Share Picks 2020

RIGOLO

danoriordan1402 wrote: »

As someone who deals with Cloud infrastructure, it still amazes me when end users have an outage and wonder why cause they are sitting in the cloud - some just don't get that there infrastructure is sitting on poor AWS hardware in a datacenter somewhere in the world

apologies for going off topic
Dan you probably saw this ... , Microsoft global outtage today ... buutt buttt buttt how could this happen its in the cloud .. .:D

thankfully few if any markets are in that cloud thingy

NYCT 23% today .. sweeett and their AGM is on today

CloudHopping

Hi all, just wanted to ask your opinion on stock REGI. Showing strong growth, low debt, reasonable PE ratio and operates in both US and Europe supplying biodiesel. Personally, I see good growth potential for next few decades. Any thoughts on this one?

danoriordan1402

RIGOLO wrote: »

apologies for going off topic
Dan you probably saw this ... , Microsoft global outtage today ... buutt buttt buttt how could this happen its in the cloud .. .:D

thankfully few if any markets are in that cloud thingy

NYCT 23% today .. sweeett and their AGM is on today

Yeah, saw that, got a chuckle You would be surprised how many corporates ( even Rackspace ) are moving offPrem and having a strong foothold in the cloud to leverage the best of both world, especially for Disaster recovery and now with more home users during Covid.

I have been holding VMW position for years having got in at a discount, a fairly static stock for the last while but I believe once the DELL/VMware divorce happens next year it may take a turn up, will see

https://www.sdxcentral.com/articles/news/vmware-posts-q1-beat-reports-triple-digit-vmc-on-aws-growth/2020/05/

RIGOLO

danoriordan1402 wrote: »

I have been holding VMW position for years having got in at a discount, a fairly static stock for the last while but I believe once the DELL/VMware divorce happens next year it may take a turn up, will see

https://www.sdxcentral.com/articles/news/vmware-posts-q1-beat-reports-triple-digit-vmc-on-aws-growth/2020/05/

yes the DELL VMWARE split will happen, a 12 month hold, I own DELL shares myself, traded out of them before the first Covid crash and got back in in the 50s. Its patience and hoping the general economy gets out of this dip.

I read the IPO prospectus for JFROG.. did you know Dell owns 9% of that company , Michael Dell being the beneficial owner , he choose to let it ride rather than sell into the IPO.
fecking amateur hour for me, still kicking myself about not jumping on FROG ..
when you do the work, read the IPO prospectus , balance sheets, etc do all the due diligence , spot a winner and then fail to pull the trigger ..

MCAFEE IPO is coming up , next one on my radar but yet to research.

DutchYurt

Fantomas9mm wrote: »

I see Aurora Cannabis are down 86% in the last year !

Is stock like this not worth touching until at least after the US Presidential election ?

Or would you not go near it full stop ?

I know I'm a stranger on the internet but the heartbreak that company has brought me I implore you to not go near that company. Ive been watching the car crash of this company for the better part of three years and I feel like homer simpson going "it's still good, it's still good" to his pig on a spit, I got out shortly after the R/S and made some money back. Its' now trading at 39cent pre R/S..

The partnership, the pelts going to turn it around all waffle. They upgraded there revenue targets like 2 weeks before earnings then missed them by 12% followed by the CFO to say they won't make money for 2 years. It's a **** company with yolo traders keeping it afloat. If I had just shorted it every three days for the last three years I genuinely think I'd have made a few million.

TLDR; Stay away for your own sanity but if you do go in I wish you the luck I didn't have

Bob Harris

Aurora/Tilray are real pump n dump cannabis stocks with little or no substance behind them. IMHO Aphria and to a lesser extent Canopy and Cronos are serious players with Aphria being the pick of the bunch.

OwlsZat

RIGOLO wrote: »

Indeed the complaint is over their propietary device they use to adminster their vaccines, this device has been used and approved by the FDA for multiple previous trials by INO and the DOD bought $70 million worth of them a few months back so this hold up is a red herring

INO has recovered some bit, which tells me it was an epic head fake by Wall St with a little help from some friends in the FDA , all to cover their mega short exposure. The drop hasnt held , theres a floor holding strong.
But this issue could still take 30 days or more to resolve.
Welcome to the wild west of bio-pharma investing .

