NFL Betting Thread 2018

Izy

Bengals, Saints, Browns and Panthers all to win 11/1

Kamara, Gibson, Chubb & Davis all to score 2 TD+ 1250/1

Terry McLaurin, Tee Higgins and Diontae Johnson to have 100+ receiving yards 29/1

eagle eye

Kamara, Henry and Chubb anytime for s 11/2 on PP.

Guffy

ML 4 fold

Falcons, Colts, Buccs, Steelers 7/1ish.

Beefing up the price a little with the Steelers, you'd think I would have learned but nope.

eagle eye

Browns-2.5, Steelers -10.5, Chargers -10, Colts -2, Dolphins -3.5.
I've done 4folds and an accum. on them.
I've a smaller one on Patriots -2.5, Bengals +1.5, Lions -3, Saints -3.5 and under 50.5 in Bengals/Washington game.

Guffy

Simple treble this week, but 3 dawgs.

Browns, pats, Bills.. a little over 19/2

eagle eye

Straight accum. Dolphins, Vikings, Titans, Seahawks, Packers, Chiefs. I think it pays about 5/2.

4 folds and accum.
Vikings -10, Dolphins -10.5, Rams -2.5, under 47 Raiders/Jets, under 50.5 Colts/Texans.

Guffy

Putting up 3 dogs again this week,

Giants, was and Browns works out a little over 11/1

Small bet on the treble, browns are my upset of the week (I'm a browns fan though) will be weighing into this heavily enough on handi and ml.

365 have early payouts if your team goes up by 17 btw so last weeks was paid out nice and early. Just something to keep in mind after i worried (as a fan) when the Titans made it 17-7 last week for about 30 secs.

gerryfed

PP enhanced Chiefs, Titans & Panthers to 11/4 from 6/4 so I've put a few sheckles on that.

A long with a rake of other unrealistic multi's, one paying 2730/1 :P

L.S.F

Not seeing great matchups on the handicaps but have done:

Colts -7, Dolphins -1, Seahawks -6.5, Jets +17, Browns -6.5

Indy have enough talent to win by a TD+ against the Texans
Dolphins are beating the Pats, a few injuries but think their D is good enough to secure the win
Seahawks face a unpredictable Washington team, I expect Seattle to win and hoping it covers the spread
Surely the Jets can't get blown out again, but then again it's the Jets...
Browns to bounce back strongly after last weeks defeat

Have a over/under acca on points too and will stick one of the #Whatoddspaddy bets on whatever matches I watch later on.

thomond2006

Hopkins over 6.5 receptions - 11/10. While he's up against Ramsey I suspect he'll get plenty targets with Kirk and Fitzgerald out.

I also took Browns/Bucs/Cowboys moneyline special at 2/1.

The real mccoy 91

thomond2006 wrote: »

Hopkins over 6.5 receptions - 11/10. While he's up against Ramsey I suspect he'll get plenty targets with Kirk and Fitzgerald out.

I also took Browns/Bucs/Cowboys moneyline special at 2/1.

Not a strategy I am overly keen on taking players who will be matched up with ramsey. Your rationale is spot on but I think there has to be better options for the price.

Could add the football team to the acca as there is 0 chance philly upset the apple cart if it means dallas win the division imo even moreso with the injury list they have.



Gus Edwards 17/10
James washington 4/1
Teddy Bridgewater 11/2
Adrian peterson 7/2

Will do for my anytime yankee

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Hopkins over 6.5 receptions - 11/10. While he's up against Ramsey I suspect he'll get plenty targets with Kirk and Fitzgerald out.

I also took Browns/Bucs/Cowboys moneyline special at 2/1.

The real mccoy 91

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Finished my ante post portfolio this evening.

Dallas
New orleans
Baltimore
All to win their divisions 4/1

Detroit to win their division 11/2
Arizona to win their division 15/2

Alex Smith comeback player of the year 11/2

Kyler murray mvp 25/1

Most rushing yards
Dalvin cook 16/1
Jordan Howard 100/1

Most receiving yards
Julio jones 9/1
Dk Metcalf 80/1

Specials

Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Arizona Cardinals & Seattle Seahawks all to make the playoffs 11/1



Tennessee Titans, Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys & Seattle Seahawks all to win their division 33/1


Cant find any worst regular season record markets but Chicago and the jets would interest me in the market carolina too but I imagine they would be quite short

Lots of these looked so good at different points in the year but on the assumption that smith is a shoe in for comeback player of the year I'm finishing with only 1 winner. Arizona sh*tting the bed and dallas falling off the rails through the mid part of the season are the main grievances

Brenty

Betbuilder on PP tonight for a bit of interest 62/1

Watkins over rec yards
KC - 2.5
Under 55.5
Gronk over rec yards
Godwin over rec yards
Miller over rec yards

Money back if KC win

franglan

Under 11.5 accepted penalties @1/2

adrian522

Some Props to keep me interested....



