Share Picks 2020

Shedite27

Jesper wrote: »

It's a pretty sickening system that has a dramatic bounce on the market due to a 'split' election.

The dramatic bounce was based on the election being over. There had been a lot of down days in the past month as people banked some wins (rumours that Biden will change CGT laws). Nothing big changed this week. People had cash, stocks were selling 10% less than last month.

OwlsZat

OwlsZat wrote: »

Nice pop on Aptevo Therapeutics today one of my long term holds after they the announced complete remission of a leukaemia patient on their P1 trial.

Up 30% Tuesday, and 50% Wednesday. So now nicely in the green on this position. I'm relatively new to investments but have been creating a long term value bio portfolio. I've got a medical background so makes sense to me.

It's a fairly thankless task while you're waiting for news to break. Pre-sales companies are shorted at will and trade with the news. However consequential or inconsequential it might be.

Speaking of news long term Boards pick Verastem's drug duvelisib (which they party sold rights to) is in P1 trial as a combo with Ventoclax, producing curative responses in Imbruvica resistant and refractory chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. 7 of 12 patients who have reached 12 months were able to discontinue treatment. Amazing times we live in (even if we won't get rich off Verastem) curing the very worst cancers.

Saudades

Timing belt wrote: »

3rd week in Nov is my bet for a correction in the tech stocks.

What percentage levels do you estimate for a correction?

Do you include Amazon as a tech stock?

Kilboor

Kilboor wrote: »

Entered UpWork at 20.10

Happy with that, I think it will grow steadily over the next year or so

Some nice earnings yesterday. Not as much as growth as I would personally want from them but pre market is responding well. Up 30% :cool:

Timing belt

Saudades wrote: »

What percentage levels do you estimate for a correction?
10-15%

Do you include Amazon as a tech stock?

Amazon won’t be as impacted as much as other stocks due to cloud and fact that there is a basis for valuation

Kilboor

UpWork up 50% today, I closed out my position but definitely still way more growth there in the long run!

cronos

JFrog Ltd is dropping heavily. Currently 64.80

I bought at $67

littlevillage

Anyone watching £ABF (Associated British foods). If/when the virus is sorted. Primark will clean up

SP is hobbled now obviously... but could be nice chance to jump in ?

RIGOLO

cronos wrote: »

JFrog Ltd is dropping heavily. Currently 64.80

I bought at $67

Ive been monitoring that one myself , good product.
fwiw , of the 3 devops cloud stocks that IPO'd in the same week, JFROG, SNOW , and SUMO , JFROG is the only one that actual comes close to making a profit so obviously Wall St doesnt like it.
Im tempted to buy in the low 60s.
The stock price pricing of these 'software stack' companies is a mystery inside a conundrum inside a paradox.

Mickiemcfist

Jesus, Tencent is rocking. I'm up 23% in the 2 months since I went in. Planning on holding long term so I should really stop looking.

jams100

littlevillage wrote: »

Anyone watching £ABF (Associated British foods). If/when the virus is sorted. Primark will clean up

SP is hobbled now obviously... but could be nice chance to jump in ?

Agree on ABF, was looking at their earnings, they weren't that bad, the near term performance is very much hinged on covid-19 shutdowns as they aren't online, but as they showed when the previous lockdown were lifted peoples baskets were bigger than they were before the lockdown. People also want to get out of their houses when lockdowns are lifted too which bodes well for primark/pennys

Their grocery arm also done well and they are pressing ahead with opening further stores which is a good sign and they've suspended their dividend which I like even as an owner of the stock, I'd rather a company wasn't taking on additional debt just to please shareholders in the short term. Going to hold ABF for 12-24 months and see where it takes me.

Plan on picking up more and averaging down if it drops further. Decent if not brief summary in the below article

https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/share-research/202011/abf-positive-trends-but-uncertainty-means-no-dividend?utm_medium=social-organic&theSource=SOTW&Override=1&fbclid=IwAR2HeQmZYMvkIi8uBhpAiozQLuFgV1REx_-ln0cxuxqskQqj9v_rP0KUz9Y

Shedite27

Added to a few holdings today - Twilio, Cloudflare and Fastly

Also started a new position in GoodRx. They basically allow Americans to see where they can get their prescriptions cheaper.

sirboby

sirboby wrote: »

Interesting day in the market,

I am getting into CDProjekt's stock, CDR for a ~3-6 month play

I think the valuation is high from what I can tell, but that doesn't seem to matter these days.