The INO news feels like silly season. In a global rush for a COVID 19 cure the FDA needed to temporaily suspend a P2/3 trial to ask quetions on the delivery device. Similar devices have already been used in approved vaccines, not to mention the very same device has been OK'd for other INO trials and even the P1 of this trial. Crazy stuff and unfortunately bios trend so strongly on the news that the whole thing almost seems scripted.

bfa1509

Anyone making adjustments/gambles ahead of the debate? I can see this being Bidens first and last debate, he will be eaten alive and we'll see a very green day tomorrow and a strengthening of the dollar again.

RIGOLO

bfa1509 wrote: »

Anyone making adjustments/gambles ahead of the debate? I can see this being Bidens first and last debate, he will be eaten alive and we'll see a very green day tomorrow and a strengthening of the dollar again.

I was thinking along the same lines and thought of making a play on an index. But dont feel the need, I think my portfolio is well balanced enough to ride the debate green bump.

If Biden astounds us and crushes Trump be wary of a looming sell off in hte near term and longterm. Biden and Democrats will hit CGT earnings and investors will look to sell by end of year before potential changes to the CGT rates by a new regime .

Anyone see the EV truck on the White House lawn yesterday.
Its a LORDSTOWN truck but WKHS own a 10%(?) share of the manufacturing plant.
LORDSTOWN + DPHC/RIDE + WKHS joint venture on this, repuposing an old GM plant for EV manufacturing.

I think having your truck on the WH lawn is a sure indication your in line for some big business and announcments.

RIGOLO

danoriordan1402 wrote: »

I have been holding VMW position for years having got in at a discount, a fairly static stock for the last while but I believe once the DELL/VMware divorce happens next year it may take a turn up, will see

f me
never thought Gelsinger would be a boardsie, he probablty felt the need to make this announcment after seeing us two whales posting on this very topic..

VMware CEO Pat Gelsinger says a Dell spinoff could give him freedom to work with more manufacturers

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/29/vmware-ceo-dell-spinoff-could-bring-freedom-on-go-to-market.html

If what your thinking about is what the market is talking about then you are making good investment choices.. but maybe your only thinking about it cos the market is talking about it.. who knows.

danoriordan1402

RIGOLO wrote: »

f me
never thought Gelsinger would be a boardsie, he probablty felt the need to make this announcment after seeing us two whales posting on this very topic..



https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/29/vmware-ceo-dell-spinoff-could-bring-freedom-on-go-to-market.html

If what your thinking about is what the market is talking about then you are making good investment choices.. but maybe your only thinking about it cos the market is talking about it.. who knows.

Hehe.. Pat is a shrewd operator - am recording his keynote at VMworld, will check it out later As mentioned, I am long on VMW since 2017 - its the nicest green in my book so no issue leaving it til Q3, or 4 2021

OwlsZat

hottipper wrote: »

New kid in town - medical psychedelic lsd and mdna treatments now, who would have thunk it :pac: 10x or to 0 - my guess is the latter, yolo trade not an investment allocate accordingly
mindmed
https://www.mindmed.co/

https://assets.website-files.com/5d41a9def65670578680c4ef/5f528c991416e8fdf11b5ca1_MindMed%20Corporate%20Deck%20July_compressed_3.pdf

One of these is going to happen things. What company who knows. Someone posted pure pyscadelics a while back. Who becomes the big player and when they actually make money who knows.

Liamo_mu

What does everyone make of oil stock like Exonn Mobil?

Pretty much as low as it's been in like 10 years and basically back down to the level of peak COVID.

The stock is highly dependent on the price of a barrel of oil but surely it should bounce back up?

Thinking of going in on it.

AmberGold

Liamo_mu wrote: »

What does everyone make of oil stock like Exonn Mobil?

Pretty much as low as it's been in like 10 years and basically back down to the level of peak COVID.

The stock is highly dependent on the price of a barrel of oil but surely it should bounce back up?

Thinking of going in on it.

Jumped in just after peak COVID, bag holding now, can’t see it moving for a long time. I’d be putting my cash to use elsewhere.

RedRochey

Liamo_mu wrote: »

What does everyone make of oil stock like Exonn Mobil?

Pretty much as low as it's been in like 10 years and basically back down to the level of peak COVID.

