All Weather Winter Warmer

Mostly Harmless

4.50 Wolverhampton: Rainbow Lad (16/1 BV) 1pt Win
5.55 Wolverhampton: Ruby Gates (9/2 Ladbrokes, Coral paying 3 places 1/5) 1.5pts EW
7.25 Wolverhampton: Pracing Oscar (16/1 Paddy, Boyles paying 4 places 1/5) 1pt EW

Mostly Harmless

Nothing good yesterday. Prancing Oscar well backed but not given any chance by Mulrennan after being rushed up and kept wide throughout - doubt it made any difference as finished tailed off.

Totals
Staked 260.00
Returned 346.92
P/L 86.92
ROI 33.43%

Will get round to todays stuff in an hour or two but not much I am interested in.

STB.

Awaiting your aw picks for today MH. Have a look at the 6.15. Any view ?

TYrockbrandy is 3 out of 3 at Wolves over 5f. Almost exclusively campaigned at 5. His recent form at Dundalk is not good and he has dropped a few pounds I wonder what Aido has squeezed out of the horse now stepped up to 6. This was due to run last week but was pulled.

Drifted all morning. 16/1. The money may come late if at all. 6.15 Wolvrhampton

Fast track would be the one that is thrown in on previous HCP marks

Mostly Harmless

STB. wrote: »

Awaiting your aw picks for today MH. Have a look at the 6.15. Any view ?

TYrockbrandy is 3 out of 3 at Wolves over 5f. Almost exclusively campaigned at 5. His recent form at Dundalk is not good and he has dropped a few pounds I wonder what Aido has squeezed out of the horse now stepped up to 6. This was due to run last week but was pulled.

Drifted all morning. 16/1. The money may come late if at all. 6.15 Wolvrhampton

Fast track would be the one that is thrown in on previous HCP marks

Tyrockbrandy looked a 5f specialist to me but McG good at improving mediocre horses so would not be ruling it out.

Mostly Harmless

Just one bet today and not a particularly confident one either.

6.45 Wolverhampton: Noble Expression (20/1 Generally) 1pt EW

CH3OH

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Just one bet today and not a particularly confident one either.

6.45 Wolverhampton: Noble Expression (20/1 Generally) 1pt EW

amazing

STB.

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Just one bet today and not a particularly confident one either.

6.45 Wolverhampton: Noble Expression (20/1 Generally) 1pt EW

Not particularly confident!


Get in. Top drawer.

hudhastings

Wow I had 3e/w what a pick thanks mostly I can eat for the week. Legendary 16/1

Mikedrop

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Just one bet today and not a particularly confident one either.

6.45 Wolverhampton: Noble Expression (20/1 Generally) 1pt EW

Super stuff. Hopefully Fran is fine

HarshOstrich

Hope Fran berry is ok

Mostly Harmless

Funny old game, nearly didn't bother with the bet as thought was wishful thinking after being beat by a much lower rated one in a seller last time but won as it liked. Hopefully Fran is not badly injured - looked nasty.

+24pts on the day

Totals
Staked 262.00
Returned 372.92
P/L 110.92
ROI 42.34%

Mostly Harmless

3.20 Lingfield: Minuty (6/1 Ladbrokes, Coral paying 4 places 1/5) 2.5pts EW
4.20 Lingfield: Blistering Dancer (20/1 Generally) 1pt EW
6.15 Wolverhampton: Raashdy (20/1 Generally) 0.5pts EW
6.45 Wolverhampton: Knockout Blow (7/1 Generally) 1.5pts EW

Mostly Harmless

Raashdy should be 5.45 and not 6.15

Mostly Harmless

Nice of them to let Clifford Lines have a retirement winner there at Lingfield

Mostly Harmless

Not a great day yesterday. Minuty bitterly disappointing, Blistering Dancer just beaten for a place, Knockout Blow would have got up to win in another couple of strides.

