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Outright lies in Campaign

1246710

Comments

  • Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 28,820 Mod ✭✭✭✭oscarBravo


    Both sides of this campaign are leaning on heartstrings (and telling big lies) to get their points across...

    It's been asked before in this thread: what big lies are the pro-repeal side telling?


  • Registered Users Posts: 97 ✭✭finbar10


    oscarBravo wrote: »
    Yes. That's what laws do. That's what governments are for: to allow laws to morph over time.

    That's indeed what laws do, but constitutions are there to constrain or limit the laws that governments can make, or are there to enshrine rights that we think are too fundamental, e.g. freedom of expression, to have simple parliamentary majority be able change (whether that should include right to life of the unborn, even partially, is up for debate). Flexibility can be good. However, flexibility can be a double-edged sword.
    The mistake we've made up until now is to prevent laws from morphing over time in response to the edge cases that have inevitably resulted from trying to encompass vastly complicated medical issues in terse paragraphs of constitutional law.

    If lawmaking is kept where it belongs - with the legislature - then laws can adapt to changing circumstances and unintended consequences without the tedium and divisiveness of a referendum campaign each time. Yes, but arbitrary lines in time are well-established legal practice - legal drinking age, the right to vote, age of consent...
    I'm not sure what the "changing circumstances" would be. Abortion regimes of varying levels of strictness/permissiveness have existed in many countries for decades. What the hard cases are are known.

    The broad parameters for a legislative regime could be briefly sketched in the constitution (some exceptions/short clauses tagged onto the eighth). There are only a handful of parameters really:
    • Do we allow an exception for foetal abnormalities? We could go with a wording to permit legislation for fatal foetal abnormalities, e.g. something like "conditions affecting the foetus that is likely to lead to the death of the foetus either before birth or shortly after birth", or a somewhat more permissive "serious foetal abnormalities" (also covering conditions like DS) or even just "foetal abormalities".
    • Do we allow a rape exception?
    • Do we allow an exception for a risk to the health of the mother. The status quo deals with cases of threat to the *life* and mental health by suicide. We could allow for "serious risk to the health of the mother" or a more permissive "risk to the health of the mother".
    • Do we allow term limits, e.g. the Oireachtas may legislate for termination of life before X weeks?

    All fairly broad parameters, with the likely usual deference from the courts, allowing a good deal of flexibility. However, depending on the choices of words you'll end up anything from a fairly restrictive abortion regime to quite a liberal one, and the Oireachtas can flesh out the details with legislation.

    Are these big questions something we should just farm out to the Oireachtas for "flexibility"? You support abortion for either fatal foetal abnormalities, serious foetal abnormalities, just general foetal abnormalities or not at all. After that, the fine details can be left to the Oireachtas. Leaving the broad parameters to the Oireachtas is IMO a bit of a copy out, especially when fairly fundamental rights like right to life are involved. If we're going to make exceptions, then let's at least set out the broad parameters for that before then farming the issue out to the Oireachtas.
    Can you imagine a child having a different set of human rights depending on whether it was conceived in the course of a rape? The adult child of a rapist being denied the right to vote, let's say? Some arbitrary distinctions make objective sense; others less so. Not just on that basis, no. We disagree on whether it should have a constitutional basis, and as to on what it depends.
    Earlier you were using the bodily autonomy argument where you used the words "people can be forced to have a pregnancy they don't want". If one accepts bodily autonomy as a principle, then surely a pregnant rape victim is the most extreme example? When people have sex, even with contraception, there's always a certain probability of pregnancy. A woman can't be entirely surprised if she becomes pregnant. A raped woman, on the other hand, has never given consent to be pregnant. If there's ever a case where bodily autonomy overrides a foetus' right to life, surely it is in such cases?

    Your argument seems to be that this exception treats foetuses unequally, which is true. But if we start going down the route at all where bodily autonomy can sometimes trump the unborn's right to life then these are inevitably the sorts of areas we end up in. We can then "equalize" the situation by allowing abortion without such exceptions, but is this really a better situation?

    And on risk to the health of the mother, going to the government's Heads of Bill, there's a provision for "serious risk of harm to the health of the pregnant woman" (a bit more strongly worded than the earlier "risk to the health of the pregnant woman" in the policy paper). So what advantage would having words like "serious risk to the health of the woman" actually in the constitution be?

    Well, firstly, it couldn't easily be changed (it would, as you say, have to go through the "the tedium and divisiveness of a referendum campaign"). Secondly, the consequent legislation would be much more likely ensure and enforce this. The current Heads of Bill is modelled pretty much after the UK system with two signatures needed (one normally the obstetrician carrying out the abortion, or his/her designate, and also another appropriate medic, which is defined in the policy paper to be anyone on the medical register). There's a danger of a conflict of interest there, e.g. a woman goes to an abortion clinic and those signing off are two medics working there. If we were serious about ensuring "serious risk to the health of the woman", then IMO such questions should be decided by proper independent statutory panels with appropriate review and appeal mechanisms (and composed of psychiatrists for mental health cases). Maybe we'll end up with this, but there's no guarantee, and it doesn't sound like it from the Heads of Bill. At least with wording like "serious threat to health of the woman" in the constitution, certain standards have to be met (legislation can be judicially reviewed etc.) plus the wording cannot be watered down over time.

