Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

Gonzo

clearing up here now after a horrible wet morning. A few glimpses of Sun even.

Gonzo

today's ensemble chart for Dublin, i'm posting it for fun to show the level of uncertainty after the 4th of February.

We see an almost equal run of very mild and cold members, showing that everything is up in the air with long range models not to be trusted.

Dublin dryer than normal up to 30th of January with not much in the way of precipitation, lots of spikes after the 30th showing a more unsettled theme.

Mortelaro

Gonzo wrote: »

clearing up here now after a horrible wet morning. A few glimpses of Sun even.

Sun's shining here in Arklow
Just 2.8mm from the front
9.2c
That mountain weather site has 11cms wenesday evening for Croghan mtn just 5 miles west of Arklow
No need to travel to the Galtee's
16 cm on lug
Run off the GFS probably so will change

James Bond Junior

Heavy and squally showers in Tralee today. A rotten day by all accounts.

Lucreto

I think you might need your mittens for those temperatures.

jamo2oo9

Should be noted that the temps above are in Fahrenhait. Coldest at -68F is -55C

SleetAndSnow

jamo2oo9 wrote: »

Should be noted that the temps above are in Fahrenhait. Coldest at -68F is -55C

That makes it a lot better then they can go out in shorts :pac::pac:

Lucreto

That is frostbite in 5 minutes weather

JCX BXC

Knock airport forcasting a chance (PROB30) of light snow showers overnight between midnight and 9am.

Snow Garden

Quite wild out there tonight. Wet and windy but mild too.

Galway.

Santy2015

Extremely windy in kanturk cork, side of the house is like a wind tunnel

Kermit.de.frog

Temperatures will be dropping over the next hour or so. Should be quite noticeable.

JCX BXC

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Temperatures will be dropping over the next hour or so. Should be quite noticeable.

Dropping where?

I'd imagine there's hours between when the temperature drops in Donegal and when it drops in Wexford!

Kermit.de.frog

JCX BXC wrote: »

Dropping where?

I'd imagine there's hours between when the temperature drops in Donegal and when it drops in Wexford!

Dropping everywhere.

Depends on the pace of the incursion of cold air. Could be an hour, could be hours, could be days in certain circumstances. Not tonight. The front is clearing the east coast now and the colder air-mass is already in over most of the country, the skies are clearing, so temperature will fall back toward freezing (away from immediate Atlantic coasts).

SleetAndSnow

temp down to 4 degrees now, was 7 around an hour ago in Cork City. Looks to be dropping fast.

Gonzo

Very windy here in south Meath, went to the pub around 8.30 and everything was normal, came back only now and the roads are full of twigs and leaves and the wind is strong. it still feels relatively mild.

Cold air is still north of Glasgow to Edinburgh. should sink across Ireland before 6am.

Currently 5C here at Dunshaughlin.

Kermit.de.frog

In relation to Thursday, and this will chop and change, but some of the higher res models are showing the potential as well. It's still too far out, too much uncertainty around how that low pressure is going to approach and it's exact track.

Gonzo

I was afraid to post charts like the one Kirmit linked above, but there is a chance of significant snow in parts of Ireland this week. The bad thing is there is no certainty and I think much of this week could be a nowcast situation. Even if alot of snow falls in some areas, the snow melt will be fairly rapid, this is not a frigid easterly we are dealing with. Atlantic snow melts very fast.

Gaoth Laidir

Gonzo wrote: »

I was afraid to post charts like the one Kirmit linked above, but there is a chance of significant snow in parts of Ireland this week. The bad thing is there is no certainty and I think much of this week could be a nowcast situation. Even if alot of snow falls in some areas, the snow melt will be fairly rapid, this is not a frigid easterly we are dealing with. Atlantic snow melts very fast.

Don't worry, we'll be grand. Very little snow to bother anyone for most of the week.

