Fpl Price Changes 2018/2019

gimli2112

I do think it's a little more transparent than it used to be but it still has flaws. First game of the season Liverpool destroyed a very poor West Ham team at Anfield and they gave a BP to the goalie. Stats can sometimes tell a different story if you want them to.

KevIRL

gimli2112 wrote: »

I always thought this about the bonus point system. You can't tell me whatever panel come up with the allocation aren't influenced by who's in their team. It's a small thing but the outrage I sometimes feel on a Saturday afternoon is beyond belief.

Same with this, can't even make sense of the price tracker.

There is no panel for bps, hasn't been for years.

F1ngers

Back to price change discussion.
This is not the thread to discuss BPs.

Father Hernandez

Wan Bissaka up to 4.3

Struggling to find a better FPL bargain in recent years. Legend

The Phantom Jipper

KevIRL wrote: »

5 up, none down. Mendy dropping is amazing

What's amazing about it out of interest? He's been over 100% both times, and was well over 100% for his first drop, it seems to be business as usual?

extra gravy

I'm keeping him unless it's a long term injury. He'll be a nice diffential at this rate.

SlickRic

km79 wrote: »

Can not believe Mendy dropped sgain

considering the Richarlison nonsense, it is incredible.

km79

The Phantom Jipper wrote: »

What's amazing about it out of interest? He's been over 100% both times, and was well over 100% for his first drop, it seems to be business as usual?

Without looking back over all drops I can’t think of a single player that dropped twice in price so quickly this season
A third drop looks a certainty as well

Richarlison hovered around 100% for 2 weeks before dropping once

KevIRL

The Phantom Jipper wrote: »

What's amazing about it out of interest? He's been over 100% both times, and was well over 100% for his first drop, it seems to be business as usual?

As others have mentioned cause of what happened with Richarlison.

It's amazing for me personally as I gambled taking him out last Friday and he's dropped twice since then. One more drop and he'll be back down to what I sold him at.

iroced

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

claw

I bought Mendy at 6.1, sold him when he was 6.5 so if he drops again I have made a profit. Happy not to have him for the next 2 weeks, he isn't likely to play next weekend and I wouldn't play him away to Liverpool considering City's record there.

The Phantom Jipper

km79 wrote: »

Without looking back over all drops I can’t think of a single player that dropped twice in price so quickly this season
A third drop looks a certainty as well

Richarlison hovered around 100% for 2 weeks before dropping once

The Richarlison thing was very peculiar but there seems to be an expectation that it will happen again with Mendy for some reason. His transfers out seem to be justifying him dropping so quickly, there was a complete Mendy firesale on the Friday in particular.

The Phantom Jipper

iroced wrote: »

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

Good points. Thinking about it recently, I'm not sure how big an impact the WC transfers would have on a given day. The most recent week only had 225k wildcards played which is about 4% of owners. In the case of Mendy, 70% of these people probably didn't even have him, and a decent chunk of the ones that did may not have wanted to get rid of him due to the ambiguity around his injury and to avoid losing value buying and selling him back in. Factor in that not everyone is activating their WC on the same day means you'll have Mendy WC transfers being staggered throughout the week, a few thousand here and there. That volume of WC transfers is a drop in the ocean for a guy haemmoraghing transfers at close to 15k an hour.

KevIRL

iroced wrote: »

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

Great analysis, thank you.

Father Hernandez

iroced wrote: »

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

extra gravy

iroced wrote: »

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

This kind of analysis is why I love this forum. Learn so much about aspects of the game that go over my head or that I've little knowledge of.

FHFC

km79 wrote: »

Without looking back over all drops I can’t think of a single player that dropped twice in price so quickly this season
A third drop looks a certainty as well

Richarlison hovered around 100% for 2 weeks before dropping once

Possibly one of the main factors what that when Richarlison was suspended was when a huge proportion of the masses were wildcarding in the couple of weeks after and around the IB.

A lot are selling Mendy using regular transfers.

Also as Rich was a mid price option it was easier to hold him for a week if you had other priorities. It's harder to manage a 6m plus defender on your bench than a 6.5m mid.

FHFC

iroced wrote: »

I think that the difference in the price changes behaviour between those 2 is due to their GW1 ownsership and their peak ownership.

Richarlison had about twice Mendy GW1 ownership. Then their ownership increased heavily. Ricky got his peak in GW3 but less than 3 times his GW1 ownership while Mendy saw his GW1 ownership multiplied by more than 5 by GW5.
And we know "the more increased the starting price the "more sensitive" the price drop". Add into the equation a lot of GW4 WC (when Ricky was massively sold) and very few WC currently (when Mendy's dropping) and I think we may find this situation not as crazy as it looks like at first glance.

Or this.

Hadn't read this far. Iroced had it covered already.

FHFC

Father Hernandez wrote: »

Wan Bissaka up to 4.3

Struggling to find a better FPL bargain in recent years. Legend

S
G
B

KathleenGrant

FHFC wrote: »

S
G
B

?

deadlineday

KathleenGrant wrote: »

?

Sexy georgie boyd

KevIRL

Kane @ 4.8 was the greatest

McBain11

KevIRL wrote: »

Kane @ 4.8 was the greatest

Was it the 2014/15 season where Kane hit his first big tally of 21 PL goals that he was 4.8 at some point?

Just checking Kanes history and I see his value at 6m for 2014/15 - I presume that was the price he finished the season at?

FHFC

deadlineday wrote: »

Sexy georgie boyd

I was going for Super but that works too.

sheroman01

Matty Ryan of Brighton is -99 with two red arrows. How likely is he to drop in price, and when, roughly? Would love to swap him for Begovic.

Pete_Cavan

sheroman01 wrote: »

Matty Ryan of Brighton is -99 with two red arrows. How likely is he to drop in price, and when, roughly? Would love to swap him for Begovic.

It might require another failed clean sheet this weekend. I will be looking to bring him in in the next week or two, particularly at 4.4, Brighton have a good run of fixtures.

ScummyMan

UP:



Gundogan

DOWN:

.

Townsend
Arnautovic
Bailly
Joel Ward
Rondon
Fabri
Tosun
Pickford
Milivojevic

km79

2 fallers
Team value taking a hit this week

Green&Red

Which ward was that falling? Had to check Danny to make sure it wasn’t him

ScummyMan

Green&Red wrote: »

Which ward was that falling? Had to check Danny to make sure it wasn’t him

Sorry you're right, it's the Palace lad