The stock is highly dependent on the price of a barrel of oil but surely it should bounce back up?

Thinking of going in on it.

Just read this today, might be of help:
https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/09/is-exxon-the-next-general-electric/

Don't have an opinion myself but would think that there's better opportunities elsewhere

RIGOLO

Liamo_mu wrote: »

What does everyone make of oil stock like Exonn Mobil?

Pretty much as low as it's been in like 10 years and basically back down to the level of peak COVID.

The stock is highly dependent on the price of a barrel of oil but surely it should bounce back up?

Thinking of going in on it.

I felt the same a few months back , have positions in APA, MRO, OXY, WLL . But looking at losses on paper for now although you only lose when you sell.
Its part of balancing my portfolio, in case a sudden cure for Covid, a sudden FULL reopening of the economys.
I still think APA is the best of the bargain basement oil plays.
Oil stocks are probably as low as they will go so now is a buying oppurtunuity IF you have reconciled yourself to potentially having to hold them for 12-16 months.
good luck..

hottipper

Just on the european theme again another one worth investigating is ADYEN N.V
It's like a european version of stripe from the collison brothers from what i see.
Great set of customers with lots of house hold names
https://www.adyen.com/customers + its got a payments api similar to stripe.
Its at all time high at the moment but if you buy dips and hold it for 10+ years it should do well.

I got another new recent ipo that looks good also but its way overvalued at the moment, will post when it dumps to something that looks like value

Shedite27

hottipper wrote: »

Just on the european theme again another one worth investigating is ADYEN N.V

I've read a lot about Adyen. Sounds a ver y good company.

Do you know what the difference between all the share classes are tho? Degiro has 3 tickets for it, all on the Amsterdam market, current share price €1,557 €1,567 and €1,574. Then Yahoo Finance has one on the Pink Sheets at $37

I've Square and PayPal (also Sea which has a bit of e-payments also) so probably overkill to buy another.

Jesper

Shedite27 wrote: »

I've read a lot about Adyen. Sounds a ver y good company.

Do you know what the difference between all the share classes are tho? Degiro has 3 tickets for it, all on the Amsterdam market, current share price €1,557 €1,567 and €1,574. Then Yahoo Finance has one on the Pink Sheets at $37

I've Square and PayPal (also Sea which has a bit of e-payments also) so probably overkill to buy another.

Thanks for the tip. Which ticker is the best option to choose?

My tip is a company called Lemonade Ticker: LMND
It is an innovation leader in the insurance industry ripe for disruption. It uses AI to resolve issues quickly and is seen as a kind of millennial insurance company that is expanding into Europe and picking the 'easy' low hanging fruit of insurance at first - pet insurance, devices etc.
But mainly because I follow a stock tipping service and they recommend it

Liamo_mu

RIGOLO wrote: »

I felt the same a few months back , have positions in APA, MRO, OXY, WLL . But looking at losses on paper for now although you only lose when you sell.
Its part of balancing my portfolio, in case a sudden cure for Covid, a sudden FULL reopening of the economys.
I still think APA is the best of the bargain basement oil plays.
Oil stocks are probably as low as they will go so now is a buying oppurtunuity IF you have reconciled yourself to potentially having to hold them for 12-16 months.
good luck..

Cheers for the info man. Yeah I'd have no issue holding on for a till whenever required really.

Think I'll go for it, long term seem a no brainer. The world will return to normality and with it Oil will be in high demand. Would be very surprised if I lose on this tbh.

ganmo

I bought some lagardere at €13 a month ago, it's at €21.30 now

ganmo

ganmo wrote: »

I bought some lagardere at €13 a month ago, it's at €21.30 now

Was going to like, then thought... did he give a heads up a month ago. If so :cool: If not :mad:

ganmo

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Was going to like, then thought... did he give a heads up a month ago. If so :cool: If not :mad:

Haha I bought it as a dividend play and it started shooting up im guessing as a result of a play by the chairman of the board of management

Nemeses2050

Liamo_mu wrote: »

What does everyone make of oil stock like Exonn Mobil?

Pretty much as low as it's been in like 10 years and basically back down to the level of peak COVID.

The stock is highly dependent on the price of a barrel of oil but surely it should bounce back up?

Thinking of going in on it.