Gonzo

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Don't worry, we'll be grand. Very little snow to bother anyone for most of the week.

mostly likely we are looking at bin lid photos and car window photos

Billcarson

Well at least if you live on a mountain you should do well enough lol. All looks a bit messy to me. A nowcast week ahead.

Gaoth Laidir

11 pm temp/dewpoints

Athenry 5/0
Athlone (Custume Barracks) 5/1
Belfast Aldergrove 5/1
Belfast City Airport 4/3
Belmullet 5/-0
Ballyhaise 4/0
Casement 5/3
Claremorris 5/-0
Cork Airport 5/2
Donegal Airport 6/-1
Dublin Airport 5/2
Dunsany 5/2
Finner 5/-1
Gurteen 5/1
Johnstown Castle 7/4
Kerry Airport 7/2
Knock 4/-1
Mace Head 5/1
Malin Head 6/-2
Moorepark 6/2
Mount Dillon 4/2
Mullingar 4/0
Newport 5/-1
Oak Park 6/2
Roches Point 7/2
Shannon Airport 6/1
Sherkin Island 6/3
Sligo Airport 5/1
Waterford Airport 6/4
Valentia 8/1

Gonzo

temp has definitely lowered here in past 20 minutes. wind still strong. Rain has eased. A very mucky night.

igCorcaigh

Seriously windy in Cork, where did this come from!

JJayoo

About 6pm a fcuking hurricane touched down in Sligo wtf

Gonzo

Snow risk for next Thursday night.

Very much pinch of salt. these charts tend to completely overcook the snowrisk.

edit: for some reason the chart linking is not working.

bascially https://weather.us/ is showing significant snow depths across Ireland next Thursday night, up to 10cm in many places.

sdanseo

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

11 pm temp/dewpoints

Athenry 5/0
Athlone (Custume Barracks) 5/1
Belfast Aldergrove 5/1
Belfast City Airport 4/3
Belmullet 5/-0
Ballyhaise 4/0
Casement 5/3
Claremorris 5/-0
Cork Airport 5/2
Donegal Airport 6/-1
Dublin Airport 5/2
Dunsany 5/2
Finner 5/-1
Gurteen 5/1
Johnstown Castle 7/4
Kerry Airport 7/2
Knock 4/-1
Mace Head 5/1
Malin Head 6/-2
Moorepark 6/2
Mount Dillon 4/2
Mullingar 4/0
Newport 5/-1
Oak Park 6/2
Roches Point 7/2
Shannon Airport 6/1
Sherkin Island 6/3
Sligo Airport 5/1
Waterford Airport 6/4
Valentia 8/1

Dropping very fast as well.

Was just out at the airport (live only a couple of km away) as RW34 is in use and the avgeek in me found that fascinating so had to watch for a bit.

4.5C leaving the house at 23:00. 3.0C coming back 45 mins later.

Gaoth Laidir

Midnight temp/dewpoints. Bearing in mind today's GFS had widespread snow forecast for this hour. :rolleyes:

Athenry 4/-1
Athlone (Custume Barracks) 5/-1
Belfast Aldergrove 4/0
Belfast City Airport 5/1
Belmullet 5/-1
Ballyhaise 4/-2
Casement 5/2
Claremorris 4/-1
Cork Airport 4/2Athenry 4/-0
Donegal Airport 5/-1
Dublin Airport 4/1
Dunsany 5/0
Finner 5/-1
Gurteen 5/0
Johnstown Castle 6/2
Kerry Airport 7/-1
Knock 3/0
Mace Head 5/1
Malin Head 6/0
Moorepark 5/1
Mount Dillon 4/-0
Mullingar 4/-1
Newport 5/2
Oak Park 5/1
Roches Point 6/2
Shannon Airport 5/0
Sherkin Island 6/3
Sligo Airport 6/0
Waterford Airport 5/3
Valentia 7/1

sdanseo

Still cloudy, skies clearing from the west will cause temperatures to drop further.

Graces7

igCorcaigh wrote: »

Seriously windy in Cork, where did this come from!

met.ie warnings?