Antonio Brown 1st TD @ 22.0
Mahomes over completions 28.5 @ 2.0
mahomes interceptions over 0.5 @ 2.2
Brady under/fournette over/tampa win @ 6.06
Tampa over 5.5 3rd down conversions@ 2.1
Both teams to lead in 4th @ 3.75
Snead 1st sack @15.0

Shedite27

SkyBet offering 2/1 on Brady having an opening quarter TD (throw or run). He hasn't done it in 10 Superbowl appearances, surely that streak has to snap.

My punts:
Any Non QB to throw a passing TD @ 11/1
Chiefs to Win by 13+ Pts, Kelce to Score 1st Touchdown @ 33/1

adrian522

adrian522 wrote: »

Some Props to keep me interested....



Antonio Brown 1st TD @ 22.0
Mahomes over completions 28.5 @ 2.0
mahomes interceptions over 0.5 @ 2.2
Brady under/fournette over/tampa win @ 6.06
Tampa over 5.5 3rd down conversions@ 2.1
Both teams to lead in 4th @ 3.75
Snead 1st sack @15.0

Overall Not too bad!

Irish94

adrian522 wrote: »

Overall Not too bad!

Tampa over 5.5 3rd down conversions@ 2.1

I had noticed Paddy Power had paid out on this bet. All the stats I have found online suggest Tampa only converted four times on 3rd down. I was wondering am I missing something? :pac:

adrian522

Yeah same. ESPN has them at 4 3rd down conversions so not sure. Betfair paid out too.

I'm not complaining as I missed out on Mahomes longest rush @ 11.5, he rushed for 11 yards on the first series.

thomond2006

Tampa had plenty first downs by penalty. If that penalty occurred on third down, would that count for the bet?

adrian522

I still only make it 4, one was via penalty I think on the pass Brady had intercepted but was called back for holding.

adrian522

Number 3 Overall Pick - Justin Fields @ 2/1 (PP)

Went with the above for draft night. I'm not believing the Mac Jones hype as I think it makes little sense and I don't see how most of these experts are getting this info.

Fields just makes too much sense to me and with Garoppolo available to start 2021 it allows fields to be eased into the starting role.

eagle eye

That's basically a break even price as there's three players in the running for the position.
You have Jones, who I love, and then Trey Lance too as well as Fields. And Fields has been trending downwards and is expected to be drafted after both Jones and Lance on most boards now.
I'd want to be getting a better price.

adrian522

It's not a break even price. There is a slightly better price available at skybet though. Most places only offering bets on the first 2 places but no value there.

I expect Fields to be taken here at 3, hence the bet. If you think Jones is getting picked here the odds are very short, so no value there. Lance is around 4/1 if you like that better but I don't think he will be picked at 3 either.

eagle eye

adrian522 wrote:

It's not a break even price. There is a slightly better price available at skybet though. Most places only offering bets on the first 2 places but no value there.

I expect Fields to be taken here at 3, hence the bet. If you think Jones is getting picked here the odds are very short, so no value there. Lance is around 4/1 if you like that better but I don't think he will be picked at 3 either.

What I'm saying is there's three potential picks at that position so it's a break even price given there are three options only, it's going to be a QB.
The rumours are that the niners like Jones a lot.
Regardless of what way you look at it backing Fields is a risk and you'd want to be getting better than 2/1 to make that a profitable investment.

adrian522

Well Jones is very short odds so no point in betting that. I also don't buy into the Jones rumours.

The only option at 3/1 or longer is Lance which is 4/1, but I don't like that bet.

eagle eye

I'm not advising a wager, I think it's a market to stay out of, just too much uncertainty as to who it'll be.

adrian522

Fields is now the favorite for the number 3 pick in many places including PP.

I've put a small bet on over 6.5 Offensive linemen taken in the first round.

D9Male

Fields into 8/11 now. I missed the boat, but it might pay to hedge on Lance at 4/1. I can see that gaining momentum.