Share price has dropped 25% from its peek in the start of September, because of repeat delays on Cyberpunk 2077.
But I don't think that is a very bad thing for this company in particular. It has a great history of good user experience and I think it will boom not bust.

It has a few other things in the pipeline such as a ar Witcher phone game, news of which may temporally pump the share price but I would not want to be holding when it gets released.

Also I don't see the US election affecting this really at all.

Exited 3/4 of my position up 13%

Went up alot in one week so i'd expect it to fall again next week

Will monitor over the next few weeks to see if I should jump back in.

sirboby

I really like"Dunkin' Brands Group" ( DNKN )

But it has had a huge run recently, so waiting for an opportunity to get in.

RIGOLO

sirboby wrote: »

I really like"Dunkin' Brands Group" ( DNKN )

But it has had a huge run recently, so waiting for an opportunity to get in.

DUNKIN is going private. I think your too late, the 20% jump was due to the buyout price. We all missed the boat on that.
As long as the donuts and coffee dont change I can live with that , pure rocket fuel heading to work on a cold New England morning...

ADZAM

Recent IPO October 28th 2020 - ROOT (available on Degiro since yesterday/today) App based Car insurance provider aka "insuretech", currently trading 11% below IPO price of $27 it could be worth a look.

RIGOLO

Nice 5% pop from APT, my N95 mask maker, great earnings report.
Triple digit yoy growth and they also do PPE and housing insulation product.
Guidance is good into 2021 with backlog of orders even out to Q2 2021.
Dont see Covid going anywhere soon, but this stock trades sideways even with the huge demand.
Just waiting of the day Wall St rerates all these businesses that are well run.

Timmaay

NNDM finally taking off again after last week's share offering, hopefully it will push back over 4 and towards 5 or 6 soon enough again.

Nemeses2050

OwlsZat wrote: »

Speaking of news long term Boards pick Verastem's drug duvelisib (which they party sold rights to) is in P1 trial as a combo with Ventoclax, producing curative responses in Imbruvica resistant and refractory chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. 7 of 12 patients who have reached 12 months were able to discontinue treatment. Amazing times we live in (even if we won't get rich off Verastem) curing the very worst cancers.

have been holding VSTM for a while, hopefully this will push up the SP.

RIGOLO

McPhy picked up 8% today, to 25. If you want to play the Hydrogen market in Europe this ones for me.
Completed a new 180million share placement 2 weeks ago , operations in 3 countries , France, Germany and Italy. This industry is about having great engineers and I rate these guys.

Timmaay

Timmaay wrote: »

NNDM finally taking off again after last week's share offering, hopefully it will push back over 4 and towards 5 or 6 soon enough again.

Goddamit IG why the hell wouldn't you let me take out a spreadbet on this in the afternoon.

HelloYoungBoy

There is an Irish guy I follow on Twitter who puts up some stock analysis that might be of interest to some on here. Beats having to follow yanks all the time


https://twitter.com/wolfofharcourt/status/1324102833441021952

Treppen

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

have been holding VSTM for a while, hopefully this will push up the SP.

Same here , in at $3.50 . Think I'll stick it out for a while.
Good news to hear about those trials though.

greenfield21

Good results for Trade desk again... huge gains in CTV. Mentioned a few times before on this thread.

Wombatman

Wombatman wrote: »

Sony have been a great performer for me over the last couple of years. I know it won't be anything like it with the PS5, but have a look at the Sony share price in the lead up to to the release of the PS2 in March 2000. The stock was trending nicely in the months prior to Covid.

Sony has been a star for me this year. The question now is when to offload.

Wombatman

Wombatman wrote: »

Having a little punt on JKS.

Yum. Yum.

crushproof

greenfield21 wrote: »

Good results for Trade desk again... huge gains in CTV. Mentioned a few times before on this thread.

