Share Picks 2020

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

.............

Stick or twist??

I'd guess the market has priced in the reduction in air miles (how RR make their cash iirc) so I'd be thinking the SP is not far off rock bottom and perhaps might even be value to an extent.

I'd stick if I'd cash in RR

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

RollsRoyce hitting 17yr lows due to another 3bn loan to tide itself over. Currently 104p, my BEP is at 226p.

Stick or twist??

+1 for stick. Possibly average down.

retalivity

Deleted User wrote: »

+1 for stick. Possibly average down.

Yeah my 'twist' was to buy more, rather than sell what I have.

Nemeses2050

Looked at RR and with a expected Rights issue, they could go down a bit further.

"What’s new. Rolls-Royce is proposing to raise £2 billion through a 10-for-three rights issue at 32 pence per share. Investors will be offered 10 shares for each three shares that they own, at a 41% discount on the theoretical post-rights price based on the stock’s close on September 30."

CloudHopping

Was just looking through indices and most seem to have had an upward trend over last 6 months with a notable exception; IBEX 35.

Any opinion on this? Might take a while to get motoring but could it contain a lot of value stocks that will boom post COVID? Worth a punt with an ETF?

bob mcbob

RIGOLO wrote: »

well that part didnt go according to plan ... even if I was up
ODX up 10% this morning , looks like I left some on the table..

ah well better to have it in the back pocket than to be trying to make it back ..

While the ODX shareprice is being driven by Covid at the moment, they also have a second major product - an HIV test which can be used outside of laboratories.

I think it is currently being assessed by a number of African countries and the WHO. I think this is one of the few (only?) tests of this type.

http://www.omegadiagnostics.com/Products/Global-Health/Visitect-CD4-Advanced-Disease

Nemeses2050

Markets holding well and not much of a sell-off

One More Toy

Any thoughts on Workday?

robman60

Anyone going in on some oil plays? I'm young and willing to take some risk, I recognise the short term is dismal and very long-term may not be great but looking for a 5 year play. Is shell the best bet or should I look to XOM or something else?

padjocollins

robman60 wrote: »

Anyone going in on some oil plays? I'm young and willing to take some risk, I recognise the short term is dismal and very long-term may not be great but looking for a 5 year play. Is shell the best bet or should I look to XOM or something else?

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/09/is-exxon-the-next-general-electric/

vikings2012

What are people’s thoughts on regeneron pharmaceuticals?

Current share price is $564.80.

With Trump taking a dose of the company’s unapproved antibody drug for Covid-19, can we expect a jump in the already high share price?

robman60

padjocollins wrote: »

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/09/is-exxon-the-next-general-electric/

I've seen the article. Could well be right. However, I do think the transition away from oil will be a slow one. If a lot of smaller players are forced out it should benefit the majors too.

Bob Harris

robman60 wrote: »

Anyone going in on some oil plays? I'm young and willing to take some risk, I recognise the short term is dismal and very long-term may not be great but looking for a 5 year play. Is shell the best bet or should I look to XOM or something else?

Oil will probably be in a worse position in 5 years than it is now. If I was to invest in oil it would have to be those investing heavily in renewables which is most except Exxon.

robman60

Bob Harris wrote: »

Oil will probably be in a worse position in 5 years than it is now. If I was to invest in oil it would have to be those investing heavily in renewables which is most except Exxon.

Not sure about the first part but I basically agree on Exxon. They're focused solely on being the best oil company while everyone else is looking to renewables.

I'm thinking I'll go with Shell and possibly some Energy Transfer as a riskier bet if it gets to around $5 (I know both are quite risky).

funkey_monkey

Hello,

I've got approx 1200 shares in RR which I obtained when I was in England working for the company. I've got caught out with them as they spiralled downwards to yesterdays Rights Issue announcement.

They were bought in at avg of ~£6.

My question is, what should be be planning to do now? Do I sell up and take the loss, do I just hold on, do I partake in the RI?

My understanding is that if you have shares in the company as of 4th November you will be able to purchase 10 shares for every 3 you currently hold for the price of 32p each. This means that the number of share in existence will potentially quadruple (13/3) if all shareholders partake.

I'm not sure how or what to do now - I thought I'd ride it out initially, but it seems like lockdown and quarantine is going to last longer than I had expected. I think I have the following 'options':

• Cut losses and sell out
• Hold shares and hope for recovery in long term to a point where buy in price is covered - or losses minimised
• Purchase full RI amount of 4,000 shares (1200/3 * 10) at a cost of £1,280 to avoid share dilution
• Purchase a smaller amount (if possible?)

This investment is not critical to me - I can afford to let it recover, if it will. However, if I would be better to cash out now then so be it.

