the boffins on the other thread

Are we reading the same "other" thread?
https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057844498&page=6

The only posts with any sort of substantial update since the afternoon have been snowstorm mentioning an apocalyptic looking blizzard for the south and my own post about rain - in the context of the rain being totally wrong because the model seems to be confused. (I'll add the usual caveat, while I'm starting to post my interpretations of the models I'm generally sticking to what I know which compared to the big hitters is feck all..so take any guidance I give with a lump of salt even though I'm trying not to talk out my arse :pac: )

There is no downgrade until at least Friday night, maybe later, on any model. And even those are possibly reflective of the computer models struggling to cope with this extreme event. Even if not, the long term trend is still for cold and there will still be massive cold depth to our east so a reload is perfectly possible.

PowerToWait

Odelay wrote: »

Did I hear a dog barking in the background during the weather report?

A husky.

George Sunsnow

Joanna on the forecast said serious snow on the way next week
Still a lot of people in denial
The thread on the farming forum is typical of this

gozunda

munsterlegend wrote: »

The clouds must have cleared in your location.

I have to admit I havn't gone outside to check - Im quite comfortable in front of the fire and lazily checking the digital outdoor thermometer for updates remotely..

It's going to be a cold night I think ....

sdanseo

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Joanna on the forecast said serious snow on the way next week
Still a lot of people in denial
The thread on the farming forum is typical of this

Imagine if it rained all week. We'd all look like total eejits

(disclaimer for the literal interpreters: this is as near as makes no difference to being impossible at this stage)

munsterlegend

gozunda wrote: »

I have to admit I havn't gone outside to check - Im quite comfortable in front of the fire and lazily checking the digital outdoor thermometer for updates remotely..

It's going to be a cold night I think ....

Well it's either this or an evil spirit in the house but I am sure it's the first!

lucernarian

Danno wrote: »

Drogheda area.

Meanwhile its a damn cold clear night in South Laois at -1.1c and almost calm.

Indeed! I'll be more specific and say Clogherhead. But if it's reports on Boards we should go by, Drogheda should be first.

RobertKK

I don't think some in southern England will be happy with the GFS from 120hrs to 138hrs.

munsterlegend

JCX BXC wrote: »

Friday looking more marginal again on the 18z GFS again. Was always only the supplementary piece to come, this week is guaranteed to be bitter.

That low position will be changing on a daily basis. Hard to know when it will be resolved this week.

Soccarboy11

munsterlegend wrote: »

That low position will be changing on a daily basis. Hard to know when it will be resolved this week.

I blame the models not knowing whats going on with the jet stream since this is a rare event to even happen this close to the time.

JCX BXC

munsterlegend wrote: »

That low position will be changing on a daily basis. Hard to know when it will be resolved this week.

Fully agree, and such a change looks to be an outlier. The 18z is the Pub run so I wouldn't pay full attention, we'll see what the morning brings. 6 days out is still FI.

Although, I must say that there is still some exceptional snowfall before this low moves up, a good few inches up to a foot forecast for even the most coastal fringes of the south. Even if this comes off, we'll still see crippling snowfall from the system.

Shadylou

While I do think Dublin will get some snow, cork city will get some frost and sleet as usual

fritzelly

Which is the best site for the most likely/up to the minute forecast? I find Met Eireann's site woeful to use

snowstorm445

munsterlegend wrote: »

That low position will be changing on a daily basis. Hard to know when it will be resolved this week.

The trend has been almost universally negative today as regards that low. The GFS has been amazingly (almost suspiciously) consistent with this all day. Obviously it could be different tomorrow but since it has the support of the ECM it certainly raises eyebrows.

Liffey4A

fritzelly wrote: »

Which is the best site for the most likely/up to the minute forecast? I find Met Eireann's site woeful to use

I use BBC weather app and FlowX on Android for models

Soccarboy11

snowstorm445 wrote: »

The trend has been almost universally negative today as regards that low. The GFS has been amazingly (almost suspiciously) consistent with this all day. Obviously it could be different tomorrow but since it has the support of the ECM it certainly raises eyebrows.

the only thing that has me questioning the models is because i think around last saturday there was basically a cross model agreement that this entire thing was going to go north, and then the next day they were all back to having it south again.

Delta2113

Might be wrong but I reckon an orange alert will go out on Sunday 9pm weather.

Reggie.

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Joanna on the forecast said serious snow on the way next week
Still a lot of people in denial
The thread on the farming forum is typical of this

Not a case we are in denial just a case we don't get excited too much till the snow hits. We prepare for it and deal with it when we have to.

You might find that the last few months and fodder crisis has been a bigger problem to us than what's coming. The cold dry weather will actually help out many farmers in the long run to get tanks empty and such. A few days snow we can take to achieve this

ZX7R

Soccarboy11 wrote: »

I blame the models not knowing whats going on with the jet stream since this is a rare event to even happen this close to the time.

Funny I asked a question about this earlier on the tech tread, if you look at some of the forecasted jet charts, that low is trying to push through a branch of the jet that I think would be blowing against it, I could be wrong, but that doesn't make sense to me, and push through the middle of the cold pool

sryanbruen

https://twitter.com/EssexWeather/status/967523305417838592

glack

Danno wrote: »

Drogheda area.

Meanwhile its a damn cold clear night in South Laois at -1.1c and almost calm.

Hopefully.... I’ll be watching my lamppost closely!

Rougies

This thread seems quite negative today considering we're looking at 72 hours of heavy snow showers in the east from Tues morning to Friday morning, with probably some good penetration into inland counties at times too and a couple of ice days for many.

I understand there are many posters in the west relying on the low to deliver for them, and I hope it does. It would be great to get a proper widespread frontal blizzard for everyone, and it's still completely on the cards as it's almost a week away and the models will be wobbling a lot at that timeframe.