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

jive

BLUE (Bluebird Bio) looks good at $48.83. Filing delay put a 16.6% dent in the shares today which have traded at $213 back in 2018. Filing delayed to 2022 but big potentially upside in the longer term. These therapies are having a tough time with the FDA but path forward appears clearer for Bluebird Bio than for many others atm.

RIGOLO

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

Shedite27

crushproof wrote: »

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

Yeah same for me, bout at $170 in March, trading over $700 in after hours. It's my biggest position by a good chunk now.

Although it definitely doesn't make up for selling NIO at $3.94 in Feb

Supercell

How much more legs has this relief rally got? It seems utterly insane given the COVID situation. I am very wary that once the election winner is declared that attention will go back to the reality on the ground and we could see a rerun of March. I am all in cash right now, too risky to stay in.

RIGOLO

Supercell wrote: »

How much more legs has this relief rally got? It seems utterly insane given the COVID situation. I am very wary that once the election winner is declared that attention will go back to the reality on the ground and we could see a rerun of March. I am all in cash right now, too risky to stay in.

I hear you but all in cash, isnt that also a risk in itself.
If you truly believe a return to March, there are better (albeit some riskier) ways to play that bearish trend market and benefit than just sitting on the sidelines with alot of dry powder.

Everyone has to live within their own comfort level of risk I guess.

ceekay74

Anyone have any insight on Nio as a long term investment?

Shedite27

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

Think a lot are still wary of China after Luckin (and previous Chinese frauds that have been documented), you definitely get Asian companies at a bit of a discount as a result. Sea Ltd is the main one for me. It's south east asia, Gaming, online payments and online marketpalce rolled into one. Beenrun up a lot this year already tho

hottipper

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

Add Meituan dianping to the list (posted it months ago - Its chinas just eat / restaurant booking app). Now is not a good entry though let it cool off for a week or so.

RIGOLO

Shedite27 wrote: »

Think a lot are still wary of China after Luckin (and previous Chinese frauds that have been documented), you definitely get Asian companies at a bit of a discount as a result. Sea Ltd is the main one for me. It's south east asia, Gaming, online payments and online marketpalce rolled into one. Beenrun up a lot this year already tho

One mans fraud is another mans friend, Im up over 250% in LK , fortunate timing on my part.
But your point is still 100% valid , who knows whats going on with the Chinese bookeeping .. it all starts in the takeaways, ever notice how many add up your bill on paper, as oppossed to ringing a till.
SeaLtd in the notebook,

Could be a selloff coming today, my shorts are green as we speak but still double digit down, options day for many, earnings season tapering off and theres some kind of minor global infectious pandemic going on where everyones is being paid to stay at home but that ones not really seen as major concern to market valuations.

I think the banks with large trading desks have all cleared their earnings dates and these desks helped them post good figures even if their loan books went south, the volatility and massive new retail investor community has helped them, but now they may take all the toys away .

daheff

RIGOLO wrote: »

I think the banks with large trading desks have all cleared their earnings dates and these desks helped them post good figures even if their loan books went south, the volatility and massive new retail investor community has helped them, but now they may take all the toys away .

thats the fear. they have made their targets for this year (if they even had any) and will now sit on the sidelines picking off cherries.

But, then theres always the santa claus rally at this time of the year (in a couple of weeks!)....maybe covid won't hit that one

Nemeses2050

It seems a lot of us missed NIO ride, either not getting on board or jumping the ship early....I started following it in March/April around 3.50 and said to myself it's up 10-15% in last couple of weeks, i'll wait for a correction and then jump in....but here we're it's in 40's now:mad:...May be if it comes down to mid-20's then i'll look at it....

I agree after Luckin fiasco i'm defo wary about chinese co's...

Kilboor

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

It seems a lot of us missed NIO ride, either not getting on board or jumping the ship early....I started following it in March/April around 3.50 and said to myself it's up 10-15% in last couple of weeks, i'll wait for a correction and then jump in....but here we're it's in 40's now:mad:...May be if it comes down to mid-20's then i'll look at it....

I agree after Luckin fiasco i'm defo wary about chinese co's...

Big miss in the short term! It's difficult to value Chinese stocks when you don't understand the market, that's why I stay away.