Agree Oil stocks along with Airlines/Cruise look very attractive and I have a few of them...but if this prolongs there's a chance some of them could go belly up...so pick decent ones like and hold for long term.

Liamo_mu

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

Agree Oil stocks along with Airlines/Cruise look very attractive and I have a few of them...but if this prolongs there's a chance some of them could go belly up...so pick decent ones like and hold for long term.

Any in NCLH? Have a few in them myself.

Nemeses2050

Liamo_mu wrote: »

Any in NCLH? Have a few in them myself.

Yep have them, NCLH and AAL have been my favourites...however there's a great chance AAL could go belly up.

Kilboor

If I had a big chunk of cash now I'd put it into UpWork.

Crazily undervalued in my humble opinion

Nemeses2050

Kilboor wrote: »

If I had a big chunk of cash now I'd put it into UpWork.

Crazily undervalued in my humble opinion

Man all the talk on Yahoo finance says its undervalued and Institutions hold 75% shares which include Vangaurd/Blackrock etc...its trading at close to its 52week high. I have added it to my Watchlist. thanks

HelloYoungBoy

Kilboor wrote: »

If I had a big chunk of cash now I'd put it into UpWork.

Crazily undervalued in my humble opinion

I initiated a starter position in Fiverr $FVRR last week. A similar Company but seems to have managed to grab more of the Covid market momentum in terms of new users compared to UpWork. I actually have personally used Fiverr recently and was so impressed with it that I went and invested in it

Kilboor

HelloYoungBoy wrote: »

I initiated a starter position in Fiverr $FVRR last week. A similar Company but seems to have managed to grab more of the Covid market momentum in terms of new users compared to UpWork. I actually have personally used Fiverr recently and was so impressed with it that I went and invested in it

I have used fiverr myself as far back as 2014, excellent service however on a professional business level I believe Upwork has the potential to be a larger business.

Nemeses2050

Anyone watching Asana and Palantir? Any views on them?

dinneenp

Peloton jumped up nicely recently, $99 atm.

peterofthebr

RIGOLO wrote: »

boom contract landed , announcement yesterday ..
I wonder what todays opening price will be, indications are £5.25 ... trading at £4.67 yesterday in London its AIM listed but you can trade it in Paris also .



double boom ... new CE approved serology test...



will exit ODX , top slice some NYCT and let the rest sit. The Abott 15 min test Trump admin demonstrated at the presser yesterday could be agame changer

EDIT:
triple boom ..
another plus on the NOVACYT spike is the computer quants will get burned, Voleon a supposedly AI short machine managed fund had a large short position on NYCT, 700,000 shares to cover. I wonder what HAL is saying this morning...

https://whalewisdom.com/short_position/holder/voleon-capital-management-lp

https://www.ft.com/content/87725d8e-870b-42a4-8f1b-e07ab58c354b

thanks for the info...more companies to research...thiis is a full time job onto of my ...full time job :-)

Shedite27

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

Anyone watching Asana and Palantir? Any views on them?

I use Asana and love it, but from a stock point of view, it's a very crowded market. Atlassian is probably the closest rival, and much better financials. They have spent a LOT on prodict development which is great, but the year on year growth is declining fairly rapidly. Asana gets a lot of press to the Facebook founder. I'd like to buy but would like the share price to come back closer to $20.

Nemeses2050

Oil stocks taking a beating again, some very close to March lows.

RIGOLO

peterofthebr wrote: »

thanks for the info...more companies to research...thiis is a full time job onto of my ...full time job :-)

AVCT ODX and NYCT are the UK AIM Covid testing companies I watch.
fwiw I think NYCT is best value even if its at or near all time high. On top of many other positives , kit approvals and contracts it just won a contract for 150million with an option on another £100mill with the NHS, almost £250million and a mcap of only £350mill with all debt cleared.
Its a joint UK/France setup, 70/30 float split between london and fance. You can buy it in PARIS , a bit more liquid to trade than relying on the AIM mm's

Im waiting for the new world post-covid things have fundamentally changed m&a's to start kicking off. Now that the board rooms are flush and looking to the new norm there have to be some plans afoot to snap up a few companies that have been under the radar or under appreciated given where we are headed.

I hear you , this is full time work , but isnt that the fun.

