Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) ** READ MOD NOTE POST #1 **

Gonzo

Saganist wrote: »

Surprised at how quick the showers are moving.

yep, making progress quicker than I expected too.

dfx-

Macy Deep Metropolitan wrote: »

Even just now I stepped outside (in a t-shirt) and it's not overly chilly. Tiny bit of frost forming on cars but still a lovely night. In one way I'd love a big event so I could play with my kids in the snow but on the flipside there's so much hassle with such a weather event.

Over here in central England it was bitterly cold walking outside around 8pm. Lovely windless starry night but very very cold. It's coming....

4068ac1elhodqr

Just watched the link to the Thomasz fella on BBC, suggests Friday could be a huge blizzard of sorts.
Right the way from 00:00hrs through till about 5-6pm.

Too early to be certain but having a shovel by the back door, might be handy.

Topgear on Dave

squarecircles wrote: »

Another epic forecast from Tomas.

https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/43192715

Jawdropping at the end there :eek:

Casualsingby

Topgear on Dave wrote: »

Jawdropping at the end there :eek:

Is there anyway to watch it without downloading the Iplayer?

Gonzo

Topgear on Dave wrote: »

Jawdropping at the end there :eek:

trying not to focus on Friday too much but if that happened, the country would be at a standstill with deep snow and drifting, something I haven't witnessed since 1982.

piuswal

tenbob1 wrote: »

The model thread is great reading, jeez i studied that stuff in University and sometimes i wish i'd kept up to date. None the less this is once in a lifetime stuff, and its just pretty sad that the met office isn't reporting correctly. In the whest (and the rest), its lambing season and people need to know whats coming. Imagine having to get hundreds of sheep and lambs inside with just 24 hours notice !

I'm not sure what you mean "met office (I assume you mean Met Eireann) isn't reporting correctly"!

A weather advisory was issued a number of days ago.

I suspect most (if not all) people with lambs are paying close attention to the weather forecasts and advisories and planning accordingly.

piuswal

Go to the ME site and read how the Warning System works.

nacho libre

dfx- wrote: »

Over here in central England it was bitterly cold walking outside around 8pm. Lovely windless starry night but very very cold. It's coming....

It's cloudy here now but the wind would cut you in two. I can see the snow clouds about 20 miles to the east. I'm doing my best to push them westwards to Gonzo , so that might explain the quicker progression:p

Gonzo

snow showers reaching Manchester now. Surprised they are making it that far inland. Snowing over much of London as well.

kod87

I've just spent a about an hour sitting and starring at this from MT earlier

TOTAL SNOWFALLS PREDICTED OVER PERIOD 27 February to 3 March 2018 (cms)

LOCATION ______ Least __ 25% __ 50% __ 75% __ Most

Dublin ___________ 5 ____ 20 ____ 37 ____ 55 ____ 70

Cork _____________3 ____ 18 ____ 30 ____ 45 ____ 60

Waterford ________ 2 ____ 15 ____ 25 ____ 35 ____ 48

Galway __________ 1 ____ 10 ____ 20 ____ 30 ____ 40

Belfast ___________5 ____ 20 ____ 35 ____ 50 ____ 65

Limerick/Shannon __ 2 ____ 12 ____ 23 ____ 35 ____ 50


I can't help but feel he is going over the top dramatically there but If it came true it would be the greatest snow event I'm ever likely to see in Ireland, no doubt

nacho libre

Gonzo wrote: »

snow showers reaching Manchester now. Surprised they are making it that far inland. Snowing over much of London as well.

Out of Curiousity what radar are you using? I find the Netweather radar is very misleading. It often shows precipitation when in actual fact there is nothing falling.

Gonzo

nacho libre wrote: »

Out of Curiousity what radar are you using? I find the Netweather radar is very misleading. It often shows precipitation when in actual fact there is nothing falling.

was looking at netweather.

Jesus Wept

Anticipating another storm in a teacup like the hurricane thing.

OneEightSeven

Jesus Wept wrote: »

Anticipating another storm in a teacup like the hurricane thing.