From reading up, they seemed to have turned the corner with the T1k premature wearing issue and had the bribery case resolved too. There are some issues with XWB that I read somewhere - but this current predicament would appear to be mainly Covid related and a business model which did not anticipate a pandemic paralysing the industry for almost a year. The main concern I have for their aerospace division in the medium to long term is the lack of placement in the single isle market. They seem to rely heavily on the long haul market for their income and really need to get a product onto A320/B737 single isle type aircraft for the short haul market.

Would be interesting to read some other thoughts an opinions on what people would do in my situation.

Shedite27

funkey_monkey wrote: »

Hello,

I've got approx 1200 shares in RR which I obtained when I was in England working for the company. I've got caught out with them as they spiralled downwards to yesterdays Rights Issue announcement.

They were bought in at avg of ~£6.

My question is, what should be be planning to do now? Do I sell up and take the loss, do I just hold on, do I partake in the RI?

My understanding is that if you have shares in the company as of 4th November you will be able to purchase 10 shares for every 3 you currently hold for the price of 32p each. This means that the number of share in existence will potentially quadruple (13/3) if all shareholders partake.

I'm not sure how or what to do now - I thought I'd ride it out initially, but it seems like lockdown and quarantine is going to last longer than I had expected. I think I have the following 'options':

• Cut losses and sell out
• Hold shares and hope for recovery in long term to a point where buy in price is covered - or losses minimised
• Purchase full RI amount of 4,000 shares (1200/3 * 10) at a cost of £1,280 to avoid share dilution
• Purchase a smaller amount (if possible?)

This investment is not critical to me - I can afford to let it recover, if it will. However, if I would be better to cash out now then so be it.

From reading up, they seemed to have turned the corner with the T1k premature wearing issue and had the bribery case resolved too. There are some issues with XWB that I read somewhere - but this current predicament would appear to be mainly Covid related and a business model which did not anticipate a pandemic paralysing the industry for almost a year. The main concern I have for their aerospace division in the medium to long term is the lack of placement in the single isle market. They seem to rely heavily on the long haul market for their income and really need to get a product onto A320/B737 single isle type aircraft for the short haul market.

Would be interesting to read some other thoughts an opinions on what people would do in my situation.

So put it this way, you currently have about €1,500 in Rolls Royce shares. If you had €1,500 in cash, would you buy RR shares, or buy something else?

I have a similar prediciment, end up taking the loss on my work shares most years, and move what's left to growth shares. You can declare the loss on your RR shares and use that to offset future CGT shares.

If IAG is anything to go by it'll dip down to close to the rights issue price. IAG currently trading at approx €1. The rights issue price was €0.92.

Not sure if that has any relevance.

dontparkhere

I'm faring badly with IAG after the rights issue (bep 1.45)
I was just considering buying share in Rolls Royce as a long term position when I learned about the rights issue.
What do people think of these companies? Catching a falling knife? Will there be an immediate bump if a vaccine is approved or will it be a slow recovery?
I am a young and in for the long haul. Toying with the idea of oil too.... maybe I'm better off finding a new hobby

^^^ I think it will spike on good news. One such would be if Trump survives and its credited to experimental drugs, but the rebound will come with the announcement of a vaccine. That could be months (or longer). Will RR and IAG survive without further dilution?

You might also not want to watch BBC news right now.

One More Toy

What time do future's start trading at? I know its Sunday night our time

Bob Harris

One More Toy wrote: »

What time do future's start trading at? I know its Sunday night our time

11pm Irish time I think.

manonboard

One of the things that i find scary with Rolls Royce is that the Q3 results will not be out at the time of the RI.. I would really like to know what the results are first.

They are unlikely to give a preliminary outlook about them too.. which scares me regards taking up the RI.
fyi:
I bought 5k at 210, 5k at 170, Average was 10k at 190.

I sold out at 145... and it was too much for me to be losing each day..
I hated selling as it was a big loss, but now obviously it looked like that was a great decision.

I'm surprised it's not falling further since pretty much everyone is expecting it to fall further.. i cant see why so many have NOT sold yet.. even with the outlook of buying back in in a few weeks.

RR as a service industry with it's military and power systems is a good investment, i think the UK gov would want to keep it going... but the BOD have NOT helped well.. The uncertainty around the covid/rights issue/capital raising was left soooo uncertain and it decimated the SP.

If it hits 50, i'll be putting 5k back in.

Shedite27

One More Toy wrote: »

What time do future's start trading at? I know its Sunday night our time

Lot of green on the board

p to the e

Could Cineworld be a decent long play? Stock price halved this morning on closure news but all news points to it being a temporary shut.

funkey_monkey

Shedite27 wrote: »

So put it this way, you currently have about €1,500 in Rolls Royce shares. If you had €1,500 in cash, would you buy RR shares, or buy something else?

I have a similar prediciment, end up taking the loss on my work shares most years, and move what's left to growth shares. You can declare the loss on your RR shares and use that to offset future CGT shares.