    IMO, if one thinks the unborn should have at least a partial or circumscribed right to life, then the broad parameters for that should be in the constitution. I don't believe this would be as complex or unworkable as is often portrayed.


  • Registered Users Posts: 97 ✭✭finbar10


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    They said the 8th is the only constitutional protection. They also said that does not prevent the Oireachtas from providing for legislative protections. As was the case in Ireland since 1861.

    Removing the 8th doesn't mean the unborn can't have protections and the lack of a constitutional provision doesn't automatically render any legislation with term limits unconstitutional.

    Sure, there's a hierarchy of protections. For example, animals aren't without legislative protection: humane treatment, cruelty to animal laws etc. However, most of us still eat them and use products tested on them. Frankly, we don't consider them important enough to give explicit constitutional protections (even fairly sentient creatures like dolphins or apes) and hence such protections that exist are fairly fickle and patchy.

    Or we don't make rights like freedom of speech or right to assemble purely legislative (though we allow legislation to circumscribe them to a limited degree for good reasons). That means complex case law builds up around them, e.g. in the US with numerous cases taken by the ACLU over the years, but they are deemed important enough to receive this added protection.
    And yet the 8th doesn't offer full protection from conception. It doesn't offer any protection at that point. The protections of the 8th don't kick in until implantation (meaning thousands of frozen embryos have zero protections). Even then it doesn't offer full protections, because it's subject to the woman's freedom to travel for abortion, of all things.

    12 weeks may be arbitrary, but in reality so is the status quo.

    Sure. Even the eighth itself talks about "as far as is practicable". I won't disagree with much of the above.

    However, we are not even voting on an explicit 12-week constitutional term limit, which would at least guarantee certain protections; we are voting to make this purely a legislative matter. Maybe it'll be 12 weeks this year, but 10 years down the road? Who knows.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    finbar10 wrote: »
    Sure. Even the eighth itself talks about "as far as is practicable". I won't disagree with much of the above.

    I think people misunderstand what is meant "by as far as is practicable". It doesn't mean as far as is considered reasonable, or as far as is considered appropriate; it means as far as can be done within the available means.

    And considering the "as far as is practicable" is in relation to the obligations of the State to protect the unborn's right to life, it means whatever the state can do to protect the unborn's rights, it must do to protect the unborn's rights. And the state has within its means the power to do a lot. That's why the courts found that the 8th could be used to prevent the distribution of information about abortion, or prevent someone having an abortion abroad.

    So if you believe life begins at conception, there is plenty the state could do, as far as practicable, to enforce the right to life at conception.

    That you are content that they don't do this, means you are satisfied that the rights and protections of the unborn rests with the legislature, not the constitution.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    However, we are not even voting on an explicit 12-week constitutional term limit, which would at least guarantee certain protections; we are voting to make this purely a legislative matter. Maybe it'll be 12 weeks this year, but 10 years down the road? Who knows.

    The international practice is that when a country sets an on-request time-frame, it sticks to it. Greece has been at 12 weeks since 1984; Luxembourg since 1978; Denmark since 1973. That's 45 years.

    What's more it's our own experience that politicians are very reluctant to change abortion laws. It took us 20 years to legislate just for the X Case, and that was about when a woman's life was at risk!

    In 10 years time, it is very likely that we'll still be at 12 weeks. But if it has been changed, it will have been after a LOT of media and public scrutiny; it won't happen unknown to the electorate. And if the electorate don't like the change, they have a number of options open to them to change it back, some even before it takes effect.


  • Registered Users Posts: 97 ✭✭finbar10


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    I think people misunderstand what is meant "by as far as is practicable". It doesn't mean as far as is considered reasonable, or as far as is considered appropriate; it means as far as can be done within the available means.

    And considering the "as far as is practicable" is in relation to the obligations of the State to protect the unborn's right to life, it means whatever the state can do to protect the unborn's rights, it must do to protect the unborn's rights. And the state has within its means the power to do a lot. That's why the courts found that the 8th could be used to prevent the distribution of information about abortion, or prevent someone having an abortion abroad.

    So if you believe life begins at conception, there is plenty the state could do, as far as practicable, to enforce the right to life at conception.

    No, I don't believe it's so black and white. I believe a foetus gradually becomes more and more human. There's no point at which you can say before it that's not human and beyond it it is. It's a gradual matter of degree (though deserving some protection even from the start, certainly from implantation, and increasingly so).

    That you are content that they don't do this, means you are satisfied that the rights and protections of the unborn rests with the legislature, not the constitution.

    Well, that wasn't my belief to begin with. I've previously stated earlier on this site that I'd be happy with the partial constitutional protections an amendment of the eighth would provide. And even if it was, I'm not sure of the basis of the leap of implication you are making there.
    The international practice is that when a country sets an on-request time-frame, it sticks to it. Greece has been at 12 weeks since 1984; Luxembourg since 1978; Denmark since 1973. That's 45 years.

