Post Tropical Storm Helene 17/18 Sep 2018

squarecircles

Helene is the apetiser, there is an increasing risk storm Ali will make more headlines next week, as it packs a ''punch'',(christ i cringed as i typed that)

somethings a brewing tuesday/wednesday or thursday/friday timing wise.

Anyways be prepared for horrific boxing puns next week.

squarecircles

goat2 wrote: »

Met Eireann, saying Mayo and Galway will be worst hit

squarecircles

helene looks like dieing a death on the latest gfs,very weak as it impacts ireland.

Meteorite58

The remnants of Helene, some nice convection but getting shredded.

aisling86

I'm sure we had a few practice runs coming up to Ophelia aswell.... interesting week ahead for sure.

Lucreto

Pity the weather has to go to pot now.

Lucky this storm will pass before I go to Belfast Tuesday.

FFS for Wednesday

I have Game of Thrones Tour. Might be cancelled if that chart is correct. Can't plan for anything in this country.

Gaoth Laidir

Following close behind Helene is Joyce, which is going to affect the Azores as a tropical depression tonight more directly than Helene did last night. Fizzing out to nothing by tomorrow.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmirimg&storm_identifier=AL102018&starting_image=2018AL10_4KMIRIMG_201809161200.GIF

uck51js9zml2yt

I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!

Whispered

Suppose it's time to take down the little fellas trampoline so.

davidsr20

Maximilian Muscular Supplies wrote: »

I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!

Good for u

Gaoth Laidir

Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.



The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

sdanseo

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.

The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?

Harry Palmr

Just watching the forecasts on RTE and BBC, the latter seems to be dismissing this as nothing much to write home about with only the far NW as usual getting a real dose. They also seem much more certain of how quickly it'll move through than met.ie

Gaoth Laidir

sdanseo wrote: »

As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?

It's not in any way unusual. We've been getting extratropical remnants for as far back as records go. Ironically, in 2006 we got 3 in the same season; Florence, Gordon and Helene. In 2000 we got Leslie and...again...Helene (can't get rid of that bitch). Go back through the decades and the list continues. Debbie in 1961 was the strongest ever and set wind records that stand to this day.

SleetAndSnow

Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!

screamer

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!

Helene of Troy harder......
I'm glad it'll pass through quickly and not be too much to worry about

MJohnston

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Artane2002

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Personally I don't mind as long as the intentions aren't harmful but everyone has a different view on that.

Back on topic... Hurricane Helene in 1958 tracked to the south of Ireland too! That was a Category 4 hurricane which caused damage across the East Coast of the USA (no direct landfall though). It dissipated to our south.

fred funk }{

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Jesus. Give over FFS.

SortingYouOut

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Norton Family Protect was supposed to rid me of this filth. They'll be hearing from me.

MJohnston

fred funk }{ wrote: »

Jesus. Give over FFS.

Nope!

Gaoth Laidir

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Sorry, I meant to type b***h but this damn autocorrect!

The One Doctor

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Yes, you are. Storms are nasty btches and bastards.

MJohnston

Or they're just nasty storms, which seems adequate to me ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

donal.hunt

Can we get back to focusing on Helene?

MJohnston

donal.hunt wrote: »

Can we get back to focusing on Helene?

Can't, there's no model updates for ages!

megatron989

Wow the hype has truly died, no posts in 10 hours. I guess that means it's just a normal windy afternoon with no unusual effects? On to the next one so...

pauldry

Its filled and died a death bar the rain

fryup

so apart from the top north west corner, the rest of the country will be alright ?

Sycamore Tree

Whoa there folks, not so fast...for anyone flying to Portugal or Spain, the threat still remains high...