Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

Mortelaro

P.lane78 wrote: »

Serving a ban at the moment

He's due back on the 21st,so perfect timing

kerrycork13

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Gonzo wrote: »

To follow on from the charts posted above.

This has to be taken with a pinch of salt, but here are some snow fall predictions for the next week showing in cm's the possibility of snow for the middle of next week.

Top run (Dublin)
Middle run (Galway)
Bottom run (Cork)

Cork not looking great *sigh* oh well still plenty of time! Just gotta find the generator for the shield, council moved it after I broke it last year but hey (heh)

All seriousness though the fact it could even snow next week after the months we have had is just something that's hard to believe really! Looking forward to some crisp evenings[/quote

Actually in fact cork has the greatest depth of snow according to that. Take a look at the cm graph on the left hand side the one for cork is higher than the other two

Monkeynut

It's like Christmas Eve every evening, waiting for the next day to come, to run to the phone and see if we have snowy charts.

sdanseo

Crappy pub run GFS and GFS-P
Hopefully just drunk.

force eleven

Poor 00z GFS run tonight. Models keep putting the good parts just out of semi reliable reach. Everything's great two weeks away. But it always is.

highdef

Latest ECM is stunning though, towards the end of the run though but shows lots of snow.

Potential in the ICON though at the end of the run but nothing too exciting.

Graces7

awful sense of deja vu checking the thread since midday y'day... will it, won't it, yes, no...

No shovel here; if I need digging out I have good neighbours who have tractors...One year when I was living on a North Sea island, the lorry with snowplough got stuck in the snow... faithful tractor got him out and cleared snow . My home help used to arrive on their tractor....

Look after the farmers

Billcarson

Nice ecm. Really hope it's right. The gfs can go and kiss my ass.

Rebelbrowser

Billcarson wrote: »

Nice ecm. Really hope it's right. The gfs can go and kiss my ass.

Yeah, a brief but potent easterly on 24 Jan. Beefy snow showers in the east and South East if that came off.

SleetAndSnow

kerrycork13 wrote: »

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Cork not looking great *sigh* oh well still plenty of time! Just gotta find the generator for the shield, council moved it after I broke it last year but hey (heh)

All seriousness though the fact it could even snow next week after the months we have had is just something that's hard to believe really! Looking forward to some crisp evenings[/quote

Actually in fact cork has the greatest depth of snow according to that. Take a look at the cm graph on the left hand side the one for cork is higher than the other two

Would that just not be one run run from the GFS showing the most for there while the others don't show much?

irishrover99

Deric Ó h'Artagáin said on the Marty King show that their is no snow on the horizon for Ireland.
Some flurries next week possible up North on the higher grounds but no beast.

I know he works for TV3 so not sure what credibility he has.

sryanbruen

irishrover99 wrote: »

Deric Ó h'Artagáin said on the Marty King show that their is no snow on the horizon for Ireland.
Some flurries next week possible up North on the higher grounds but no beast.

I know he works for TV3 so not sure what credibility he has.

He’s correct, for now. Need the cold to come first and or patterns to become favourable for snow before thinking of it occurring.

highdef

irishrover99 wrote: »

Deric Ó h'Artagáin said on the Marty King show that their is no snow on the horizon for Ireland.
Some flurries next week possible up North on the higher grounds but no beast.

I know he works for TV3 so not sure what credibility he has.

There's no such thing as TV3 anymore :P

As things stand, Deric is most likely correct, depending on what "the horizon" is, timeline wise.

irishrover99

highdef wrote: »

There's no such thing as TV3 anymore :P

As things stand, Deric is most likely correct, depending on what "the horizon" is, timeline wise.

No TV3??? Is Network 2 still going?.

I think he said middle of next week for Northern Ireland for some flurries so i'm expecting his horizon for us would be at least 10 days and he didn't sound optimistic at the least.

Billcarson

Deric who? Lol .That Muppet? In all fairness though he is no more a " weatherman " then I am a china man.

Graces7

IT IS ARCTIC OUT THERE! west mayo offshore, where the wind blows free and COLD

irishrover99

Billcarson wrote: »

Deric who? Lol .That Muppet? In all fairness though he is no more a " weatherman " then I am a china man.

Nǐ hao Billcarson

Tabnabs

In fairness, if you look at his Instagram account, it's all weather related pics. Meteorology really is his passion in life.

https://www.instagram.com/deric_tv_/

Kutebride

I was going to say all calm on the Western front.:D
I've been moving between, Galway, Meath and Wicklow in the last four days

All calm and overcast and 9 degrees in Meath today.
Yesterday was beautiful in Wicklow while it was dull back in Meath, or it was when I left it.