    What's more it's our own experience that politicians are very reluctant to change abortion laws. It took us 20 years to legislate just for the X Case, and that was about when a woman's life was at risk!

    In 10 years time, it is very likely that we'll still be at 12 weeks. But if it has been changed, it will have been after a LOT of media and public scrutiny; it won't happen unknown to the electorate. And if the electorate don't like the change, they have a number of options open to them to change it back, some even before it takes effect.

    Well, in lots of countries a "restrictive" regime was initially introduced, and down the line it became a lot more permissive (before and after stated term limits). Wouldn't be hugely unexpected if that happened here. Germany's abortion rate is actually still relatively low (places like France and the UK would have 2.5-3 times the rate), which probably is at least partly attributable to constitutional constraints (limits the loosening up).

    A lot of Irish politicians have gone on "journeys" lately anyway. Presumably, the Heads of Bill will be implemented. If the referendum is passed (with the explicit associated Heads of Bill), then many politicians will simply be able to justify supporting it because it's the expressed will of the people. SF will probably come behind it en bloc if, as likely, ratified in a party conference. There's probably more than enough in FG, some of FF, and certainly in the smaller parties (along with SF) to get Simon Harris' fleshed out proposal put into law.

    People don't tend to vote for parties on the basis of constitutional issues anyway. It's usually a choice between tweedle dum and dweedle dee on more immediate (often financial) issues. There are lots of things people would probably support in a referendum if given the chance, e.g. citizens initative mechanisms got good support in the citizens convention and assembly. In theory, people could vote for a party that promised to bring these in. Same for other potential political reforms (change to the voting system; changes to other structures; stronger local government). Never likely to happen though (mostly pie in the sky unfortunately).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    finbar10 wrote: »
    Well, in lots of countries a "restrictive" regime was initially introduced, and down the line it became a lot more permissive (before and after stated term limits).

    How many countries have increased the time frames of their on request model? Because that's what you're saying will happen here; Ireland will start at 12 weeks and then politicians will change it.

    I can only find one example: when France went from 10 weeks to 12 weeks back in 2001. But that doesn't help your argument, because the 10 weeks was in place since 1979, and the 12 weeks has been in place for 17 years at this point.

    But I can't find any other example of it happening. And one country doing it after 22 years, and even then by only a matter of weeks to bring it into line with the EU norm, helps my point, not yours.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    Germany's abortion rate is actually still relatively low (places like France and the UK would have 2.5-3 times the rate), which probably is at least partly attributable to constitutional constraints (limits the loosening up).

    Germany's timeframes for on-request and France's are both 12 weeks. I don't see how the constitutional status of their laws can have a noteiceable effect on the rates; it's not as if that's going to be any kind of factor in a woman's decision.

    And from what I can see Germany's rate is similar to that of the Netherlands; which has no constitutional constraints AND allows abortion on request up to approximately 22 weeks. So it seems constitutional status has little if any bearing on the matter.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    People don't tend to vote for parties on the basis of constitutional issues anyway. It's usually a choice between tweedle dum and dweedle dee on more immediate (often financial) issues. There are lots of things people would probably support in a referendum if given the chance, e.g. citizens initative mechanisms got good support in the citizens convention and assembly. In theory, people could vote for a party that promised to bring these in. Same for other potential political reforms (change to the voting system; changes to other structures; stronger local government). Never likely to happen though (mostly pie in the sky unfortunately).

    I'm not sure how this is a response to my comment. The fact remains that if there is sufficient opposition to a proposed future change to our abortion laws, then it won't happen. And the people don't need to wait until election time either, as we saw with the u-turn on the ownership of the new national maternity hospital.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,339 ✭✭✭The One Doctor


    oscarBravo wrote: »
    It's been asked before in this thread: what big lies are the pro-repeal side telling?

    Vote Yes for Compassion? Yeah, killing a foetus is very compassionate.
    Vote Yes for Dignity? Nothing dignified about abortion.

    When I say lies, what I really mean is that the language both sides use is sickening. Even though I will be voting Yes, I find the campaigns on both sides reprehensible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,555 ✭✭✭Ave Sodalis


    Vote Yes for Compassion? Yeah, killing a foetus is very compassionate. Vote Yes for Dignity? Nothing dignified about abortion.


    I think you should read In Her Shoes to see where the compassion and dignity come in. Neither are lies.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,130 ✭✭✭Rodin


    Regarding lies from the repeal campaign, I find the lie that were the laws different in this country that Savita Halapannavar would have lived to be abhorent.

    That tragic young woman's death was a missed sepsis as so many cases of sepsis in the country are. Her death has been hijacked by the pro-choice campaign. A termination would not have saved her as the staff in charge had not recognised how ill she was before it was too late.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,605 ✭✭✭gctest50


    Rodin wrote: »
    Regarding lies from the repeal campaign, I find the lie that were the laws different in this country that Savita Halapannavar would have lived to be abhorent.

    That tragic young woman's death was a missed sepsis as so many cases of sepsis in the country are. Her death has been hijacked by the pro-choice campaign.

