Storm Atiyah Sunday - Monday, 8th - 9th Dec 2019

Meteorite58

Squally hail/rain shower just gone through here gusting 69 km/hWNW , temperature much cooler this morning at 5.4C

Definitely hail showers with possibility of lightning going to be a feature today.

prettyboy81

Up the little one early in Ashbourne. The wind is wild but on a break at the moment. Waiting on the text confirming my young lads match is off this morning.

charlietheminxx

Monkeynut wrote: »

small little gusts in swords. the trees outside are barely moving.:)

I’ve just been out walking with the dog and it’s nasty enough in Swords! Few decent gusts with bursts of rain.

Edit: by nasty enough I mean there’s stuff flapping in the wind, construction fencing rattling like mad and you can forget about keeping your hood up. Not anything major but certainly not calm!

Meteorite58

ECM 0Z showing the strong winds from the afternoon in the SW and later in the W and NW as the second wave of winds move across the country late evening early Monday morning.

Showing gusting 120 to 130 in the SW and up along the W and NW later. Not showing the same chance of 140km/h as previous run but still a slight possibility from some models on SW coasts in the early evening.

Kerry to me is still showing the strongest winds gusting to 130 km/h in general from late afternoon , probably peaking around 4 to 9 and staying very windy into the early hours of Monday morning.

Winds in the E probably dont reach their peak until mid to later evening or thereabouts.


Those big squally showers could create locally very strong gusts anywhere .

Meteorite58

Some of the main models.

Some subtle differences . ARPEGE is probably a good average although AROME does bring the later strong winds further N, bit out on it's own with this though.

cute geoge

Would that not look like a red warning should be in place for Kerry at least

Meteorite58

Had 101 km/h in mace Head earlier.

Meteorite58

cute geoge wrote: »

Would that not look like a red warning should be in place for Kerry at least

Very borderline I would have thought. Probably not enough of a chance of over 130km/h throughout the county away from exposed coasts is what's keeping to Orange. But it is a High end Orange warning at least. Either way will be very rough later in the afternoon .

Meteorite58

Some heavy rain/ hail in those showers, 5.6mm so far here near Tralee.

Monkeynut

charlietheminxx wrote: »

I’ve just been out walking with the dog and it’s nasty enough in Swords! Few decent gusts with bursts of rain.

Edit: by nasty enough I mean there’s stuff flapping in the wind, construction fencing rattling like mad and you can forget about keeping your hood up. Not anything major but certainly not calm!

Starting up now. Washing line all over the place.
Strong gusts. I must have been looking out when it was calm.

obi604

Very calm now in east Galway again after strong winds, heavy rain and a small amount of thunder and lightning overnight.

Gaoth Laidir

Kerry Airport forecast to get 60-knot gusts after 5 pm.

TAF EIKY 080800Z 0809/0818 26022G40KT 9999 FEW015 SCT025 BKN030
TEMPO 0809/0818 5000 SHRAGS BKN014 SCT018CB
BECMG 0814/0816 26028G50KT
TEMPO 0817/0818 27032G60KT=

An Ri rua

Very intense squally showers from around 8 to 845 in Mountmellick. Can confirm, like Kermit the Frog (not de Frog, distant cousin) that this rain is in fact wet and that thankfully my feral friend and his two sons are all snug as bugs in their caravans out back and haven't done a Wanderly Wagon. As yet.
I think dogs will be doing a Jim Royle ala Pearl of Prestatyn and pee'ing in bottles today.

redsteveireland

obi604 wrote: »

Very calm now in east Galway again after strong winds, heavy rain and a small amount of thunder and lightning overnight.

Apart from those heavy squally hail showers rushing through!

munsterlegend

Think this will pack a much bigger punch than Lorenzo down here in North Cork.

Oscar Bravo

9am

Mace head gusting 58 knots.

Gaoth Laidir

Analysis at 06Z. The 975-hPa low southwest of Iceland is rapidly filling and will be just an open trough as it approaches later this afternoon, but with a very strong gradient on its western flank. The 956-hPa low to the southeast of Iceland will be that second wave of winds following on later this evening and tonight, filling as it does so to 986-hPa near Dublin by midnight. It will all be over very quickly, especially in the east.

06Z analysis



Forecast for midnight

Itssoeasy

Honestly you'd never imagine what is to come weather wise here in cork. Not a puff of wind at 9:33am.

Widdensushi

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Honestly you'd never imagine what is to come weather wise here in cork. Not a puff of wind at 9:33am.

plenty of it in west cork

Basq

Flying out of Knock Airport this afternoon.. wish me luck! :eek:

SleetAndSnow

Had a rain shower there in cork city , heavy enough and the wind picked up with it too before dying down again.

obi604

redsteveireland wrote: »

Apart from those heavy squally hail showers rushing through!

True yeah, about 10 minutes after posting, got one of the squally showers.

Oscar Bravo

Basq wrote: »

Flying out of Knock Airport this afternoon.. wish me luck! :eek:

Wind not far off straight down the runway so you should be sound. Very bumpy as you take off though espically in the left turn directly after takeoff. Runway 26 .

Gaoth Laidir

Basq wrote: »

Flying out of Knock Airport this afternoon.. wish me luck! :eek:

The latest forecasts for Knock are a bit low imo. Max gusts 48 knots seems a little low, but in any case wind direction will be pretty much aligned with the runway so for taking off not really a problem.

TAF EIKN 080500Z 0806/0906 26020G35KT 9999 FEW018 SCT030
TEMPO 0806/0824 4000 SHRAGS BKN012 SCT018CB
TEMPO 0812/0817 25025G45KT
BECMG 0818/0821 31028G48KT
BECMG 0901/0903 32020G38KT
BECMG 0904/0906 32015G28KT=

Warning, valid to 5 pm.

EIKN AD WRNG 01 VALID 081300/081700
WIND SFC W 20-25KT MAX 40-45 FCST=

EDIT: OB beat me to it

irishrover99

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Wind not far off straight down the runway so you should be sound. Very bumpy as you take off though espically in the left turn directly after takeoff. Runway 26 .

What’s Dublin airport looking like today for some cross wind action?.
Not much to do with kids today in this weather so might take a drive out around lunch time.

Oscar Bravo

irishrover99 wrote: »

What’s Dublin airport looking like today for some cross wind action?.
Not much to do with kids today in this weather so might take a drive out around lunch time.

Almost certain to be a go around or two today.id say the mound will be busy.

EIDW 080747Z 0807/0906 25015KT 9999 FEW018 SCT035
TEMPO 0807/0812 25018G33KT TEMPO 0807/0906 5000 SHRA BKN014 SCT018CB
BECMG 0812/0814 24020G38KT
TEMPO 0817/0819 24025G43KT
BECMG 0820/0822 27028G48KT
BECMG 0822/0824 30028G48KT
BECMG 0901/0903 30025G43KT BECMG 0904/0906 30022G38KT

JanuarySnowstor

A further nudge South on 06z gfs for the first swathe of winds. Kerry and Cork now at most risk. Still orange but high side of orange near the coast.

Holy crap. Just had near enough lighting and thunder simultaneously. Thunder sounded like it was right above my head it was a seriously loud bang.

Near Leitrim coast.

Pretzill

Lashing in Sligo and was very dark earlier, a little wind but what struck me most about this morning's weather it's absolutely icy cold (without the ice) -

South Sligo
90m asl

munsterlegend

Anyone have the cork airport wind forecast for later? Thanks