-7.25pts on the day

Totals
Staked 273.00
Returned 376.67
P/L 103.67
ROI 37.97%

Mostly Harmless

Southwell stuff:
2.05 Southwell: Chica Da Silva (40/1 Paddy paying 4 places 1/5) 0.5pts EW
2.40 Southwell: Piccothepack (12/1 Boyles) 1pt EW
3.40 Southwell: Mr Coco Bean (16/1 BV, Coral) 1.5pts Win / Kyllachys Tale (22/1 BV, Paddy, Boyles) 0.5pt Win
4.10 Southwell: Esprit De Corps (5/1 365, Paddy) 2pts EW

Mostly Harmless

And Newcastle:
4.40 Newcastle: Amazing Grazing (15/2 Hills) 1pt EW
5.50 Newcastle: Nigg Bay (4/1 Paddy) 2pts Win
7.30 Newcastle: Song Of The Summer (14/1 Paddy paying 4 places 1/5) 1pt EW
8.00 Newcastle: Thorntoun Lady (7/1 365, BV) 1pt Win

Whiplash85

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Southwell stuff:
2.05 Southwell: Chica Da Silva (40/1 Paddy paying 4 places 1/5) 0.5pts EW
2.40 Southwell: Piccothepack (12/1 Boyles) 1pt EW
3.40 Southwell: Mr Coco Bean (16/1 BV, Coral) 1.5pts Win / Kyllachys Tale (22/1 BV, Paddy, Boyles) 0.5pt Win
4.10 Southwell: Esprit De Corps (5/1 365, Paddy) 2pts EW

Mighty stuff

Whiplash85

Jockey of Mr Coco Bean has picked up a ban following the ride at Southwell. Used his whip 10 times in last furlong apparently.

2ndcoming

Whiplash85 wrote: »

Jockey of Mr Coco Bean has picked up a ban following the ride at Southwell. Used his whip 10 times in last furlong apparently.

Appropriate username.

CH3OH

5.50 Newcastle: Nigg Bay (4/1 Paddy) 2pts Win

Was withdrawn before start

Mostly Harmless

Totals
Staked 287.00
Returned 406.17
P/L 119.17
ROI 41.52%

STB.

Constant profit there MH. Keep it up.


Murtagh has a few runners at Newcastle tonight. Captain Power seems to have been given a chance tonight at Fundalk in the opener (won off 74, carrying 9'8 on penultimate start, down to 71 carrying 8'12). 16/1

Mostly Harmless

Decent bets look few and far between today even with a load of racing. Will get round to it in an hour or two.

Mostly Harmless

UK stuff:
4.30 Lingfield: C Note (5/2 Generally) 2pts Win
5.15 Newcastle: Kodi Dream (13/2 Generally) 2pts EW

Will get round to Dundalk later.

Mostly Harmless

5.00 Dundalk: Verhoyen (11/1 BV, Coral) 1pt EW
7.30 Dundalk: Delegating (25/1 Ladbrokes paying 4 places 1/5) 1pt EW
8.30 Dundalk: Seeking Truth (14/1 365, BV, Paddy, Boyles paying 4 places 1/5) 2pts EW

NaiveMelodies

Had backed Delegating. Far too big

idnkph

Mostly Harmless wrote:

5.15 Newcastle: Kodi Dream (13/2 Generally) 2pts EW

Nice drift out to 9/1 great picking

Mostly Harmless

+11.60pts on the day

Totals
Staked 301.00
Returned 431.77
P/L 130.77
ROI 43.45%

Mostly Harmless

Chelmsford and Lingfield stuff:
2.45 Chelmsford: Yfenni (11/1 Generally) 1.5pts EW
2.55 Lingfield: Big Country (9/2 365, Ladbrokes, Paddy) 2.5pts EW
3.20 Chelmsford: Dynamo Walt (11/2 Generally) 1pt Win
3.35 Chelmsford: Dutch Uncle (4/1 Generally) 1.5pts Win
4.05 Lingfield: Navadir (11/4 Generally) 1.5pts Win

Mostly Harmless

Kempton stuff:
4.45 Kempton: Dawn Commando (28/1 Hills, Boyles) 1pt EW
5.45 Kempton: Probability (9/4 365, Hills) 2pts Win
6.45 Kempton: Family Fortunes (9/2 365, Hills) 2pts EW
8.15 Kempton: Rail Dancer (7/1 Paddy paying 4 places 1/5) 1.5pts EW

Over 20pts on the table today, could get messy...

Andrew00

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Kempton stuff:
4.45 Kempton: Dawn Commando (28/1 Hills, Boyles) 1pt EW
5.45 Kempton: Probability (9/4 365, Hills) 2pts Win
6.45 Kempton: Family Fortunes (9/2 365, Hills) 2pts EW
8.15 Kempton: Rail Dancer (7/1 Paddy paying 4 places 1/5) 1.5pts EW

Over 20pts on the table today, could get messy...

I thought Probability was a good thing but he’s drifted from 5/4 out to 9/4

Mostly Harmless

Andrew00 wrote: »

I thought Probability was a good thing but he’s drifted from 5/4 out to 9/4

Think mostly because Distant Mirage has been backed, wouldn't worry me.