    A termination would not have saved her as the staff in charge had not recognised how ill she was before it was too late.


    Rodin wrote: »
    ........

    A termination would not have saved her .


    How would you know ?

    Qualifications ?

    Access to relevant records ?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,555 ✭✭✭Ave Sodalis


    Rodin wrote:
    Regarding lies from the repeal campaign, I find the lie that were the laws different in this country that Savita Halapannavar would have lived to be abhorent.


    The HSE, on their website, have the official independent report. It clearly outlines that whilst the recommendations have to be within the laws of the country, the 8th was at fault. In the report, there is a day by day break down of the events leading up to Savita's death and in it, the staff caring for her state that their hands were tied due to the law.

    I'm on my phone so I can't link it but it's easy enough to find.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,605 ✭✭✭gctest50


    As we have seen repeatedly, the word of many Irish front line health workers isn't worth jack when they get it wrong and get caught out



    I doubt this one put in her notes " battered non-verbal autistic pt x2 "

    YbeHnKH.jpg





    Prof Sir Sabaratnam Arulkumaran :

    Savita Halappanavar died as a direct result of Ireland's restrictive abortion laws and not simply because she contracted sepsis, the author of the independent report into her death has said.

    Anybody, any junior doctor, would have said this is a sepsis condition, we must terminate.

    "She did have sepsis. However, if she had a termination in the first days as requested, she would not have had sepsis. If she had the termination when asked for it, the sepsis would not arise.

    "We would never have heard of her and she would be alive today," he said.
    .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,304 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Vote Yes for Compassion? Yeah, killing a foetus is very compassionate.
    Vote Yes for Dignity? Nothing dignified about abortion.

    When I say lies, what I really mean is that the language both sides use is sickening. Even though I will be voting Yes, I find the campaigns on both sides reprehensible.
    Very dignified to die from sepsis or a treatable cancer in a first world country. Oh yeah.

    com·pas·sion
    kəmˈpaSHən/Submit
    noun
    sympathetic pity and concern for the sufferings or misfortunes of others.

    How does the unborn suffer? Especially in the first timester?


  • Registered Users Posts: 97 ✭✭finbar10


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    How many countries have increased the time frames of their on request model? Because that's what you're saying will happen here; Ireland will start at 12 weeks and then politicians will change it.

    I can only find one example: when France went from 10 weeks to 12 weeks back in 2001. But that doesn't help your argument, because the 10 weeks was in place since 1979, and the 12 weeks has been in place for 17 years at this point.

    But I can't find any other example of it happening. And one country doing it after 22 years, and even then by only a matter of weeks to bring it into line with the EU norm, helps my point, not yours.

    Actually that seems to be a fair point. AFAIK a lot of countries initially introduced limited abortion for the "hard cases", limited to rape/incest/serious threat to health etc. and then in a later liberalizing period widened the access (with "on demand" up to so many weeks). You seem to be right on the number of weeks for "on demand" doesn't seem to have changed in many places once it has come in at all. And, come to think of it, our proposal of "no reason" abortion to 12 weeks is fairly liberal even in European terms (so perhaps there'd be no further impetus to move this later).

    There's a fair bit of variation though in availability after the first trimester. In some countries it's effectively quite easy to get, though notionally it's supposed to be quite restricted, e.g. the UK. However, in some countries post-trimester abortion is actually quite hard to get, e.g. Switzerland and apparently Germany (though I haven't been able to find explicit second trimester and beyond stats for there).

    Good point about the Netherlands, which seems to have one of the lowest rates in Europe though a very liberal regime. Obviously cultural factors are as important as availability. However, there are plenty of liberal setups with very high abortion percentages also, and Switzerland with effectively a fairly restrictive regime after the first trimester is one of the lowest for countries with abortion (though again I suspect cultural factors come into play there too).

    In many countries, the abortion percentage was quite low on introduction and gradually climbed over the next ten to twenty years (and often further on further liberalization) and also the interpretation of those laws (e.g. the percentages of doctor refusals to terminate under various grounds went down over time).
    Germany's timeframes for on-request and France's are both 12 weeks. I don't see how the constitutional status of their laws can have a noteiceable effect on the rates; it's not as if that's going to be any kind of factor in a woman's decision.

    And from what I can see Germany's rate is similar to that of the Netherlands; which has no constitutional constraints AND allows abortion on request up to approximately 22 weeks. So it seems constitutional status has little if any bearing on the matter.
    In Germany, the constitutional fudge (decriminalization rather than actual legalization) means it isn't generally covered by public health insurance (except for serious threat to health or rape, and the Lander do cover it for the very lowest socio-economic groups) so people generally have to pay for it themselves. Also there's the mandatory pre-abortion counselling and delay period to try to persuade the woman to pursue other options. And seemingly after the first trimester is not that easy to obtain. Perhaps these have some impact. Also cultural reasons must come into play. Seemingly, abortion rates in the East are still higher than the West (probably a legacy of the views of abortion very much as contraception in the former communist states).
    I'm not sure how this is a response to my comment. The fact remains that if there is sufficient opposition to a proposed future change to our abortion laws, then it won't happen. And the people don't need to wait until election time either, as we saw with the u-turn on the ownership of the new national maternity hospital.