Thinking about cashing out now and then going back in if it goes sub 70p. Wise decision or should I go elsewhere?
Just rechecked - I've got 1200 at approx £4.

RIGOLO

Pressure .. it get such a bad rap but in many ways pressure is a privelege ...sometimes it can be a good thing like when an exploratory oil well blows ...

NYCT .. the pressure was building and she has started to blow, been calling it for a week hope some people got in at £4 , sitting at £6.40 and 7 yoyo

up 14% in France , 11% in London and I feel theres alot more to come, expecting an RNS
Those tight French buggers dont budge unless theres something coming .
A move like this is far more than just a short squeeze or some manipulation to turn a few trades, this sort of moves tells me something bigger is in the works. Potential French contract, talk of an even bigger UK NHS contract, buyout, who knows .. might not be too late to jump aboard.

Blue Monday is always a great start. Now lets see if we have a green afternoon after that US golf course owner seems to be on the mend.

AmberGold

funkey_monkey wrote: »

Thinking about cashing out now and then going back in if it goes sub 70p. Wise decision or should I go elsewhere?
Just rechecked - I've got 1200 at approx £4.

Don't feel too bad I've 1200 @ £4.20.

funkey_monkey

AmberGold wrote: »

Don't feel too bad I've 1200 @ £4.20.

Whats your plan?

Edit: I've just seen (FT - behind paywall) that Johnston is looking to power the north of England using small nuclear reactors - if someone can grab the text: FT Article


And who is capable of making them:Rolls-Royce

RIGOLO

funkey_monkey wrote: »

Whats your plan?

WE have all been in this position on a holding.
Id advise you to sell now. You should never 'marry' a stock . Use the loss against your CGT for this year or hold and plan to use it for next year.
RR isnt going anywhere positive soon IMO.
Buy into somethign that you will plan to hold into next year, and resign yourself you may never make the whole amount back.
I gave some tips in a few previous posts,

Do your own due diligence . Caveat emptor. And remember we are all big boys here, this isnt a no foal no fee, prize for every participant game.
Sincerely ... good luck ..

AmberGold

I'll be holding until at least the point where vaccine's are being rolled out, I've a fair few underwater RDS, XOM & TLW. I bought low enough to not be overly concerned they won't comeback.

I've two investment accounts one with DeGiro which was my first and the one I used when I started out, its 7% up on the year because of some bad bets I made on Energy, the likes of RR and late entry's on tech stocks.

I've a second account in Interactive, this was opened 6 months or so after my Degiro and is mainly made up of SPAC's like IPOB, PSTH, FMCI & good entry's points on tech stocks like API, FSLY. Its up 38% with no stock less than 8%.

The pain I'm in from the Energy & RR play I'm putting down to a learning experience and playing the waiting game. It shouldn't be long now.

HelloYoungBoy

GAN up nearly 18% in pre market. Announced a 10 year agreement with Wynn Resorts this morning to be the enterprise software platform for its Internet sports betting and Internet casino gaming business. Some good news after a rough period lately

One More Toy

Entering workday today, fingers crossed!

One More Toy

New report from citron research on Compass Pathways, currently under 50usd with a price target of 100usd

RIGOLO

One More Toy wrote: »

New report from citron research on Compass Pathways, currently under 50usd with a price target of 100usd

Citron .. :eek: .. should cary a govt health warning
Why are they pumping a stock when he is a known major short seller

April 20 : Shares of Novavax dropped from their highs after Andrew Left's Citron Search predicted the shares will fall to $15.

NVAX currently sit at $108

Andrew Left and his research :rolleyes: team got burned on INO NVAX BCRX and MRNA during major runs they made.
He also shorted TSLA (early 2020) and SHOPIFY (early 2019) afaik

IMO follow Citron at your peril , their CEO got banned from trading in HK

One More Toy

RIGOLO wrote: »

Citron .. :eek: .. should cary a govt health warning
Why are they pumping a stock when he is a known major short seller



NVAX currently sit at $108

Andrew Left and his research :rolleyes: team got burned on INO NVAX BCRX and MRNA during major runs they made.
He also shorted TSLA (early 2020) and SHOPIFY (early 2019) afaik

IMO follow Citron at your peril , their CEO got banned from trading in HK

Wise words, just mentioned it out of curiosity, has popped today. Its on the basis of treating depression with magic mushrooms!

RIGOLO

One More Toy wrote: »

Wise words, just mentioned it out of curiosity, has popped today. Its on the basis of treating depression with magic mushrooms!

By the sounds of it Citron is pumping this stock cos he is taking the product.