RIGOLO

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

Oil stocks taking a beating again, some very close to March lows.

now why did you have to put that up there and go and spoil my afternoon... :P
I was only planning to review my oil play portfolio positions late Q3 2021 .

Nemeses2050

RIGOLO wrote: »

now why did you have to put that up there and go and spoil my afternoon... :P
I was only planning to review my oil play portfolio positions late Q3 2021 .

So you can add more to pay the tax man

European Oil stocks have stronger BS than US peers.
Im so tempted to get some RDS

RIGOLO

this will be an interesting day given Trumps + test, futures dropping and its a friday bad combo.
But expecting my covid stocks to hold stronger than the broader market.

RIGOLO

RIGOLO wrote: »

this will be an interesting day given Trumps + test, futures dropping and its a friday bad combo.
But expecting my covid stocks to hold stronger than the broader market.

You know the markets are due a correction when they are reliant on a $750 tax paying 'Billionaire' to prop them up.

RIGOLO

Deleted User wrote: »

You know the markets are due a correction when they are reliant on a $750 tax paying 'Billionaire' to prop them up.

luckily I understand how tax credits and deferrals work..I hope you do too it will improve your bank balance.

now lets get back to investing in companies who use the tax code to benefit the board members and sometimes even their stockholders :cool:

RIGOLO

RIGOLO wrote: »

luckily I understand how tax credits and deferrals work..I hope you do too it will improve your bank balance.

Ah here, the $750 was the most he paid in several years. Deferred, never existed more like.

RIGOLO

Deleted User wrote: »

Ah here, the $750 was the most he paid in several years. Deferred, never existed more like.

Id respectfully ask you to take the politics elsewhere unless they are pertinent to benefiting the people who are on this board trying to make investment decisions..

unless of course in your wisdom you think Trumps tax returns will materially affect TSLA call options etc....

Nemeses2050

Ah here guys forget Trump for a while and look at the stocks which we can pick.

RIGOLO

my US covid picks are green across the futures (fwiw) board

Big mask play in my portfolio is APT whihc I mentioned before , and Ive a small position in LAKE.. neither were getting much love from Wall St despite great quarters , little debt etc. .. but will benefit off of the news.

OPK (aka Bioreference labs) are under $4 and also showing green. This is a mad stock, its manipulated both internally and externally , heavily shorted but has a legit business and legit lab footprint, options interest was already looking positive before the news.

This is Friday, I think many investors will want to position into Covid stocks, PPE , testing etc for the weekend , rather than risk a deterioration in 'the man whos name we wont say' condition .

And if 'the man whos name we wont say ' does recover or be asymptomatic then I thnk that person will promote ppe, masks etc in the coming months..

glta

RIGOLO

NYCT (Uk testing play listed Paris and AIM) are getting alot of love this morning thanks to that real estate developer getting the bug. up over 6% on a day when futures potentially drop 300+

UK NHS contract locked in, rumours of a French contract coming and given La Vielle Lumiere is back in the red zone (no not the red light zone, different thread) this could turn out to be true.

The big AI short Voleon have trimmed from .97% to .7% short holding , so they still need to exit before this blows.

Nemeses2050

Have OPK on my watchlist and probably should have got some last week when it was around $3 mark, My other Covid plays VXRT and INO, are in Red after this week's fall. hoping for a nice jump today to push me in Green

RIGOLO

RIGOLO wrote: »

will exit ODX , top slice some NYCT and let the rest sit. The Abott 15 min test Trump admin demonstrated at the presser yesterday could be agame changer

well that part didnt go according to plan ... even if I was up
ODX up 10% this morning , looks like I left some on the table..

ah well better to have it in the back pocket than to be trying to make it back ..

RIGOLO

I didnt think we would get another buying oppurtunity.

If you believe that the 'best selling author ' will recover then this dip on a Friday is a geat oppurtunity.
Im going to take some dry powder and put it to use.
Gambling that he is asymptomatic, in good health no comobities and not show any ill effects. With no further negative health news over the weekend I expect the market will recover early next week.
Oil and Travel which were low anyways are where Im looking to turn a buck and recover some oil (paper) losses ...

jobs numbers out today also, I think they will be good

retalivity

RollsRoyce hitting 17yr lows due to another 3bn loan to tide itself over. Currently 104p, my BEP is at 226p.

Stick or twist??