    Just that the influence of the electorate on a specific issue on politicians is much weaker than say at a referendum on the issue. People elect their politicians based on a whole mish-mash of issues. Maybe there'll be some pressure put on TDs from the hard-cores on either side, but I don't imagine it'll be all that great, and will get lost amongst all the other issues, and TDs will mostly want to keep their heads down and not alienate any voters on this divisive issue. Anyway, media and journalists seem mostly pretty pro-choice as a group (any suggestions for further liberalization probably getting an easier ride than the converse when referendum balance requirements no longer hold).

    Anyway, I expect something very like Simon Harris' bill will be passed into law if this referendum is passed. Notionally, this might be fairly restrictive after 12 weeks: needs "serious threat to the health of the pregnant woman" (the inclusion of "serious" does indicate perhaps a higher threshold than the UK for physical or mental health). However, if we end up what's in the Heads of Bill (a UK-like two signature system), a lot will depend on its actual interpretation and implementation on the ground. "Mental health" grounds, though remaining unchanged on paper, have gotten a lot laxer in several countries (particularly our nearest neighbour). Ireland does tend to have a history of no shortage of laws that look good on paper but that are just not really enforced or implemented much (if the will isn't there).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    I would say the majority of YES campaigners have 2 things in common
    1: Been to uni/3rd level education
    2: Socialist/communist leaning

    If you are on the YES campaign just for 1 minute forget about what you've been told/taught & think
    1: Why are all the political parties in agreement when they usually cant agree on anything
    2: Do we really want private run businesses whose sole purpose is to make money aborting foetuses
    Numerous examples that they are more interested in aborting than saving the child.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    finbar10 wrote: »
    Actually that seems to be a fair point. AFAIK a lot of countries initially introduced limited abortion for the "hard cases", limited to rape/incest/serious threat to health etc. and then in a later liberalizing period widened the access (with "on demand" up to so many weeks). You seem to be right on the number of weeks for "on demand" doesn't seem to have changed in many places once it has come in at all. And, come to think of it, our proposal of "no reason" abortion to 12 weeks is fairly liberal even in European terms (so perhaps there'd be no further impetus to move this later).

    In European terms, 12 weeks is the very much the norm. 23 other European countries have an on request aspect to their abortion laws, and 15 of them set the timeframe at 12 weeks. You might think 12 weeks itself is liberal, but in the context of our European neighbours, our proposed laws aren't overly liberal or expansive.

    What's more none of those countries have moved beyond 12 weeks, and like I said earlier, many of them have been at 12 weeks for decades.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    In many countries, the abortion percentage was quite low on introduction and gradually climbed over the next ten to twenty years (and often further on further liberalization) and also the interpretation of those laws (e.g. the percentages of doctor refusals to terminate under various grounds went down over time).

    Official abortion rates will always increase upon liberalisation, because they are comparing recorded abortions, not actual abortions. The abortion rate in Ireland will definitely increase, because a) most Irish residents have abortions outside Ireland, and b) the majority of abortions that happen in Ireland are unrecorded.

    But what research from WHO and the UN shows is that criminalisation and legal status doesn't have a significant impact on rates. Regions that don't allow abortion have similar rates to those that do.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    Just that the influence of the electorate on a specific issue on politicians is much weaker than say at a referendum on the issue. People elect their politicians based on a whole mish-mash of issues. Maybe there'll be some pressure put on TDs from the hard-cores on either side, but I don't imagine it'll be all that great, and will get lost amongst all the other issues, and TDs will mostly want to keep their heads down and not alienate any voters on this divisive issue.

    We managed to overturn water charges without a referendum. We managed to overturn changes to medical cards and the ownership of the new national maternity hospital without a referendum or an election. I'm sure there are plenty of other examples that I'm missing.

    The influence of the electorate can be felt at any time, for any reason. If anything, a referendum is the worst way to do it, because it's politicians, not the electorate that have the final say on when a referendum is held and what the question is.
    finbar10 wrote: »
    Anyway, I expect something very like Simon Harris' bill will be passed into law if this referendum is passed. Notionally, this might be fairly restrictive after 12 weeks: needs "serious threat to the health of the pregnant woman" (the inclusion of "serious" does indicate perhaps a higher threshold than the UK for physical or mental health). However, if we end up what's in the Heads of Bill (a UK-like two signature system), a lot will depend on its actual interpretation and implementation on the ground. "Mental health" grounds, though remaining unchanged on paper, have gotten a lot laxer in several countries (particularly our nearest neighbour). Ireland does tend to have a history of no shortage of laws that look good on paper but that are just not really enforced or implemented much (if the will isn't there).

    In practice, when women who need an abortion can access abortion early, they will access abortion early, as we can see throughout Europe.

    Look at France, Sweden and the UK for example. France is on request up to 12 weeks, Sweden on request up to 18 weeks, and the UK on health grounds up 24 weeks. All different laws and timeframes, yet in each case, more than 90% of women have an abortion before 12 weeks.

