Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) ** READ MOD NOTE POST #1 **

RobertKK

Met Eireann giving blizzard like conditions for the south and east on Thursday especially over high ground.

Thursday: Bitterly cold on Thursday with scattered snow showers at first. A more persistent spell of snow is expected to develop across the south of the country during the afternoon, extending northwards later in the day. Strong to gale force easterly winds will lead to blizzard-like conditions at times across parts of the south and east, especially over high ground with drifting snow. Highest temperatures on Thursday ranging from -1 to +2 degrees. Outbreaks of sleet and snow across the country overnight with further accumulations.

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/

For Friday they say it looks uncertain but it looks set to remain cold with further outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow.

kod87

A very impressive met eireann forecast if you live in the South or East, very snowy outlook.

munsterlegend

kod87 wrote: »

A very impressive met eireann forecast if you live in the South or East, very snowy outlook.

It is but all subject to change with that low on Thursday/Friday for the South. The East are guaranteed disruption at this from tomorrow on.

Kermit.de.frog

Maximum temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday are likely to be at least 1c colder I think than ME have forecast there.

igCorcaigh

Could end up being some slushy mess down here. And if all that snow partially melts and refreezes, could make for nasty conditions over the weekend.

munsterlegend

Just looked at Met Eireann update again for Thursday and they removed the blizzard like conditions bit!

ninebeanrows

EC 0z opening charts looking a little less progressive and nice E flow for much of the time, rather than ESE

Reckless Abandonment

Fridays low looks a little further south.

JanuarySnowstor

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2018022500/ECM0-120.GIF?25-12

The perfect angle of attack
Blizzards for all of us!!

Snowaddict

If ECMWF 0Z out to T+ 120 verifies - this week will be historic in terms of snowfall. Quite simply.

I would express an extreme degreee of caution given the variability in modelling this complex scenario - but the ECMWF 0Z output is the stuff of dreams for winter weather enthusiasts. The positioning, air feed source etc. is all simply perfect.

Snowaddict

ninebeanrows

Certainly won't be looking beyond Friday as so much uncertainty with the positioning and track of that low crucial to events thereafter....

I think it is finely balanced.. EPS will likely show a wide scatter.

JanuarySnowstor

Weathercheck wrote: »

Certainly won't be looking beyond Friday as so much uncertainty with the positioning and track of that low crucial to events thereafter....

I think it is finely balanced.. EPS will likely show a wide scatter.

The big positive is the Meto seem bullish about the cold remaining!! Surely we can get more than 3/4 days out of such favourable background signals

Kermit.de.frog

Major snow event for later Thursday in to Friday on the ECM

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/100-w-532-n/significant-weather/20180302-0300z.html

munsterlegend

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

The big positive is the Meto seem bullish about the cold remaining!! Surely we can get more than 3/4 days out of such favourable background signals

I read on NW that the the fax chart has the low much further south which is what keeps the cold air in place.

JanuarySnowstor

munsterlegend wrote: »

I read on NW that the the fax chart has the low much further south which is what keeps the cold air in place.

Be interesting to see what happens for Cork.
I would have expected the ppn charts to be getting better for Tues/Wed but they haven't to be honest.

munsterlegend

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Be interesting to see what happens for Cork.
I would have expected the ppn charts to be getting better for Tues/Wed but they haven't to be honest.

Yeah not too much at all but then who knows what might turn up once the flow arrives. If Thursday/Friday worked out we'd get over Tuesday/wednesday!

sparrowcar

Munster, January and Kermit do you guys work shift or are you pulling all nighters in the build up to this? Just curious as I'm working shift and the threads are a little more quiet at this hour which is nice.

JanuarySnowstor

sparrowcar wrote: »

Munster, January and Kermit do you guys work shift or are you pulling all nighters in the build up to this? Just curious as I'm working shift and the threads are a little more quiet at this hour which is nice.

My mind is on overdrive with the current weather and I just wake when the gfs starts rolling lol....
Yes it's better early in morning before the droves arrive

munsterlegend

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

My mind is on overdrive with the current weather and I just wake when the gfs starts rolling lol....
Yes it's better early in morning before the droves arrive

Same here. I am always up early anyway.

Reckless Abandonment

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

My mind is on overdrive with the current weather and I just wake when the gfs starts rolling lol....
Yes it's better early in morning before the droves arrive

Me too. Even after the rugby and a few pints 3.30 boom awake. Normally can't wake me.

smodgley

Would i be right in thinking that there will be little or no local sports events (as in soccer/gaa)next weekend? i'm just south of New Ross

bazlers

Even if the event on Thursday/ Friday doesn’t materise there is potential for a foot or more of snow in places in Leinster.

s15r330

Due to fly out of Dublin Friday at lunch time, probably no chance of that now.

JanuarySnowstor

Been having a closer look at the short term and I reckon a red warning will be issued for Wednesday
Dublin looks to get plastered from this similar to 2010....I would include the South coast too which would mean the 2 largest cities going red.
Let's not forget that's a very large swathe of population.
For Cork fans the wind is always more enclined to be south of East which will help greatly getting the showers to lap the coast..

Get out and enjoy it and forget any possible breakdown!!

munsterlegend

smodgley wrote: »

Would i be right in thinking that there will be little or no local sports events (as in soccer/gaa)next weekend? i'm just south of New Ross

Unlikely as even if no snow which there should be, pitches will be frozen as well.
Luckily Ireland Scotland is not next weekend in Dublin.

JanuarySnowstor

s15r330 wrote: »

Due to fly out of Dublin Friday at lunch time, probably no chance of that now.

Well Dublin airport is a busy intl hub so I would imagine they'll do everything to keep it functional

KingBobby

Do you still think theres a chance of met upgrading the warning? I'm struggling to gague whats happening over on tech thread. It sounds like a shorter event now.
I'm heading to the supermarket this morning and basically just want to know how much stuff to buy! (south dublin 260m)


Edited to add... sorry I read the newer posts that appeared while I was typing this one

DOCARCH

s15r330 wrote: »

Due to fly out of Dublin Friday at lunch time, probably no chance of that now.

Not necessarily, but certainly likely to be delays due to de-icing aircraft and clearing snow from runways.

munsterlegend

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Been having a closer look at the short term and I reckon a red warning will be issued for Wednesday
Dublin looks to get plastered from this similar to 2010....I would include the South coast too which would mean the 2 largest cities going red.
Let's not forget that's a very large swathe of population.
For Cork fans the wind is always more enclined to be south of East which will help greatly getting the showers to lap the coast..

Get out and enjoy it and forget any possible breakdown!!

Yeah looks good for those in Cork on the coast facing east. I might have to drive to get my snow fix or pray to someone for Thursday to work out.

DOCARCH

munsterlegend wrote: »

Luckily Ireland Scotland is not next weekend in Dublin.

AFAIK, the Aviva has under pitch heating?