That said I invested in NIO nearly 2 years back and made 60% so I don't feel too left out

Jim2007

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

Atlas_IRL

Jim2007 wrote: »

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

But they move a stock price more than anything. That morgan stanley Nio $40 call was the catalyst for the massive increase. A lot of their price targets are garbage though especially some of the tesla short calls by 'analysts' so hit and miss I suppose.

RIGOLO

Jim2007 wrote: »

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

ahh finally you gave a stock tip.. I assume this is your way of tipping K - The Kellogg Company .
keep it up.. this is the Stock Picks 2020 thread affter all ..

Jim2007

RIGOLO wrote: »

ahh finally you gave a stock tip.. I assume this is your way of tipping K - The Kellogg Company .
keep it up.. this is the Stock Picks 2020 thread affter all ..

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.


Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

RIGOLO

Jim2007 wrote: »

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.


Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

and still no tip.. is this a record for the most posts and never actually given a stock tip in this thread.

ahhh so your one of those .. sits on the fence gettting a sore arse lecturing everyone else trying to sound like you know what your talking about but never actually calling a tip yourself.
Met loads of these types in my life. You probably dont even play the market .

moving right along.. think I will dump some NIO early today contrary to asian weighting and buy back in on a dip later in day or next week.

Timmaay

I've stopped buying NIO since it went over 37$ but dont think I'm bothered selling just yet, dipped to 39 premarket but back up to 41 now, its still absolutely due some sort of pullback, but the risk if I sell is it just keeps on going lol. If it was still steadily bouncing off its two trendlines that its been following last 6months id considered swing trading it, but it gone well above that now, and who knows how much further it can go.

Shedite27

Jim2007 wrote: »

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.


Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

Let's be more like Jim, second guess every investment, and put your cash in a shoebox

crushproof

crushproof wrote: »

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

Well how wrong I was, what a beast. Cruising to 800

PHG

I reopened my trading in May.

I am trying to work out my PnL. The reason was I had cash on to the side and thought I may invest XXXX EUR. However that figure was adjusted (thankfully for the right reasons).

How do I calculate my PnL base don the changes? I have bought shares in different months and then sells. e.g

- Buy 1000 EUR share 1 in June
- Buy 1000 EUR share 2 in July. (portfolio size is now 2000)
- Close Share 2 for a loss of 50 in August (Investment size now 1950 due to the loss)
- Buy 1000 EUR Share 3 in Sept (Invested size now 2050 to include the loss and an extra 50 to make it to 1000)
- Close Share 1 for a profit of 60 (Portfolio size is now 2100 but only 10 of it is profit).
- The value of my stock portfolio has probably tripled in the last few months but I never hold more than 5 stocks and usually at equeal weighting.

*** I am excluding TC's above for argument sake and figures are examples not exact.

At the start of next year I have a fixed amount set aside and current PnL will be crystallised so on Jan 1st my total amount able to invest will be fixed and back to 0 PnL. E.g. I have 10k to invest, currently there is 6k in investments and 4k cash to use to buy, so at the end of next year my PnL will be (Account value - 10k)

My Speculative and Crypto have not changed in size since day 1 so they are simple, the above is whats annoying me as I have a bet on with a mate that I could beat the S&P between June and EOY :P

Nemeses2050

CRSR - they've had decent run last few weeks going from 18 to 28...results are out on Monday, not sure how to play this...will we see it doing a logitech or we'll see a sell-off...I'm inclined to sell them and take the profit now...

@Jim - Man, if you think you know so much and you're brilliant you can share that as other folks do...instead of trying to pick bones of every second post....if not seriously you can sod off

RIGOLO

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

CRSR - they've had decent run last few weeks going from 18 to 28...results are out on Monday, not sure how to play this...will we see it doing a logitech or we'll see a sell-off...I'm inclined to sell them and take the profit now...

FWIW as fas as I can see peripherals are booming
.. my LOGITECH DEC21 calls were up this week , PLT (Plantronics) another peripherals play are booming, I was a quarter too early to jump on them so missed this fortnights ride. PLT popped considerably on their earnings beat

I have some dry powder going to pick up some CRSR, I know you have tipped them way back but based on LOGI and PLT gaining after earnings beats Im in.

Caveat Emptor : Calling how the market will react to earnings these days is near impossible to guarantee.