    What's more, due to advances in medicine and changes in access to that medication, more and more abortions are happening earlier in the pregnancy. In the UK 81% of abortions in 2016 were before the 10th week. That's up from 68% in 2006, ten years earlier. In 2002 (the earliest I can find), it was 57%.

    No matter what the laws actually say or how they're interpreted, the vast majority of abortions will happen within the on request timeframe. And due to medical advancements and increased access, that proportion will only go up, not down. Which, as an aside, is probably why none of our European neighbours are considering increasing the on-request timeframes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,945 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Help!!!! wrote:
    I would say the majority of YES campaigners have 2 things in common 1: Been to uni/3rd level education 2: Socialist/communist leaning


    My own personal response to your questions. Yes to number 1, absolutely no to number 2. Go again!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    My own personal response to your questions. Yes to number 1, absolutely no to number 2. Go again!

    You are left wing, pro open borders, anti national


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,945 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Help!!!! wrote:
    You are left wing, pro open borders, anti national


    Correct, incorrect, incorrect. Go again!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭The Bishop Basher


    Overheal wrote: »
    How does the unborn suffer? Especially in the first timester?

    What about the second and third trimester ?

    From what I know of the procedure I honestly think it would be more compassionate of us if we were to allow babies at that stage to be born and then euthanize them humanely immediately after the birth.

    At least that way we know they’re not suffering.

    I’m not advocating for this by the way although I do support euthanasia as a concept. I’m just suggesting that it might be a more humane way of eliminating the fetus then aborting it late term as happens in many countries now.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,671 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I would say the majority of YES campaigners have 2 things in common
    1: Been to uni/3rd level education
    2: Socialist/communist leaning

    Is this just speculation on your behalf? I think you will find that the voters from both sides will be compromised of people from all backgrounds.
    If you are on the YES campaign just for 1 minute forget about what you've been told/taught & think
    1: Why are all the political parties in agreement when they usually cant agree on anything

    Because they know that there is a growing swell of support to repeal the 8th. No one wants another case of a woman slowly dying in hospital because of this ridiculous law.
    2: Do we really want private run businesses whose sole purpose is to make money aborting foetuses
    Numerous examples that they are more interested in aborting than saving the child.

    Which private businesses are these?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I would say the majority of YES campaigners have 2 things in common
    1: Been to uni/3rd level education
    2: Socialist/communist leaning

    If you are on the YES campaign just for 1 minute forget about what you've been told/taught & think
    1: Why are all the political parties in agreement when they usually cant agree on anything
    2: Do we really want private run businesses whose sole purpose is to make money aborting foetuses
    Numerous examples that they are more interested in aborting than saving the child.

    1) They're not. FF and FG are both internally split on this. The last referendum all the parties agreed on was the marriage equality referendum.

    2) Most women who need abortions will be interacting with a local GP or family planning clinic, and the remaining abortions will happen within existing hospital facilities. There won't be any market opportunity for a business to set up for the sole purpose of providing abortions.

    Also:
    I'm not university educated (but working on it)
    I'm more pragmatist than socialist/communist. But I do like being social :).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    Is this just speculation on your behalf? I think you will find that the voters from both sides will be compromised of people from all backgrounds.



    Because they know that there is a growing swell of support to repeal the 8th. No one wants another case of a woman slowly dying in hospital because of this ridiculous law.



    Which private businesses are these?

    Yes there are a mix on both sides but I find most of the rabid YES side are uni/3rd level educated brainwashed into thinking socialism/communism is the way to go. An illness imported from America

    Who died because of the 8th amendment?

    You really think abortions are going to be done in an already overworked/underfunded HSE? The abortion clinics from the UK/USA will be hovering around at the minute waiting to put in bids


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,555 ✭✭✭Ave Sodalis


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    Yes there are a mix on both sides but I find most of the rabid YES side are uni/3rd level educated brainwashed into thinking socialism/communism is the way to go. An illness imported from America

    Who died because of the 8th amendment?

    You really think abortions are going to be done in an already overworked/underfunded HSE? The abortion clinics from the UK/USA will be hovering around at the minute waiting to put in bids

    Odd you use America as an example given the massive interference on the No side by Americans...

    To answer your question, I'm going to cut the crap and not play along with where it's going to lead. https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/news/nimtreport50278.pdf


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,945 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Help!!!! wrote:
    Yes there are a mix on both sides but I find most of the rabid YES side are uni/3rd level educated brainwashed into thinking socialism/communism is the way to go. An illness imported from America


    Oh god, where do you start with this! Ok I ll try, the main political and economic ideologies today 'imported' from America would in fact be neoliberalism and neoclassical theory, which in fact is more inclined to be conservative in its methods, which is in fact more traditionally to the right of the political spectrum, but the confusion tends to be the fact, our more traditional left leaning parties bought into this, particularly over the last couple of decades, in the form of things such as trade liberisation and free market ideologies etc.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,974 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    What's so strenuous about prescribing c.3,000 courses of abortion pills? Would 2,000 surgical abortions (judging by UK stats, where nearly 40% of abortions are classed as "surgical") really stretch the HSE to breaking point?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    Odd you use America as an example given the massive interference on the No side by Americans...