Back to Wicklow this weekend for a run up the Sugarloaf. Expect that will be chilly.

KingdomRushed

Well the last day of the long spell of boring weather is today. From tomorrow a cold front will bring the change with it. This will herald an initial chill before the weekend after which the cold will relax a little and after that there’s all sorts of options on the table with many looking quite interesting. There will be some very mean northwesterly wind in the coming days. Some seem to relish the thought of the windchill it will certainly feel bitter but lowland snow potential initially be low. From about next Wednesday snow potential increases in probability. Though the hemispheric patterns after about 144 hours are changing hugely on each and every run. Still a waiting game but the pattern is a violently convulsing vortex being stretched in all sorts of directions. Let’s see where the chips will fall

RobertKK

Met Eireann are showing 2C as the high for where I live for Thursday, Yr.no are going for 3C. All going for very cold. Yr.no is showing snow for me for next week with a potential for a lot of snow on Monday.

Graces7

KingdomRushed wrote: »

Well the last day of the long spell of boring weather is today. From tomorrow a cold front will bring the change with it. This will herald an initial chill before the weekend after which the cold will relax a little and after that there’s all sorts of options on the table with many looking quite interesting. There will be some very mean northwesterly wind in the coming days. Some seem to relish the thought of the windchill it will certainly feel bitter but lowland snow potential initially be low. From about next Wednesday snow potential increases in probability. Though the hemispheric patterns after about 144 hours are changing hugely on each and every run. Still a waiting game but the pattern is a violently convulsing vortex being stretched in all sorts of directions. Let’s see where the chips will fall

sad to see the peaceful spell ending. It has been wonderful, a real blessing, Hoping for nothing severe now.

Mortelaro

irishrover99 wrote: »

Deric Ó h'Artagáin said on the Marty King show that their is no snow on the horizon for Ireland.
Some flurries next week possible up North on the higher grounds but no beast.

I know he works for TV3 so not sure what credibility he has.

https://twitter.com/Arklowweather/status/1085149275426820096?s=19

Villain

They will need new bins on NW they are throwing so many GFS runs into them.

The uncertainty across models beyond a few days is funny really.

Patience is required but I think a few false dawns before the goods arrive would be my hunch.

Mortelaro

Villain wrote: »

They will need new bins on NW they are throwing so many GFS runs into them.

The uncertainty across models beyond a few days is funny really.

Patience is required but I think a few false dawns before the goods arrive would be my hunch.

Indeed!
Shannon entropy on the details but the direction of travel is clear,cold cold COLD
Here's another tweet from the UK met media man,only a matter of time really before we're pegging snow balls?

https://twitter.com/Petagna/status/1085161908087459841?s=19

sryanbruen

https://twitter.com/snowbiewx/status/1085173663991844864?s=21

Gonzo

Villain wrote: »

They will need new bins on NW they are throwing so many GFS runs into them.

The uncertainty across models beyond a few days is funny really.

Patience is required but I think a few false dawns before the goods arrive would be my hunch.

The operational GFS truly is awful for cold and snow. The GFS steamrolls mostly mild Atlantic muck into Ireland from the 23rd of January. The GFS has rarely shown any proper cold weather at all over the past 2 weeks and is sticking to it's guns with the mild theme.

Plenty of other models showing very cold and wintry conditions with some models sending us into near freezer conditions.

Loughc

Mortelaro

Hmmmm...Who would I listen to,the soon to be retired poorly maintained GFS during a government shut down OR everyone else including a myriad of professional met organisations ,their employees,their anomaly charts and their unchanging published outlooks?
God it's a tough choice isn't it

I also think the bread jokes are gone stale!
Something new
Every time I hear a bread pun now ,you'd swear it hadn't been done before
Its old Sigh!
There I've said it

Graces7

Mortelaro wrote: »

Hmmmm...Who would I listen to,the soon to be retired poorly maintained GFS during a government shut down OR everyone else including a myriad of professional met organisations ,their employees,their anomaly charts and their unchanging published outlooks?
God it's a tough choice isn't it

I also think the bread jokes are gone stale!
Something new
Every time I hear a bread pun now ,you'd swear it hadn't been done before
Its old Sigh!
There I've said it

well said... maybe prefer a hot (cross) bun..