CH3OH

6.45 Kempton: Family Fortunes (9/2 365, Hills) 2pts EW

Got me out of a hole SP 6/1

Thanks

Mostly Harmless

CH3OH wrote: »

6.45 Kempton: Family Fortunes (9/2 365, Hills) 2pts EW

Got me out of a hole SP 6/1

Thanks

Got me out of a hole too.

Mostly Harmless

Place from Big Country and win from Family Fortunes leaves things slightly up for day. Southwell tomorrow.

+0.4pts

Totals
Staked 324.00
Returned 455.17
P/L 131.17
ROI 40.48%

Mostly Harmless

1.00 Southwell: Dolly Dupree (11/1 Generally) 1pt EW
1.35 Southwell: Pearl Acclaim (14/1 365) 1pt Win / Coiste Bodhar (33/1 365, Paddy) 0.5pts Win
2.10 Southwell: Westfield Warrior (40/1 Generally) 0.5pts EW
2.45 Southwell: Foolaad (4/1 Generally) 2pts Win
3.20 Southwell: Incredible Dream (10/1 BV, Coral) 1.5pts Win
3.50 Southwell: Luath (8/1 Ladbrokes, BV) 1.5pts Win / Going Native (16/1 Generally) 0.5pts Win

Kirk Van Houten

Have you changed strategy MH? Previously it seemed to be a few big priced longshots where as the last few days it seems to be a lot more bets and more lower odds?
Just a case of horses showing up on research or a deliberate move to stake more?
Great tipping by the way.

NaiveMelodies

The more he backs, the more he wins! Haha fairplay lad

Mostly Harmless

Kirk Van Houten wrote: »

Have you changed strategy MH? Previously it seemed to be a few big priced longshots where as the last few days it seems to be a lot more bets and more lower odds?
Just a case of horses showing up on research or a deliberate move to stake more?
Great tipping by the way.

No conscious decision to change anything, normally look at all the races at Southwell and Dundalk and have a bet in most of the handicaps, then the other UK stuff depends on how much time I have available, other than that just a case of a quite few tracker horses running recently.

Mostly Harmless

+5.20pts on the day

Totals
Staked 334.00
Returned 470.37
P/L 136.37
ROI 40.83%

Mostly Harmless

3.00 Chelmsford: Gone With The Wind (14/1 365, Hills) 1pt EW
3.30 Chelmsford: Knockout Blow (5/1 Paddy) 2pts EW
6.25 Wolverhampton: Cuckoos Calling (10/1 Generally) 1pt EW

Mostly Harmless

All three went off bit shorter yesterday and all three unplaced.

-8pts on the day

Totals
Staked 342.00
Returned 470.37
P/L 128.37
ROI 37.54%

Probably have one bet at Newcastle today.

Mostly Harmless

5.45 Newcastle: Katheefa (8/1 Generally) 1.5pts EW

Mostly Harmless

Katheefa weakened very tamely in first time blinkers yesterday, was well backed on the show but not one I would be inclined to follow after that display.

Totals
Staked 345.00
Returned 470.37
P/L 125.37
ROI 36.34%

Two at Wolverhampton today and will post very soon.

Mostly Harmless

6.45 Wolverhampton: Mr Top Hat (7/1 365, BV) 1.5pts Win
7.15 Wolverhampton: Sea Shack (10/1 Paddy) 3pts EW

Gavin "shels"

Odds being hit on Sea Shack.

Mostly Harmless

Gavin shels wrote: »

Odds being hit on Sea Shack.

Thought it should be more like a 9/2-5/1 chance myself.

Mostly Harmless

Sea Shack went off 6/1 and ran a good race but no match for the short priced fav, who looks a transformed horse in last two runs. Mr Top Hat did not show much.

+1.5pts on the day

Totals
Staked 352.50
Returned 479.37
P/L 126.87
ROI 35.99%

Unlikely to be much action for the foreseeable future, hopefully Dundalk goes ahead tomorrow.

Mostly Harmless

5.30 Dundalk: Connemera Queen (20/1 Ladbrokes paying 4 places 1/5) 1pt EW
6.00 Dundalk: Evasive Power (12/1 Genrally) 1pt Win
6.30 Dundalk: Sevenleft (14/1 Generally) 1pt EW
8.00 Dundalk: Sleepy Head (3/1 Generally) 2pts Win