    To answer your question, I'm going to cut the crap and not play along with where it's going to lead. https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/news/nimtreport50278.pdf

    & no interference on the YES side?
    No money from Open Borders ( Soros )?

    I find it funny how you all believe that all abortions will be done within our HSE


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,555 ✭✭✭Ave Sodalis


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    & no interference on the YES side?
    No money from Open Borders ( Soros )?

    I find it funny how you all believe that all abortions will be done within our HSE


    Ah okay, you're one of those posters that will be proven wrong repeatedly so will jump around with your point like a hare on crack.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,619 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I find it funny how you all believe that all abortions will be done within our HSE

    Why? That's what happened elsewhere : in the first years after legalisation, over a third of UK abortions used to be to non resident women.

    Then as France and other neighbouring European countries legalised abortion, mostly for the first trimester only, the numbers of foreign women dropped, and now it's pretty much only the Irish, north and south.

    And the fact that they could still have gone to the UK after the legal date was passed in their own country doesn't seem to have encouraged them to do so.

    Which is inexplicable to those who believe that women will abort right up to due date if not prevented from doing so, but perfectly logical to the rest of us who know what pregnancy and childbirth are like.

    And that is also what the "trust women" thing is about.

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭The Bishop Basher


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I find it funny how you all believe that all abortions will be done within our HSE

    I don’t get this either.

    The HSE is on its knees and still falling..

    This is a wet dream for private clinics..

    They already have the figures and they know the demand is there..

    Of course they’ll set up shop..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I find it funny how you all believe that all abortions will be done within our HSE

    They won't. The majority of abortions will happen at the primary care level, and won't involve frontline HSE staff.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    Swanner wrote: »
    I don’t get this either.

    The HSE is on its knees and still falling..

    This is a wet dream for private clinics..

    They already have the figures and they know the demand is there..

    Of course they’ll set up shop..

    The majority of abortions will be medical abortions, and will involve staff at the primary care level; GPs, family planning clinics, etc.

    The remaining abortions will be surgical, and there won't be sufficient numbers of those to justify the investment in infrastructure and personnel to set up even just one dedicated surgical abortion facility, never mind a network.

    Some of ye really need to take a lesson in health economics to understand how the private health system actually works, and what private health services need in order to turn a profit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭The Bishop Basher


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    The remaining abortions will be surgical, and there won't be sufficient numbers of those to justify the investment in infrastructure and personnel to set up even just one dedicated surgical abortion facility, never mind a network.

    So where do the resources for these come from ?

    I thought Irish women were travelling in large numbers to clinics in the UK..

    Is this a lie now ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    Swanner wrote: »
    So where do the resources for these come from ?

    I thought Irish women were travelling in large numbers to clinics in the UK..

    Is this a lie now ?

    A large number traveling doesn't equate to a sufficient number to justify the construction and operation of private facilities.

    Only 2% of abortions in the UK are privately funded. If you applied that to estimates of Ireland's abortion statistics, that would be roughly 100 abortions per annum. If you think that's enough to keep a private facility going, you really don't understand the economics of private health services.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,671 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    Yes there are a mix on both sides but I find most of the rabid YES side are uni/3rd level educated brainwashed into thinking socialism/communism is the way to go. An illness imported from America


    So are you saying that most of the NO side are uneducated hicks?
    Who died because of the 8th amendment?

    Here we go, another who will claim that the 8th had played no part on the death of Savitta :rolleyes:

    You really think abortions are going to be done in an already overworked/underfunded HSE? The abortion clinics from the UK/USA will be hovering around at the minute waiting to put in bids

    Do you think there is a big enough market for these clinics to set up? Remember it's 12 weeks which means the majority of abortions will be via the 2 pill system. Hardly going to put a strain on the HSE is it?


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,657 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Mod: Serious discussion only please.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,280 ✭✭✭✭Eric Cartman


    The absolute distortion and sexism from the yes campaign since the google ads ban has been immense, constantly sharing cherry picked and cropped photos of old men holding vote no signs alongside pictures of women holding yes signs trying to play identity politics with this game.

    Completely ignoring that Cora Sherlock is at the forefront of the campaign, the heavy involvement of Katie Ascough and the majority women involved in the campaign , trying to pretend its a small group of men huddled in a room.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,436 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Not sure where you're looking Eric but I haven't seen any of those.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 6,376 Mod ✭✭✭✭Macha


    Sorry but that was an absolute own goal. You don't need a masters in public relations to have known it wasn't a good idea. But it wasn't the official yes campaign sharing the photoshopped images so it's incorrect to accuse it.

    And, eh, you think the No campaign doesn't make sure it doesn't have the maximum number of women front and centre of every debate and photo? Pff...identity politics...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,304 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    I would say the majority of YES campaigners have 2 things in common
    1: Been to uni/3rd level education
    2: Socialist/communist leaning

    If you are on the YES campaign just for 1 minute forget about what you've been told/taught & think
    1: Why are all the political parties in agreement when they usually cant agree on anything
    2: Do we really want private run businesses whose sole purpose is to make money aborting foetuses
    Numerous examples that they are more interested in aborting than saving the child.
    Ah that awl “liberal brainwashing” conspiracy. Which doesn’t seem to fit good as a narrative given the wide array of conservative personalities and politicians and all that have college backgrounds.