Who knows it may jump just understand the background of the people who you are dealing with , just be careful who you listen to on these investment boards, says random stranger in the ether.

ganmo

ganmo wrote: »

I bought some lagardere at €13 a month ago, it's at €21.30 now

25.30 now

One More Toy

RIGOLO wrote: »

By the sounds of it Citron is pumping this stock cos he is taking the product.

Who knows it may jump just understand the background of the people who you are dealing with , just be careful who you listen to on these investment boards, says random stranger in the ether.

Maybe I'll try it myself as I struggle badly with depression!

RIGOLO

One More Toy wrote: »

Maybe I'll try it myself as I struggle badly with depression!

sorry to hear that... look after yourself.

Treppen

One More Toy wrote: »

Maybe I'll try it myself as I struggle badly with depression!

Buddy don't do that, these studies are under lovely clinical trial conditions with kind and understanding psychotherapists. Not in some mankey field of dreams in West Cork that makes you think you're the guy in wickerMan .

Meanwhile... My Canadian pot stocks have gone to pot. Anyone jump in back in 2007 still holding now just out of novelty!

One More Toy

Treppen wrote: »

Buddy don't do that, these studies are under lovely clinical trial conditions with kind and understanding psychotherapists. Not in some mankey field of dreams in West Cork that makes you think you're the guy in wickerMan .

Meanwhile... My Canadian pot stocks have gone to pot. Anyone jump in back in 2007 still holding now just out of novelty!

Ah I know I was only messing but laughed at your description!

Edit:messing about the mushrooms, the depression is real

OwlsZat

One More Toy wrote: »

Maybe I'll try it myself as I struggle badly with depression!

It will be the treatment for depression in the future for sure. Actually wish I could just speed up the world and come back in 5 years when it's all gone through the global approval stages. Obviously, Ireland will be a further 10 years back which is disappointing but likely places you could travel to in Europe in 5. Ludicious state of play but big pharma would rather you suscribe to their molecules instead. I'd wager will we look back at the last 50 years of mental health treatment as an awful set of experiments.

One More Toy

OwlsZat wrote: »

It will be the treatment for depression in the future for sure. Actually wish I could just speed up the world and come back in 5 years when it's all gone through the global approval stages. Obviously, Ireland will be a further 10 years back which is disappointing but likely places you could travel to in Europe in 5. Ludicious state of play but big pharma would rather you suscribe to their molecules instead. I'd wager will we look back at the last 50 years of mental health treatment as an awful set of experiments.

Perhaps; I manage mine with meds (at great cost). Mad to think lobotomies etc were once standard treatment

Anyway back to stocks. Did well today probably due to the orange man getting out of hospital

OwlsZat

One More Toy wrote: »

Perhaps; I manage mine with meds (at great cost). Mad to think lobotomies etc were once standard treatment

Indeed. Mushrooms won't be a recurring treatment.

Back on topic I recommended Square last year and sold out way too soon. Up another 7% today appears like Shopify to be a hero stock. Anyone holding?

Shedite27

Yeah holding Square, have a full stable of payment stocks, Square, PayPal, Sea, StoneCo. With cash gone, why wouldn't you want a cut of every transaction in the world.

Interesting too that in the past few days, two of the Cloud-based SAAS stocks (Twilio and Alteryx) have raised guidance for Q3. This could be a monster earnings season for these stocks (Fastly, Datadog, Trade Desk, ServiceNow, Veeva)

RIGOLO

RIGOLO wrote: »

LK LUCKIN Coffee.
has an interesting history, had some dodgy accounting, SEC went after them, looks to be coming out of it okay with a slap on the wrist, cuaght up in teh US China trade war , trading at $3 bucks was $51 5 months ago .. up 25% today

June seems so long ago ...
LUCKIN getting the love yesterday , up 20% to 4.09 , my bep is much lower, glad I held through all the noise.
Patience often pays off. Earnings season approaches, if they produce a clean set of books they may pop .

Now that the 'Star of The Apprentice' is back at work, more pressure builds to get a stimulus bill passed through both houses, expecting a major greeen bump from that.

Time to start thinking of how to position oneself for the election.
GLTA

hottipper

Another european one that might be worth looking into
ADEVINTA https://www.adevinta.com/about/

If you want to own some of daft.ie adverts & dondeal.
i guess that means boards.ie also? if so everyone here should buy at least 1 share Looks like they want to own the classified ad space across europe and beyond recent enough IPO april 2019

about 12euros could be a good starting position

voluntary

hottipper wrote: »

Another european one that might be worth looking into
ADEVINTA https://www.adevinta.com/about/

if so everyone here should buy at least 1 share

To boards, we are products, not customers or shareholders.
Shareholders are owners, customers are marketer who pay for the product (us) to view their ads.

voluntary

voluntary wrote: »

To boards, we are products, not customers or shareholders.
Shareholders are owners, customers are marketer who pay for the product (us) to view their ads.

Am I missing something... I'm missing something, right?