Ophelia wasn't a storm in a teacup. It killed two people and caused a lot of damage to the southern counties. You live in the Greater Dublin Area which was shielded by the Wicklow mountains and took the sting out of the winds.

ThaitaniumM

GFS incoming in T minus 12

funnights74

Topgear on Dave wrote: »

Jawdropping at the end there :eek:

Jeeze that Thurs,Fri looks very nasty, major disruption likely.

George Sunsnow

Met eireann forecast has rain and sleet showers now for tomorrow Tuesday in temps of 3 to 6c ie warmer than today
Where is that coming from?

kod87

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Met eireann forecast has rain and sleet showers now for tomorrow Tuesday in temps of 3 to 6c ie warmer than today
Where is that coming from?

yet further down in the very same forecast they say
"Tuesday: Frost gradually clearing on Tuesday morning to leave it dry at first with some sunny spells. However, cloud will increase from the east in the afternoon with patchy sleet and snow moving in to affect parts of east Ulster, Leinster and east Munster - staying largely dry elsewhere. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday of 2 to 5 degrees in a biting east to northeast wind."


Do they even read over their forecast before making it public?


Edit, they changed there forecast about 30 minutes later to a less messy one.

Casualsingby

kod87 wrote: »

yet further down in the very same forecast they say
"Tuesday: Frost gradually clearing on Tuesday morning to leave it dry at first with some sunny spells. However, cloud will increase from the east in the afternoon with patchy sleet and snow moving in to affect parts of east Ulster, Leinster and east Munster - staying largely dry elsewhere. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday of 2 to 5 degrees in a biting east to northeast wind."


Do they even read over their forecast before making it public?

The rain and sleet part was updated just before 5am. That part of forecast is from yesterday.

George Sunsnow

kod87 wrote: »

yet further down in the very same forecast they say
"Tuesday: Frost gradually clearing on Tuesday morning to leave it dry at first with some sunny spells. However, cloud will increase from the east in the afternoon with patchy sleet and snow moving in to affect parts of east Ulster, Leinster and east Munster - staying largely dry elsewhere. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday of 2 to 5 degrees in a biting east to northeast wind."


Do they even read over their forecast before making it public?

Yeah same text in that part as before
The rest has changed to rain

And on the Dublin forecast they have a temp of 4 c Tuesday

kod87

Casualsingby wrote: »

The rain and sleet part was updated just before 5am. That part of forecast is from yesterday.

I know, but they say different things for the same timeframe, that's just sloppy from met eireann. It would not take much effort for them to read their own forecast to ensure it makes sense, maybe my expectations of professionalism are too high. I would imagine they will change it soon.

Casualsingby

kod87 wrote: »

I know, but they say different things for the same timeframe, that's just sloppy from met eireann. It would not take much effort for them to read their own forecast to ensure it makes sense, maybe my expectations of professionalism are too high. I would imagine they will change it soon.

I agree. I've noticed it alot before in the morning before they update outlook. Coldest air starts coming in Tuesday late afternoon so I wouldn't worry. My location high will be higher tomorrow than today.

force eleven

Rain and sleet showers forecast for tomorrow for east coast. Gerry Murphy back from hiding I think. The cold is still coming but those showers will disappoint a few.

gerrybhoy

Jesus Wept wrote: »

Anticipating another storm in a teacup like the hurricane thing.

Apt name

ThaitaniumM

I think streamer activity is our only hope here in the West. The Thurs/Fri event seems to have dissipated to just sleety rain according to the GFS. I hope I'm wrong and the direction of the low takes a different route. The only thing I'm worried about are the uppers that day. Looking forward to MT's interpretation.

JanuarySnowstor

An outrageous forecast wtf are they getting rain and schleet from ??

kod87

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

An outrageous forecast wtf are they getting rain and schleet from ??

for today maybe, but they say rain/sleet for tuesday, that's just not going to happen. From tonight onwards it will be snow

Lucreto

I will be using the Abbey Road webcam as a UK snowfall reference. Nothing yet though.

force eleven

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

An outrageous forecast wtf are they getting rain and schleet from ??

Can only think sea temperatures are going to be a factor. Nothing else there surely? Strange forecast. The further outlook update will be interesting once ECM run is out.