    Could it be that the parties agree with something that makes sense?

    Not familiar with many instances of private businesses with the aborted fetus business model. They even tried this gag with Planned Parenthood and fell flat on it. While clinics would have to charge money for these services in the majority of situations you’re more likely to find because abortion in Ireland only amounts to a few thousand a year, that those businesses cannot rely on that sole source of income to operate.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,348 ✭✭✭GhostyMcGhost


    Completely ignoring that Cora Sherlock is at the forefront of the campaign, the heavy involvement of Katie Ascough

    Oh I'm not ignoring that! I was on the fence but those 2 firmly made my decision a lot easier

    Whatever they say you can be certain the truth is the opposite


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,436 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    For those that question whether the 8th is responsible for deaths or that cancer treatment doesn't interfere with pregnancy...
    Mother might still be alive but for Eighth Amendment – gynaecologist
    Michelle Harte missed many weeks of cancer treatment due to Eighth – Prof Louise Kenny

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/mother-might-still-be-alive-but-for-eighth-amendment-gynaecologist-1.3493958


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,610 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Rodin wrote: »
    That tragic young woman's death was a missed sepsis

    Sepsis which only developed because she was denied an abortion of a foetus which was already dying.

    Help!!!! wrote: »
    You really think abortions are going to be done in an already overworked/underfunded HSE?

    And if they don't have abortions, how much interaction with the health service do you think pregnant women have?

    Sheesh.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    They won't. The majority of abortions will happen at the primary care level, and won't involve frontline HSE staff.

    Abortion clinics will be introduced into Ireland, same as any other country
    If you believe it wont then you might as well believe the Leo is the best Taoiseach Ireland ever had


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    NuMarvel wrote: »
    The majority of abortions will be medical abortions, and will involve staff at the primary care level; GPs, family planning clinics, etc.

    The remaining abortions will be surgical, and there won't be sufficient numbers of those to justify the investment in infrastructure and personnel to set up even just one dedicated surgical abortion facility, never mind a network.

    Some of ye really need to take a lesson in health economics to understand how the private health system actually works, and what private health services need in order to turn a profit.

    Maybe some of us have our eyes open & can see we will have the same abortion business as in any other country


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    So are you saying that most of the NO side are uneducated hicks?

    Here we go, another who will claim that the 8th had played no part on the death of Savitta

    Nope

    & Nope, a termination would have happened if the infection was observed

    http://www.thelifeinstitute.net/information/the-tragic-death-of-savita-halappanavar/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    For those that question whether the 8th is responsible for deaths or that cancer treatment doesn't interfere with pregnancy...
    Mother might still be alive but for Eighth Amendment – gynaecologist
    Michelle Harte missed many weeks of cancer treatment due to Eighth – Prof Louise Kenny

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/mother-might-still-be-alive-but-for-eighth-amendment-gynaecologist-1.3493958

    Cancer treatment does not affect the foetue/baby so she should have got treatment


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭Help!!!!


    Sepsis which only developed because she was denied an abortion of a foetus which was already dying.

    If the infection had been seen a termination could have happened
    Why do people think the doctors are not allowed terminate the baby if the mother is at risk? Its in the constitution


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭NuMarvel


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    Maybe some of us have our eyes open & can see we will have the same abortion business as in any other country

    Even if there were 10,000 abortions a year, double the current estimated number, there still wouldn't be sufficient business to open up dedicated abortion clinics. The majority of abortions will be via the primary care system, and will probably happen at home if we follow the same practice as Scotland.

    In fact Scotland is a good comparator. It has a slightly larger population that use, in 2016 had 12,000 abortions, and yet there is no dedicated private clinics in Scotland. The closest they have is one BPAS clinic in the entire country. But BPAS isn't a for profit business, it's a not-for-profit charity, and is mainly funded by the NHS, i.e. the public health system.

    I know none of this will make any difference to you, because you're using the Life Institute as a source for your claims in other posts. But the fact remains that there's no evidence to suggest there will be any private abortion clinics in Ireland, and plenty of evidence to suggest there won't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,605 ✭✭✭gctest50


    Help!!!! wrote: »
    Nope

    & Nope, a termination would have happened if the infection was observed

    http://www.thelifeinstitute.net/information/the-tragic-death-of-savita-halappanavar/


    miss this part ?



    Prof Sir Sabaratnam Arulkumaran :

    Savita Halappanavar died as a direct result of Ireland's restrictive abortion laws and not simply because she contracted sepsis, the author of the independent report into her death has said.

    Anybody, any junior doctor, would have said this is a sepsis condition, we must terminate.

    "She did have sepsis. However, if she had a termination in the first days as requested, she would not have had sepsis. If she had the termination when asked for it, the sepsis would not arise.

    "We would never have heard of her and she would be alive today," he said.


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